Fuzzy risk assessment for electro-optical target tracker

2016 ◽  
Vol 33 (6) ◽  
pp. 830-851 ◽  
Author(s):  
Soumen Kumar Roy ◽  
A K Sarkar ◽  
Biswajit Mahanty
Keyword(s):  
Failure Mode ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Linear Equations ◽  
Mode Analysis ◽  
Failure Behavior ◽  
Membership Functions ◽  
Design And Development ◽  
Effect Analysis ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Criticality Analysis

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to evolve a guideline for scientists and development engineers to the failure behavior of electro-optical target tracker system (EOTTS) using fuzzy methodology leading to success of short-range homing guided missile (SRHGM) in which this critical subsystems is exploited. Design/methodology/approach – Technology index (TI) and fuzzy failure mode effect analysis (FMEA) are used to build an integrated framework to facilitate the system technology assessment and failure modes. Failure mode analysis is carried out for the system using data gathered from technical experts involved in design and realization of the EOTTS. In order to circumvent the limitations of the traditional failure mode effects and criticality analysis (FMECA), fuzzy FMCEA is adopted for the prioritization of the risks. FMEA parameters – severity, occurrence and detection are fuzzifed with suitable membership functions. These membership functions are used to define failure modes. Open source linear programming solver is used to solve linear equations. Findings – It is found that EOTTS has the highest TI among the major technologies used in the SRHGM. Fuzzy risk priority numbers (FRPN) for all important failure modes of the EOTTS are calculated and the failure modes are ranked to arrive at important monitoring points during design and development of the weapon system. Originality/value – This paper integrates the use of TI, fuzzy logic and experts’ database with FMEA toward assisting the scientists and engineers while conducting failure mode and effect analysis to prioritize failures toward taking corrective measure during the design and development of EOTTS.

Failure mode, effects and criticality analysis improvement by using new criticality assessment and prioritization based approach

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ammar Chakhrit ◽  
Mohammed Chennoufi
Keyword(s):  
Failure Mode ◽  
Conventional Method ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Risk Evaluation ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Criticality Analysis

Purpose This paper aims to enable the analysts of reliability and safety system to assess the criticality and prioritize failure modes perfectly to prefer actions for controlling the risks of undesirable scenarios. Design/methodology/approach To resolve the challenge of uncertainty and ambiguous related to the parameters, frequency, non-detection and severity considered in the traditional approach failure mode effect and criticality analysis (FMECA) for risk evaluation, the authors used fuzzy logic where these parameters are shown as members of a fuzzy set, which fuzzified by using appropriate membership functions. The adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system process is suggested as a dynamic, intelligently chosen model to ameliorate and validate the results obtained by the fuzzy inference system and effectively predict the criticality evaluation of failure modes. A new hybrid model is proposed that combines the grey relational approach and fuzzy analytic hierarchy process to improve the exploitation of the FMECA conventional method. Findings This research project aims to reflect the real case study of the gas turbine system. Using this analysis allows evaluating the criticality effectively and provides an alternate prioritizing to that obtained by the conventional method. The obtained results show that the integration of two multi-criteria decision methods and incorporating their results enable to instill confidence in decision-makers regarding the criticality prioritizations of failure modes and the shortcoming concerning the lack of established rules of inference system which necessitate a lot of experience and shows the weightage or importance to the three parameters severity, detection and frequency, which are considered to have equal importance in the traditional method. Originality/value This paper is providing encouraging results regarding the risk evaluation and prioritizing failures mode and decision-makers guidance to refine the relevance of decision-making to reduce the probability of occurrence and the severity of the undesirable scenarios with handling different forms of ambiguity, uncertainty and divergent judgments of experts.

Cost consequence of failure in failure mode and effect analysis

2017 ◽  
Vol 34 (8) ◽  
pp. 1318-1342 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeff Guinot ◽  
John W. Sinn ◽  
M. Affan Badar ◽  
Jeffrey M. Ulmer
Keyword(s):  
Failure Mode ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Cost Data ◽  
Ordinal Scale ◽  
Automotive Application ◽  
Manufacturing Cost ◽  
Potential Cost ◽  
Effect Analysis ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Cost Consequence

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the possibility of including the cost consequence of failure in the a priori risk assessment methodology known as failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA). Design/methodology/approach A model of the standard costs that are incurred when an electronic control module in an automotive application fails in service was developed. These costs were related to the Design FMEA ranking of the level of severity of the failure mode and the probability of its occurrence. Monte Carlo simulations were conducted to establish the average costs expected for each level of severity at each level of occurrence. The results were aggregated using fuzzy utility sets into a nine-point ordinal scale of cost consequence. The criterion validity of this scale was assessed with warranty cost data derived from a case study. Findings It was found that the model slightly underestimated the warranty costs that accrued, but the fit could be improved with adjustments dictated by actual usage conditions. Research limitations/implications Cost data used in the simulations were derived from government and academic surveys, analyses, and estimates of the manufacturing cost structure; and nominal costs for various quality issues experienced by Tier 2 automotive electronics supplier. Specificity is lacking. The sample size and the type of the failure modes used to validate the model are constrained by the number and type of products which have had demonstrable performance concerns over the past three years, with cost data available to the authors. The power of the validation is limited. The validation is considered a screening assessment. Practical implications This work relates the characterization of risk with its potential cost and develops a scaling instrument to allow the incorporation of cost consequence into an FMEA. Originality/value A ranking scale was developed that related severity and occurrence rank scores to a cost consequence rank that keys to a cost of quality figure (given as percent of sales) that would accompany a realization of the failure mode.

Use of failure mode effect analysis (FMEA) to improve medication management process

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 175-186 ◽  
Author(s):  
Khushboo Jain
Keyword(s):  
Failure Mode ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Medication Management ◽  
Management Process ◽  
Effect Analysis ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Complex Process ◽  
Mode Effect ◽  
Corrective Actions ◽  
Failure Mode Effect Analysis

Purpose Medication management is a complex process, at high risk of error with life threatening consequences. The focus should be on devising strategies to avoid errors and make the process self-reliable by ensuring prevention of errors and/or error detection at subsequent stages. The purpose of this paper is to use failure mode effect analysis (FMEA), a systematic proactive tool, to identify the likelihood and the causes for the process to fail at various steps and prioritise them to devise risk reduction strategies to improve patient safety. Design/methodology/approach The study was designed as an observational analytical study of medication management process in the inpatient area of a multi-speciality hospital in Gurgaon, Haryana, India. A team was made to study the complex process of medication management in the hospital. FMEA tool was used. Corrective actions were developed based on the prioritised failure modes which were implemented and monitored. Findings The percentage distribution of medication errors as per the observation made by the team was found to be maximum of transcription errors (37 per cent) followed by administration errors (29 per cent) indicating the need to identify the causes and effects of their occurrence. In all, 11 failure modes were identified out of which major five were prioritised based on the risk priority number (RPN). The process was repeated after corrective actions were taken which resulted in about 40 per cent (average) and around 60 per cent reduction in the RPN of prioritised failure modes. Research limitations/implications FMEA is a time consuming process and requires a multidisciplinary team which has good understanding of the process being analysed. FMEA only helps in identifying the possibilities of a process to fail, it does not eliminate them, additional efforts are required to develop action plans and implement them. Frank discussion and agreement among the team members is required not only for successfully conducing FMEA but also for implementing the corrective actions. Practical implications FMEA is an effective proactive risk-assessment tool and is a continuous process which can be continued in phases. The corrective actions taken resulted in reduction in RPN, subjected to further evaluation and usage by others depending on the facility type. Originality/value The application of the tool helped the hospital in identifying failures in medication management process, thereby prioritising and correcting them leading to improvement.

Developing a new BWM-based GMAFMA approach for evaluation of potential risks and failure modes in production processes

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Milad Kolagar ◽  
Seyed Mohammad Hassan Hosseini ◽  
Ramin Felegari
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Failure Mode ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Raw Materials ◽  
Mode Analysis ◽  
Reliability Engineering ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Production Processes ◽  
Failure Mode Analysis ◽  
Potential Risks

PurposeNowadays, the risk assessment and reliability engineering of various production processes have become an inevitable necessity. Because if these risks are not going to be evaluated and no solution is going to be taken for their prevention, managing them would be really hard and costly in case of their occurrence. The importance of this issue is much higher in producing healthcare products due to their quality's direct impact on the health of individuals and society.Design/methodology/approachOne of the most common approaches of risk assessment is the failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA), which is facing some limitations in practice. In this research, a new generalized multi-attribute failure mode analysis approach has been proposed by utilizing the best–worst method and linguistic 2-tuple representation in order to evaluate the production process of hemodialysis solution in a case of Tehran, Iran.FindingsAccording to the results, entry of waste to the mixing tanker, impurity of raw materials and ingredients and fracture of the mixer screw have been identified as the most important potential failures. At last, the results of this research have been compared with the previous studies.Originality/valueSome reinforcement attributes have been added to the traditional FMEA attributes in order to improve the results. Also, the problems of identical weights for attributes, inaccuracy in experts' opinions and the uncertainties in prioritizing the potential failures were improved. Furthermore, in addition to the need for less comparative data, the proposed approach is more accurate and comprehensive in its results.

Multi criteria FMECA for coal-fired thermal power plants using COPRAS-G

2014 ◽  
Vol 31 (5) ◽  
pp. 601-614 ◽  
Author(s):  
Debasis Das Adhikary ◽  
Goutam Kumar Bose ◽  
Dipankar Bose ◽  
Souren Mitra
Keyword(s):  
Failure Mode ◽  
Power Plants ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Thermal Power ◽  
Uncertain Data ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Straight Tube ◽  
Thermal Power Plants ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Criticality Analysis

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to present a multi criterion failure mode effect and criticality analysis for coal-fired thermal power plants using uncertain data as well as substituting the traditional risk priority number estimation method. Design/methodology/approach – Grey-complex proportional assessment (COPRAS-G) method, a multi criteria decision making tool is applied to evaluate the criticalities of the failure modes (alternatives). In this model the criteria (criticality factor) against each alternative are expressed in grey number instead of crisp values. Findings – Rupture failure of the straight tube of economizer (ECO) due to erosion is the highest critical failure mode whereas rupture failure of the stub of ECO due to welding defect is the lowest critical failure mode. Originality/value – This paper incorporates human and environmental factors as additional factors which also influence the failure modes significantly. The COPRAS-G method is modified according this problem. Uncertainty in the scoring of criticality factors against each failure mode by various maintenance personnel is expressed in grey numbers.

Case Study and Fault Modeling for Wrong Redundancy Evaluation on DRAM Devices

2007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Versen ◽  
Dorina Diaconescu ◽  
Jerome Touzel
Keyword(s):  
Failure Mode ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Fault Modeling ◽  
Mode Analysis ◽  
Root Cause ◽  
Failure Mode Analysis

Abstract The characterization of failure modes of DRAM is often straight forward if array related hard failures with specific addresses for localization are concerned. The paper presents a case study of a bitline oriented failure mode connected to a redundancy evaluation in the DRAM periphery. The failure mode analysis and fault modeling focus both on the root-cause and on the test aspects of the problem.

Failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) to improve collaborative project-based learning: Case study of a Study and Research Path in mechanical engineering

2021 ◽  
pp. 030641902199904
Author(s):  
Elena Bartolomé ◽  
Paula Benítez
Keyword(s):  
Active Learning ◽  
Failure Mode ◽  
Mechanical Engineering ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Collaborative Study ◽  
Project Based Learning ◽  
Educational Process ◽  
Effect Analysis ◽  
Questions And Answers

Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (FMEA) is a powerful quality tool, widely used in industry, for the identification of failure modes, their effects and causes. In this work, we investigated the utility of FMEA in the education field to improve active learning processes. In our case study, the FMEA principles were adapted to assess the risk of failures in a Mechanical Engineering course on “Theory of Machines and Mechanisms” conducted through a project-based, collaborative “Study and Research Path (SRP)” methodology. The SRP is an active learning instruction format which is initiated by a generating question that leads to a sequence of derived questions and answers, and combines moments of study and inquiry. By applying the FMEA, the teaching team was able to identify the most critical failures of the process, and implement corrective actions to improve the SRP in the subsequent year. Thus, our work shows that FMEA represents a simple tool of risk assesment which can serve to identify criticality in educational process, and improve the quality of active learning.

VIKOR power law-based customer-oriented FMEA with complete unique risk priority numbers

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Randula L. Hettiarachchi ◽  
Pisut Koomsap ◽  
Panarpa Ardneam
Keyword(s):  
Case Studies ◽  
Power Law ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Service Sector ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Risk Priority Number ◽  
Effect Analysis ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Industrial Sectors ◽  
Inherent Problem

PurposeAn inherent problem on risk priority number (RPN) value duplication of traditional failure modes and effect analysis (FMEA) also exists in two customer-oriented FMEAs. One has no unique value, and another has 1% unique values out of 4,000 possible values. The RPN value duplication has motivated the development of a new customer-oriented FMEA presented in this paper to achieve practically all 4,000 unique values and delivering reliable prioritization.Design/methodology/approachThe drastic improvement is the result of power-law and VlseKriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje (VIKOR). By having all three risk factors in a power-law form, all unique values can be obtained, and by applying VIKOR to these power-law terms, the prioritization is more practical and reliable.FindingsThe proposed VIKOR power law-based customer-oriented FMEA can achieve practically all 4,000 unique values and is tested with two case studies. The results are more logical than the results from the other two customer-oriented FMEAs.Research limitations/implicationsThe evaluation has been done on two case studies for the service sector. Therefore, additional case studies in other industrial sectors will be required to confirm the effectiveness of this new customer-oriented RPN calculation.Originality/valueAchieving all 1,000 unique values could only be done by having experts tabulate all possible combinations for the traditional FMEA. Therefore, achieving all 4,000 unique values will be much more challenging. A customer-oriented FMEA has been developed to achieve practically all 4,000 unique risk priority numbers, and that the prioritization is more practical and reliable. Furthermore, it has a connection to the traditional FMEA, which helps explain the traditional one from a broader perspective.

Effects of infill patterns on the strength and stiffness of 3D printed topologically optimized geometries

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nadim S. Hmeidat ◽  
Bailey Brown ◽  
Xiu Jia ◽  
Natasha Vermaak ◽  
Brett Compton
Keyword(s):  
Material Properties ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Mechanical Anisotropy ◽  
Failure Behavior ◽  
Fused Filament Fabrication ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Orthotropic Composite ◽  
Material Extrusion ◽  
Specific Material ◽  
Strength And Stiffness

Purpose Mechanical anisotropy associated with material extrusion additive manufacturing (AM) complicates the design of complex structures. This study aims to focus on investigating the effects of design choices offered by material extrusion AM – namely, the choice of infill pattern – on the structural performance and optimality of a given optimized topology. Elucidation of these effects provides evidence that using design tools that incorporate anisotropic behavior is necessary for designing truly optimal structures for manufacturing via AM. Design/methodology/approach A benchmark topology optimization (TO) problem was solved for compliance minimization of a thick beam in three-point bending and the resulting geometry was printed using fused filament fabrication. The optimized geometry was printed using a variety of infill patterns and the strength, stiffness and failure behavior were analyzed and compared. The bending tests were accompanied by corresponding elastic finite element analyzes (FEA) in ABAQUS. The FEA used the material properties obtained during tensile and shear testing to define orthotropic composite plies and simulate individual printed layers in the physical specimens. Findings Experiments showed that stiffness varied by as much as 22% and failure load varied by as much as 426% between structures printed with different infill patterns. The observed failure modes were also highly dependent on infill patterns with failure propagating along with printed interfaces for all infill patterns that were consistent between layers. Elastic FEA using orthotropic composite plies was found to accurately predict the stiffness of printed structures, but a simple maximum stress failure criterion was not sufficient to predict strength. Despite this, FE stress contours proved beneficial in identifying the locations of failure in printed structures. Originality/value This study quantifies the effects of infill patterns in printed structures using a classic TO geometry. The results presented to establish a benchmark that can be used to guide the development of emerging manufacturing-oriented TO protocols that incorporate directionally-dependent, process-specific material properties.

Benchmarking the risk assessment in green supply chain using fuzzy approach to FMEA

2018 ◽  
Vol 25 (8) ◽  
pp. 2660-2687 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sachin Kumar Mangla ◽  
Sunil Luthra ◽  
Suresh Jakhar
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Supply Chain ◽  
Failure Mode ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Evaluation Framework ◽  
Green Supply Chain ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Efficient Management ◽  
Fmea Analysis

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to facilitate green supply chain (GSC) managers and planners to model and access GSC risks and probable failures. This paper proposes to use the fuzzy failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) approach for assessing the risks associated with GSC for benchmarking the performance in terms of effective GSC management adoption and sustainable production.Design/methodology/approachInitially, different failure modes are defined using FMEA analysis, and in order to decide the risk priority, the risk priority number (RPN) is determined. Such priority numbers are typically acquired from the judgment decisions of experts that could contain the element of vagueness and imperfection due to human biases, and it may lead to inaccuracy in the process of risk assessment in GSC. In this study, fuzzy logic is applied to conventional FMEA to overcome the issues in assigning RPNs. A plastic manufacturer GSC case exemplar of the proposed model is illustrated to present the authenticity of this method of risk assessment.FindingsResults indicate that the failure modes, given as improper green operating procedure, i.e. process, operations, etc. (R6), and green issues while closing the loop of GSC (R14) hold the highest RPN and FRPN scores in classical as well as fuzzy FMEA analysis.Originality/valueThe present research work attempts to propose an evaluation framework for risk assessment in GSC. This paper explores both sustainable developments and risks related to efficient management of GSC initiatives in a plastic industry supply chain context. From a managerial perspective, suggestions are also provided with respect to each failure mode.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document