Cumulative Triglyceride-glucose Index Is a Risk for CVD: A Prospective Cohort Study
Abstract Background Previous studies has shown a significant relationship between baseline triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the long-term effect of TyG index and incident CVD remains uncertain. This study aimed to investigate the association between cumulative TyG index and the risk of CVD.Method In this study, we recruited individuals participating in Kailuan Study from 2006 to 2013 without stroke, myocardial infarction, and cancer in the four consecutive examinations. Cumulative TyG index was calculated by multiplying the average TyG index and the time between the two consecutive examinations. Cumulative TyG index levels were categorized into four quartile groups: Q1 group, ≤50.65 (as reference group), Q2 group, 50.65-53.86, Q3 group, 53.86-57.44, Q4 group, >57.44. The effect of Cumulative TyG index on CVD incidence was estimated by multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models.Result A total of 44,087 individuals participated in the final analysis. After a mean follow-up of 6.52±1.14 years, incident CVD, MI and stroke occurred in 2057, 395 and 1695, respectively. The multivariable-adjusted COX regression model showed the HR (95% CI) of CVD were Q2 1.25(1.08-1.44), Q3 1.22(1.05-1.40) and Q4 1.39(1.21-1.61), compared to Q1 group. Consistent results were obtained in the subgroup analyses and sensitivity analyses.Conclusion Cumulative TyG index was associated with increased risk of CVD. Maintaining a healthy level of TyG index within the desirable range and better control of cumulative TyG index is important for prevention of CVD.