TRANSFORMATION OF THE ECONOMIES OF IRAN AND RUSSIA UNDER THE NEW CORONAVIRUS OUTBREAK

Author(s):  
Ehsan Rasoulinezhad ◽  

The new coronavirus outbreak has created a serious problem for the economies of Iran and Russia, which are experiencing sanctions and low oil prices. In this article, the author tries to explain the impact of the new coronavirus outbreak on the economies and politics of Iran and Russia. The major results show that the three challenges associated with sanctions, the shock of global oil prices, and the new coronavirus outbreak can lead to different scenarios for the future of Iran and Russia. Eight different scenarios (slow economic growth, economic prosperity, weak recession, economic recovery, medium recession, economic stagnation, strong recession, and economic transformation) are identified and explained by combinations of these three issues. Regarding the current low oil prices (due to the pandemic and the Saudi price war), Western sanctions against Iran and Russia, and also uncertainty about the end of the coronavirus, scenario No. 8 (economic transformation) will be the most likely situation for the economies of Russia and Iran. As the results of this scenario, the digitalization of the economies in these two countries will be improved, and the role of governments in economic mechanisms will be higher than before the coronavirus outbreak. In addition, regionalization and Asianization will be accelerated to reduce the effect of sanctions.

Author(s):  
Iryna Adamenko

Relevance of the research topic. In the conditions of economic transformations the financial strategy acts as the important economic lever of influence of public administration bodies on social and economic development of the country. The assessment of the mechanism of financial regulation in Ukraine indicates the need to develop the components of the financial system in conjunction with the transformational economic processes and the development of a sound financial strategy in accordance with the goals and objectives of social development. Formulation of the problem. The importance of developing a financial strategy in the context of economic transformation is due to the need to take into account the impact of internal and external challenges in the financial and economic environment, economic fluctuations due to the spread of the coronavirus pandemic. At the same time, the choice of financial strategy tools should be made taking into account the level of economic development of the country. Analysis of recent research and publications. The issue of developing a financial strategy is quite common in research. These are the works of famous domestic and foreign scientists: J. Keynes, P. Samuelson, J. Stiglitz, W. Tanzi, S. Kucherenko, L. Lysyak, L. Levaeva, I. Lukyanenko, V. Makohon, M. Pasichny, I. Chugunov and others. Selection of unexplored parts of the general problem. The above issues are relevant in connection with the deepening of economic transformation, the adverse impact of the Crown virus pandemic on the financial sector, which requires a number of specific tasks related to the development of financial strategy. Problem statement, research goals. The objectives of the study are: to reveal the role of financial strategy in the regulation of socio-economic processes, to substantiate the peculiarities of the development of the components of the financial system. The purpose of the study is to reveal the directions of financial strategy in the context of economic transformation. Method or methodology of the study. The article uses a set of research methods: a systematic approach, statistical analysis, structuring, analysis, synthesis, etc. Presentation of the main material (results of work). The role of financial strategy in the regulation of socio-economic processes is revealed, the peculiarities of formation and implementation of financial strategy are substantiated. The directions of financial strategy in the conditions of economic transformations are substantiated. Field of application of results. The results of the study can be used in the process of formation and implementation of financial policy of Ukraine, reforming the domestic financial system and its components. Conclusions in accordance with the article. The qualitative level of formation and implementation of financial strategy is determined by the system of financial institutions, the state of their development in a particular country aimed at ensuring economic growth and welfare of citizens. The functional purpose of financial strategy is the result of the evolution of the role and importance of state functions in socio-economic development. Depending on the dynamics of socio-economic processes, the tasks of the financial strategy and the tools for its implementation should be adjusted. The financial strategy in the conditions of economic transformations should be directed on formation of long-term potential of economic growth and increase of well-being of the population taking into account demographic tendencies and indicators of the macroeconomic forecast of social and economic development of the country.


2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (22) ◽  
pp. 380
Author(s):  
Shaokai Huang

Azerbaijan has undergone significant economic transformation and development since the country’s independence in 1991. Azerbaijan has quickly transformed itself into an upper middle income country. The rapid economic development is mainly attributed to the exploitation of hydrocarbon resources (through production sharing agreements with foreign oil companies and foreign direct investment). Substantial reforms intended to support a market-based economy have been instrumental in facilitating economic growth. This paper applies the Slow Model to explain factors that drive the rapid economic growth in Azerbaijan. This paper discusses the theoretical role of capital, labor, and technology in economic growth and illustrates the impact of corresponding factors in practice, i.e., foreign investment, labor force, education, and technology, on Azerbaijan’s economic growth.


VUZF Review ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 160-170
Author(s):  
Małgorzata Hala

The aim of the article is to present the role of the financial system in economic growth and development. The first part presents the traditional understanding of the relationship between the economic system and economic growth. The second part presents the experience of financial crises and their impact on the conversation on the mutual relations between the financial sector and the real sector. The third part shows the role of the state in the financial system. The article describes the arrangement of interrelated financial institutions, financial markets and elements of the financial system infrastructure.  It shows what part of the economic system the financial system is, and whether it enables the provision of services allowing the circulation of purchasing power throughout the economy. The article presents the important role of the financial system, the role related to the transfer of capital from entities with savings to entities that need capital for investments. It shows the financial system as a set of logically related organizational forms, legal acts, financial institutions and other elements enabling entities to establish financial relations in the real sector and the financial sector, and this system forms the basis of activity for entities using money, enabling the conclusion of various economic transactions, in which money performs various functions. The article also presents the concept of a financial crisis as a situation in which there are rapid changes in the financial market, usually associated with insufficient liquidity or insolvency of banks or financial institutions, and as a result, a decrease in production or its deepening. The article also includes issues related to the impact of public authorities (state and local authorities) on the financial system in the economy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 23-45
Author(s):  
Jin-Hui Li ◽  
Chol-Ju An ◽  
Gwang-Nam Rim

Purpose: This paper analyzes the impact of transport infrastructure on Gross Regional Products in Chinese provinces under the “Belt and Road Initiative”. Methods: The impact of the key elements of transport infrastructure on Gross Regional Products is analyzed based on the data related to development levels of transport infrastructure and economic development. Correlation and regression analyses were used for data analysis. Results: It is found that railways and highways, which are the key elements of transport infrastructure, have a strong correlation with Gross Regional Products, and their effects are diverse among provinces under study. Implications: The findings demonstrate the position and role of diverse infrastructural elements in enhancing the economic benefits of infrastructural investment and promoting economic growth. Thus, it is expected to facilitate decision-making related to infrastructural investment under the “Belt and Road Initiative”.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuan-pei Kuang ◽  
Jia-li Yang ◽  
Meseret-Chanie Abate

PurposeThe multidimensional effects of farmland transfer in China have been profoundly unstudied. The purpose of this paper is to provide insights on the effects of the intermediary role of agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) of farmland transfer on agricultural economic growth in China.Design/methodology/approachBased on the agricultural data of 30 provinces in China over the period 2005–2018, this paper uses the intermediary effect model to test the relationship between farmland transfer, agricultural TFP and agricultural economic growth. This paper employed an intermediary effect test model to investigate the intermediary role of agricultural TFP in the influence of farmland transfer on agricultural economic growth.FindingsThe findings indicated that farmland transfer has a significant effect on promoting agricultural economic growth. There is a significant “inverted U-shaped” relationship between farmland transfer and agricultural TFP. The sample value of 84.3% of farmland transfers in China is still within the TFP promoting effect range. In addition, farmland transfer has an indirect impact on agricultural economic growth through the channel of agricultural TFP. Agricultural TFP plays a significant intermediary role, but the effect is relatively lowOriginality/valueThis paper is the first to provide fundamental evidence on the impact of farmland transfers on agricultural economic growth in China, driven by agricultural TFP as an intermediary factor. Agricultural TFP can reduce the involution effect of farmland transfer and promote an indirect effect on agricultural economic growth.


Author(s):  
Niels Viggo Haueter

Reinsurance is perceived to have a stabilizing effect on the direct insurance industry and thereby on the economy overall. Yet, research into how exactly reinsurance impacts various areas is scarce. Traditionally, studying the impact of reinsurance used to be in the domain of actuaries; since the 1960s, they have tried to assess how different contract elements can provide what came to be called “optimal reinsurance.” In the 2010s, such research was intensified in developing countries with the aim to deploy reinsurance to support economic growth and security. Interest in reinsurance increased when the industry became more visible in the 1990s as the impact of natural catastrophes started being linked to a changing climate. Reinsurers emerged as spokespeople for climate-related issues, and the industry took a lead role in arguing in favor of implementing measures to reduce environmental deterioration. Reinsurers, it was argued, have a vested interest in managing the impact of natural catastrophes. This triggered discussions about the role of reinsurance overall and about how to assess its impact. In the wake of the financial crisis of 2007 and 2008, interest in reinsurance again surged, this time due to perceived systemic impacts.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 4689 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shahriyar Mukhtarov ◽  
Jeyhun I. Mikayilov ◽  
Sugra Humbatova ◽  
Vugar Muradov

The study analyzes the impact of economic growth, carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, and oil price on renewable energy consumption in Azerbaijan for the data spanning from 1992 to 2015, utilizing structural time series modeling approach. Estimation results reveal that there is a long-run positive and statistically significant effect of economic growth on renewable energy consumption and a negative impact of oil price in the case of Azerbaijan, for the studied period. The negative impact of oil price on renewable energy consumption can be seen as an indication of comfort brought by the environment of higher oil prices, which delays the transition from conventional energy sources to renewable energy consumption for the studied country case. Also, we find that the effect of CO2 on renewable energy consumption is negative but statistically insignificant. The results of this article might be beneficial for policymakers and support the current literature for further research for oil-rich developing countries.


1992 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 93-100
Author(s):  
Peter M. Oppenheimer

Strategic issues facing oil majors in the 1990s are very diffuse — in contrast with both the 1970s (when strategy meant the response to high oil prices) and the 1980s (when it meant anticipating and exploiting a drop in prices). Mainly upstream issues include the future of price management by OPEC or a successor, the speed of development of new markets for natural gas in power generation and the role of Russia in world energy markets. Other issues include the impact of environmental regulations and taxes on the product mix and on marketing. Human-resource management will continue to face the task of reconciling career opportunities with static or declining manpower requirements; and corporate cash mountains may periodically recur.


2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 316-333
Author(s):  
Allam Mohammed Hamdan ◽  
Reem Khamis ◽  
Ammar Abdulla Al Hawaj ◽  
Elisabetta Barone

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the mediation role of public governance in the relationship between entrepreneurship and economic growth in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Design/methodology/approach To achieve this aim, the study uses a 20-year time series analysis (1996–2015) and tests the effect of entrepreneurship on economic growth, through public governance, via a mediator model. Findings The study has determined that public governance buoys the positive effect that entrepreneurship activities exert on economic growth in the UAE. Based on this determination, the study posits a set of recommendations that focus on supporting entrepreneurship activities that play a significant role in economic growth. Originality/value The study adds to the literature on the impact of entrepreneurship on economies dependent on oil revenues vis-à-vis a public policy perspective. The study provides insights into the type of entrepreneurship that most efficaciously suits the Emirati social and cultural milieu in terms of fostering national economic growth. In addition, the study limns a vision of the role of public governance in creating an enabling environment that stimulates entrepreneurial activity and, in turn, increases economic growth in the Emirates.


2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dolly Gaur ◽  
Dipti Ranjan Mohapatra

PurposeIn recent years, the Indian banking sector is facing a major cause of concern in the form of Nonperforming Assets (NPA), and the priority sector lending (PSL) is generally recognized as the major factor contributing to it. Thus, the present study has been carried out with the objective of examining the relationship between priority sector lending and GDP growth. Thereafter, the role of PSL and certain other bank-specific, industry-specific and macroeconomic variables in determining NPA has been studied.Design/methodology/approachTaking a sample of 45 scheduled commercial banks, the study has been carried out for 14 years (2004–2018). Granger causality between PSL and GDP has been examined by applying the Dumitrescu-Hurlin test. For the purpose of investigating the impact of PSL and other determinants on NPA, both static and dynamic panel regression have been performed. Under the dynamic panel, system generalized methods of moments (S-GMM) approach has been followed.FindingsThe findings show that there exists a positive correlation and bidirectional causal relationship between PSL and GDP, which implies that PSL brings additional growth for the whole economy. In addition to it, PSL is found to be insignificant for the NPA ratio, and thus, it can be inferred that credit extended to government-specified sectors does not bring any major increase in the bad loan portfolio of banks.Practical implicationsThe policymakers and bank management can take a cue from the findings of this study to decrease the exposure to loan nonrepayment issue. The priority sectors are in need of formal credit for their growth, and since the rising population of the country can find employment in these sectors, banks should meet their credit needs while securing their position with regard to the NPA problem.Originality/valueThe issue of NPA determinants, and in particular, the contribution of priority sector lending in it has not been much explored for Indian banking sector. Also, the present study adds to the literature by using the causality approach for examining the importance of directed credit schemes for economic growth.


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