scholarly journals Following the Science: Pandemic Policy Making and Reasonable Worst-Case Scenarios

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Bradley ◽  
Joe Roussos
Keyword(s):  
Policy Making ◽  
Worst Case

scholarly journals Designing alternative scenarios for the provincial region development based on the scenario planning methodology

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (12) ◽  
pp. 2237-2261
Author(s):  
Ol’ga S. BELOKUR ◽  
Veronika Yu. MASLIKHINA ◽  
Galina S. TSVETKOVA
Keyword(s):  
Policy Making ◽  
Systems Approach ◽  
Scenario Planning ◽  
Economic Systems ◽  
Planning Techniques ◽  
Worst Case ◽  
Planning Algorithm ◽  
Alternative Scenarios ◽  
Planning Methodology ◽  
Key Industries

Subject. This article considers the issues of application of scenario planning techniques in the process of constructing alternative scenarios for the development of spatial socio-economic systems in the context of changes, complexity, and uncertainty. Objectives. The article aims to form a scenario planning algorithm for spatial socio-economic systems and its implementation in relation to the Mari El Republic. Methods. For the study, we used the systems approach and foresight techniques. Results. The article presents four alternative scenarios for the development of the provincial region: intensive, technological, moderately technological and pessimistic. The article presents four alternative scenarios for the development of the provincial region, namely, the intensive, technological, moderate technological, and worst-case ones. Conclusions and Relevance. The technological scenario for the provincial region’s development seems to be the most likely. It assumes moderately favorable prospects for attracting investment, which can stimulate the development of regional key industries. The proposed alternative scenarios can serve as a basis for the policy making by regional and municipal authorities.

scholarly journals Possible Decision Rules to Allocate Quotas and Reservations to Ensure Equity for Nepalese Poor

2016 ◽  
pp. 149-162
Author(s):  
Shishir Shakya ◽  
Nabraj Lama
Keyword(s):  
Decision Trees ◽  
Policy Making ◽  
Decision Rules ◽  
Regression Tree ◽  
Classification And Regression Tree ◽  
Case Scenario ◽  
Worst Case ◽  
Worst Case Scenario ◽  
Out Of Sample ◽  
Classification And Regression

Government of Nepal provides quotas and reservations for women, indigenous nationalities, Madhesi, untouchables, disables and people of backward areas. These statuses are not homogenous in economic sense. We proposed few other decision trees (rules) that can predict household poverty in Nepal based on 14,907 household observations employing classification and regression tree (CART) approach. These decision rules were based on few practically answerable questions (for respondents) and can be cross checked easily by the enumerators. We modeled 5 different scenarios that respondents were likely to answer the asked questions. These decision rules were 94% to in worst-case scenario 70% accurate in out-of-sample dataset. These proposed meaningful decision rules can be helpful on policy making and implementation that relate to positively discriminate (quota and reservation) for those who lie below poverty line.Economic Journal of Development Issues Vol. 17 & 18 No. 1-2 (2014) Combined Issue, Page: 149-162 This research was completed when both authors were pursuing Masters of Arts in Economics in Patan Multiple Campus, Tribhuvan University

Mosaic Mapping: A Means of Tiling Images to Shorten Acquisition Speed for Lower - Magnification SEM Images and Wavelength Dispersive Spectrometers (WDS) X-Ray Maps

1996 ◽  
Vol 54 ◽  
pp. 438-439
Author(s):  
J.D. Geller ◽  
C.R. Herrington
Keyword(s):  
Limiting Factors ◽  
X Rays ◽  
Angular Range ◽  
Acceptance Angle ◽  
Sem Images ◽  
Worst Case ◽  
X Ray ◽  
Focusing Distance ◽  
Layered Crystals ◽  
Working Distance

The minimum magnification for which an image can be acquired is determined by the design and implementation of the electron optical column and the scanning and display electronics. It is also a function of the working distance and, possibly, the accelerating voltage. For secondary and backscattered electron images there are usually no other limiting factors. However, for x-ray maps there are further considerations. The energy-dispersive x-ray spectrometers (EDS) have a much larger solid angle of detection that for WDS. They also do not suffer from Bragg’s Law focusing effects which limit the angular range and focusing distance from the diffracting crystal. In practical terms EDS maps can be acquired at the lowest magnification of the SEM, assuming the collimator does not cutoff the x-ray signal. For WDS the focusing properties of the crystal limits the angular range of acceptance of the incident x-radiation. The range is dependent upon the 2d spacing of the crystal, with the acceptance angle increasing with 2d spacing. The natural line width of the x-ray also plays a role. For the metal layered crystals used to diffract soft x-rays, such as Be - O, the minimum magnification is approximately 100X. In the worst case, for the LEF crystal which diffracts Ti - Zn, ˜1000X is the minimum.

Reducing Probabilistic Weather Forecasts to the Worst Case Scenario: Anchoring Effects

2008 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sonia Savelli ◽  
Susan Joslyn ◽  
Limor Nadav-Greenberg ◽  
Queena Chen
Keyword(s):  
Case Scenario ◽  
Worst Case ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
Worst Case Scenario ◽  
Anchoring Effects

From Market Studies to Society Analysis

2005 ◽  
pp. 63-81
Author(s):  
Ya. Kouzminov ◽  
K. Bendoukidze ◽  
M. Yudkevich
Keyword(s):  
Institutional Theory ◽  
Policy Making ◽  
Institutional Design ◽  
The Real ◽  
Economic Agents

The article examines the main concepts of modern institutional theory and the ways its tools and concepts could be applied in the real policy-making. In particular, the authors focus on behavioral assumptions of the theory that allow them to explain the imperfection of economic agents’ behavior as a reason for rules and institutions to emerge. Problems of institutional design are also discussed.

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