scholarly journals Unusual migration of the prominence activities in recent solar cycles

2013 ◽  
Vol 8 (S300) ◽  
pp. 161-167 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masumi Shimojo
Keyword(s):  
Magnetic Field ◽  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Radial Velocity ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Solar Maximum ◽  
The Other ◽  
Occurrence Rate ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
Global Magnetic Field ◽  
Cycle 24

AbstractWe investigated the prominence eruptions and disappearances observed with the Nobeyama Radioheliograph during over 20 years for studying the anomaly of the recent solar cycle. Although the sunspot number of Cycle 24 is smaller than the previous one dramatically, the occurrence rate, size and radial velocity of the prominence activities are not changed significantly. We also found that the occurrence of the prominence activities in the northern hemisphere is normal from the duration of the cycle and the migration of the producing region of the prominence activities. On the other hand, the migration in the southern hemisphere significantly differs from that in the northern hemisphere and the previous cycles. Our results suggest that the anomalies of the global magnetic field distribution started at the solar maximum of Cycle 23.

Large-Scale Coronal Magnetic Structure and Its Variations during an 11-year Solar Cycle

1994 ◽  
Vol 144 ◽  
pp. 35-39
Author(s):  
E. V. Ivanov
Keyword(s):  
Magnetic Field ◽  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Heliospheric Current Sheet ◽  
Reference Points ◽  
Source Surface ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
Dipole Component ◽  
Global Magnetic Field ◽  
Main Components

AbstractMaps of coronal magnetic fields at different heights calculated under potential approximation, have been used to reconstruct the corona shape in different phases of solar cycles 21 and 22. The shape of the solar corona depends on the maximum heliolatitudes and the structure of the heliospheric current sheet (HCS) that, in turn, are determined by space-time variations of the 3 main components of the global magnetic field of the Sun: 1) the axial dipole component; 2) the inclined dipole component; and 3) the quadrupole component. Variations of theHCSmaximum heliolatitudes and the width of the corona at 2.5R⊙during a solar cycle are compared with variations of the global magnetic field indices in the photosphere and at the source surface. The role of the solar cycle reference points and the global magnetic field indices in the corona shape variations over a solar cycle are discussed.

scholarly journals Properties and geoeffectiveness of magnetic clouds in the rising, maximum and early declining phases of solar cycle 23

2005 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 625-641 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. E. J. Huttunen ◽  
R. Schwenn ◽  
V. Bothmer ◽  
H. E. J. Koskinen
Keyword(s):  
Magnetic Field ◽  
Solar Wind ◽  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Solar Maximum ◽  
Magnetic Storms ◽  
Magnetic Clouds ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
The North ◽  
Solar Cycle 23 ◽  
The Magnetic Field

Abstract. The magnetic structure and geomagnetic response of 73 magnetic clouds (MC) observed by the WIND and ACE satellites in solar cycle 23 are examined. The results have been compared with the surveys from the previous solar cycles. The preselected candidate MC events were investigated using the minimum variance analysis to determine if they have a flux-rope structure and to obtain the estimation for the axial orientation (θC, φC). Depending on the calculated inclination relative to the ecliptic we divided MCs into "bipolar" (θC<45°) and "unipolar" (θC>45°). The number of observed MCs was largest in the early rising phase, although the halo CME rate was still low. It is likely that near solar maximum we did not identify all MCs at 1AU, as they were crossed far from the axis or they had interacted strongly with the ambient solar wind or with other CMEs. The occurrence rate of MCs at 1AU is also modified by the migration of the filament sites on the Sun towards the poles near solar maximum and by the deflection of CMEs towards the equator due to the fast solar wind flow from large polar coronal holes near solar minimum. In the rising phase nearly all bipolar MCs were associated with the rotation of the magnetic field from the south at the leading edge to the north at the trailing edge. The results for solar cycles 21-22 showed that the direction of the magnetic field in the leading portion of the MC starts to reverse at solar maximum. At solar maximum and in the declining phase (2000-2003) we observed several MCs with the rotation from the north to the south. We observed unipolar (i.e. highly inclined) MCs frequently during the whole investigated period. For solar cycles 21-22 the majority of MCs identified in the rising phase were bipolar while in the declining phase most MCs were unipolar. The geomagnetic response of a given MC depends greatly on its magnetic structure and the orientation of the sheath fields. For each event we distinguished the effect of the sheath fields and the MC fields. All unipolar MCs with magnetic field southward at the axis were geoeffective (Dst<-50nT) while those with the field pointing northward did not cause magnetic storms at all. About half of the all identified MCs were not geoffective or the sheath fields preceding the MC caused the storm. MCs caused more intense magnetic storms (Dst<-100nT) than moderate magnetic storms (-50nT ≥Dst≥-100nT).

scholarly journals Variations in the occurrence of SuperDARN F region echoes

2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 147-156 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Ghezelbash ◽  
R. A. D. Fiori ◽  
A V. Koustov
Keyword(s):  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Local Time ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Solar Minimum ◽  
Solar Maximum ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Occurrence Rate ◽  
Major Focus ◽  
F Region

Abstract. The occurrence of F region ionospheric echoes observed by a number of SuperDARN HF radars is analyzed statistically in order to infer solar cycle, seasonal, and diurnal trends. The major focus is on Saskatoon radar data for 1994–2012. The distribution of the echo occurrence rate is presented in terms of month of observation and magnetic local time. Clear repetitive patterns are identified during periods of solar maximum and solar minimum. For years near solar maximum, echoes are most frequent near midnight during winter. For years near solar minimum, echoes occur more frequently near noon during winter, near dusk and dawn during equinoxes and near midnight during summer. Similar features are identified for the Hankasalmi and Prince George radars in the northern hemisphere and the Bruny Island TIGER radar in the southern hemisphere. Echo occurrence for the entire SuperDARN network demonstrates patterns similar to patterns in the echo occurrence for the Saskatoon radar and for other radars considered individually. In terms of the solar cycle, the occurrence rate of nightside echoes is shown to increase by a factor of at least 3 toward solar maximum while occurrence of the near-noon echoes does not significantly change with the exception of a clear depression during the declining phase of the solar cycle.

scholarly journals North-South Distribution and Asymmetry of GOES SXR Flares during Solar Cycle 24

2020 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 228-235
Author(s):  
Anita Joshi ◽  
Ramesh Chandra
Keyword(s):  
Data Analysis ◽  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Solar Maximum ◽  
X Ray ◽  
The North ◽  
Solar Cycle 24 ◽  
Cycle 24 ◽  
Second Peak

AbstractHere we present the results of the study of the north-south (N-S) distribution and asymmetry of GOES soft X-ray (SXR) flares during solar cycle 24. The period of study includes ascending, maximum and descending phases of the cycle. During the cycle double-peaked (2011, 2014) solar maximum has occurred. The cycle peak in the year 2011 is due to B-class flares excess activity in the northern hemisphere (NH) whereas C and M class flares excess activity in the southern hemisphere (SH) supported the second peak of the cycle in 2014. The data analysis shows that the SXR flares are more pronounced in 11 to 20 degree latitudes for each hemisphere. Cumulative values of SXR flare count show northern excess during the ascending phase of the cycle. However, in the descending phase of the cycle, southern excess occurred. In the cycle a significant SH dominated asymmetry exists. Near the maximum of the cycle, the asymmetry enhances pronouncedly and reverses in sign.

scholarly journals Prediction of solar activity cycles by assimilating sunspot data into a dynamo model

2009 ◽  
Vol 5 (S264) ◽  
pp. 202-209 ◽  
Author(s):  
Irina N. Kitiashvili ◽  
Alexander G. Kosovichev
Keyword(s):  
Magnetic Field ◽  
Solar Activity ◽  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Sunspot Number ◽  
Magnetic Activity ◽  
Magnetic Helicity ◽  
Dynamo Model ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
Sunspot Data ◽  
Cycle 24

AbstractSolar activity is a determining factor for space climate of the Solar system. Thus, predicting the magnetic activity of the Sun is very important. However, our incomplete knowledge about the dynamo processes of generation and transport of magnetic fields inside Sun does not allow us to make an accurate forecast. For predicting the solar cycle properties use the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) to assimilate the sunspot data into a simple dynamo model. This method takes into account uncertainties of both the dynamo model and the observed sunspot number series. The method has been tested by calculating predictions of the past cycles using the observed annual sunspot numbers only until the start of these cycles, and showed a reasonable agreement between the predicted and actual data. After this, we have calculated a prediction for the upcoming solar cycle 24, and found that it will be approximately 30% weaker than the previous one, confirming some previous expectations. In addition, we have investigated the properties of the dynamo model during the solar minima, and their relationship to the strength of the following solar cycles. The results show that prior the weak cycles, 20 and 23, and the upcoming cycle, 24, the vector-potential of the poloidal component of magnetic field and the magnetic helicity substantial decrease. The decrease of the poloidal field corresponds to the well-known correlation between the polar magnetic field strength at the minimum and the sunspot number at the maximum. However, the correlation between the magnetic helicity and the future cycle strength is new, and should be further investigated.

scholarly journals Extreme Space-Weather Events and the Solar Cycle

Solar Physics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 296 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mathew J. Owens ◽  
Mike Lockwood ◽  
Luke A. Barnard ◽  
Chris J. Scott ◽  
Carl Haines ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Magnetic Field ◽  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Space Weather ◽  
Extreme Events ◽  
Solar Minimum ◽  
Geomagnetic Storms ◽  
Extreme Event ◽  
Solar Maximum ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
Event Occurrence

AbstractSpace weather has long been known to approximately follow the solar cycle, with geomagnetic storms occurring more frequently at solar maximum than solar minimum. There is much debate, however, about whether the most hazardous events follow the same pattern. Extreme events – by definition – occur infrequently, and thus establishing their occurrence behaviour is difficult even with very long space-weather records. Here we use the 150-year $aa_{H}$ a a H record of global geomagnetic activity with a number of probabilistic models of geomagnetic-storm occurrence to test a range of hypotheses. We find that storms of all magnitudes occur more frequently during an active phase, centred on solar maximum, than during the quiet phase around solar minimum. We also show that the available observations are consistent with the most extreme events occurring more frequently during large solar cycles than small cycles. Finally, we report on the difference in extreme-event occurrence during odd- and even-numbered solar cycles, with events clustering earlier in even cycles and later in odd cycles. Despite the relatively few events available for study, we demonstrate that this is inconsistent with random occurrence. We interpret this finding in terms of the overlying coronal magnetic field and enhanced magnetic-field strengths in the heliosphere, which act to increase the geoeffectiveness of sheath regions ahead of extreme coronal mass ejections. Putting the three “rules” together allows the probability of extreme event occurrence for Solar Cycle 25 to be estimated, if the magnitude and length of the coming cycle can be predicted. This highlights both the feasibility and importance of solar-cycle prediction for planning and scheduling of activities and systems that are affected by extreme space weather.

ESTABLISHING SOLAR ACTIVITY TREND FOR SOLAR CYCLES 21 – 24

2021 ◽  
Vol 44 ◽  
pp. 100-106
Author(s):  
A.K. Singh ◽  
◽  
A. Bhargawa ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Solar Activity ◽  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Sunspot Number ◽  
Cosmic Ray ◽  
Occurrence Rate ◽  
The Sun ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
Lyman Alpha ◽  
Rate Versus ◽  
Alpha Index

Solar-terrestrial environment is manifested primarily by the physical conditions of solar interior, solar atmosphere and eruptive solar plasma. Each parameter gives unique information about the Sun and its activity according to its defined characteristics. Hence the variability of solar parameters is of interest from the point of view of plasma dynamics on the Sun and in the interplanetary space as well as for the solar-terrestrial physics. In this study, we have analysed various solar transients and parameters to establish the recent trends of solar activity during solar cycles 21, 22, 23 and 24. The correlation coefficients of linear regression of F10.7 cm index, Lyman alpha index, Mg II index, cosmic ray intensity, number of M & X class flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) occurrence rate versus sunspot number was examined for last four solar cycles. A running cross-correlation method has been used to study the momentary relationship among the above mentioned solar activity parameters. Solar cycle 21 witnessed the highest value of correlation for F10.7 cm index, Lyman alpha index and number of M-class and X-class flares versus sunspot number among all the considered solar cycles which were 0.979, 0.935 and 0.964 respectively. Solar cycle 22 recorded the highest correlation in case of Mg II index, Ap index and CMEs occurrence rate versus sunspot number among all the considered solar cycles (0.964, 0.384 and 0.972 respectively). Solar cycle 23 and 24 did not witness any highest correlation compared to solar cycle 21 and 22. Further the record values (highest value compared to other solar three cycles) of each solar activity parameters for each of the four solar cycles have been studied. Here solar cycle 24 has no record text at all, this simply indicating that this cycle was a weakest cycle compared to the three previous ones. We have concluded that in every domain solar 24 was weaker to its three predecessors.

scholarly journals Source-region characteristics of anemone active regions in the ascending phase of solar cycle 24

2020 ◽  
Vol 642 ◽  
pp. A233
Author(s):  
R. Sharma ◽  
C. Cid
Keyword(s):  
Magnetic Field ◽  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Minimum Distance ◽  
Source Region ◽  
Coronal Holes ◽  
Active Regions ◽  
Yearly Average ◽  
Solar Cycle 24 ◽  
Cycle 24 ◽  
Rise Phase

Context. Active regions in close proximity to coronal holes, also known as anemone regions, are the best candidates for studying the interaction between closed and open magnetic field topologies at the Sun. Statistical investigation of their source-region characteristics can provide vital clues regarding their possible association with energetic events, relevant from space weather perspectives. Aims. The main goal of our study is to understand the distinct properties of flaring and non-flaring anemone active regions and their host coronal holes, by examining spatial and magnetic field distributions during the rise phase of the solar cycle, in the years 2011–2014. Methods. Anemone regions were identified from the minimum-distance threshold, estimated using the data available in the online catalogs for on-disk active regions and coronal holes. Along with the source-region area and magnetic field characteristics, associated filament and flare cases were also located. Regions with and without flare events were further selected for a detailed statistical examination to understand the major properties of the energetic events, both eruptive and confined, at the anemone-type active regions. Results. Identified anemone regions showed weak asymmetry in their spatial distribution over the solar disk, with yearly average independent from mean sunspot number trend, during the rise phase of solar cycle 24. With the progression in solar cycle, the area and minimum-distance parameters indicated a decreasing trend in their magnitudes, while the magnetic field characteristics indicated an increase in their estimated magnitudes. More than half of the regions in our database had an association with a filament structure, and nearly a third were linked with a magnetic reconnection (flare) event. Anemone regions with and without flares had clear distinctions in their source-region characteristics evident from the distribution of their properties and density analysis. The key differences included larger area and magnetic field magnitudes for flaring anemone regions, along with smaller distances between the centers of the active region and its host coronal hole.

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