scholarly journals Inferred retinal sensitivity in recessive Stargardt disease using machine learning

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Philipp L. Müller ◽  
Alexandru Odainic ◽  
Tim Treis ◽  
Philipp Herrmann ◽  
Adnan Tufail ◽  
...  

AbstractSpatially-resolved retinal function can be measured by psychophysical testing like fundus-controlled perimetry (FCP or ‘microperimetry’). It may serve as a performance outcome measure in emerging interventional clinical trials for macular diseases as requested by regulatory agencies. As FCP constitute laborious examinations, we have evaluated a machine-learning-based approach to predict spatially-resolved retinal function (’inferred sensitivity’) based on microstructural imaging (obtained by spectral domain optical coherence tomography) and patient data in recessive Stargardt disease. Using nested cross-validation, prediction accuracies of (mean absolute error, MAE [95% CI]) 4.74 dB [4.48–4.99] were achieved. After additional inclusion of limited FCP data, the latter reached 3.89 dB [3.67–4.10] comparable to the test–retest MAE estimate of 3.51 dB [3.11–3.91]. Analysis of the permutation importance revealed, that the IS&OS and RPE thickness were the most important features for the prediction of retinal sensitivity. ’Inferred sensitivity’, herein, enables to accurately estimate differential effects of retinal microstructure on spatially-resolved function in Stargardt disease, and might be used as quasi-functional surrogate marker for a refined and time-efficient investigation of possible functionally relevant treatment effects or disease progression.

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Maximilian Pfau ◽  
Elon H. C. van Dijk ◽  
Thomas J. van Rijssen ◽  
Steffen Schmitz-Valckenberg ◽  
Frank G. Holz ◽  
...  

AbstractRefined understanding of the association of retinal microstructure with current and future (post-treatment) function in chronic central serous chorioretinopathy (cCSC) may help to identify patients that would benefit most from treatment. In this post-hoc analysis of data from the prospective, randomized PLACE trial (NCT01797861), we aimed to determine the accuracy of AI-based inference of retinal function from retinal morphology in cCSC. Longitudinal spectral-domain optical coherence tomography (SD-OCT) data from 57 eyes of 57 patients from baseline, week 6–8 and month 7–8 post-treatment were segmented using deep-learning software. Fundus-controlled perimetry data were aligned to the SD-OCT data to extract layer thickness and reflectivity values for each test point. Point-wise retinal sensitivity could be inferred with a (leave-one-out) cross-validated mean absolute error (MAE) [95% CI] of 2.93 dB [2.40–3.46] (scenario 1) using random forest regression. With addition of patient-specific baseline data (scenario 2), retinal sensitivity at remaining follow-up visits was estimated even more accurately with a MAE of 1.07 dB [1.06–1.08]. In scenario 3, month 7–8 post-treatment retinal sensitivity was predicted from baseline SD-OCT data with a MAE of 3.38 dB [2.82–3.94]. Our study shows that localized retinal sensitivity can be inferred from retinal structure in cCSC using machine-learning. Especially, prediction of month 7–8 post-treatment sensitivity with consideration of the treatment as explanatory variable constitutes an important step toward personalized treatment decisions in cCSC.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew Medford ◽  
Shengchun Yang ◽  
Fuzhu Liu

Understanding the interaction of multiple types of adsorbate molecules on solid surfaces is crucial to establishing the stability of catalysts under various chemical environments. Computational studies on the high coverage and mixed coverages of reaction intermediates are still challenging, especially for transition-metal compounds. In this work, we present a framework to predict differential adsorption energies and identify low-energy structures under high- and mixed-adsorbate coverages on oxide materials. The approach uses Gaussian process machine-learning models with quantified uncertainty in conjunction with an iterative training algorithm to actively identify the training set. The framework is demonstrated for the mixed adsorption of CH<sub>x</sub>, NH<sub>x</sub> and OH<sub>x</sub> species on the oxygen vacancy and pristine rutile TiO<sub>2</sub>(110) surface sites. The results indicate that the proposed algorithm is highly efficient at identifying the most valuable training data, and is able to predict differential adsorption energies with a mean absolute error of ~0.3 eV based on <25% of the total DFT data. The algorithm is also used to identify 76% of the low-energy structures based on <30% of the total DFT data, enabling construction of surface phase diagrams that account for high and mixed coverage as a function of the chemical potential of C, H, O, and N. Furthermore, the computational scaling indicates the algorithm scales nearly linearly (N<sup>1.12</sup>) as the number of adsorbates increases. This framework can be directly extended to metals, metal oxides, and other materials, providing a practical route toward the investigation of the behavior of catalysts under high-coverage conditions.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jingbai Li ◽  
Patrick Reiser ◽  
André Eberhard ◽  
Pascal Friederich ◽  
Steven Lopez

<p>Photochemical reactions are being increasingly used to construct complex molecular architectures with mild and straightforward reaction conditions. Computational techniques are increasingly important to understand the reactivities and chemoselectivities of photochemical isomerization reactions because they offer molecular bonding information along the excited-state(s) of photodynamics. These photodynamics simulations are resource-intensive and are typically limited to 1–10 picoseconds and 1,000 trajectories due to high computational cost. Most organic photochemical reactions have excited-state lifetimes exceeding 1 picosecond, which places them outside possible computational studies. Westermeyr <i>et al.</i> demonstrated that a machine learning approach could significantly lengthen photodynamics simulation times for a model system, methylenimmonium cation (CH<sub>2</sub>NH<sub>2</sub><sup>+</sup>).</p><p>We have developed a Python-based code, Python Rapid Artificial Intelligence <i>Ab Initio</i> Molecular Dynamics (PyRAI<sup>2</sup>MD), to accomplish the unprecedented 10 ns <i>cis-trans</i> photodynamics of <i>trans</i>-hexafluoro-2-butene (CF<sub>3</sub>–CH=CH–CF<sub>3</sub>) in 3.5 days. The same simulation would take approximately 58 years with ground-truth multiconfigurational dynamics. We proposed an innovative scheme combining Wigner sampling, geometrical interpolations, and short-time quantum chemical trajectories to effectively sample the initial data, facilitating the adaptive sampling to generate an informative and data-efficient training set with 6,232 data points. Our neural networks achieved chemical accuracy (mean absolute error of 0.032 eV). Our 4,814 trajectories reproduced the S<sub>1</sub> half-life (60.5 fs), the photochemical product ratio (<i>trans</i>: <i>cis</i> = 2.3: 1), and autonomously discovered a pathway towards a carbene. The neural networks have also shown the capability of generalizing the full potential energy surface with chemically incomplete data (<i>trans</i> → <i>cis</i> but not <i>cis</i> → <i>trans</i> pathways) that may offer future automated photochemical reaction discoveries.</p>


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
O. Basturk ◽  
C. Cetek

ABSTRACT In this study, prediction of aircraft Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA) is proposed using machine learning algorithms. Accurate prediction of ETA is important for management of delay and air traffic flow, runway assignment, gate assignment, collaborative decision making (CDM), coordination of ground personnel and equipment, and optimisation of arrival sequence etc. Machine learning is able to learn from experience and make predictions with weak assumptions or no assumptions at all. In the proposed approach, general flight information, trajectory data and weather data were obtained from different sources in various formats. Raw data were converted to tidy data and inserted into a relational database. To obtain the features for training the machine learning models, the data were explored, cleaned and transformed into convenient features. New features were also derived from the available data. Random forests and deep neural networks were used to train the machine learning models. Both models can predict the ETA with a mean absolute error (MAE) less than 6min after departure, and less than 3min after terminal manoeuvring area (TMA) entrance. Additionally, a web application was developed to dynamically predict the ETA using proposed models.


2021 ◽  
Vol 53 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sen Yang ◽  
Yaping Zhang ◽  
Siu-Yeung Cho ◽  
Ricardo Correia ◽  
Stephen P. Morgan

AbstractConventional blood pressure (BP) measurement methods have different drawbacks such as being invasive, cuff-based or requiring manual operations. There is significant interest in the development of non-invasive, cuff-less and continual BP measurement based on physiological measurement. However, in these methods, extracting features from signals is challenging in the presence of noise or signal distortion. When using machine learning, errors in feature extraction result in errors in BP estimation, therefore, this study explores the use of raw signals as a direct input to a deep learning model. To enable comparison with the traditional machine learning models which use features from the photoplethysmogram and electrocardiogram, a hybrid deep learning model that utilises both raw signals and physical characteristics (age, height, weight and gender) is developed. This hybrid model performs best in terms of both diastolic BP (DBP) and systolic BP (SBP) with the mean absolute error being 3.23 ± 4.75 mmHg and 4.43 ± 6.09 mmHg respectively. DBP and SBP meet the Grade A and Grade B performance requirements of the British Hypertension Society respectively.


Vibration ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 341-356
Author(s):  
Jessada Sresakoolchai ◽  
Sakdirat Kaewunruen

Various techniques have been developed to detect railway defects. One of the popular techniques is machine learning. This unprecedented study applies deep learning, which is a branch of machine learning techniques, to detect and evaluate the severity of rail combined defects. The combined defects in the study are settlement and dipped joint. Features used to detect and evaluate the severity of combined defects are axle box accelerations simulated using a verified rolling stock dynamic behavior simulation called D-Track. A total of 1650 simulations are run to generate numerical data. Deep learning techniques used in the study are deep neural network (DNN), convolutional neural network (CNN), and recurrent neural network (RNN). Simulated data are used in two ways: simplified data and raw data. Simplified data are used to develop the DNN model, while raw data are used to develop the CNN and RNN model. For simplified data, features are extracted from raw data, which are the weight of rolling stock, the speed of rolling stock, and three peak and bottom accelerations from two wheels of rolling stock. In total, there are 14 features used as simplified data for developing the DNN model. For raw data, time-domain accelerations are used directly to develop the CNN and RNN models without processing and data extraction. Hyperparameter tuning is performed to ensure that the performance of each model is optimized. Grid search is used for performing hyperparameter tuning. To detect the combined defects, the study proposes two approaches. The first approach uses one model to detect settlement and dipped joint, and the second approach uses two models to detect settlement and dipped joint separately. The results show that the CNN models of both approaches provide the same accuracy of 99%, so one model is good enough to detect settlement and dipped joint. To evaluate the severity of the combined defects, the study applies classification and regression concepts. Classification is used to evaluate the severity by categorizing defects into light, medium, and severe classes, and regression is used to estimate the size of defects. From the study, the CNN model is suitable for evaluating dipped joint severity with an accuracy of 84% and mean absolute error (MAE) of 1.25 mm, and the RNN model is suitable for evaluating settlement severity with an accuracy of 99% and mean absolute error (MAE) of 1.58 mm.


Materials ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (9) ◽  
pp. 2297
Author(s):  
Ayaz Ahmad ◽  
Furqan Farooq ◽  
Krzysztof Adam Ostrowski ◽  
Klaudia Śliwa-Wieczorek ◽  
Slawomir Czarnecki

Structures located on the coast are subjected to the long-term influence of chloride ions, which cause the corrosion of steel reinforcements in concrete elements. This corrosion severely affects the performance of the elements and may shorten the lifespan of an entire structure. Even though experimental activities in laboratories might be a solution, they may also be problematic due to time and costs. Thus, the application of individual machine learning (ML) techniques has been investigated to predict surface chloride concentrations (Cc) in marine structures. For this purpose, the values of Cc in tidal, splash, and submerged zones were collected from an extensive literature survey and incorporated into the article. Gene expression programming (GEP), the decision tree (DT), and an artificial neural network (ANN) were used to predict the surface chloride concentrations, and the most accurate algorithm was then selected. The GEP model was the most accurate when compared to ANN and DT, which was confirmed by the high accuracy level of the K-fold cross-validation and linear correlation coefficient (R2), mean absolute error (MAE), mean square error (MSE), and root mean square error (RMSE) parameters. As is shown in the article, the proposed method is an effective and accurate way to predict the surface chloride concentration without the inconveniences of laboratory tests.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alain Beaudelaire Tchagang ◽  
Ahmed H. Tewfik ◽  
Julio J. Valdés

Abstract Accumulation of molecular data obtained from quantum mechanics (QM) theories such as density functional theory (DFTQM) make it possible for machine learning (ML) to accelerate the discovery of new molecules, drugs, and materials. Models that combine QM with ML (QM↔ML) have been very effective in delivering the precision of QM at the high speed of ML. In this study, we show that by integrating well-known signal processing (SP) techniques (i.e. short time Fourier transform, continuous wavelet analysis and Wigner-Ville distribution) in the QM↔ML pipeline, we obtain a powerful machinery (QM↔SP↔ML) that can be used for representation, visualization and forward design of molecules. More precisely, in this study, we show that the time-frequency-like representation of molecules encodes their structural, geometric, energetic, electronic and thermodynamic properties. This is demonstrated by using the new representation in the forward design loop as input to a deep convolutional neural networks trained on DFTQM calculations, which outputs the properties of the molecules. Tested on the QM9 dataset (composed of 133,855 molecules and 16 properties), the new QM↔SP↔ML model is able to predict the properties of molecules with a mean absolute error (MAE) below acceptable chemical accuracy (i.e. MAE < 1 Kcal/mol for total energies and MAE < 0.1 ev for orbital energies). Furthermore, the new approach performs similarly or better compared to other ML state-of-the-art techniques described in the literature. In all, in this study, we show that the new QM↔SP↔ML model represents a powerful technique for molecular forward design. All the codes and data generated and used in this study are available as supporting materials. The QM↔SP↔ML is also housed at the following website: https://github.com/TABeau/QM-SP-ML.


Transport ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (5) ◽  
pp. 462-473
Author(s):  
Aleksandar Vorkapić ◽  
Radoslav Radonja ◽  
Karlo Babić ◽  
Sanda Martinčić-Ipšić

The aim of this article is to enhance performance monitoring of a two-stroke electronically controlled ship propulsion engine on the operating envelope. This is achieved by setting up a machine learning model capable of monitoring influential operating parameters and predicting the fuel consumption. Model is tested with different machine learning algorithms, namely linear regression, multilayer perceptron, Support Vector Machines (SVM) and Random Forests (RF). Upon verification of modelling framework and analysing the results in order to improve the prediction accuracy, the best algorithm is selected based on standard evaluation metrics, i.e. Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Relative Absolute Error (RAE). Experimental results show that, by taking an adequate combination and processing of relevant sensory data, SVM exhibit the lowest RMSE 7.1032 and RAE 0.5313%. RF achieve the lowest RMSE 22.6137 and RAE 3.8545% in a setting when minimal number of input variables is considered, i.e. cylinder indicated pressures and propulsion engine revolutions. Further, article deals with the detection of anomalies of operating parameters, which enables the evaluation of the propulsion engine condition and the early identification of failures and deterioration. Such a time-dependent, self-adopting anomaly detection model can be used for comparison with the initial condition recorded during the test and sea run or after survey and docking. Finally, we propose a unified model structure, incorporating fuel consumption prediction and anomaly detection model with on-board decision-making process regarding navigation and maintenance.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Hai-Bang Ly ◽  
Thuy-Anh Nguyen ◽  
Binh Thai Pham

Soil cohesion (C) is one of the critical soil properties and is closely related to basic soil properties such as particle size distribution, pore size, and shear strength. Hence, it is mainly determined by experimental methods. However, the experimental methods are often time-consuming and costly. Therefore, developing an alternative approach based on machine learning (ML) techniques to solve this problem is highly recommended. In this study, machine learning models, namely, support vector machine (SVM), Gaussian regression process (GPR), and random forest (RF), were built based on a data set of 145 soil samples collected from the Da Nang-Quang Ngai expressway project, Vietnam. The database also includes six input parameters, that is, clay content, moisture content, liquid limit, plastic limit, specific gravity, and void ratio. The performance of the model was assessed by three statistical criteria, namely, the correlation coefficient (R), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE). The results demonstrated that the proposed RF model could accurately predict soil cohesion with high accuracy (R = 0.891) and low error (RMSE = 3.323 and MAE = 2.511), and its predictive capability is better than SVM and GPR. Therefore, the RF model can be used as a cost-effective approach in predicting soil cohesion forces used in the design and inspection of constructions.


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