India’s public sector will see more disinvestment

Subject Indian disinvestment in state-owned enterprises. Significance India’s state-owned enterprises (SOEs), also known as public sector undertakings (PSUs), include central public sector enterprises (CPSEs). Some CPSEs have become more efficient, but the government's tendency is now to privatise rather than reform, with its new policy think-tank recently recommending disinvestment in over 40 PSUs. Impacts The government may seek to disinvest in public-sector banks. Trade unions may launch strikes opposing disinvestment plans. The government may pursue labour reforms to make it easier to recruit and dismiss workers.

Significance This came after the government announced plans for a 4G spectrum auction in March 2021, after a five-year gap. There is growing speculation that this will be followed by an auction of 5G spectrum later in the year. Impacts Reliance’s lead on 5G will boost its broader digital business strategy. New financial support to indebted telcos will help to avoid further strain on public sector banks. Data tariffs are likely to remain competitive in India, even after a new floor price.


Subject Prospects for India in 2018. Significance India’s ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has responded to the recent economic slowdown by drawing up plans to recapitalise public sector banks (PSBs) and invest in infrastructure. Prime Minister Narendra Modi is also under pressure to create jobs. The government will be expected to deliver on its promises with elections due in around 18 months’ time.


Subject Fiscal reform protests. Significance President Carlos Alvarado is facing his most severe test since taking office in May, with his efforts to pass a long-awaited fiscal reform sparking strikes and protests across the country. Although the government has initiated a dialogue with trade unions, sustained opposition means that the fiscal reform is likely to be watered down substantially. Impacts Transport disruption will affect regional trade, compounding the transit problems caused by unrest in Nicaragua. The national strike’s success may encourage more such actions in future, potentially over public-sector wage increases. Alvarado’s weakness will increase the dominance of rival political parties in the legislature.


Significance The government has capitulated to demands by trade unions to lower the retirement age despite a growing demographic imbalance and public finances under strain. In the process, the government has demonstrated its weakness and unpopularity. Impacts Surrender to the unions will encourage discontented public sector workers to seek pay rises, with teachers threatening strike action. Popular discontent with fiscal cutbacks will pose a risk to plans for Croatia to adopt the euro early next decade. Divisions at home will limit Croatia’s ability to push its political priorities when it assumes the EU Council presidency in January 2020.


2018 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-61
Author(s):  
Athula Ekanayake

Purpose By using Latour’s notion of “action at a distance” (Latour, 1987), the purpose of this paper is to examine the ways in which the government acts at a distance to achieve corporate governance of public sector banks, and the extent to which accounting enables such actions of the government. Design/methodology/approach This study follows the qualitative research approach and adopts the case study research method. A major public sector bank in Sri Lanka was selected as the case organization for this study. Data were gathered from semi-structured interviews with organizational participants and document study. Findings The study provides evidence to suggest that inscriptions produced through four areas of accounting, namely external reporting, external auditing, management accounting and internal auditing, have the capacity to develop strong explanations enabling action at a distance and good corporate governance in the case organization. The study also provides evidence to show how the role of accounting in long-distance control and corporate governance in the case organization is influenced by various contextual factors. In particular, the study finds that undue government interference over the case organization to gain the long-distance control have resulted in deteriorating the level of corporate governance. Research limitations/implications The findings support the literature that examines the accounting in its social context. Practical implications The findings suggest that actors should be allowed to operate independently, particularly without political expedience and undue influences from pressure groups, which ensure effective utilization of accounting inscriptions by the actors in long-distance control as well as good corporate governance of public sector banks. Originality/value Although research into accounting in public sector organizations has gained considerable importance in recent times, those studies examining public sector banks are still lacking. The paper aims to fill this gap.


Subject Energy outlook. Significance As Prime Minister Narendra Modi's administration approaches the 2019 general elections, its key election promises are receiving increased scrutiny. On energy, the scale of ambition has increased, with targets stretching beyond 2019. The government hopes to leverage early successes to seek a second term in office to implement its agenda. Impacts Subsidies will rise when the oil price rises, although leakages will be lower. In the post-Paris summit era, the window available to India to utilise coal for growth has narrowed to 2020. The recent rise in gas consumption will continue as long as LNG prices are low and domestic coal targets are unmet. The insolvency of distribution utilities will impede their ability to fulfil their renewable purchase obligations. The problem also affects public sector banks, which hold a large proportion of the utilities' debt.


Subject India's public sector banks and bad debt. Significance While India is being lauded for being the fastest-growing economy in the world, the government is grappling with a growing bad debt problem that threatens the solvency of at least some of its public sector banks. Impacts If the government prioritises its fiscal deficit targets, financing bank bailouts would be difficult. Meanwhile, banks will cut lending, thereby choking growth. Absent a clear policy, the banking strain could intensify, leading to the actual failure of some banks.


Significance The government and central bank are looking for ways to strengthen the country’s banking system, which is beset by low capital adequacy ratios (CARs) and rising non-performing assets (NPAs). India’s leading conglomerates are asset rich, and their profitability is growing. Impacts The RBI will come under pressure to increase regulation of private as well as public sector banks. Many state-owned banks will merge in a bid to reduce their bad debt. Small NBFCs will face a challenge to sustain liquidity.


Significance He faced pressure to drop the government's commitment to reducing the fiscal deficit in the next few years to 3.0% of GDP, from 3.5% in 2016-17. The economic circumstances seem appropriate for a fiscal stimulus, but Jaitley has decided against this. Impacts Divestment receipts will probably undershoot targets in 2016-17. The health of public sector banks will deteriorate further if the government forces them to increase infrastructure lending. High GDP growth figures despite rising economic strain will fuel suspicions about official data.


Significance As they were 50 years ago, several universities and parts of the transport system will be on strike. Impacts The opposition parties are unable to unite and too weak to fight Macron in isolation, giving him a strong hand until 2022. If the government puts the reform agenda on hold for a few months, it will use the time to prepare the next round of reforms. If Macron is victorious, the ‘radical’ non-reformist trade unions will lose influence in the public sector. Macron might end up earning the French public’s trust and even esteem with his persistence and determination.


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