scholarly journals Do we cause false positives? An experimental series on droplet or airborne SARS-CoV-2 contamination of sampling tubes during swab collection in a test center

Author(s):  
Thomas Scheier ◽  
Cyril Shah ◽  
Michael Huber ◽  
Hugo Sax ◽  
Barbara Hasse ◽  
...  

AbstractThe rapid spread of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic urged immense testing capacities as one cornerstone of infection control. Many institutions opened outpatient SARS-CoV-2 test centers to allow large number of tests in comparatively short time frames. With increasing positive test rates, concerns for a possible airborne or droplet contamination of specimens leading to false-positive results were raised. In our experimental series performed in a dedicated SARS-CoV-2 test center, 40 open collection tubes placed for defined time periods in proximity to individuals were found to be SARS-CoV-2 negative. These findings argue against false-positive SARS-CoV-2 results due to droplet or airborne contamination.

PEDIATRICS ◽  
1973 ◽  
Vol 52 (1) ◽  
pp. 64-68
Author(s):  
Iraj Rezvani ◽  
P. J. Collipp ◽  
Angelo M. DiGeorge

A recently developed spot test, "MPS paper," has been added to other screening tests for urinary mucopolysaccharides. The effectiveness of this test has been compared to that of the cetytrimethylammonium bromide and the acid albumin gross turbidity tests in normal children and in patients with mucopolysaccharidoses. Although all these tests are effective in the detection of excessive mucopolysaccharides in urine, their excessive sensitivity yields many weak false-positives. We found "MPS paper" test to yield 34% false-positive tests, compared to 42% for cetytrimethylammonium bromide and 8% for the acid albumin gross turbidity test. We have concluded that the acid albumin gross turbidity is the most reliable screening test for detection of mucopolysaccharide disorders. "MPS paper" spot test has the advantage of being simple and practical, but weak positive results should be interpreted with great caution; it has the added disadvantage of being the most costly of the screening tests at the present time.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gang Peng ◽  
Yishuo Tang ◽  
Tina M. Cowan ◽  
Gregory M. Enns ◽  
Hongyu Zhao ◽  
...  

Newborn screening (NBS) for inborn metabolic disorders is a highly successful public health program that by design is accompanied by false-positive results. Here we trained a Random Forest machine learning classifier on screening data to improve prediction of true and false positives. Data included 39 metabolic analytes detected by tandem mass spectrometry and clinical variables such as gestational age and birth weight. Analytical performance was evaluated for a cohort of 2777 screen positives reported by the California NBS program, which consisted of 235 confirmed cases and 2542 false positives for one of four disorders: glutaric acidemia type 1 (GA-1), methylmalonic acidemia (MMA), ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency (OTCD), and very long-chain acyl-CoA dehydrogenase deficiency (VLCADD). Without changing the sensitivity to detect these disorders in screening, Random Forest-based analysis of all metabolites reduced the number of false positives for GA-1 by 89%, for MMA by 45%, for OTCD by 98%, and for VLCADD by 2%. All primary disease markers and previously reported analytes such as methionine for MMA and OTCD were among the top-ranked analytes. Random Forest’s ability to classify GA-1 false positives was found similar to results obtained using Clinical Laboratory Integrated Reports (CLIR). We developed an online Random Forest tool for interpretive analysis of increasingly complex data from newborn screening.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S460-S461
Author(s):  
Andrew Grose ◽  
Rima McLeod

Abstract Background Part of an essential “toolbox” to eliminate Toxoplasma gondii infection is prompt recognition of acute infection acquired during gestation, in order to initiate treatment for congenital toxoplasmosis (CT). From conception to one month post-partum, screening seronegative pregnant women monthly for antibody to the parasite enables treatment that prevents trans-placental transmission of newly acquired maternal Toxoplasma, or that attenuates signs and symptoms of CT. Tests that are highly sensitive and specific—and that meet the other World Health Organization ASSURED criteria for diagnostics—are very useful for this kind of screening. Herein, we evaluated the accuracy of a test that meets these criteria—the LDBIO Toxoplasma ICT IgG-IgM device (LDBIO)—and whether it eliminated difficulties of other tests with false positive IgM results. World Health Organization A.S.S.U.R.E.D. criteria These are criteria for ideal screening or diagnostic tests, as described in a September 2017 paper in the Bulletin of the World Health Organization. Our study focused mostly on sensitivity and specificity for the LDBIO immunochromatography test for IgG and IgM specific to Toxoplasma gondii. Methods Both parts of this study examined results generated by the LDBIO device—a point-of-care immunochromatography test for Toxoplasma IgG and IgM—using serum and whole blood samples. With whole blood, thirty microliters were collected using a glass micro hematocrit tube. With both sera and whole blood, samples were loaded into the well of the LDBIO device, which took 20 minutes to generate results. In the first part of this study, we summarized results from three published U.S. studies and added new data from an ongoing clinical trial at the University of Chicago Medical Center (UCMC). In the second part of this study, we compiled data on how the LDBIO device performed on a total of 69 samples from U.S. and French studies that had led to false positive results when tested with commercially available comparator tests. Four of these false positives came from the UCMC trial. UCMC Feasiblity Study Flowchart Flowchart for ongoing feasibility study on the LDBIO device at the University of Chicago Medical Center. Data from this study may inform whether the LDBIO test—which already has the CE Mark for use in Europe—will receive 510(k) approval from the Food and Drug Administration in the U.S. Steps for Using LDBIO Device (A,B) Clean fingertip; prick with lancet (if collecting whole blood only) (C,D) Collect 30 uL in capillary tube (WB only) (E,F) Apply serum or blood sample to well; add four drops buffer and wait about 20 minutes (G) How to interpret results: black line under “T” corresponds to IgG and/or IgM to T. gondii Results LDBIO had only one false negative for a total of 664 samples from three earlier U.S. studies and the UCMC feasibility study. Meanwhile, out of 69 total false positives from various non-reference laboratory comparator tests, such as the Bio-Rad Platelia and Siemens kits, the LDBIO generated zero false positives. LDBIO's Performance on U.S. Samples Since 2014 In all four U.S. studies (total 664 patients), the LDBIO device generated one false negative result and zero false positive results. LDBIO vs. Comparator Tests Since 2017 In these three clinical settings (69 total samples), LDBIO correctly avoided generating the same false positive that had been generated by a test already cleared for widespread use in the U.S. or France. Conclusion As LDBIO shows high sensitivity and specificity and can avoid confounding false positive results, this device merits consideration as a high-quality screening test that can assist public health efforts to improve CT care worldwide. Countries Working to Implement Regular Prenatal Screening for CT Prevention The countries in green represent countries currently working with the University of Chicago to implement regular prenatal screening programs for Toxoplasma gondii: U.S., Panama, Colombia, Brazil, Morocco, and France. Screening programs in all six countries rely on low-cost, highly-accurate screening technology that meets the WHO's ASSURED criteria. The LDBIO test -- which is already in use in France -- may become a usable resource in the other five countries if it gains FDA approval. Disclosures All Authors: No reported disclosures


Chemotherapy ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 63 (6) ◽  
pp. 324-329 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael S. Ewer ◽  
Jay Herson

Purpose: Cardiac ultrasound provides important structural and functional information that makes identification of cardiac abnormalities possible. Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) provides the most commonly used parameter for recognition of treatment-related cardiac dysfunction. Random reading variance and physiologic factors influence LVEF and make the reported value imperfect. We attempt to quantitate the likelihood of false positive events by computer simulation. Methods: We simulated four visits on hypothetical trials. We assumed a baseline LVEF of 55% and normal distribution with regard to reading error and physiologic variation. 1,000 trials of sample size 1,500 were simulated. In a separate simulation, 1,000 patients entered with LVEFs of 45, 43, and 41% to estimate true positive incidence. Results: At each examination, less than 1.0% of false positives were noted. The cumulative false positive rate over four visits was 3.60%. True cardiotoxicity identification is satisfactory only when LVEF declines substantially. Conclusion: A 3.60% false positive rate in trials where the expected level of toxicity is low suggests that false positives are troubling and may exceed true positive results. Strategies to reduce the number of false positive results include making confirmatory studies mandatory. Evaluating increases along with decreases obtains some estimation of variance.


1981 ◽  
Vol 46 (03) ◽  
pp. 652-654 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dieter Lockner ◽  
Christer Paul ◽  
Birger Hedlund ◽  
Sam Schulman ◽  
Dag Nyman

Summary161 consecutively admitted medical patients with the clinical suspicion of acute deep venous thrombosis (DVT) were thermographed and phlebographed in order to study the congruence of these methods. The sensitivity of thermography in the detection of DVT was found to be 99%, whereas the specificity was only 49%.The low specificity is explained by the fact that all thermographs suggestive of DVT were classified as pathologic to keep the sensitivity of the method as high as possible. Patients with dilated veins which may closely resemble DVT on thermography may in these cases give false positive results.Of 76 patients with phlebographically verified DVT, 22% became thermographically normal within 22 days, whereas 78% did not normalize within the mean observation time of 31 days.In another part of the study all medical patients (101) who were residing in our wards during a period of a week were screened by means of thermography. From this unselected group 17 patients were found to have thermographs suggestive of DVT. In 5 of these patients no reason for pathological thermography could be found.Thermography is a cheap and highly sensitive screening method for DVT, but findings of false positives caused by older thromboses and dilated veins are not unusual. The frequency of such false positives may be minimized by performing thermography after exercise.


Kanzo ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 59 (11) ◽  
pp. 641-646
Author(s):  
Kojiro Michitaka ◽  
Atsushi Hiraoka ◽  
Miho Tsuruta ◽  
Toshihiko Aibiki ◽  
Tomonari Okudaira ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (7) ◽  
pp. 723-727
Author(s):  
May Kamleh ◽  
Julia Muzzy Williamson ◽  
Kari Casas ◽  
Mohamed Mohamed

OBJECTIVE Premature infants are known to have a higher rate of false positive newborn screening (NBS) results, with TPN as a contributing factor. The purpose of this quality improvement (QI) project is to reduce false positive NBS results via a TPN interruption protocol METHODS A multidisciplinary team reviewed the literature and developed a new NBS collection protocol, which was implemented in 2 periods. In period 1, TPN was interrupted for 4 hours before NBS sample collection and initiation of carnitine supplements was avoided. In period 2, TPN was interrupted for 6 hours for infants birth weight (BW) < 1000 g, carnitine supplementation continued to be avoided. The rates of false positives NBS results were compared pre- and post-interventions in periods 1 and 2. RESULTS Four hundred twelve neonates were evaluated prior to implementation of this QI project (July 2013–June 2014) and 414 during period 1 intervention (July 2014–June 2016). False positive results decreased from 20.6% to 11.4% (p < 0.001) among all BW categories following the 4-hour TPN interruption. The rate of false positives was further reduced among infants < 1000 g (p = 0.035) in period 2 (n = 112), including a significant reduction in false positive results with elevated amino acid profiles (p = 0.005). CONCLUSIONS The implementation of a strict NBS collection protocol reduced false positive NBS results, which potentially can improve patient care by reducing unnecessary laboratory draws, pain, and parental anxiety. Interruption of TPN for 6 hours was significant in reducing NBS false positive results in neonates < 1000 g.


Author(s):  
Partha Roy ◽  
Ruchi Kapoor ◽  
Priya Rawat ◽  
Monika Aggarwal ◽  
Ravi Gaur ◽  
...  

Background: Universal screening for HIV with Ag/Ab combo assays has reduced the window period significantly due to its high sensitivity. However, occurrence of false positives is common and in a country like India, it may lead to social distress and loss of livelihood. We wanted to ascertain the occurrence of false positives in our laboratory.Methods: There were 21817 samples analysed retrospectively from Jan 2015 to Jul 2017 (31 months). Architect HIV Ag/Ab Combo (Abbott Laboratories, Abbott Park, IL) was used as the first test. Repeatedly reactive samples with a signal to cutoff (S/CO) ratio greater than or equal to 1.00 was considered reactive. Strategy III (3 test algorithm) of NACO guidelines was followed uniformly.Results: In this study, 147 samples tested reactive (0.67%) and 40 samples tested false positive (repeatedly reactive; 0.18%). 6 samples were indeterminate (0.027%). Overall, the sensitivity of the Architect HIV Ag/Ab Combo was 100%, the specificity varied between 99.74% and 99.91%. The PPV from June 2016 to July 2017 was 68.63% (32 false positives). The S/CO values of 72.8% (117/147) reactive samples ranged between 201- 800, whereas 72% (29/40) of false positive samples, the S/CO values ranged between 1.0-2.0. The specificity of the test improved to 99.98% when S/CO value was adjusted at 2 and 100% when adjusted at 5. Similarly, the PPV too improved to 93.04% and 98.66% at S/CO values of 2 and 5 respectively.Conclusions: Further studies are needed to ascertain the optimal or ‘grey-zone’ S/CO values for India to minimise the false positive results and avoid further supplemental tests routinely.


2002 ◽  
Vol 68 (2) ◽  
pp. 539-544 ◽  
Author(s):  
John M. Pisciotta ◽  
Damon F. Rath ◽  
Paul A. Stanek ◽  
D. Michael Flanery ◽  
Valerie J. Harwood

ABSTRACT The Colilert-18 system for enumeration of total coliforms and Escherichia coli is approved by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency for use in drinking water analysis and is also used by various agencies and research studies for enumeration of indicator organisms in fresh and saline waters. During monitoring of Pinellas County, Fla., marine waters, estimates of E. coli numbers (by Colilert-18) frequently exceeded fecal coliform counts (by membrane filtration) by 1 to 3 orders of magnitude. Samples from freshwater sites did not display similar discrepancies. Fecal coliforms, including E. coli, could be cultured from 100% of yellow fluorescent wells (denoting E. coli-positive results) inoculated with freshwater samples but could be cultured from only 17.1% of the “positive” wells inoculated with marine samples. Ortho-nitrophenyl-β-d-galactopyranoside (ONPG)-positive or 4-methylumbelliferyl-β-d-glucuronide (MUG)-positive noncoliform bacteria were readily cultured from Colilert-18 test wells inoculated with marine samples. Filtered cell-free seawater did not cause false positives. Coculture preparations of as few as 5 CFU of Vibrio cholerae (ONPG positive) and Providencia sp. (MUG positive) ml−1 inoculated into Colilert-18 caused false-positive E. coli results. Salinity conditions influenced coculture results, as the concentration of coculture inoculum required to cause false positives in most wells increased from about 5 CFU ml−1 in seawater diluted 1:10 with freshwater to ≈5,000 CFU ml−1 in seawater diluted 1:20 with freshwater. Estimated E. coli numbers in various marine water samples processed at the 1:10 dilution ranged from 10 to 7,270 CFU�100 ml−1, while E. coli numbers in the same samples processed at the 1:20 dilution did not exceed 40 CFU�100 ml−1. The lower estimates of E. coli numbers corresponded well with fecal coliform counts by membrane filtration. This study indicates that assessment of E. coli in subtropical marine waters by Colilert-18 is not accurate when the recommended 1:10 sample dilution is used. The results suggest that greater dilution may diminish the false-positive problem, but further study of this possibility is recommended.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacob Dalgaard Christensen ◽  
Jacob Lund Orquin ◽  
Sonja Perkovic ◽  
Carl Johan Lagerkvist

Even with a small number of variables researchers can test many possible models of their data thus increasing the risk of false-positive results. Using combinatorics, we show that one key independent variable and three covariates can generate 95 possible models, while six covariates can generate over 2.3 million models. Such large model sets nearly guarantee false-positive results. Using simulation, we show that preregistering a single analysis with a key independent variable heavily reduces the risk of false-positives. However, even so, many models produce false-positive results with a much higher probability than the expected 5%. The worst-case scenario are models with interactions between binary dummy coded variables and omitted main effects. Such models can generate false-positive results up to 34.5% of the time. While preregistration is a crucial step towards reducing false-positive results, researchers need to carefully consider what analyses they plan and we provide recommendations for what analyses to avoid. Our findings also suggest that interpreting p-values in exploratory analyses might be meaningless considering the high false-positive probability.


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