scholarly journals Monthly Average Rainfall Forecasting Based On An Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System in Upper Brahmani Basin, Odisha, India

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
M.Uma Maheswar Rao ◽  
Kanhu Charan Patra ◽  
Suvendu Kumar Sasmal
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Membership Functions ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Rainfall Forecasting ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neural Network Learning ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Learning Capabilities

Abstract Floods disrupt human activities, resulting in the loss of lives and property of a region. Excessive rainfall is one of the reasons for flooding, especially in the downstream areas of a catchment. Because of its complexity, understanding and forecasting rainfall is incredibly a challenge. This study investigates the use of an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) in predicting rainfall using several surface weather parameters as predictors. An ANFIS model is developed for forecasting rainfall over the Upper Brahmani Basin by using 30 years of climate data. A hybrid model with six membership functions gives the best forecast for an area. The suggested method blends neural network learning capabilities with language representations of fuzzy systems that are transparent. The application of ANFIS is to the upper Brahmani river basin is tried for the first time. The ANFIS model with various input structures and membership functions has been built, trained, and tested to evaluate the capability of the model. Statistical performance indices are used to evaluate the performance. Using the developed model, forecast is done for year 2021 – 2030.

scholarly journals Classification of Gait Patterns in Patients with Neurodegenerative Disease Using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiang Ye ◽  
Yi Xia ◽  
Zhiming Yao
Keyword(s):  
Motor Neurons ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Pso Algorithm ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Gait Dynamics ◽  
Double Support ◽  
Adaptive Capabilities ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

A common feature that is typical of the patients with neurodegenerative (ND) disease is the impairment of motor function, which can interrupt the pathway from cerebrum to the muscle and thus cause movement disorders. For patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis disease (ALS), the impairment is caused by the loss of motor neurons. While for patients with Parkinson’s disease (PD) and Huntington’s disease (HD), it is related to the basal ganglia dysfunction. Previously studies have demonstrated the usage of gait analysis in characterizing the ND patients for the purpose of disease management. However, most studies focus on extracting characteristic features that can differentiate ND gait from normal gait. Few studies have demonstrated the feasibility of modelling the nonlinear gait dynamics in characterizing the ND gait. Therefore, in this study, a novel approach based on an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) is presented for identification of the gait of patients with ND disease. The proposed ANFIS model combines neural network adaptive capabilities and the fuzzy logic qualitative approach. Gait dynamics such as stride intervals, stance intervals, and double support intervals were used as the input variables to the model. The particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm was utilized to learn the parameters of the ANFIS model. The performance of the system was evaluated in terms of sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy using the leave-one-out cross-validation method. The competitive classification results on a dataset of 13 ALS patients, 15 PD patients, 20 HD patients, and 16 healthy control subjects indicated the effectiveness of our approach in representing the gait characteristics of ND patients.

ANFIS Model for Time Series Prediction

2013 ◽  
Vol 385-386 ◽  
pp. 1411-1414 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xue Bo Jin ◽  
Jiang Feng Wang ◽  
Hui Yan Zhang ◽  
Li Hong Cao
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Prediction Error ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Time Series Prediction ◽  
Prediction Performance ◽  
Membership Functions ◽  
Adaptive Network ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System

This paper describes an architecture of ANFIS (adaptive network based fuzzy inference system), to the prediction of chaotic time series, where the goal is to minimize the prediction error. We consider the stock data as the time series. This paper focuses on how the stock data affect the prediction performance. In the experiments we changed the number of data as input of the ANFIS model, the type of membership functions and the desired goal error, thereby increasing the complexity of the training.

scholarly journals Energy Consumption, Economic Growth, and CO2 Emissions in G20 Countries: Application of Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System

Energies ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 2771 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abbas Mardani ◽  
Dalia Streimikiene ◽  
Mehrbakhsh Nilashi ◽  
Daniel Arias Aranda ◽  
Nanthakumar Loganathan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Co2 Emissions ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

Understanding the relationships among CO2 emissions, energy consumption, and economic growth helps nations to develop energy sources and formulate energy policies in order to enhance sustainable development. The present research is aimed at developing a novel efficient model for analyzing the relationships amongst the three aforementioned indicators in G20 countries using an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model in the period from 1962 to 2016. In this regard, the ANFIS model has been used with prediction models using real data to predict CO2 emissions based on two important input indicators, energy consumption and economic growth. This study made use of the fuzzy rules through ANFIS to generalize the relationships of the input and output indicators in order to make a prediction of CO2 emissions. The experimental findings on a real-world dataset of World Development Indicators (WDI) revealed that the proposed model efficiently predicted the CO2 emissions based on energy consumption and economic growth. The direction of the interrelationship is highly important from the economic and energy policy-making perspectives for this international forum, as G20 countries are primarily focused on the governance of the global economy.

Development of an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model to predict sea surface temperature (SST)

2020 ◽  
Vol 49 (4) ◽  
pp. 354-373
Author(s):  
Semih Kale
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Sea Surface Temperature ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

Abstract An accurate estimation of the sea surface temperature (SST) is of great importance. Therefore, the objective of this work was to develop an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model to predict SST in the Çanakkale Strait. The observed monthly air temperature, evaporation and precipitation data from the Çanakkale meteorological observation station were used as input data. The Takagi–Sugeno fuzzy inference system was applied. The grid partition method (ANFIS-GP) and the subtractive clustering partitioning method (ANFIS-SC) were used with Gaussian membership functions to generate the fuzzy inference system. Six performance evaluation criteria were used to evaluate the developed SST prediction models, including mean square error (MSE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) and correlation of determination (R2). The dataset was randomly divided into training and testing datasets for the machine learning process. Training data accounted for 75% of the dataset, while 25% of the dataset was allocated for testing in ANFIS. The hybrid algorithm was selected as a training algorithm for the ANFIS. Simulation results revealed that the ANFIS-SC4 model provided a higher correlation coefficient of 0.96 between the observed and predicted SST values. The results of this study suggest that the developed ANFIS model can be applied for predicting sea surface temperature around the world.

scholarly journals Optimization of EPB Shield Performance with Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System and Genetic Algorithm

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 780 ◽  
Author(s):  
Khalid Elbaz ◽  
Shui-Long Shen ◽  
Annan Zhou ◽  
Da-Jun Yuan ◽  
Ye-Shuang Xu
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Pressure Balance ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Advance Rate ◽  
Multi Objective ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Epb Shield

The prediction of earth pressure balance (EPB) shield performance is an essential part of project scheduling and cost estimation of tunneling projects. This paper establishes an efficient multi-objective optimization model to predict the shield performance during the tunneling process. This model integrates the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) with the genetic algorithm (GA). The hybrid model uses shield operational parameters as inputs and computes the advance rate as output. GA enhances the accuracy of ANFIS for runtime parameters tuning by multi-objective fitness function. Prior to modeling, datasets were established, and critical operating parameters were identified through principal component analysis. Then, the tunneling case for Guangzhou metro line number 9 was adopted to verify the applicability of the proposed model. Results were then compared with those of the ANFIS model. The comparison showed that the multi-objective ANFIS-GA model is more successful than the ANFIS model in predicting the advance rate with a high accuracy, which can be used to guide the tunnel performance in the field.

scholarly journals Rainfall Forecasting in Banyuwangi Using Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 65 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gusti Ahmad Fanshuri Alfarisy ◽  
Wayan Firdaus Mahmudy
Keyword(s):  
Membership Function ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Hybrid Learning ◽  
Learning Method ◽  
Rainfall Forecasting ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Previous Event ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
High Prediction

Rainfall forcasting is a non-linear forecasting process that varies according to area and strongly influenced by climate change. It is a difficult process due to complexity of rainfall trend in the previous event and the popularity of Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) with hybrid learning method give high prediction for rainfall as a forecasting model. Thus, in this study we investigate the efficient membership function of ANFIS for predicting rainfall in Banyuwangi, Indonesia. The number of different membership functions that use hybrid learning method is compared. The validation process shows that 3 or 4 membership function gives minimum RMSE results that use temperature, wind speed and relative humidity as parameters.

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