scholarly journals Decision-making in sustainable energy transition in Southeastern Europe: probabilistic network-based model

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nena Hribar ◽  
Goran Šimić ◽  
Simonida Vukadinović ◽  
Polona Šprajc
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Bayesian Networks ◽  
Sustainable Energy ◽  
Energy Transition ◽  
Southeastern Europe ◽  
Evaluation Tool ◽  
Probabilistic Network ◽  
Level Of Economic Development ◽  
High Level

Abstract Background Sustainable energy transition of a country is complex and long-term process, which requires decision-making in all stages and at all levels, including a large number of different factors, with different causality. The main objective of this paper is the development of a probabilistic model for decision-making in sustainable energy transition in developing countries of SE Europe. The model will be developed according to the specificities of the countries for which it is intended—SE Europe. These are countries where energy transition is slower and more difficult due to many factors: high degree of uncertainty, low transparency, corruption, investment problems, insufficiently reliable data, lower level of economic development, high level of corruption and untrained human resources. All these factors are making decision-making more challenging and demanding. Methods Research was done by using content analysis, artificial intelligence methods, software development method and testing. The model was developed by using MSBNx—Microsoft Research’s Bayesian Network Authoring and Evaluation Tool. Results Due to the large number of insufficiently clear, but interdependent factors, the model is developed on the principle of probabilistic (Bayesian) networks of factors of interest. The paper presents the first model for supporting decision-making in the field of energy sustainability for the region of Southeastern Europe, which is based on the application of Bayesian Networks. Conclusion Testing of the developed model showed certain characteristics, discussed in paper. The application of developed model will make it possible to predict the short-term and long-term consequences that may occur during energy transition by varying these factors. Recommendations are given for further development of the model, based on Bayesian networks.

Investigating sponsor decision-making: the role of schema theory, agency conflicts, and signaling theory in the persistence of naming rights agreements

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (3) ◽  
pp. 467-486 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan A. Jensen ◽  
David Head ◽  
Christopher Mergy
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Schema Theory ◽  
Agency Conflicts ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Naming Rights ◽  
High Level ◽  
Sport Facilities

PurposeNaming rights sponsorships of sport facilities are among the most highly visible marketing agreements in the world. However, factors that may lead one sponsorship to persist for decades, while others end after just a few years, have yet to be investigated. Thus, this study examines the decision-making of brand marketers by investigating the predictors of a sponsoring brand's decision to either continue or dissolve such agreements.Design/methodology/approachUtilizing a global data set of 219 naming rights agreements, an empirical approach is utilized to isolate whether a variety of factors increase or decrease the probability of sponsorship dissolution.FindingsResults indicate that agreements entered into with new, as of yet-unnamed facilities lead to a reduction in the probability of dissolution, with a high level of brand equity also reducing the probability of dissolution. Agency conflicts may also play a role, as the sponsoring firm being headquartered in the same metropolitan area as the facility also contributes to the persistence of such agreements.Originality/valueThese results are intended to assist both sides of what is ideally a long-term relationship in better understanding the factors that may either contribute to or inhibit longer-term partnerships.

Development of the Urban Environment Based on the Optimization of Management Decision-Making

2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 322-327
Author(s):  
V. M. Medvedev
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Urban Environment ◽  
Management Decision ◽  
Practical Implementation ◽  
Management Decisions ◽  
Environment Management ◽  
Management Decision Making ◽  
High Level

The presented study identifies approaches to decision-making aimed at the optimal development of the urban environment.Aim. The study aims to develop proposals for improving methodological approaches aimed at the development of the urban environment and for using these approaches in the preparation of the corresponding management decisions.Tasks. The author assesses the problem of urbanization and shows how it affects the need to modernize the urban environment; formulates the principles of optimization of management decision-making aimed at the development of the urban environment; evaluates the possibility of the practical implementation of these principles (through the example of the federal city of St. Petersburg).Methods. This study uses strategic analysis, systems and case-based approach, comparative and retrospective analysis.Results. The practical aspects of designing the processes and approaches to urban environment management are examined. The efficiency of management is shown to depend largely on the optimization of management decisions that could improve the effectiveness of individual services aimed at the formation and development of a modern urban environment in the long term. The study describes the successful experience of St. Petersburg in developing the complex of urban environment management services.Conclusions. Improving urban environment management is an important aspect of increasing the population’s quality of life. As evidenced by St. Petersburg’s experience, to achieve a high level of comfort in the urban environment it is necessary to actively use the principles of consistency, innovation, and public participation in decision-making. The author recommends normative consolidation of these principles and their more active practical application in the management of Russian cities.

scholarly journals Long-term Sustainable Energy Strategy: Cyprus’ Energy Transition to Hydrogen Economy

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas Poullikkas
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Energy ◽  
Renewable Energy Sources ◽  
Energy Transition ◽  
Energy Strategy ◽  
Hydrogen Economy ◽  
Mediterranean Countries ◽  
Term Energy ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Political Groups

The present document aims to record the main actions that Cyprus needs to carry out in order to draw up a comprehensive long–term sustainable energy strategy for its transition from carbon economy to hydrogen economy. It provides a brief description of the European sustainable energy strategy up to 2050, with reference to the basic principles for the trading of greenhouse gas emissions. It also offers a discussion on the cost of renewable energy sources with regard to the energy transition and ways to reduce this cost. Furthermore, it describes Cyprus’s transition to the hydrogen economy by 2050, focusing on the importance of electricity interconnections and Cyprus’s crucial role with respect to the transition of Southeastern Mediterranean countries to hydrogen economy and how they could become energy exporters to Europe. Last but not least, this document presents the framework for drafting a long–term energy strategy for Cyprus, followed by a report on how this strategy could constitute an agreement between all political groups in Cyprus. In so doing, it pinpoints the year 2050 as a target for the energy transition of Cyprus to a hydrogen economy.

scholarly journals Analysis of Similarities Between the European Union Countries in Terms of Sustainable Energy and Climate Development

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 86-96
Author(s):  
Magdalena Tutak
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Sustainable Energy ◽  
Energy Transition ◽  
The European Union ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
Eu Countries ◽  
Agenda 2030 ◽  
Development Goals ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Eu

Abstract Energy and climate issues are an essential part of the sustainable development process of the EU countries. They are also one of the primary objectives of international policy, as evidenced by their inclusion in Agenda 2030, adopted by the UN in 2015 among the Sustainable Development Goals. The implementation of these goals is also taking place in the EU countries. Although climate protection and energy transition activities have been undertaken in the EU for years, individual countries significantly vary in this regard. The aim of the research, the results of which are presented in this paper, was to analyze similarities between the EU countries in terms of sustainable energy and climate development. The analysis was conducted for all EU countries, based on 14 indicators characterizing energy and climate sustainability, in energy, climate, social and economic dimensions. Kohonen’s artificial neural networks were used for analysis. The research was conducted for data from the period between 2009-2018. The results showed that in the studied period (10 years), significant differences were found between the EU countries. A high level of energy and climate development was reported for Sweden, Denmark, Austria and France, among other states, and a low level for e.g., the Czech Republic, Poland and Bulgaria.

scholarly journals Social Scientist on Board in Long-Term Management of High Level and/or Long-Lived Radioactive Waste in Belgium

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Parotte
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Radioactive Waste ◽  
Social Scientist ◽  
Policy Decision ◽  
Decision Making Process ◽  
External Evaluators ◽  
The One ◽  
High Level ◽  
Term Management

In Belgium, the long-term management of radioactive waste is under the exclusive competence of the Belgian Agency for Radioactive Waste and Enriched Fissile Materials (knew as ONDRAF/NIRAS). Unlike low-level waste, no institutional policy has yet been formally approved for the long-term management of high level and/or long-lived radioactive waste (knew as B&C waste). In this context, ONDRAF/NIRAS considers the public and stakeholders’ participation as an essential factor in the formulation of an effective and legitimate policy. This is why it has decided to integrate them in different ways during the elaboration of the Waste Plan (ONDRAF/NIRAS-document containing guidelines to make a principled policy decision about nuclear waste management). To do so, social scientists have been regularly mobilized either as external evaluators, follow-up committee members, or participatory observants. Hence, the Waste Plan is only the first step in a long decision-making process. For a PhD student under contract with ONDRAF/NIRAS, this mandate consists of thinking out a way to construct an inter-organizational innovative communication system that would be participative, transparent and embedded in a long-term perspective, thus integrating all the further legal steps to take throughout the decision-making process. In this regard, two paradoxical constraints must be taken into account: on the one hand, my own influence on the legal decision-making process should remain limited, because of a series of constraints, lock-ins and previous decisions which have to be respected; on the other hand, ONDRAF/NIRAS expects the research conclusions to be policy relevant and useful. In this paper, the purpose is twofold. Firstly, the issues raised by this policy mandate is an opportunity to question the performative dimensions of the social scientist in the decision-making process and, more specifically, to have a reflexive view on our position as PhD Student. Secondly, assuming the role of “embarked” social scientist, numerous of answers will discuss to face the different dilemmas of the researcher “in action”. Those reflections follow on, among others, those from previous papers discussed in Quimper in April 2013 [1] and in Leuven in June 2013 [2].

scholarly journals Perspectives for the development of energy strategies - Challenges towards a hydrogen economy in Cyprus

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Andreas Poullikkas
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Energy ◽  
Energy Transition ◽  
Energy Strategy ◽  
Hydrogen Economy ◽  
Mediterranean Countries ◽  
Term Energy ◽  
Energy Strategies ◽  
Carbon Economy

The present perspective aims to record the main actions that Cyprus, as a case study, needs to carry out in order to draw up a comprehensive long–term sustainable energy strategy for its transition from carbon economy to hydrogen economy. A brief description of the European sustainable energy strategy up to 2050 is provided. A transition to hydrogen economy by 2050, focusing on the importance of electricity interconnections including Cyprus’ crucial role with respect to the transition of Southeastern Mediterranean countries to hydrogen economy and how they could become energy exporters to Europe is discussed. Last but not least, this perspective presents the framework for drafting a long–term energy strategy for Cyprus and provides a set of targets for Cyprus’ energy transition to hydrogen economy by the year 2050

scholarly journals Organisational Decision-Making and Academic Institutions

2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 37-46 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ivana Ilijašić Veršić
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Large Body ◽  
Academic Institutions ◽  
University Professors ◽  
Human Decision ◽  
Decision Making Processes ◽  
High Level ◽  
The University

Abstract Changes in understanding and interpretation of decision-making processes have shed more light on complex interplay given the different settings, and different actors. The limitations in human decision-making and their significance and long-term implications on organizational management or policy making inspired a large body of evidence and research. Exploration of decision-making processes spans over decades, and is closely connected to the role of power; the amount of power in organizations is usually joined by the knowledge and prior experience, which together play a significant role in decision-making process, as well in selection of candidates for the job. However, there is an evident void concerning publications on decision-making processes in academic institutions, and it rapidly becomes the focus of interest due to a specific opposition contained in its core; positions of high level administrators are held by the university professors with no mandatory previous experience and/or knowledge in organisational management.

scholarly journals Cost-Volume-Profit Analysis Untuk Kondisi Uncertainty

2010 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 43
Author(s):  
Wiwiek Dianawati
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Fixed Cost ◽  
Fixed Costs ◽  
Profit Analysis ◽  
Break Even Point ◽  
High Level

AbstrackHotels tend to have a high level of fixed cost owing to the levels of investment required. This should result in above normal profits in good times, as variable costs remaining will form a smaller proportion of additional revenue. However, while high profits can be achieved above the break-even point, high losses will result if revenue is significantly reduced. Thus much attention is given to the traditional CVP model (which ignores uncertainty), as failure to cover fixed costs in the long term can result bankruptcy for organization. This article examines the basic CVP model and describes how to include uncertainty during the decision making process.Key words: CVP model, Break-Even Point, uncertainty

scholarly journals Multi-Period Multi-Criteria Decision Making under Uncertainty: A Renewable Energy Transition Case from Germany

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 6300
Author(s):  
Tobias Witt ◽  
Matthias Klumpp
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Energy Transition ◽  
Energy System ◽  
Scenario Planning ◽  
Energy Sector ◽  
Preference Ranking ◽  
Multi Criteria Decision Making ◽  
Deep Uncertainty

Methods of multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) from operations research have been applied to provide information for making long-term decisions in the energy sector, and energy policy. For example, in sustainability evaluations, multiple conflicting criteria can be considered. While most MCDM approaches have been applied to evaluate energy systems in a single period, the multi-criteria evaluation of energy system evolution over time has received less attention. To evaluate such transition paths, multi-period MCDM approaches can be used. Because of long-term planning horizons, deep uncertainties need to be considered. Based on prior multi-period MCDM approaches, this paper provides an extension of the outranking approach preference ranking and organization method for enrichment evaluations (PROMETHEE) for multi-period evaluations in deep uncertainty settings. In order to adequately address the consideration of uncertainties and to obtain an additional level of information, a multi-period PROMETHEE approach and scenario planning are combined. In an illustrative example, this method is applied to a case study from the German energy sector regarding a renewable energy transition. This highlights the potential interactions of a multi-period perspective and the consideration of external scenarios in the decision-making process.

Issues of Capacity and Decision-Making in the Context of Delirium

2015 ◽  
Vol 24 (4) ◽  
pp. 140-145
Author(s):  
Kevin R. Patterson
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Patient Autonomy ◽  
Care Setting ◽  
Cognitive Change ◽  
Treatment Team ◽  
Precipitating Factors ◽  
Term Care ◽  
Decision Making Capacity ◽  
Fundamental Consideration

Decision-making capacity is a fundamental consideration in working with patients in a clinical setting. One of the most common conditions affecting decision-making capacity in patients in the inpatient or long-term care setting is a form of acute, transient cognitive change known as delirium. A thorough understanding of delirium — how it can present, its predisposing and precipitating factors, and how it can be managed — will improve a speech-language pathologist's (SLPs) ability to make treatment recommendations, and to advise the treatment team on issues related to communication and patient autonomy.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document