scholarly journals Machine learning algorithm for prediction of stuck pipe incidents using statistical data: case study in middle east oil fields

Author(s):  
Behzad Elahifar ◽  
Erfan Hosseini

AbstractOne of the most troublesome issues in the drilling industry is stuck drill pipes. Drilling activities will be costly and time-consuming due to stuck pipe issues. As a result, predicting a stuck pipe can be more useful. This study aims to use an artificial intelligence technology called hybrid particle swarm optimization neural network (PSO-based ANN) to predict the probability of a stuck pipe in a Middle East oil field. In this field, a total of 85 wells were investigated. Therefore, to predict this problem, we must examine and determine the role of drilling parameters by creating an appropriate model. In this case, an artificial neural network is used to solve and model the problem. In this way, by processing the parameters of wells with and without being stuck in this field, the stuck or non-stuck of drilling pipes in future wells is predicted. To create a PSO-based ANN model database, mud characteristics, geometry, hydraulic, and drilling parameters were gathered from well daily drilling reports. In addition, two databases for directional and vertical wells were established. There are two types of datasets used for each database: stuck and non-stuck. It was discovered that the PSO-based ANN model could predict the incidence of a stuck pipe with an accuracy of over 80% for both directional and vertical wells. This study divided data from several cases into four sections: 17 ½″, 12 ¼″, 8 ½″, and 6 1/8″. The key reasons for sticking and the mechanics have been thoroughly investigated for each section. The methodology presented in this paper enables the Middle East drilling industry to estimate the risk of stuck pipe occurrence during the well planning procedure.

1999 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
pp. 451 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Crocker ◽  
C.C. Fung ◽  
K.W. Wong

The producing M. australis Sandstone of the Stag Oil Field is a bioturbated glauconitic sandstone that is difficult to evaluate using conventional methods. Well log and core data are available for the Stag Field and for the nearby Centaur–1 well. Eight wells have log data; six also have core data.In the past few years artificial intelligence has been applied to formation evaluation. In particular, artificial neural networks (ANN) used to match log and core data have been studied. The ANN approach has been used to analyse the producing Stag Field sands. In this paper, new ways of applying the ANN are reported. Results from simple ANN approach are unsatisfactory. An integrated ANN approach comprising the unsupervised Self-Organising Map (SOM) and the Supervised Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN) appears to give a more reasonable analysis.In this case study the mineralogical and petrophysical characteristics of a cored well are predicted from the 'training' data set of the other cored wells in the field. The prediction from the ANN model is then used for comparison with the known core data. In this manner, the accuracy of the prediction is determined and a prediction qualifier computed.This new approach to formation evaluation should provide a match between log and core data that may be used to predict the characteristics of a similar uncored interval. Although the results for the Stag Field are satisfactory, further study applying the method to other fields is required.


Author(s):  
Rasheed Adekunle Adebayo ◽  
Mehluli Moyo ◽  
Evariste Bosco Gueguim-Kana ◽  
Ignatius Verla Nsahlai

Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Random Forest models for predicting rumen fill of cattle and sheep were developed. Data on rumen fill were collected from studies that reported body weights, measured rumen fill and stated diets fed to animals. Animal and feed factors that affected rumen fill were identified from each study and used to create a dataset. These factors were used as input variables for predicting the weight of rumen fill. For ANN modelling, a three-layer Levenberg-Marquardt Back Propagation Neural Network was adopted and achieved 96% accuracy in prediction of the weight of rumen fill. The precision of the ANN model’s prediction of rumen fill was higher for cattle (80%) than sheep (56%). On validation, the ANN model achieved 95% accuracy in prediction of the weight of rumen fill. A Random Forest model was trained using a binary tree-based machine-learning algorithm and achieved 87% accuracy in prediction of rumen fill. The Random Forest model achieved 16% (cattle) and 57% (sheep) accuracy in validation of the prediction of rumen fill. In conclusion, the ANN model gave better predictions of rumen fill compared to the Random Forest model and should be used in predicting rumen fill of cattle and sheep.


2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 222-238 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amos Olaolu Adewusi ◽  
Tunbosun Biodun Oyedokun ◽  
Mustapha Oyewole Bello

Purpose This study assesses the classification accuracy of an artificial neural network (ANN) model. It examines the application of loan recovery probability rather than odds of default as the case with traditional credit evaluation models. Design/methodology/approach Data on 2,300 loans granted over the period 2001-2012 was obtained from the databases of Nigerian commercial banks and primary mortgage institutions. A multilayer feed-forward ANN model with back-propagation learning algorithm was developed having classified the sample into training (38 per cent), testing (41 per cent) and validation (21 per cent) sub-samples. Findings The model exhibits a high overall percentage classification accuracy of 92.6 per cent. It also achieves relatively low misclassification Type I and Type II errors at 6.5 per cent and 8.2 per cent, respectively. Macroeconomic variables such as gross domestic product, inflation and interest rates have the strongest influence on the ANN model classification power. The result of the analysis shows that adopting odds of recovery in ANN classification models can lead to improved loan evaluation. Originality/value The paper is distinct from extant studies in that it presents a new dimension to loan evaluation in Nigerian lending market. To the best knowledge of the authors, the paper is among the first to explore probability of loan recovery as the basis for credit evaluation in the country.


2010 ◽  
Vol 146-147 ◽  
pp. 720-723
Author(s):  
Yong Cheng Lin ◽  
Xiao Min Chen ◽  
Yu Chi Xia

The compressive deformation experiments of 2124-T851 aluminum alloy were carried out over a wide range of temperature and strain rate. An artificial neural network (ANN) model is developed for the analysis and simulation of the correlation between the flow behaviors of hot compressed 2124-T851 aluminum alloy and working conditions. The input parameters of the model consist of strain rate, forming temperature and deformation degree whereas flow stress is the output. A three layer feed-forward network with 15 neurons in a single hidden layer and back propagation (BP) learning algorithm has been employed. Good performance of the ANN model is achieved. The predicted results are consistent with what is expected from fundamental theory of hot compression deformation, which indicates that the excellent capability of the developed ANN model to predict the flow stress level, the strain hardening and flow softening stages is well evidenced.


2020 ◽  
pp. 1051-1062
Author(s):  
Zaher JabbarAttwan AL Zirej ◽  
Hassan Abdul Hadi

The main objective of this study is to develop a rate of penetration (ROP) model for Khasib formation in Ahdab oil field and determine the drilling parameters controlling the prediction of ROP values by using artificial neural network (ANN).      An Interactive Petrophysical software was used to convert the raw dataset of transit time (LAS Readings) from parts of meter-to-meter reading with depth. The IBM SPSS statistics software version 22 was used to create an interconnection between the drilling variables and the rate of penetration, detection of outliers of input parameters, and regression modeling. While a JMP Version 11 software from SAS Institute Inc. was used for artificial neural modeling.      The proposed artificial neural network method depends on obtaining the input data from drilling mud logging data and wireline logging data. The data then analyzes it to create an interconnection between the drilling variables and the rate of penetration.      The proposed ANN model consists of an input layer, hidden layer and outputs layer, while it applies the tangent function (TanH) as a learning and training algorithm in the hidden layer. Finally, the predicted values of ROP are compared with the measured values. The proposed ANN model is more efficient than the multiple regression analysis in predicting ROP. The obtained coefficient of determination (R2) values using the ANN technique are 0.93 and 0.91 for training and validation sets, respectively. This study presents a new model for predicting ROP values in comparison with other conventional drilling measurements.


Author(s):  
Chungkuk Jin ◽  
HanSung Kim ◽  
JeongYong Park ◽  
MooHyun Kim ◽  
Kiseon Kim

Abstract This paper presents a method for detecting damage to a gillnet based on sensor fusion and the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model. Time-domain numerical simulations of a slender gillnet were performed under various wave conditions and failure and non-failure scenarios to collect big data used in the ANN model. In training, based on the results of global performance analyses, sea states, accelerations of the net assembly, and displacements of the location buoy were selected as the input variables. The backpropagation learning algorithm was employed in training to maximize damage-detection performance. The output of the ANN model was the identification of the particular location of the damaged net. In testing, big data, which were not used in training, were utilized. Well-trained ANN models detected damage to the net even at sea states that were not included in training with high accuracy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (10) ◽  
pp. 1950221
Author(s):  
M. VARATHARAJULU ◽  
G. JAYAPRAKASH ◽  
N. BASKAR ◽  
A. SARAVANAN

The selection of appropriate drilling parameters is essential for improving productivity and part quality, therefore, this work mainly concentrates on the investigation of drilling time, burr height, burr thickness, roundness and surface roughness. The drilling experiments were carried out on Magnesium (Mg) AZ91 with High Speed Steel (HSS) tool using the Vertical Milling Machine (VMM). The parameters reckoned are spindle speed and feed rate. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) was concerned with the building of the model that will be used to forecast the responses following the consideration of Response Surface Methodology (RSM). Conventional method of modeling (RSM) yields poorer results which redirected the study with ANN. The Genetic Algorithm (GA)-based ANN has been reckoned for developing the model. With two nodes in the parameter layer and seven nodes in the response layer, six different networks were constructed using variety of nodes in the hidden layers which are 2–6–7, 2–7–7, 2–8–7, 2–6–6–7, 2–7–6–7 and 2–8–6–7. It is observed that the 2–8–7 network offers the best ANN model in predicting the various responses. The prediction results ensure the reliability of the ANN model to analyze the effect of drilling parameters over the various responses.


Author(s):  
Ramesh Kumar V ◽  
Pradipkumar Dixit

The paper presents an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model for short-term load forecasting of daily peak load. A multi-layered feed forward neural network with Levenberg-Marquardt learning algorithm is used because of its good generalizing property and robustness in prediction. The input to the network is in terms of historical daily peak load data and corresponding daily peak temperature data. The network is trained to predict the load requirement ahead. The effectiveness of the proposed ANN approach to the short-term load forecasting problems is demonstrated by practical data from the Bangalore Electricity Supply Company Limited (BESCOM). The comparison between the proposed and the conventional methods is made in terms of percentage error and it is found that the proposed ANN model gives more accurate predictions with optimal number of neurons in the hidden layer.


Author(s):  
Djoni E. Sidarta ◽  
Ho-Joon Lim ◽  
Johyun Kyoung ◽  
Nicolas Tcherniguin ◽  
Timothee Lefebvre ◽  
...  

Abstract Artificial Intelligence (AI) has gained popularity in recent years for offshore engineering applications, and one such challenging application is detection of mooring line failure of a floating offshore platform. For most types of floating offshore platforms, accurately detecting any mooring line damage and/or failures is of great interest to their operators. This paper demonstrates the use of an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model for detecting mooring line failure for a spread-moored FPSO. The ANN model representation, in terms of its input variables, is based on assessing when changes in a platform’s motion characteristics are in-fact indicators of a mooring line failure. The output of the ANN model indicates the status condition for the mooring lines (intact or failed). This ANN model only requires GPS / DGPS monitoring data and does not require data on the environmental conditions at the platform. Since the mass of an FPSO changes with the stored volume of oil, the vessel’s mass is also an input variable. The ANN training uses the results from numerical simulations of a spread-moored FPSO with fourteen mooring lines. The numerical simulations create the FPSO’s response to a range of metocean conditions for 360-degree directions, and they cover several levels of vessel draft (mass). Furthermore, the simulations cover both the intact mooring configuration and the full permutation where each of the fourteen mooring lines is modeled as broken at the top. The global performance analysis of the FPSO is presented in a different paper (Part 2 of these paper series). The training of the ANN model employs a back-propagation learning algorithm and an automatic method for determining the size of ANN hidden layers. The trained ANN model can detect mooring line failure, even for vessel draft (mass), sea states and environmental directions that are not included in the training data. This demonstrates that the ANN model can recognize and classify patterns associated with mooring line failure and separate such patterns from those associated with intact mooring lines under conditions not included in the original training data. This study reveals a great potential for using an ANN model to monitor the station keeping integrity of a floating offshore platform with changing storage, or mass status, and to detect mooring line failure using only the vessel’s mass and deviations in the platform’s motions derived from GPS / DGPS data.


Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (21) ◽  
pp. 7071
Author(s):  
Alejandro Medina-Santiago ◽  
Carlos Arturo Hernández-Gracidas ◽  
Luis Alberto Morales-Rosales ◽  
Ignacio Algredo-Badillo ◽  
Monica Amador García ◽  
...  

The design of neural network architectures is carried out using methods that optimize a particular objective function, in which a point that minimizes the function is sought. In reported works, they only focused on software simulations or commercial complementary metal-oxide-semiconductor (CMOS), neither of which guarantees the quality of the solution. In this work, we designed a hardware architecture using individual neurons as building blocks based on the optimization of n-dimensional objective functions, such as obtaining the bias and synaptic weight parameters of an artificial neural network (ANN) model using the gradient descent method. The ANN-based architecture has a 5-3-1 configuration and is implemented on a 1.2 μm technology integrated circuit, with a total power consumption of 46.08 mW, using nine neurons and 36 CMOS operational amplifiers (op-amps). We show the results obtained from the application of integrated circuits for ANNs simulated in PSpice applied to the classification of digital data, demonstrating that the optimization method successfully obtains the synaptic weights and bias values generated by the learning algorithm (Steepest-Descent), for the design of the neural architecture.


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