Climate variability has idiosyncratic impacts on North American aerial insectivorous bird population trajectories

2021 ◽  
Vol 263 ◽  
pp. 109329
Author(s):  
Nicole L. Michel ◽  
Keith A. Hobson ◽  
Christy A. Morrissey ◽  
Robert G. Clark
2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhe Jiang ◽  
Helen Worden ◽  
John R. Worden ◽  
Daven K. Henze ◽  
Dylan B. A. Jones ◽  
...  

Abstract. Decreases in surface emissions of nitrogen oxides (NOx = NO + NO2) in North America have led to substantial improvements in air-quality over the last several decades. Here we show that satellite observations of tropospheric nitrogen dioxide (NO2) columns over the contiguous United States (US) do not decrease after about 2009, while surface NO2 concentrations continue to decline through to the present. This divergence, if it continues, could have a substantial impact on surface air quality due to mixing of free-tropospheric air into the boundary layer. Our results show only limited contributions from local effects such as fossil fuel emissions, lightning, or instrument artifacts, but we do find a possible relationship of NO2 changes to decadal climate variability. Our analysis demonstrates that the intensity of transpacific transport is stronger in El Niño years and weaker in La Niña years, and consequently, that decadal-scale climate variability impacts the contribution of Asian emissions on North American atmospheric composition. Because of the short lifetime, it is usually believed that the direct contribution of long-range transport to tropospheric NOx distribution is limited. If our hypothesis about transported Asian emissions is correct, then this observed divergence between satellite and surface NOx could indicate mechanisms that allow for either NOx or its reservoir species to have a larger than expected effect on North American tropospheric composition. These results therefore suggest more aircraft and satellite studies to determine the possible missing processes in our understanding of the long-range transport of tropospheric NOx.


1994 ◽  
Vol 42 (4) ◽  
pp. 543 ◽  
Author(s):  
GIH Kerley ◽  
WG Whitford

Deserts are, by definition, environmentally similar, and this has lead to hypotheses of convergence in the properties of desert biotic communities as well as the components of these communities. There is considerable evidence for convergence in some characteristics of desert biota, ranging from plant growth forms to the well-known bipedal, nocturnal rodents. One area that has received considerable attention has been granivory by desert rodents, largely because of the effort focused on the North American desert heteromyids, and also because the process of granivory has far-reaching ramifications for desert plant communities. Specific tests for convergence in the impact of rodents as granivores, by means of bait-removal experiments, however, have shown that the high levels of seed removal by rodents in the North American deserts differs from that of rodents in the South American, Australian and South African deserts, where ants are the most important seed harvesters. The only studies to measure the impact of rodents on desert seed fluxes confirm these patterns, with rodents consuming up to 86% of seed production in North American deserts, but less than 1% of seed production in South African deserts. A review of dietary data for desert rodents confirms these trends, with little evidence for the presence of granivores in deserts besides those of North America. A variety of hypotheses have attempted to explain these variations in desert rodent granivory. These include recent extinctions of granivores, that seed burial, low soil nutrients and/or limiting seed production prevented the radiation of granivorous small mammals, and that particular deserts are too young or too recently colonised by rodents for granivorous rodents to have evolved. However, none of these hypotheses are supported by available evidence. Alternative hypotheses suggesting that climate variability may have precluded the development of specialised granivores need to be tested. In particular, more data are needed to confirm these patterns of granivory, and gain an understanding of the effects of Pleistocene and recent desert climate variability on seed production. An alternative perspective suggests that the presence of the heteromyid rodents may explain the high levels of granivory by small mammals in North American deserts. The variability in granivory by small mammals between deserts suggests that deserts will also differ in terms of anti-granivore adaptations of plants, seed fluxes and the mechanisms whereby small mammals coexist.


2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (18) ◽  
pp. 7141-7155 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seung H. Baek ◽  
Jason E. Smerdon ◽  
Sloan Coats ◽  
A. Park Williams ◽  
Benjamin I. Cook ◽  
...  

Abstract The tree-ring-based North American Drought Atlas (NADA), Monsoon Asia Drought Atlas (MADA), and Old World Drought Atlas (OWDA) collectively yield a near-hemispheric gridded reconstruction of hydroclimate variability over the last millennium. To test the robustness of the large-scale representation of hydroclimate variability across the drought atlases, the joint expression of seasonal climate variability and teleconnections in the NADA, MADA, and OWDA are compared against two global, observation-based PDSI products. Predominantly positive (negative) correlations are determined between seasonal precipitation (surface air temperature) and collocated tree-ring-based PDSI, with average Pearson’s correlation coefficients increasing in magnitude from boreal winter to summer. For precipitation, these correlations tend to be stronger in the boreal winter and summer when calculated for the observed PDSI record, while remaining similar for temperature. Notwithstanding these differences, the drought atlases robustly express teleconnection patterns associated with El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO), and the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO). These expressions exist in the drought atlas estimates of boreal summer PDSI despite the fact that these modes of climate variability are dominant in boreal winter, with the exception of the AMO. ENSO and NAO teleconnection patterns in the drought atlases are particularly consistent with their well-known dominant expressions in boreal winter and over the OWDA domain, respectively. Collectively, the findings herein confirm that the joint Northern Hemisphere drought atlases robustly reflect large-scale patterns of hydroclimate variability on seasonal to multidecadal time scales over the twentieth century and are likely to provide similarly robust estimates of hydroclimate variability prior to the existence of widespread instrumental data.


2006 ◽  
Vol 10 (17) ◽  
pp. 1-27 ◽  
Author(s):  
Weile Wang ◽  
Bruce T. Anderson ◽  
Nathan Phillips ◽  
Robert K. Kaufmann ◽  
Christopher Potter ◽  
...  

Abstract Feedbacks of vegetation on summertime climate variability over the North American Grasslands are analyzed using the statistical technique of Granger causality. Results indicate that normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) anomalies early in the growing season have a statistically measurable effect on precipitation and surface temperature later in summer. In particular, higher means and/or decreasing trends of NDVI anomalies tend to be followed by lower rainfall but higher temperatures during July through September. These results suggest that initially enhanced vegetation may deplete soil moisture faster than normal and thereby induce drier and warmer climate anomalies via the strong soil moisture–precipitation coupling in these regions. Consistent with this soil moisture–precipitation feedback mechanism, interactions between temperature and precipitation anomalies in this region indicate that moister and cooler conditions are also related to increases in precipitation during the preceding months. Because vegetation responds to soil moisture variations, interactions between vegetation and precipitation generate oscillations in NDVI anomalies at growing season time scales, which are identified in the temporal and the spectral characteristics of the precipitation–NDVI system. Spectral analysis of the precipitation–NDVI system also indicates that 1) long-term interactions (i.e., interannual and longer time scales) between the two anomalies tend to enhance one another, 2) short-term interactions (less than 2 months) tend to damp one another, and 3) intermediary-period interactions (4–8 months) are oscillatory. Together, these results support the hypothesis that vegetation may influence summertime climate variability via the land–atmosphere hydrological cycles over these semiarid grasslands.


2016 ◽  
Vol 43 (17) ◽  
pp. 9208-9216 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. C. Sanchez ◽  
C. D. Charles ◽  
J. D. Carriquiry ◽  
J. A. Villaescusa

2011 ◽  
Vol 75 (1) ◽  
pp. 104-113 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juan Pablo Bernal ◽  
Matthew Lachniet ◽  
Malcolm McCulloch ◽  
Graham Mortimer ◽  
Pedro Morales ◽  
...  

AbstractA paleoclimate reconstruction for the Holocene based upon variations of δ18O in a U–Th dated stalagmite from southwestern Mexico is presented. Our results indicate that the arrival of moisture to the area has been strongly linked to the input of glacial meltwaters into the North Atlantic throughout the Holocene. The record also suggests a complex interplay between Caribbean and Pacific moisture sources, modulated by the North Atlantic SST and the position of the ITCZ, where Pacific moisture becomes increasingly more influential through ENSO since ~ 4.3 ka. The interruption of stalagmite growth during the largest climatic anomalies of the Holocene (10.3 and 8.2 ka) is evidenced by the presence of hiatuses, which suggest a severe disruption in the arrival of moisture to the area. The δ18O record presented here has important implications for understanding the evolution of the North American Monsoon and climate in southwestern Mexico, as it represents one of the most detailed archives of climate variability for the area spanning most of the Holocene.


Author(s):  
Douglas G. Goodin

Timescale is the organizing framework of this volume. In various sections, we consider the effects of climate variability on ecosystems at timescales ranging from weeks or months to centuries. In part III, we turn our attention to interdecadal-scale events. The timescales we consider are not absolutely defined, but for our purposes we define the interdecadal scale to encompass effects occurring with recurring cycles generally ranging from 10 to 50 years. A recurring theme in many of the chapters in this section is the effect on ecosystem response of teleconnection patterns associated with recognized quasi-periodic atmospheric circulation modes. These circulation modes include the well-known El Niño– Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, which is generally thought to recur at shorter, interdecadal timescales but also includes some longer-term periodicities. Several other climate variability modes, including the Pacific North American index (PNA), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and North Pacific index (NP) also show strong interdecadal scale signatures and figure prominently in the chapters of part III. McHugh and Goodin begin the section by examining the climate record at several North American LTER sites for evidence of interdecadal-scale fluctuation. They note that interdecadal-scale contributions to climate variability can best be described in terms of two types of variation: (1) discontinuities in mean value, and (2) the presence of trends in the data. Evaluation of interdecadal periodicities in LTER data is complicated by the relatively short time series of observations available. McHugh and Goodin approach the problem mainly through the use of power spectrum analysis, a widely used tool for evaluating the periodicity in a time series of data. Principal components analysis is used to decompose the time series of growing-season climate data for each of the LTER sites into their principal modes of variability. These modes are then subjected to power spectrum analysis to evaluate the proportions of the variance in the data occurring at various timescales. McHugh and Goodin’s results suggest that significant effects on precipitation and temperature at interdecadal timescales are uncommon in these data, although significant periodicities at both shorter and longer frequencies do emerge from the data (a finding of relevance to other sections of this volume).


2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (19) ◽  
pp. 7410-7431 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephanie A. McAfee

Abstract Impacts of the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) on North American climate were initially assessed over one negative (~1943 to 1976) and one positive (1977 to ~1990) PDO regime. Release of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis and the recent occurrence of negative PDO years make it possible to study the stability of PDO teleconnections. This analysis identified consistency in broad-scale teleconnection patterns but also critical differences in the amplitude of circulation pattern, temperature, and precipitation anomalies between comparable phases of the PDO. Many of these discrepancies were apparent after controlling for long-term trends and the impact of ENSO and were associated with variability in Atlantic Ocean temperatures and in the northern annular mode. Results from this study suggest that not all of the climate variability attributed to the PDO derives solely from fluctuations in Pacific sea surface temperatures (SSTs), that the climatic impact of these SST anomalies varies over time, or that the PDO might have a “mixed” state with muted teleconnections. Any of these conclusions has substantial implications for reconstruction of the PDO and its use to understand past hydrologic or ecological changes. They suggest that evaluation of climate models on the basis of their ability to simulate teleconnection patterns of low-frequency modes of climate variability should be undertaken with the recognition that observational records may not be long enough to capture the full range of variability in teleconnection patterns.


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