Assessing the Target Reliability Index for Nuclear Piping
Previous research developed Load and Resistance Factor Design (LRFD) equations for Class 2 and 3 nuclear piping for different reliability levels and load combinations. The LRFD equations consider separate safety factors for each load and for the strength of steel in opposition to the Allowable Stress Design (ASD) equations used in the ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel (B&PV) Code, Section III, Div. 1, where only one safety factor is considered. In order to use the developed LRFD equations for the design of nuclear piping, specific reliability levels or else acceptable probabilities of failure need to be assigned to each Code equation. The paper discusses the available methods for evaluating the target reliability index, such as historical data of piping failures, expert-opinion elicitation, and Code calibration. Code calibration is the method of determining the existing level of reliability in the Code equations and assigning the same reliability to the developed LRFD equations in a consistent manner. Code Calibration is explained to be the more appropriate method of assigning reliability levels to the LRFD equations. The other methods can supplement the analysis results.