The Theory of Uncertaintism

Author(s):  
Tumellano Sebehela

The stock jumps of the underlying assets underpinning the Margrabe options have been studied by Cheang and Chiarella [Cheang, GH and Chiarella C (2011). Exchange options under jump-diffusion dynamics. Applied Mathematical Finance, 18(3), 245–276], Cheang and Garces [Cheang, GHL and Garces LPDM (2020). Representation of exchange option prices under stochastic volatility jump-diffusion dynamics. Quantitative Finance, 20(2), 291–310], Cufaro Petroni and Sabino [Cufaro Petroni, N and Sabino P (2020). Pricing exchange options with correlated jump diffusion processes. Quantitate Finance, 20(11), 1811–1823], and Ma et al. [Ma, Y, Pan D and Wang T (2020). Exchange options under clustered jump dynamics. Quantitative Finance, 20(6), 949–967]. Although the authors argue that they explored stock jumps under Hawkes processes, those processes are the Poisson process in their applications. Thus, they studied Hawkes processes in-between two assets while this study explores Hawkes process within any asset. Furthermore, the Poisson process can be flipped into Hawkes process and vice versa. In terms of hedging, this study uses specific Greeks (rho and phi) while some of the mentioned studies used other Greeks (Delta, Theta, Vega, and Gamma). Moreover, hedging is carried out under static and dynamic environments. The results illustrate that the jumpy Margrabe option can be extended to complex barrier option and waiting to invest option. In addition, hedging strategies are robust both under static and dynamic environments.

Author(s):  
Rachele Foschi

AbstractPoisson processes are widely used to model the occurrence of similar and independent events. However they turn out to be an inadequate tool to describe a sequence of (possibly differently) interacting events. Many phenomena can be modelled instead by Hawkes processes. In this paper we aim at quantifying how much a Hawkes process departs from a Poisson one with respect to different aspects, namely, the behaviour of the stochastic intensity at jump times, the cumulative intensity and the interarrival times distribution. We show how the behaviour of Hawkes processes with respect to these three aspects may be very irregular. Therefore, we believe that developing a single measure describing them is not efficient, and that, instead, the departure from a Poisson process with respect to any different aspect should be separately quantified, by means of as many different measures. Key to defining these measures will be the stochastic intensity and the integrated intensity of a Hawkes process, whose properties are therefore analysed before introducing the measures. Such quantities can be also used to detect mistakes in parameters estimation.


2011 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 245-276 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gerald H. L. Cheang ◽  
Carl Chiarella

2015 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
pp. 450-462 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gerald H. L. Cheang ◽  
Guanghua Lian

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan Bauer

AbstractI study dynamic hedging for variable annuities under basis risk. Basis risk, which arises from the imperfect correlation between the underlying fund and the proxy asset used for hedging, has a highly negative impact on the hedging performance. In this paper, I model the financial market based on correlated geometric Brownian motions and analyze the risk management for a pool of stylized GMAB contracts. I investigate whether the choice of a suitable hedging strategy can help to reduce the risk for the insurance company. Comparing several cross-hedging strategies, I observe very similar hedging performances. Particularly, I find that well-established but complex strategies from mathematical finance do not outperform simple and naive approaches in the context studied. Diversification, however, could help to reduce the adverse impact of basis risk.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Yanli Zhou ◽  
Yonghong Wu ◽  
Xiangyu Ge ◽  
B. Wiwatanapataphee

Stochastic delay differential equations with jumps have a wide range of applications, particularly, in mathematical finance. Solution of the underlying initial value problems is important for the understanding and control of many phenomena and systems in the real world. In this paper, we construct a robust Taylor approximation scheme and then examine the convergence of the method in a weak sense. A convergence theorem for the scheme is established and proved. Our analysis and numerical examples show that the proposed scheme of high order is effective and efficient for Monte Carlo simulations for jump-diffusion stochastic delay differential equations.


2009 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
pp. 515-539 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fei Lung Yuen ◽  
Hailiang Yang

AbstractNowadays, the regime switching model has become a popular model in mathematical finance and actuarial science. The market is not complete when the model has regime switching. Thus, pricing the regime switching risk is an important issue. In Naik (1993), a jump diffusion model with two regimes is studied. In this paper, we extend the model of Naik (1993) to a multi-regime case. We present a trinomial tree method to price options in the extended model. Our results show that the trinomial tree method in this paper is an effective method; it is very fast and easy to implement. Compared with the existing methodologies, the proposed method has an obvious advantage when one needs to price exotic options and the number of regime states is large. Various numerical examples are presented to illustrate the ideas and methodologies.


Author(s):  
Рехман ◽  
Nazir Rekhman ◽  
Хуссейн ◽  
Zakir Khusseyn ◽  
Али ◽  
...  

This work is devoted to the analysis and evolution of the value function of American type options on a dividend paying stock under jump diffusion processes. An equivalent form of the value function is obtained and analyzed. Moreover, variational inequalities satisfied by this function are investigated. These results can be used to investigate the optimal hedging strategies and optimal exercise boundaries of the corresponding options.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document