scholarly journals Extreme learning machines for weather-based modelling of silk cocoon production

2022 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
PRAMIT PANDIT ◽  
BISHVAJIT BAKSHI ◽  
SHILPA M.
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Extreme Learning Machines ◽  
Linear Regression Models ◽  
Weather Variables ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Cocoon Production ◽  
Silk Cocoon ◽  
Learning Machines ◽  
Non Linear

In spite of the immense popularity and sheer power of the neural network models, their application in sericulture is still very much limited. With this backdrop, this study evaluates the suitability of neural network models in comparison with the linear regression models in predicting silk cocoon production of the selected six districts (Kolar, Chikballapur, Ramanagara, Chamarajanagar, Mandya and Mysuru) of Karnataka by utilising weather variables for ten consecutive years (2009-2018). As the weather variables are found to be correlated, principal components are obtained and fed into the linear (principal component regression) and non-linear models (back propagation-artificial neural network and extreme learning machine) as inputs. Outcomes emanated from this experiment have revealed the clear advantages of employing extreme learning machines (ELMs) for weather-based modelling of silk cocoon production. Application of ELM would be particularly useful, when the relation between production and its attributing characters is complex and non-linear.

scholarly journals Neural network emulation of a rainfall-runoff model

2007 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 287-326 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. J. Abrahart ◽  
L. M. See
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Transfer Functions ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Exact Equation ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Linear Relationships ◽  
Non Linear ◽  
Rainfall Runoff Model ◽  
Runoff Model

Abstract. The potential of an artificial neural network to perform simple non-linear hydrological transformations is examined. Four neural network models were developed to emulate different facets of a recognised non-linear hydrological transformation equation that possessed a small number of variables and contained no temporal component. The modeling process was based on a set of uniform random distributions. The cloning operation facilitated a direct comparison with the exact equation-based relationship. It also provided broader information about the power of a neural network to emulate existing equations and model non-linear relationships. Several comparisons with least squares multiple linear regression were performed. The first experiment involved a direct emulation of the Xinanjiang Rainfall-Runoff Model. The next two experiments were designed to assess the competencies of two neural solutions that were developed on a reduced number of inputs. This involved the omission and conflation of previous inputs. The final experiment used derived variables to model intrinsic but otherwise concealed internal relationships that are of hydrological interest. Two recent studies have suggested that neural solutions offer no worthwhile improvements in comparison to traditional weighted linear transfer functions for capturing the non-linear nature of hydrological relationships. Yet such fundamental properties are intrinsic aspects of catchment processes that cannot be excluded or ignored. The results from the four experiments that are reported in this paper are used to challenge the interpretations from these two earlier studies and thus further the debate with regards to the appropriateness of neural networks for hydrological modelling.

Neural Network-Based Stock Market Return Forecasting Using Data Mining for Variable Reduction

2008 ◽  
pp. 2476-2493 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Encke
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Information Gain ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Linear Regression Models ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Variable Reduction ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Using Data

Researchers have known for some time that nonlinearity exists in the financial markets and that neural networks can be used to forecast market returns. Unfortunately, many of these studies fail to consider alternative forecasting techniques, or the relevance of the input variables. The following research utilizes an information-gain technique from machine learning to evaluate the predictive relationships of numerous financial and economic input variables. Neural network models for level estimation and classification are then examined for their ability to provide an effective forecast of future values. A cross-validation technique is also employed to improve the generalization ability of the models. The results show that the classification models generate higher accuracy in forecasting ability than the buy-and-hold strategy, as well as those guided by the level-estimation-based forecasts of the neural network and benchmark linear regression models.

scholarly journals Prediction Methods for the Actual Duration of Greek Highway Projects

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 ◽  
pp. 1389-1396
Author(s):  
Magdalini Titirla ◽  
Walid Larbi ◽  
Georgios Aretoulis
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Linear Regression Models ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Highway Projects ◽  
Project Duration ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Actual Duration

This study presents an overview of estimation methods to predict the actual project duration of Greek highway projects. Emphasis is given to the selection of the appropriate parameters that correlate with the actual project duration and to compare the performances of the main two methods, the linear regression (LR) with the neural network models (NN) based on data available at the bidding stage. In the context of the current research, thirty-seven highway projects were examined, constructed in Greece with similar available data like the extent, the type of work packages and the significance. Selection and ranking variables through correlation analyses using SPSS 25 has been carried on, in order to identify the most significant project variables. These include archeological findings, type of terrain, land expropriation, the existence of bridge, tunnel and embankment. Next step was the use of WEKA application, that highlighted the most efficient subset of variables. After the definition and grouping of the variables for actual duration prediction, these were used as input data for linear regression models (LR) and neural network models (NN). Various models have been created from each investigated method. While their performance and the comparison of linear regression and neural network models to estimate the actual duration of Greek highway projects are presented in this paper. Results’ discussion and conclusions along with limitations and further research are appropriately analyzed.

scholarly journals Comparison of Non Linear Models and Artificial Neural Network to Describe the Liveweight from Birth to Maturity in Female Jersey Cattle

2021 ◽  
pp. 114-119
Author(s):  
D. O. Omoniwa ◽  
J. E. T. Akinsola ◽  
R. O. Okeke ◽  
J. M. Madu ◽  
D. S. Bunjah Umar
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Inflection Point ◽  
Linear Models ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Linear Functions ◽  
Growth Data ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Jersey Cattle ◽  
Non Linear

Evaluation of growth data is an important strategy to manage gross feed requirement in female Jersey cattle in the New Derived Guinea Savannah Zone of Nigeria. Two non-linear functions (Gompertz and Logistic) and Neural network models were used to fit liveweight (LW)-age data using the non linear procedure of JMP statistical software. Data used for this study were collected from 150 Jersey female cattle in Shonga Dairy Farm, Kwara, State from 2010-2018. The Neural network function showedthe best goodness of fit. Both the Gompertz and Logistic functions overestimated LW at birth, 3, 36, 48, 60 and 72months respectively. NN function overestimated the LW at 0, 3, 24, 36 and 72 months. The Gompertzfunction had the best estimation of asymptotic weight (649.51 kg) with average absolute growth rate (0.061 kg/day).The inflection point was 15.95, 9.55 and 34.5 months in Logistic, Gompertz and neural network models, respectively. A strong and positive correlation was observed between asymptote and inflection point in Gompertz functions. The metrics of goodness of fit criteria (R2 and RMSE), showed that NN with multilayer perceptron was superior to the other models but Gompertz model, was best in its ability to approximate complex functions of growth curve parametersin female Jersey cattle.

scholarly journals Forecasting PM10 levels using ANN and MLR: A case study for Sakarya City

2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 281-290 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Air Pollutants ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Linear Regression Models ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Prediction Ability ◽  
Topographic Features ◽  
Ann Models

In this study, potential of neural network to estimate daily mean PM10 concentration levels in Sakarya city, Turkey as a case study was examined to achieve improved prediction ability. The level and distribution of air pollutants in a particular region is associated with changes in meteorological conditions affecting air movements and topographic features. Thus, meteorological variables data for a two-year period for Sakarya city which is located in most industrialized and crowded part of Turkey were selected as input. Neural network models and multiple linear regression models have been statistically evaluated. The results of the study showed that ANN models were accurate enough for prediction of PM10 levels

Neural Network-Based Stock Market Return Forecasting Using Data Mining for Variable Reduction

2006 ◽  
pp. 43-63
Author(s):  
David Encke
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Information Gain ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Linear Regression Models ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Variable Reduction ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Using Data

Researchers have known for some time that nonlinearity exists in the financial markets and that neural networks can be used to forecast market returns. Unfortunately, many of these studies fail to consider alternative forecasting techniques, or the relevance of the input variables. The following research utilizes an information-gain technique from machine learning to evaluate the predictive relationships of numerous financial and economic input variables. Neural network models for level estimation and classification are then examined for their ability to provide an effective forecast of future values. A cross-validation technique is also employed to improve the generalization ability of the models. The results show that the classification models generate higher accuracy in forecasting ability than the buy-and-hold strategy, as well as those guided by the level-estimation-based forecasts of the neural network and benchmark linear regression models.

scholarly journals Neural network modelling of non-linear hydrological relationships

2007 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 1563-1579 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. J. Abrahart ◽  
L. M. See
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Transfer Functions ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Target Surface ◽  
General Information ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Network Modelling ◽  
Neural Network Modelling ◽  
Linear Relationships ◽  
Non Linear

Abstract. Two recent studies have suggested that neural network modelling offers no worthwhile improvements in comparison to the application of weighted linear transfer functions for capturing the non-linear nature of hydrological relationships. The potential of an artificial neural network to perform simple non-linear hydrological transformations under controlled conditions is examined in this paper. Eight neural network models were developed: four full or partial emulations of a recognised non-linear hydrological rainfall-runoff model; four solutions developed on an identical set of inputs and a calculated runoff coefficient output. The use of different input combinations enabled the competencies of solutions developed on a reduced number of parameters to be assessed. The selected hydrological model had a limited number of inputs and contained no temporal component. The modelling process was based on a set of random inputs that had a uniform distribution and spanned a modest range of possibilities. The initial cloning operations permitted a direct comparison to be performed with the equation-based relationship. It also provided more general information about the power of a neural network to replicate mathematical equations and model modest non-linear relationships. The second group of experiments explored a different relationship that is of hydrological interest; the target surface contained a stronger set of non-linear properties and was more challenging. Linear modelling comparisons were performed against traditional least squares multiple linear regression solutions developed on identical datasets. The reported results demonstrate that neural networks are capable of modelling non-linear hydrological processes and are therefore appropriate tools for hydrological modelling.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document