Indicators of Crash Risk in Older Adults: A Longitudinal Analysis From the ACTIVE Study

2021 ◽  
pp. 089826432110313
Author(s):  
Karlene K. Ball ◽  
Olivio J. Clay ◽  
Jerri D. Edwards ◽  
Bernadette A. Fausto ◽  
Katie M. Wheeler ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Crash Risk ◽  
Significant Finding ◽  
Site Location ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Male Sex

Objective: This study aims to examine indicators of crash risk longitudinally in older adults ( n = 486). Method: This study applied secondary data analyses of the 10 years of follow-up for the ACTIVE study combined with state-recorded crash records from five of the six participating sites. Cox proportional hazards models were first used to examine the effect of each variable of interest at baseline after controlling for miles driven and then to assess the three cognitive composites as predictors of time to at-fault crash in covariate-adjusted models. Results: Older age, male sex, and site location were each predictive of higher crash risk. Additionally, worse scores on the speed of processing cognitive composite were associated with higher crash risk. Discussion: Results support previous findings that both age and male sex are associated with higher crash risk. Our significant finding of site location could be attributed to the population density of our testing sites and transportation availability.

scholarly journals Predictors of 10-year hospital use in a community-dwelling population of Brazilian elderly: the Bambuí cohort study of aging

2011 ◽  
Vol 27 (suppl 3) ◽  
pp. s336-s344 ◽  
Author(s):  
James Macinko ◽  
Vitor Camargos ◽  
Josélia O. A. Firmo ◽  
Maria Fernanda Lima-Costa
Keyword(s):  
Cohort Study ◽  
Chronic Conditions ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Community Dwelling ◽  
Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Male Sex

We use data from a population-based cohort of elderly Brazilians to assess predictors of hospitalizations during ten years of follow-up. Participants were 1,448 persons aged 60 years and over at baseline (1997). The outcome was self-reported number of hospitalizations per year. Slightly more than a fifth (23%) experienced no hospitalizations during the 10 year follow-up. About 30% had 1-2 events, 31% had between 3 and 7 events, and about 18% had 8 or more events during this time. Results of multivariable hurdle and Cox proportional hazards models showed that the risk of hospitalization was positively associated with male sex, increased age, chronic conditions, and visits to the doctors in the previous 12 months. Underweight was a predictor of any hospitalization, while obesity was an inconsistent predictor of hospitalization.

scholarly journals Sex as a Risk Factor for Developing Cognitive Impairments in National Alzheimer’s Coordinating Center Participants

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Ge Wang ◽  
Wei Li
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cognitive Impairments ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Inclusion Criteria ◽  
Hazards Model ◽  
Male Sex

Background: It is inconclusive on how sex affects the risk of developing mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or dementia. Objective: To investigate how sex affects the risk of developing MCI or dementia. Methods: A secondary data analysis was performed on data collected from participants enrolled at Alzheimer’s Disease Research Centers funded National Institute on Aging. There were two inclusion criteria: 1) participants were free of dementia at the baseline visit; 2) every participant must have at least one follow-up visit. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to investigate how sex affects the risk of developing cognitive impairments. Results: During a follow-up period of more than 10 years, male participants had a slightly higher incidence than female participants for either MCI or dementia. Not surprisingly, a higher prevalence was observed in male than female participants for either MCI or dementia. However, male participants had a higher mortality rate than their female counterparts. Conclusion: The male sex is associated with a higher risk for developing cognitive impairments along the aging process.

scholarly journals THE ASSOCIATION BETWEEN VITAMIN K STATUS AND CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE IN OLDER ADULTS

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S644-S644
Author(s):  
M Kyla Shea ◽  
Daniel Weiner ◽  
Gergory Matuszek ◽  
Sarah L Booth ◽  
Stephen Kritchevsky ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Older Adults ◽  
Vitamin K ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Vascular Tissue ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Body Composition Study ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Health Aging

Abstract A role for vitamin K in cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been proposed because vitamin K-dependent proteins are present in vascular tissue. We evaluated the association between vitamin K status and incident CVD and mortality in older adults from the Health, Aging, and Body Composition Study (Health ABC), and conducted a replication analysis using the Multi-ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). In both cohorts circulating phylloquinone (vitamin K1), measured from baseline fasting blood samples, was categorized as ≤0.5nM, >0.5-≤1.0nM, and >1.0nM. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models assessed the association between circulating phylloquinone and risk of a composite of CVD and mortality. In Health ABC (n=1246, mean age 74 years, 57% female, 58% Caucasian), over a median 11.5 follow-up years, participants with ≤0.5 nM plasma phylloquinone (n=351) had a 27% higher risk for CVD and mortality compared to those with >1.0nM (n=457) [adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) (HR(95%CI)): 1.27(1.06-1.52)]. However, the risk for CVD and mortality did not differ between those with >0.5-≤1.0nM (n=438) and with >1.0nM plasma phylloquinone [HR(95%CI): 1.03(0.87-1.52)]. Serum phylloquinone was similarly associated with CVD and mortality in MESA, over a median 12.1 follow-up years (n=764, mean age 62 years, 54% female, 35% Caucasian) [HR(95%CI), compared to those with >1.0nM (n=368): <0.5nM (n=253): 1.54(1.03-2.32); 0.5-≤1.0nM (n=153): 1.23(0.76, 1.98)]. Lower circulating phylloquinone was associated with a higher CVD and mortality risk in two independent cohorts. Additional studies are needed to corroborate our findings and clarify if certain segments of the population can derive cardiovascular benefit from improving vitamin K status.

scholarly journals The impact of phlebotomy and hydroxyurea on survival and risk of thrombosis among older patients with polycythemia vera

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (20) ◽  
pp. 2681-2690 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikolai A. Podoltsev ◽  
Mengxin Zhu ◽  
Amer M. Zeidan ◽  
Rong Wang ◽  
Xiaoyi Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Polycythemia Vera ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Treatment Modalities ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Medicare Database ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Current guidelines recommend therapeutic phlebotomy for all polycythemia vera (PV) patients and additional cytoreductive therapy (eg, hydroxyurea [HU]) for high-risk PV patients. Little is known about the impact of these therapies in the real-world setting. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of older adults diagnosed with PV from 2007 to 2013 using the linked Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results–Medicare database. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the effect of phlebotomy and HU on overall survival (OS) and the occurrence of thrombotic events. Of 820 PV patients (median age = 77 years), 16.3% received neither phlebotomy nor HU, 23.0% were managed with phlebotomy only, 19.6% with HU only, and 41.1% with both treatments. After a median follow-up of 2.83 years, 37.2% (n = 305) of the patients died. Phlebotomy (yes/no; hazard ratio [HR] = 0.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.51-0.81; P < .01), increasing phlebotomy intensity (HR = 0.71; 95% CI, 0.65-0.79; P < .01), and a higher proportion of days covered (PDC) by HU were all significantly associated with lower mortality. When thrombosis was the outcome of interest, phlebotomy (yes/no; HR = 0.52; 95% CI, 0.42-0.66; P < .01) and increasing phlebotomy intensity (HR = 0.46; 95% CI, 0.29-0.74; P < .01) were significantly associated with a lower risk of thrombotic events, so was a higher HU PDC. In this population-based study of older adults with PV reflecting contemporary clinical practice, phlebotomy and HU were associated with improved OS and decreased risk of thrombosis. However, both treatment modalities were underused in this cohort of older PV patients.

scholarly journals Elevated plasma growth and differentiation factor 15 predicts incident anemia in older adults aged 60 years and older

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuko Yamaguchi ◽  
Marta Zampino ◽  
Toshiko Tanaka ◽  
Stefania Bandinelli ◽  
Yusuke Osawa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Differentiation Factor ◽  
Hazards Model ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract Background Anemia is common in older adults and associated with greater morbidity and mortality. The causes of anemia in older adults have not been completely characterized. Although elevated circulating growth and differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) has been associated with anemia in older adults, it is not known whether elevated GDF-15 predicts the development of anemia. Methods We examined the relationship between plasma GDF-15 concentrations at baseline in 708 non-anemic adults, aged 60 years and older, with incident anemia during 15 years of follow-up among participants in the Invecchiare in Chianti (InCHIANTI) Study. Results During follow-up, 179 (25.3%) participants developed anemia. The proportion of participants who developed anemia from the lowest to highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 was 12.9%, 20.1%, 21.2%, and 45.8%, respectively. Adults in the highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 had an increased risk of developing anemia (Hazards Ratio 1.15, 95% Confidence Interval 1.09, 1.21, P<.0001) compared to those in the lower three quartiles in a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusting for age, sex, serum iron, soluble transferrin receptor, ferritin, vitamin B12, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, and cancer. Conclusions Circulating GDF-15 is an independent predictor for the development of anemia in older adults.

scholarly journals Association of Brain Natriuretic Peptide With Mortality in Exceptionally Long-Lived Families

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 211-211
Author(s):  
Allison Kuipers ◽  
Robert Boudreau ◽  
Mary Feitosa ◽  
Angeline Galvin ◽  
Bharat Thygarajan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Brain Natriuretic Peptide ◽  
Natriuretic Peptide ◽  
Sex Education ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Time To Event ◽  
Healthy Older Adults ◽  
Secondary Analyses

Abstract Natriuretic peptides are produced within the heart and released in response to increased chamber wall tension and heart failure (HF). N-Terminal prohormone Brain Natriuretic Peptide (NT-proBNP) is a specific natriuretic peptide commonly assayed in persons at risk for HF. In these individuals, NT-proBNP is associated with future disease prognosis and mortality. However, its association with mortality among healthy older adults remains unknown. Therefore, we determined the association of NT-proBNP with all-cause mortality over a median follow-up of 10 years in 3253 individuals free from HF at baseline in the Long Life Family Study, a study of families recruited for exceptional longevity. We performed cox proportional hazards analysis (coxme in R) for time-to event (mortality), adjusted for field center, familial relatedness, age, sex, education, smoking, alcohol, physical activity, BMI, diabetes, hypertension, and cancer. In addition, we performed secondary analyses among individuals (N=2457) within the normal NT-proBNP limits at baseline (<125pg/ml aged <75 years; <450pg/ml aged ≥75 years). Overall, individuals were aged 32-110 years (median 67 years; 44% male), had mean NT-proBNP of 318.5 pg/ml (median 91.0 pg/ml) and 1066 individuals (33%) died over the follow-up period. After adjustment, each 1 SD greater baseline NT-proBNP was associated with a 1.30-times increased hazard of mortality (95% CI: 1.24-1.36; P<0.0001). Results were similar in individuals with normal baseline NT-proBNP (HR: 1.21; 95% CI: 1.11-1.32; P<0.0001). These results suggest that NT-proBNP is a strong and specific biomarker for mortality in older adults independent of current health status, even in those with clinically-defined normal NT-proBNP.

scholarly journals Association Between Informant-Reported Sleep Disturbance and Incident Dementia: An Analysis of the National Alzheimer’s Coordinating Center Uniform Data Set

2020 ◽  
pp. 073346482096720
Author(s):  
Woojung Lee ◽  
Shelly L. Gray ◽  
Douglas Barthold ◽  
Donovan T. Maust ◽  
Zachary A. Marcum
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Sleep Disturbance ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cognitive Screening ◽  
Cognitive Level ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Incident Dementia ◽  
Normal Cognition

Informants’ reports can be useful in screening patients for future risk of dementia. We aimed to determine whether informant-reported sleep disturbance is associated with incident dementia, whether this association varies by baseline cognitive level and whether the severity of informant-reported sleep disturbance is associated with incident dementia among those with sleep disturbance. A longitudinal retrospective cohort study was conducted using the uniform data set collected by the National Alzheimer’s Coordinating Center. Older adults without dementia at baseline living with informants were included in analysis. Cox proportional hazards models showed that participants with an informant-reported sleep disturbance were more likely to develop dementia, although this association may be specific for older adults with normal cognition. In addition, older adults with more severe sleep disturbance had a higher risk of incident dementia than those with mild sleep disturbance. Informant-reported information on sleep quality may be useful for prompting cognitive screening.

scholarly journals Association of poor sleep burden in middle age and older adults with risk for delirium during hospitalization

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ma Cherrysse Ulsa ◽  
Xi Zheng ◽  
Peng Li ◽  
Arlen Gaba ◽  
Patricia M Wong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sleep Disturbances ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Time Lag ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Poor Sleep ◽  
Cardiovascular Risks ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
The Uk

Abstract Background Delirium is a distressing neurocognitive disorder recently linked to sleep disturbances. However, the longitudinal relationship between sleep and delirium remains unclear. This study assessed the associations of poor sleep burden, and its trajectory, with delirium risk during hospitalization. Methods 321,818 participants from the UK Biobank (mean age 58±8y[SD]; range 37-74y) reported (2006-2010) sleep traits (sleep duration, excessive daytime sleepiness, insomnia-type complaints, napping, and chronotype–a closely-related circadian measure for sleep timing), aggregated into a sleep burden score (0-9). New-onset delirium (n=4,775) was obtained from hospitalization records during 12y median follow-up. 42,291 (mean age 64±8; range 44-83y) had repeat sleep assessment on average 8y after their first. Results In the baseline cohort, Cox proportional hazards models showed that moderate (aggregate scores=4-5) and severe (scores=6-9) poor sleep burden groups were 18% (hazard ratio 1.18 [95% confidence interval 1.08-1.28], p<0.001) and 57% (1.57 [1.38-1.80], p<0.001), more likely to develop delirium respectively. The latter risk magnitude is equivalent to two additional cardiovascular risks. These findings appeared robust when restricted to postoperative delirium and after exclusion of underlying dementia. Higher sleep burden was also associated with delirium in the follow-up cohort. Worsening sleep burden (score increase ≥2 vs. no change) further increased the risk for delirium (1.79 [1.23-2.62], p=0.002) independent of their baseline sleep score and time-lag. The risk was highest in those under 65y at baseline (p for interaction <0.001). Conclusion Poor sleep burden and worsening trajectory were associated with increased risk for delirium; promotion of sleep health may be important for those at higher risk.

Efficacy outcomes of nivolumab + cabozantinib versus pembrolizumab + axitinib in patients with advanced renal cell carcinoma (aRCC): Matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC).

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4578-4578
Author(s):  
Bradley Alexander McGregor ◽  
Daniel M. Geynisman ◽  
Mauricio Burotto ◽  
Camillo Porta ◽  
Cristina Suarez Rodriguez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Objective Response ◽  
Indirect Comparison ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Wald Test ◽  
Patient Characteristics ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Published Data ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models

4578 Background: Nivolumab in combination with cabozantinib (N+C) has demonstrated significantly improved progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR), and overall survival (OS), compared with sunitinib as a first-line (1L) treatment for aRCC in the phase 3 CheckMate (CM) 9ER trial. As there are no head-to-head trials comparing N+C with pembrolizumab in combination with axitinib (P+A), this study compared the efficacy of N+C with P+A as 1L treatment in aRCC. Methods: An MAIC was conducted using individual patient data on N+C (N = 323) from the CM 9ER trial (median follow-up: 23.5 months) and published data on P+A (N = 432) from the KEYNOTE (KN)-426 trialof P+A (median follow-up: 30.6 months). Individual patients within the CM 9ER trial population were reweighted to match the key patient characteristics published in KN-426 trial, including age, gender, previous nephrectomy, International Metastatic RCC Database Consortium risk score, and sites of metastasis. After weighting, hazards ratios (HR) of PFS, duration of response (DoR), and OS comparing N+C vs. P+A were estimated using weighted Cox proportional hazards models, and ORR was compared using a weighted Wald test. All comparisons were conducted using the corresponding sunitinib arms as an anchor. Results: After weighting, patient characteristics in the CM 9ER trial were comparable to those in the KN-426 trial. In the weighted population, N+C had a median PFS of 19.3 months (95% CI: 15.2, 22.4) compared to a median PFS of 15.7 months (95% CI: 13.7, 20.6) for P+A. Using sunitinib as an anchor arm, N+C was associated with a 30% reduction in risk of progression or death compared to P+A, (HR: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.53, 0.93; P = 0.015; table). In addition, N+C was associated with numerically, although not statistically, higher improvement in ORR vs sunitinib (difference: 8.4%, 95% CI: -1.7%, 18.4%; P = 0.105) and improved DoR (HR: 0.79; 95% CI: 0.47, 1.31; P = 0.359). Similar OS outcomes were observed for N+C and P+A (HR: 0.99; 95% CI: 0.67, 1.44; P = 0.940). Conclusions: After adjusting for cross-trial differences, N+C had a more favorable efficacy profile compared to P+A, including statistically significant PFS benefits, numerically improved ORR and DoR, and similar OS.[Table: see text]

Abstract WP218: Increased Systolic Blood Pressure Variability Among Diabetic Patients is Associated With Higher Risk of Incident Stroke: A Secondary Analysis of ACCORDION

Stroke ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam H de Havenon ◽  
Ka-Ho Wong ◽  
Eva Mistry ◽  
Mohammad Anadani ◽  
Shadi Yaghi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Blood Pressure Variability ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Secondary Analysis ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Diabetic Patients ◽  
Adjusted Risk ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Increased Risk

Background: Increased blood pressure variability (BPV) has been associated with stroke risk, but never specifically in patients with diabetes. Methods: This is a secondary analysis of the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes Follow-On Study (ACCORDION), the long term follow-up extension of ACCORD. Visit-to-visit BPV was analyzed using all BP readings during the first 36 months. The primary outcome was incident ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke after 36 months. Differences in mean BPV was tested with Student’s t-test. We fit Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the adjusted risk of stroke across lowest vs. highest quintile of BPV and report hazard ratios along with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results: Our analysis included 9,241 patients, with a mean (SD) age of 62.7 (6.6) years and 61.7% were male. Mean (SD) follow-up was 5.7 (2.4) years and number of BP readings per patient was 12.0 (4.3). Systolic, but not diastolic, BPV was higher in patients who developed stroke (Table 1). The highest quintile of SBP SD was associated with increased risk of incident stroke, independent of mean blood pressure or other potential confounders. (Table 2, Figure 1). There was no interaction between SBP SD and treatment arm assignment, although the interaction for glucose approached significance (Table 2). Conclusion: Higher systolic BPV was associated with incident stroke in a large cohort of diabetic patients. Future trials of stroke prevention may benefit from interventions targeting BPV reduction.

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