scholarly journals Random forest and extreme gradient boosting algorithms for streamflow modeling using vessel features and tree-rings

2021 ◽  
Vol 80 (22) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hossein Sahour ◽  
Vahid Gholami ◽  
Javad Torkaman ◽  
Mehdi Vazifedan ◽  
Sirwe Saeedi
Keyword(s):  
Random Forest ◽  
Tree Rings ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Boosting Algorithms ◽  
Streamflow Modeling

scholarly journals Random forest and extreme gradient boosting algorithms for streamflow modeling using vessel features, and tree-rings

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hossein Sahour ◽  
Vahid Gholami ◽  
Javad Torkman ◽  
Mehdi Vazifedan ◽  
Sirwe Saeedi
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Tree Rings ◽  
Test Site ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Growing Seasons ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Streamflow Modeling

Abstract Monitoring temporal variation of streamflow is necessary for many water resources management plans, yet, such practices are constrained by the absence or paucity of data in many rivers around the world. Using a permanent river in the north of Iran as a test site, a machine learning framework was proposed to model the streamflow data in the three periods of growing seasons based on tree-rings and vessel features of the Zelkova carpinifolia species. First, full-disc samples were taken from 30 trees near the river, and the samples went through preprocessing, cross-dating, standardization, and time series analysis. Two machine learning algorithms, namely random forest (RF) and extreme gradient boosting (XGB), were used to model the relationships between dendrochronology variables (tree-rings and vessel features in the three periods of growing seasons) and the corresponding streamflow rates. The performance of each model was evaluated using statistical coefficients (coefficient of determination (R-squared), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and root-mean-square error (NRMSE)). Findings demonstrate that consideration should be given to the XGB model in streamflow modeling given its apparent enhanced performance (R-squared: 0.87; NSE: 0.81; and NRMSE: 0.43) over the RF model (R-squared: 0.82; NSE: 0.71; and NRMSE: 0.52). Further, the results showed that the models perform better in modeling the normal and low flows compared to extremely high flows. Finally, the tested models were used to reconstruct the temporal streamflow during the past decades (1970–1981).

scholarly journals Evaluation of Three Different Machine Learning Methods for Object-Based Artificial Terrace Mapping—A Case Study of the Loess Plateau, China

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 1021
Author(s):  
Hu Ding ◽  
Jiaming Na ◽  
Shangjing Jiang ◽  
Jie Zhu ◽  
Kai Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Loess Plateau ◽  
Water Conservation ◽  
Nearest Neighbor ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
K Nearest Neighbor ◽  
The Loess Plateau ◽  
Object Based ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting

Artificial terraces are of great importance for agricultural production and soil and water conservation. Automatic high-accuracy mapping of artificial terraces is the basis of monitoring and related studies. Previous research achieved artificial terrace mapping based on high-resolution digital elevation models (DEMs) or imagery. As a result of the importance of the contextual information for terrace mapping, object-based image analysis (OBIA) combined with machine learning (ML) technologies are widely used. However, the selection of an appropriate classifier is of great importance for the terrace mapping task. In this study, the performance of an integrated framework using OBIA and ML for terrace mapping was tested. A catchment, Zhifanggou, in the Loess Plateau, China, was used as the study area. First, optimized image segmentation was conducted. Then, features from the DEMs and imagery were extracted, and the correlations between the features were analyzed and ranked for classification. Finally, three different commonly-used ML classifiers, namely, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forest (RF), and k-nearest neighbor (KNN), were used for terrace mapping. The comparison with the ground truth, as delineated by field survey, indicated that random forest performed best, with a 95.60% overall accuracy (followed by 94.16% and 92.33% for XGBoost and KNN, respectively). The influence of class imbalance and feature selection is discussed. This work provides a credible framework for mapping artificial terraces.

scholarly journals Development and validation of a difficult laryngoscopy prediction model using machine learning of neck circumference and thyromental height

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jong Ho Kim ◽  
Haewon Kim ◽  
Ji Su Jang ◽  
Sung Mi Hwang ◽  
So Young Lim ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Confidence Interval ◽  
Neck Circumference ◽  
Difficult Laryngoscopy ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Test Set ◽  
Equal Distribution ◽  
Light Gradient ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting

Abstract Background Predicting difficult airway is challengeable in patients with limited airway evaluation. The aim of this study is to develop and validate a model that predicts difficult laryngoscopy by machine learning of neck circumference and thyromental height as predictors that can be used even for patients with limited airway evaluation. Methods Variables for prediction of difficulty laryngoscopy included age, sex, height, weight, body mass index, neck circumference, and thyromental distance. Difficult laryngoscopy was defined as Grade 3 and 4 by the Cormack-Lehane classification. The preanesthesia and anesthesia data of 1677 patients who had undergone general anesthesia at a single center were collected. The data set was randomly stratified into a training set (80%) and a test set (20%), with equal distribution of difficulty laryngoscopy. The training data sets were trained with five algorithms (logistic regression, multilayer perceptron, random forest, extreme gradient boosting, and light gradient boosting machine). The prediction models were validated through a test set. Results The model’s performance using random forest was best (area under receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.79 [95% confidence interval: 0.72–0.86], area under precision-recall curve = 0.32 [95% confidence interval: 0.27–0.37]). Conclusions Machine learning can predict difficult laryngoscopy through a combination of several predictors including neck circumference and thyromental height. The performance of the model can be improved with more data, a new variable and combination of models.

scholarly journals Machine learning as a successful approach for predicting complex spatio–temporal patterns in animal species abundance

2021 ◽  
pp. 289-301
Author(s):  
B. Martín ◽  
J. González–Arias ◽  
J. A. Vicente–Vírseda
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Animal Species ◽  
Temporal Patterns ◽  
Additive Models ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Stochastic Gradient Boosting ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Spatio Temporal

Our aim was to identify an optimal analytical approach for accurately predicting complex spatio–temporal patterns in animal species distribution. We compared the performance of eight modelling techniques (generalized additive models, regression trees, bagged CART, k–nearest neighbors, stochastic gradient boosting, support vector machines, neural network, and random forest –enhanced form of bootstrap. We also performed extreme gradient boosting –an enhanced form of radiant boosting– to predict spatial patterns in abundance of migrating Balearic shearwaters based on data gathered within eBird. Derived from open–source datasets, proxies of frontal systems and ocean productivity domains that have been previously used to characterize the oceanographic habitats of seabirds were quantified, and then used as predictors in the models. The random forest model showed the best performance according to the parameters assessed (RMSE value and R2). The correlation between observed and predicted abundance with this model was also considerably high. This study shows that the combination of machine learning techniques and massive data provided by open data sources is a useful approach for identifying the long–term spatial–temporal distribution of species at regional spatial scales.

scholarly journals Modeling and analysis of COVID-19 new deaths using tree-based ensemble

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ibrahim Abaker Targio Hashem ◽  
Raja Sher Afgun Usmani ◽  
Asad Ali Shah ◽  
Abdulwahab Ali Almazroi ◽  
Muhammad Bilal
Keyword(s):  
Infectious Disease ◽  
United States ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
The United States ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Health Crisis ◽  
Modeling And Analysis ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
The World

The COVID-19 pandemic has emerged as the world's most serious health crisis, affecting millions of people all over the world. The majority of nations have imposed nationwide curfews and reduced economic activity to combat the spread of this infectious disease. Governments are monitoring the situation and making critical decisions based on the daily number of new cases and deaths reported. Therefore, this study aims to predict the daily new deaths using four tree-based ensemble models i.e., Gradient Tree Boosting (GB), Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Voting Regressor (VR) for the three most affected countries, which are the United States, Brazil, and India. The results showed that VR outperformed other models in predicting daily new deaths for all three countries. The predictions of daily new deaths made using VR for Brazil and India are very close to the actual new deaths, whereas the prediction of daily new deaths for the United States still needs to be improved.<br>

scholarly journals Techniques for Detecting Malware Traffic: A Comprehensive Approach to Feature Selection and Classification

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (12) ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Harsha A K
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Feature Selection ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Malware Detection ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Steady Increase ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting

Abstract: Since the advent of encryption, there has been a steady increase in malware being transmitted over encrypted networks. Traditional approaches to detect malware like packet content analysis are inefficient in dealing with encrypted data. In the absence of actual packet contents, we can make use of other features like packet size, arrival time, source and destination addresses and other such metadata to detect malware. Such information can be used to train machine learning classifiers in order to classify malicious and benign packets. In this paper, we offer an efficient malware detection approach using classification algorithms in machine learning such as support vector machine, random forest and extreme gradient boosting. We employ an extensive feature selection process to reduce the dimensionality of the chosen dataset. The dataset is then split into training and testing sets. Machine learning algorithms are trained using the training set. These models are then evaluated against the testing set in order to assess their respective performances. We further attempt to tune the hyper parameters of the algorithms, in order to achieve better results. Random forest and extreme gradient boosting algorithms performed exceptionally well in our experiments, resulting in area under the curve values of 0.9928 and 0.9998 respectively. Our work demonstrates that malware traffic can be effectively classified using conventional machine learning algorithms and also shows the importance of dimensionality reduction in such classification problems. Keywords: Malware Detection, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, Feature Selection.

scholarly journals Performance Analysis of Boosting Classifiers in Recognizing Activities of Daily Living

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 1082 ◽  
Author(s):  
Saifur Rahman ◽  
Muhammad Irfan ◽  
Mohsin Raza ◽  
Khawaja Moyeezullah Ghori ◽  
Shumayla Yaqoob ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Physical Activity ◽  
Performance Analysis ◽  
Activities Of Daily Living ◽  
Daily Living ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Method Performance ◽  
Light Gradient ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Boosting Algorithms

Physical activity is essential for physical and mental health, and its absence is highly associated with severe health conditions and disorders. Therefore, tracking activities of daily living can help promote quality of life. Wearable sensors in this regard can provide a reliable and economical means of tracking such activities, and such sensors are readily available in smartphones and watches. This study is the first of its kind to develop a wearable sensor-based physical activity classification system using a special class of supervised machine learning approaches called boosting algorithms. The study presents the performance analysis of several boosting algorithms (extreme gradient boosting—XGB, light gradient boosting machine—LGBM, gradient boosting—GB, cat boosting—CB and AdaBoost) in a fair and unbiased performance way using uniform dataset, feature set, feature selection method, performance metric and cross-validation techniques. The study utilizes the Smartphone-based dataset of thirty individuals. The results showed that the proposed method could accurately classify the activities of daily living with very high performance (above 90%). These findings suggest the strength of the proposed system in classifying activity of daily living using only the smartphone sensor’s data and can assist in reducing the physical inactivity patterns to promote a healthier lifestyle and wellbeing.

scholarly journals Prediction of West Nile Virus using Ensemble Classifiers

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 3744-3749
Keyword(s):  
West Nile Virus ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Traditional Approach ◽  
The United States ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Ensemble Classifiers ◽  
Human Beings ◽  
West Nile ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting

West Nile Virus (WNV) is a disease caused by mosquitoes where human beings get infected by the mosquito’s bite. The disease is considered to be a serious threat to the society especially in the United States where it is frequently found in localities having water bodies. The traditional approach is to collect the traps of mosquitoes from a locality and check whether they are infected with virus. If there is a virus found then that locality is sprayed with pesticides. But this process is very time consuming and requires a lot of financial support. Machine learning methods can provide an efficient approach to predict the presence of virus in a locality using data related to the location and weather. This paper uses the dataset present in Kaggle which includes information related to the traps found in the locality and also about the information related to the locality’s weather. The dataset is found to be imbalanced hence Synthetic Minority Over sampling Technique (SMOTE), an upsampling method, is used to sample the dataset to balance it. Ensemble learning classifiers like random forest, gradient boosting and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB). The performance of ensemble classifiers is compared with the performance of the best supervised learning algorithm, SVM. Among the models, XGB gave the highest F-1 score of 92.93 by performing marginally better than random forest (92.78) and also SVM (91.16).

scholarly journals MRI-Based Machine Learning in Differentiation Between Benign and Malignant Breast Lesions

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanjie Zhao ◽  
Rong Chen ◽  
Ting Zhang ◽  
Chaoyue Chen ◽  
Muhetaer Muhelisa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Decision Tree ◽  
Texture Analysis ◽  
Training Group ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Breast Lesions ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Malignant Breast ◽  
Benign Breast Lesions

BackgroundDifferential diagnosis between benign and malignant breast lesions is of crucial importance relating to follow-up treatment. Recent development in texture analysis and machine learning may lead to a new solution to this problem.MethodThis current study enrolled a total number of 265 patients (benign breast lesions:malignant breast lesions = 71:194) diagnosed in our hospital and received magnetic resonance imaging between January 2014 and August 2017. Patients were randomly divided into the training group and validation group (4:1), and two radiologists extracted their texture features from the contrast-enhanced T1-weighted images. We performed five different feature selection methods including Distance correlation, Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), random forest (RF), eXtreme gradient boosting (Xgboost) and five independent classification models were built based on Linear discriminant analysis (LDA) algorithm.ResultsAll five models showed promising results to discriminate malignant breast lesions from benign breast lesions, and the areas under the curve (AUCs) of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) were all above 0.830 in both training and validation groups. The model with a better discriminating ability was the combination of LDA + gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT). The sensitivity, specificity, AUC, and accuracy in the training group were 0.814, 0.883, 0.922, and 0.868, respectively; LDA + random forest (RF) also suggests promising results with the AUC of 0.906 in the training group.ConclusionThe evidence of this study, while preliminary, suggested that a combination of MRI texture analysis and LDA algorithm could discriminate benign breast lesions from malignant breast lesions. Further multicenter researches in this field would be of great help in the validation of the result.

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