scholarly journals Strong Predictors of Chromosomal Aberrations and Myeloid Neoplasia Following Immunosuppression Therapy for Severe Aplastic Anemia: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Blood ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 138 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 601-601
Author(s):  
Emma M. Groarke ◽  
Bhavisha A. Patel ◽  
Ruba Shalhoub ◽  
Fernanda Gutierrez-Rodrigues ◽  
Parth Desai ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Clonal Evolution ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Competing Risk ◽  
Long Term Outcomes ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Risk Evolution ◽  
Pre Treatment ◽  
Myeloid Neoplasia

Abstract Introduction: Immune aplastic anemia (AA) is effectively treated with either immunosuppressive treatment (IST) or allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT). Clonal evolution remains the most feared long-term complication after IST. We investigated predictor factors, genetic characteristics, and long-term outcomes of patients who developed either secondary myeloid neoplasia or isolated chromosomal abnormalities without morphologic dysplasia after immunosuppression. Methods: All patients with severe AA treated at the NIH Clinical Center with IST from 1989-2020 who underwent clonal evolution were categorized as "high-risk" (overt myeloid neoplasia, or isolated chromosome 7 abnormality / complex cytogenetics) or "low-risk" (isolated chromosome abnormalities without overt myeloid neoplasia or dysplasia; isolated chromosome 7 abnormality or complex cytogenetics were characterized as high-risk). Univariable analysis was performed using the Fine-Gray competing risk regression model using death as a competing risk to determine predictors of clonal evolution. Classification and regression tree analysis of time to clonal evolution was performed on continuous baseline variables to partition the data based on the best categorical cutoff. Long term outcomes assessed included overall survival (OS) and HSCT. Error corrected next-generation sequencing (ECS) was used to assess for pathogenic somatic variants in known myeloid cancer genes in clonal evolvers both at time of evolution and in serial samples prior when available. Results: Of 659 patients with severe AA included in this study, 95 developed clonal evolution: 59 high-risk and 36 low-risk. Age >48 years at diagnosis and pre-treatment ANC >0.87x10 9/L were strong predictors of high-risk clonal evolution. High-risk clonal evolution was increased in patients aged >48 years, with cumulative incidence (CI) of 13.9% by 5 years compared to patients aged <48 years of 3.8% by 5 years (p<0.001). Baseline ANC >0.87 x10 9/L (independent of age) predicted an even higher risk of evolution; CI for high-risk evolution was 17% by 5 years (p<0.001). Combined high ANC and older age (>48 years) were prognostic of the greatest risk of high-risk evolution, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 5.51; conversely, ANC <0.87 x10 9/L and age <48 years was protective, with HR 0.32. High-risk clonal evolution was not significantly increased by use of eltrombopag with IST versus IST only (p=0.3), but there was an increase when all clonal evolution was considered (p=0.02). Overall survival in high-risk evolution was 35% at 5 years and in low-risk evolution was 84% (p<0.001). Patients with high-risk evolution who underwent HSCT (n=26) had better OS compared to those treated with chemotherapy or supportive care (p=0.005). RUNX1 (13 variants in 8 [35%] patients) and ASXL1 (13 variants in 10 [43%] patients) were the most frequent mutated genes at time of clonal evolution in high-risk patients, and BCOR/L1 (14 variants in 8 [32%] patients) was the most frequently mutated in the low-risk group. Longitudinal data were available in five high-risk and eight low-risk patients. Three of five high-risk patients had acquisition or expansion of RUNX1 clones at evolution. Small RUNX1 variants were present in two patients as early as three years prior to high-risk evolution. Splicing factor genes and RUNX1 somatic variants were detected exclusively in the high-risk group; DNMT3A, BCOR/L1 and ASXL1 gene mutations were present in both groups. Conclusion: Age and pre-treatment ANC strongly predict high-risk clonal evolution in AA patients after IST and may be used determine at-risk patients for long term follow-up. Outcomes in patients with low-risk evolution are favorable but poor in high-risk evolution without HSCT. The clonal landscape differs between high-risk and low-risk evolution; MDS-associated genetic mutations are enriched in high-risk evolution, in particular RUNX1. Further study of the role of RUNX1 in high-risk clonal evolvers may give insight into leukemogenesis in AA. Figure 1: Cumulative incidence (CI) of clonal evolution since immunosuppression with death treated as competing risk. (A) CI for development of all clonal evolution in patients >37 years (B) and high-risk clonal evolution in patients >48 years (C) CI for development of all clonal evolution when baseline ANC >0.87x10 9/L and (D) high-risk clonal evolution when baseline ANC >0.87x10 9/L. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures Young: Novartis: Research Funding.

EuroSCORE is a good global predictor of long-term outcomes in high-risk but not in low-risk patients after unprotected left main angioplasty

2011 ◽  
Vol 77 (5) ◽  
pp. 625-632 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sofiene Rekik ◽  
Jérôme Brunet ◽  
Gilles Bayet ◽  
François Xavier Hager ◽  
Laurent Meille ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Left Main ◽  
Long Term Outcomes ◽  
Risk Patients

Early and Long-Term Outcomes of Endovascular Aortic Repair in Young and Low Surgical Risk Patients in the Global Registry for Endovascular Aortic Treatment

2021 ◽  
pp. 152660282110457
Author(s):  
Michele Piazza ◽  
Francesco Squizzato ◽  
Velipekka Suominen ◽  
Franco Grego ◽  
Santi Trimarchi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Young Patients ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Long Term Outcomes ◽  
Surgical Risk ◽  
High Risk Patients ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Global Registry ◽  
Related Mortality

Purpose: To investigate early- and long-term outcomes of endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) for infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in young and low surgical risk patients. Methods: The global registry for endovascular aortic treatment (GREAT) was queried for all patients with AAA undergoing standard EVAR; patients were excluded if had previous AAA repair or underwent concomitant procedures. Young patients were defined if age <60; surgical risk was assessed through the validated Medicare perioperative risk score (MPRS) based on age, sex, renal function, heart failure, and peripheral vascular disease. Patients were classified as low (MPRS<3), average (MPRS 3–11), or high (MPRS>11) risk. Young versus older patients and low-risk versus average/high-risk patients were compared. The primary endpoints were early (30 days) major adverse events (MAEs), 5-year freedom from overall mortality, aortic-related mortality, and freedom from device-related reinterventions. Time-to-event endpoints were calculated by Kaplan–Meier curves. Results: Of 3217 included patients, 182 (6%) were <60 years old, 956 (30%) had a low surgical risk, 1561 (49%) an average risk, 700 (22%) a high risk. Young patients had a less angulated proximal neck (27.2±18.4° vs 30.9±21.5°; p=0.05); in low-risk compared to average/high-risk patients, a longer neck length (3±1.8 vs 2.8±1.4 cm; p=0.01) and lower neck angulation (29.7±21.8° vs 33.2±22.2°; p=0.01) were present. Young age alone had no significant impact on early mortality (0% vs 0.6%; p=0.62.) and MAEs (3.9% vs 6.1%; p=0.20), while these were significantly lower in low-risk compared to average/high-risk patients (early mortality: 0.1% vs 0.7%, p=0.04; MAEs: 4.1% vs 6.7%, p=0.005). At 5 years, overall survival was significantly higher in young (88% vs 76%; p<0.001) and lower-risk (77% vs 54%; p<0.001) patients; low-risk patients also had significantly decreased aortic-related mortality (0% vs 2%; p=0.04) and reintervention rates (6% vs 11%; p=0.007). There were no statistically significant differences in mortality (0% vs 2%; p=0.42) and reintervention rate (10% vs 10%; p=1.00) between young and older patients. Conclusion: In this real-world registry, EVAR was more often offered in cases with suitable anatomy in young and low-risk patients. Low operative risk, rather than young age alone, predicted excellent early outcomes and low 5-year mortality, aortic-related mortality, and reintervention rates.

Laparoscopic Sleeve Gastrectomy for High-Risk Patients in a Monocentric Series: Long-Term Outcomes and Predictors of Success

2019 ◽  
Vol 29 (11) ◽  
pp. 3629-3637 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aurora Gil–Rendo ◽  
José Ramón Muñoz-Rodríguez ◽  
Francisco Domper Bardají ◽  
Bruno Menchén Trujillo ◽  
Fernando Martínez-de Paz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sleeve Gastrectomy ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Laparoscopic Sleeve Gastrectomy ◽  
Predictors Of Success ◽  
Long Term Outcomes ◽  
High Risk Patients ◽  
Risk Patients

Long-term outcomes of endovascular aneurysm repair for challenging aortic necks using the Talent endograft

Vascular ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 132-140 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeffrey Jim ◽  
Brian G Rubin ◽  
Patrick J Geraghty ◽  
Luis A Sanchez
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Endovascular Aneurysm Repair ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Long Term Results ◽  
Long Term Outcomes ◽  
Aneurysm Repair ◽  
Related Mortality

The aim of the present paper is to evaluate the long-term outcomes of endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) for challenging aortic necks. Subgroup analyses were performed on 156 patients from the prospective multicenter Talent eLPS (enhanced Low Profile Stent Graft System) trial. Patients with high-risk aortic necks (length < 15 mm or diameter ≥28 mm) were compared with the remaining patients. Patients with high-risk ( n = 86) and low-risk necks ( n = 70) had similar age and gender distribution. Despite similar prevalences of co-morbidities, the high-risk group had higher Society for Vascular Surgery scores. The high-risk group also had larger maximum aneurysm diameters (56.6 versus 53.0 mm, P < 0.02). There were lower freedoms from major adverse events (MAEs) for the high-risk group at 30 days (84.9 versus 95.7%; P < 0.04) and 365 days (73.4 versus 89.2%; P = 0.02). Effectiveness endpoints at 12 m showed no significant differences. Freedom from all-cause mortality at 30 days (96.5 versus 100%) and aneurysm-related mortality at 365 days (96.0 versus 100%) were similar. At five years, there were no differences in endoleaks or change in aneurysm diameter. All migrations occurred in the high-risk group. The five-year freedom from aneurysm-related mortality for the high- and low-risk groups was 93.2 and 100%, respectively. In conclusion, despite a higher rate of MAEs within the first year and higher migration rates at five years, EVAR in aneurysms with challenging aortic necks can be treated with acceptable long-term results.

Long-Term Outcomes of TBI-Based Myeloablative SCT In 292 Consecutive Adults with Ph-Negative ALL: Similar Outcomes for Transplantation Using Related Donor, Well-Matched Unrelated Donor, or Partially Matched Unrelated Donor Sources

Blood ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 116 (21) ◽  
pp. 2355-2355
Author(s):  
Seok Lee ◽  
Seung-Ah Yahng ◽  
Sung-Eun Lee ◽  
Byung-Sik Cho ◽  
Ki-Seong Eom ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Cumulative Incidence ◽  
Unrelated Donor ◽  
Long Term Outcomes ◽  
Matched Unrelated Donor ◽  
No Donor ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Related Donor ◽  
Standard Risk

Abstract Abstract 2355 Background: The graft-versus-leukemia effect in adult acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) has now been definitely confirmed from the ‘matched related donor (RD) versus no donor' comparisons. However, no definite conclusions can be extracted from these data as to whether or not there is a survival advantage to RD-stem cell transplantation (SCT) over other therapeutic modalities for both high-risk and standard-risk patients with Philadelphia (Ph)-negative ALL. In addition, ‘RD versus no donor' approach is becoming outmoded, as in many studies those previously in a ‘no donor' category are now undergoing unrelated donor (URD)-SCT. Aims: We report long-term outcomes of total body irradiation-based myeloablative SCT in 292 consecutive adults with Ph-negative ALL who received transplants at our center between 1995 and 2008 (median follow-up of survivors, 85 months). This study focused on following questions: (1) How different are the outcomes of SCT according to the donor sources? (2) Which factors are important to determination of transplantation outcome? (3) Which URD should be chosen? (4) Is there a role of autologous (AUTO)-SCT plus maintenance chemotherapy? Methods: Median age was 25 years (range, 15–63 years). Overall, 237 (81.2%) of 292 patients had one or more high-risk features, including adverse cytogenetics [t(4;11), t(8;14), complex (>=5 abnormalities), Ho-Tr], older age (>=35 years), high leukocyte counts (>=30×109/L for B-ALL, >=100×109/L for T-ALL), or delayed first complete remission (CR1; >28 days). Two hundred and forty-one patients (82.5%) were transplanted in CR1; 22 (7.6%) in CR2; and 29 (9.9%) in advanced status. URD sources were classified as well-matched (WM), partially matched (PM), and mismatched (MM) based on a new proposed guideline from the NMDP-CIBMTR. Donor sources were RD (n=132), WM-URD (n=30), PM-URD (n=19), MM-URD (n=19), and AUTO (n=92). All patients and donors provided written informed consent, and the treatment protocol was approved by the institutional review board of The Catholic University of Korea. Results: Cumulative incidence of relapse at 5 years was 48.5% for AUTO versus 32.6% for RD, 19.4% for WM-URD, 32.3% for PM-URD, and 51.0% for MM-URD (RR, 2.70; 95% CI, 1.65 to 4.42; p<0.001). In multivariate analyses, other factors associated with higher relapse risk included transplantation in CR2 or later (p<0.001), T-lineage ALL (p=0.020), and adverse cytogenetics (p=0.038). Cumulative incidence of non-relapse mortality (NRM) at 5 years was 40.5% for MM-URD versus 19.6% for SD, 20.3% for WM-URD, 15.8% for PM-URD, and 9.8% for AUTO (RR, 3.09; 95% CI, 1.32 to 7.25; p=0.010). Patients older than 35 years had higher NRM (p=0.007). As a result, disease-free survival (DFS) at 5 years was inferior using AUTO (46.1%; RR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.14 to 2.51; p=0.010) or MM-URD (26.3%; RR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.05 to 3.95; p=0.036), compared to RD sources, while DFS from all other donor sources was approximately equivalent (53.5% for RD, 63.3% for WM-URD, and 57.0% for PM-URD). Transplantation in CR2 or later (p<0.001), older age (p=0.020), and adverse cytogenetics (p=0.041) were associated with poorer DFS. In a pairwise comparison of outcomes between RD-SCT and AUTO-SCT for patients in CR1, the inferiority of AUTO-SCT was observed, particularly in high-risk patients. Conversely, in standard-risk patients, AUTO-SCT yielded comparable outcomes to RD-SCT. Summary/Conclusions: Our long-term data suggest that outcomes are similar for transplantation using SD, WM-URD, or PM-URD sources, and these may be considered the best donor sources for adults with Ph-negative ALL, especially for those with high-risk features. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

scholarly journals Integrated Mutational and Cytogenetic Analysis Identifies New Prognostic Subgroups in Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia

Blood ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 120 (21) ◽  
pp. 712-712
Author(s):  
Davide Rossi ◽  
Silvia Rasi ◽  
Valeria Spina ◽  
Alessio Bruscaggin ◽  
Sara Monti ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
General Population ◽  
Life Expectancy ◽  
Clonal Evolution ◽  
Lymphocytic Leukemia ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Category ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Newly Diagnosed ◽  
Risk Patients

Abstract Abstract 712 The identification of NOTCH1, SF3B1, MYD88 and BIRC3 genetic lesions in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) prompts a comprehensive and dynamic prognostic algorithm including gene mutations, chromosomal abnormalities, and their changes during clonal evolution. The study utilized both time-fixed (637 newly diagnosed CLL) and time-dependent (257 CLL provided with 524 sequential samples) approaches. Each sample was investigated for TP53, NOTCH1, SF3B1, MYD88, and BIRC3 mutations by Sanger sequencing and for 17p13, 11q22-q23, 13q14 and BIRC3 deletions and +12 by FISH. Del13q14 and +12 distributed in a mutually exclusive fashion (p<0.0001), and identified three main genetic subgroups: cases harboring del13q14, cases harboring +12 and cases lacking both del13q14 and +12. With the sole exception of the expected association between NOTCH1 mutations and +12 CLL (p=0.0014), the prevalence of the other genetic lesions did not differ among molecular subgroups. FISH abnormalities segregated patients in distinct prognostic groups according to Döhner (Fig 1A). Among new genetic lesions, survival analysis confirmed the independent prognostic value of NOTCH1, SF3B1 and BIRC3 lesions in this study cohort. MYD88 mutations had no prognostic effect (p=0.1728). Recursive partitioning analysis followed by random survival forest validation established the hierarchical order of relevance of the genetic lesions, and created an integrated mutational and cytogenetic (MUCY) model that classified newly diagnosed CLL into four prognostic subgroups (Fig 1B). High risk patients harbored TP53 disruption and/or BIRC3 disruption independent of co-occurring lesions (10-year survival: 29.1%). When the demographic effects of age, sex and year of diagnosis were compensated, the 10-year life expectancy of high risk patients was only 37.7% of that expected in the matched general population (p<0.0001). Intermediate risk patients harbored NOTCH1 and/or SF3B1 mutations and/or del11q22-q23 in the absence of TP53 and BIRC3 abnormalities (10-year OS: 37.1%). The 10-year life expectancy of intermediate risk patients was reduced to 48.5% compared to the matched general population (p<0.0001). The low risk category comprised both patients harboring +12 and patients wild type for all genetic lesions (i.e. normal) (10-year OS: 57.3%), with a 10-year life expectancy of 70.7% compared to the matched general population (p<0.0001). Very low risk patients harbored del13q14 as the sole genetic lesion (10-year OS: 69.3%), with a 10-year life expectancy only slightly (84.2%) and not significantly (p=0.1455) lower than that expected in the matched general population. Multivariate analysis selected the MUCY model as one of the most important independent risk factor of CLL OS (HR: 1.38; 95% CI: 1.18–1.60; p<0.0001; 99% bootstrap selection), along with age (HR: 1.06; 95% CI: 1.04–1.07; p<0.0001; 100% bootstrap selection), Rai stage (HR: 1.36; 95% CI: 1.23-1-51; p<0.0001; 100% bootstrap selection) and unmutated IGHV genes (HR: 1.63; 95% CI: 1.17–2.26; p=0.0039; 92% bootstrap selection). Overall, 21.5% (105/488) low risk patients according to the FISH model (del13q14, normal and +12) were reclassified into high risk genetic subgroups by the MUCY model because of the co-occurrence of NOTCH1 (64/488, 13.1%), SF3B1 (35/488, 7.1%), and TP53 (17/488, 3.4%) mutations or BIRC3 disruption (14/488, 2.8%). Consistently, the inclusion of NOTCH1, SF3B1 and BIRC3 lesions in addition to FISH abnormalities significantly improved the model accuracy of OS prediction (c-index: 0.617 vs c-index: 0.642 p<0.0001). At 10 years from diagnosis, 24.5% CLL of the very low and low risk genetic subgroups developed new TP53, NOTCH1, SF3B1, BIRC3 or del11q22-q23 lesions due to clonal evolution, and therefore switched to a higher risk category of the MUCY model. By time-dependent and landmark analysis, the MUCY model retained a statistically significant impact on CLL OS (HR: 1.52; 95% CI: 1.21–1.90; p=0.0003) at any time from diagnosis and independent of its dynamic changes due to clonal evolution. The MUCY model classifies CLL patients into more precise subgroups, advances our understanding of CLL biology, and improves current prognostic algorithms. These findings have relevant implications for the design of clinical trials aimed at assessing the use of mutational profiling to inform therapeutic decisions based on risk stratification. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

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