A nomogram based on Psoas muscle index and prognostic nutritional index predicts the prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after surgery: a multi-center cohort study

Author(s):  
Wenming Bao ◽  
Liming Deng ◽  
haitao Yu ◽  
bangjie He ◽  
Zixia Lin ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is a malignant neoplasm with a poor prognosis. Prediction of prognosis is critical for the individualized clinical management of patients with ICC. The purpose of this study is to establish a nomogram based on the psoas muscle index (PMI) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) to identify the high risk-patient with ICC after curative resection. Methods ICC Patients after hepatectomy in multi-hospital from August 2012 to October 2019 were enrolled. The overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates were analyzed by Kaplan-Meier. The independent factors were identified by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. A nomogram based on independent factors was established to predict ICC patient prognosis. Results 178 ICC patients were included. The OS was worst in the patients with a combination of low PMI combined low PNI (p < 0.01). PMI, PNI, lymph node metastasis and tumor differentiation were the independent prognostic risk factors; these factors were used to establish the nomogram was established by it. The calibration curve revealed that the nomogram survival probability prediction model was in good agreement with the actual observation results. The nomogram has good reliability in predicting ICC patient prognosis (OS C-index = 0.692). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for the nomogram's 3-year predicted survival was 0.752. Based on the stratified by nomogram, the median survival for low-risk patients was 59.8 months, compared with 16.2 months for high-risk patients (p༜0.001). Conclusion The nomogram based on the PMI and PNI can identify patients with the highest risk of poor prognosis after curative hepatectomy. It is a good decision-making tool for individualized treatment.

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dejun Wu ◽  
Zhenhua Yin ◽  
Yisheng Ji ◽  
Lin Li ◽  
Yunxin Li ◽  
...  

AbstractLncRNAs play a pivotal role in tumorigenesis and development. However, the potential involvement of lncRNAs in colon adenocarcinoma (COAD) needs to be further explored. All the data used in this study were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas database, and all analyses were conducted using R software. Basing on the seven prognosis-related lncRNAs finally selected, we developed a prognosis-predicting model with powerful effectiveness (training cohort, 1 year: AUC = 0.70, 95% Cl = 0.57–0.78; 3 years: AUC = 0.71, 95% Cl = 0.6–0.8; 5 years: AUC = 0.76, 95% Cl = 0.66–0.87; validation cohort, 1 year: AUC = 0.70, 95% Cl = 0.58–0.8; 3 years: AUC = 0.73, 95% Cl = 0.63–0.82; 5 years: AUC = 0.68, 95% Cl = 0.5–0.85). The VEGF and Notch pathway were analyzed through GSEA analysis, and low immune and stromal scores were found in high-risk patients (immune score, cor =  − 0.15, P < 0.001; stromal score, cor =  − 0.18, P < 0.001) , which may partially explain the poor prognosis of patients in the high-risk group. We screened lncRNAs that are significantly associated with the survival of patients with COAD and possibly participate in autophagy regulation. This study may provide direction for future research.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiawei Zhao ◽  
Kai Liu ◽  
Shen Li ◽  
Yuan Gao ◽  
Lu Zhao ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Lower prognostic nutritional index (PNI) is related to poor prognosis of cardiovascular disease. However, little is known about PNI and its relationship with prognosis in cerebral venous sinus thrombosis (CVST).Methods: From January 2013 to June 2019, we retrospectively identified consecutive CVST patients. We selected patients in acute / subacute phase as subjects. Poor prognosis was defined as modified Rankin Scale (mRS) of 3-6. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to confirm if lower PNI was associated with poor prognosis. Results: A total of 297 subjects with 12-month follow-up data were enrolled. Thirty-three (11.1%) had poor outcome. Multivariate logistic regression analysis suggested that PNI was an important predictive factor of poor outcome in acute/subacute CVST (odds ratio, 0.903; 95% CI, 0.833-0.978; P = 0.012). The optimal cut-off value for predicting a poor prognosis of PNI was 44.2. Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank test suggested that the lower the PNI value, the higher the mortality rate (P<0.001). In addition, the nomogram we set up showed that lower PNI was an index of poor prognosis. The c-indexes for the cute/subacute patients with CVST was 0.872.Conclusions: Lower PNI is correlated with a higher risk of adverse clinical outcome in patients with acute/subacute CVST.


Author(s):  
Umraz Khan ◽  
Graeme Perks ◽  
Rhidian Morgan-Jones ◽  
Peter James ◽  
Colin Esler ◽  
...  

This chapter discusses assessing the risk of prosthetic joint infection (PJI) and includes discussion on high-risk patients (classified by age, skin colour, extracellular matrix, cellular turnover, diabetes, obesity, rheumatoid arthritis, previous periarticular fractures and skin disorders). The aim is to allow the practitioner to identify high-risk patient attributes that can be positively influenced such that the risk of PJI is reduced. There are some patients with more than one risk factor and, as such, every effort must be made to reduce each even if there is a marginal gain in each. Delaying elective surgery until the risks of PJI are reduced must be encouraged but must be balanced with alleviating patient symptoms.


2020 ◽  
Vol 04 (02) ◽  
pp. 148-156
Author(s):  
David S. Shin ◽  
Hong Vo ◽  
Guy Johnson ◽  
Raimund Pichler ◽  
Scott W. Biggins

AbstractCirrhosis with complications of portal hypertension portends a poor prognosis. Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts (TIPS) can successfully treat some of these complications in select patients. While the safety and efficacy of TIPS have improved significantly over the past decade, certain patients are categorized as high-risk based on various demographic, laboratory, and comorbid factors. Herein, we provide an in-depth review of TIPS in these settings, including high model for end-stage liver disease score, hepatic malignancy, advanced age, cardiac disease, renal dysfunction, and pregnancy, and discuss their impact on patient selection and procedural considerations.


Blood ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 126 (23) ◽  
pp. 4243-4243 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria-Victoria Mateos ◽  
Norma C Gutierrez ◽  
María-Luisa Martín ◽  
Joaquín Martínez-López ◽  
Miguel T Hernandez ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Novel insights into the biology of myeloma cells have led to the identification of relevant prognosis factors. CA has become one of the most important prognostic factors, and the presence of t(4;14), t(14;16) or del(17p) are associated with poor prognosis. Although there are some reports indicating that 1q gains may be considered as a poor-risk feature, the information is not uniform. Furthermore, there are important controversies about whether or not novel agents-based combinations are able to overcome the poor prognosis of CA. Bortezomib-based combinations have shown to improve the outcome of patients with high-risk CA but they do not completely overcome their adverse prognosis. Here we report a preplanned analysis, in a series of elderly newly diagnosed myeloma patients included in the Spanish GEM2010 trial and receiving VMP and Rd, in a sequential or alternating approach, in order to evaluate the influence of CA by FISH on the response rate and outcome. Patients and methods: 242 pts were randomized to receive a sequential scheme consisting on 9 cycles of VMP followed by 9 cycles of Rd or the same regimens in an alternating approach (one cycle of VMP alternating with one Rd, up to 18 cycles. VMP included the iv administration of weekly bortezomib (except in the first cycle that was given twice weekly) at 1.3 mg/m2 in combination with oral melphalan 9 mg/m2 and prednisone 60 mg/m2 once daily on days 1-4. Rd treatment consisted on lenalidomide 25 mg daily on days 1-21 plus dexamethasone 40 mg weekly. FISH analysis for t(4;14), t(14;16), del(17p) and 1q gains was performed at diagnosis according to standard procedures using purified plasma cells. Results: In 174 out of the 233 patients evaluable for efficacy and safety, FISH analysis at diagnosis were available and two groups were identified: high-risk group (n= 32 patients with t(4;14) and/or t(14;16) and/or del(17p)) and standard-risk group (n=142 patients without high-risk CA). There weren't differences in the rates of CA according to the treatment arm. Response Rates (RR) were no different in the high-risk vs standard-risk groups, both in the sequential (74% vs 79% RR and 42% vs 39% CR) and alternating arms (69% vs 86% RR and 39% vs 38% CR). After a median follow-up of 37 months, high-risk patients showed shorter PFS as compared to standard risk in the alternating arm (24 versus 36 months, p=0.01, HR 2.2, 95% IC 1.1-4.2) and this also translated into a significantly shorter 4-years OS (27% vs 72%, p=0.006, HR 3.3, 95% IC 1.4-7.7). However, in the sequential arm, high-risk and standard-risk patients showed similar PFS (32 months vs 30 months) and 4-years OS (64% vs 60%). This effect was observed only in the sequential arm applied to either t(4;14) or del(17p). As far as 1q gains is concerned, 151 patients had 1q information and 76 of them had 1q gains (50.3%), defined as the presence of more than 3 copies in at least 10% of plasma cells. The rate of 1q gains was well balanced in both sequential and alternating arms. The ORR was similar in patients with or without 1q gains (83% vs 80%) as well as the CR rate (45% vs 31%), and no differences were observed between sequential and alternating arms. Patients with or without 1q gains had a similar PFS (33 months vs 30 months) and 4-years OS (58% vs 65%) in the whole series and no differences were observed in the sequential and alternating arms. This effect has been observed in patients with 1q gains as isolated CA and the outcome was slightly but not significantly worse when 1q gains were present plus either t(4;14) and/or del17p. Conclusions: The total therapy approach including VMP and Rd administered in a sequential approach is able to overcome the poor prognosis of the presence of high-risk CA in elderly patients with newly diagnosed MM. The presence of 1q gains has no impact in the PFS and OS of elderly patients treated with VMP and Rd. Disclosures Mateos: Celgene: Consultancy, Honoraria; Onyx: Consultancy; Janssen-Cilag: Consultancy, Honoraria; Takeda: Consultancy. Gironella:Celgene Corporation: Consultancy, Honoraria. Paiva:BD Bioscience: Consultancy; Binding Site: Consultancy; Sanofi: Consultancy; EngMab AG: Research Funding; Onyx: Consultancy; Millenium: Consultancy; Janssen: Consultancy; Celgene: Consultancy. Puig:Janssen: Consultancy; The Binding Site: Consultancy. San Miguel:Millennium: Honoraria; Janssen-Cilag: Honoraria; Novartis: Honoraria; Celgene: Honoraria; Bristol-Myers Squibb: Honoraria; Onyx: Honoraria; Sanofi-Aventis: Honoraria.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qi Li ◽  
Chen Chen ◽  
Jian Zhang ◽  
Hong Wu ◽  
Yinghe Qiu ◽  
...  

BackgroundThe preoperative nutritional status and the immunological status have been reported to be independent prognostic factors of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). This study aimed to investigate whether prognostic nutritional index (PNI) + albumin–bilirubin (ALBI) could be a better predictor than PNI and ALBI alone in patients with ICC after radical resection.MethodsThe prognostic prediction evaluation of the PNI, ALBI, and the PNI+ALBI grade was performed in 373 patients with ICC who underwent radical resection between 2010 and 2018 at six Chinese tertiary hospitals, and external validation was conducted in 162 patients at four other Chinese tertiary hospitals. Overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS) were estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method. Multivariate analysis was conducted to identify independent prognostic factors. A time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and a nomogram prediction model were further constructed to assess the predictive ability of PNI, ALBI, and the PNI+ALBI grade. The C-index and a calibration plot were used to assess the performance of the nomogram models.ResultsUnivariate analysis showed that PNI, ALBI, and the PNI+ALBI grade were prognostic factors for the OS and RFS of patients with ICC after radical resection in the training and testing sets (p &lt; 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that the PNI+ALBI grade was an independent risk factor for OS and RFS in the training and testing sets (p &lt; 0.001). Analysis of the relationship between the PNI+ALBI grade and clinicopathological characteristics showed that the PNI+ALBI grade correlated with obstructive jaundice, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), cancer antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), cancer antigen 125 (CA125), PNI, ALBI, Child–Pugh grade, type of resection, tumor size, major vascular invasion, microvascular invasion, T stage, and N stage (p &lt; 0.05). The time-dependent ROC curves showed that the PNI+ALBI grade had better prognostic predictive ability than the PNI, ALBI, and the Child–Pugh grade in the training and testing sets.ConclusionPreoperative PNI+ALBI grade is an effective and practical predictor for the OS and RFS of patients with ICC after radical resection.


EP Europace ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Frausing ◽  
JC Nielsen ◽  
JB Johansen ◽  
OD Joergensen ◽  
C Gerdes ◽  
...  

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): Karen Elise Jensen Foundation Background Cardiac resynchronisation therapy (CRT) re-operations are associated with a particularly high risk of device-related infection (DRI). An antibacterial envelope has been shown to reduce the occurrence of DRIs in a broad population of moderate-to-high risk patients. Purpose To investigate the efficacy of an antibacterial envelope in a very high-risk patient population undergoing CRT re-operation. Methods In this Danish two-centre, observational cohort study, we included consecutive patients who underwent a CRT pacemaker- or defibrillator re-operation procedure between January 2008 and November 2019. We obtained data from the Danish Pacemaker and ICD Register and through systematic medical chart review. Follow-up was restricted to two years. Results A total of 1943 patients were included in the study; 736 (38%) patients received an antibacterial envelope. Envelope patients had more independent risk factors for infection than non-envelope patients. Sixty-seven (3.4%) patients met the primary end point of DRI requiring device system extraction; 50 in the non-envelope group and 17 in the envelope group (4.1% vs. 2.3%, adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.52, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.30-0.90, p = 0.021). This difference persisted in propensity score analysis (HR 0.51 95% CI 0.29-0.90, p = 0.019). Conclusion Use of an antibacterial envelope was associated with a clinically and statistically significant reduction in DRIs in patients undergoing CRT re-operations. Our results were comparable to those recently reported from a large randomized controlled trial, which suggests a proportional effect of the envelope even in very high risk patients.


2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (6) ◽  
pp. 607-614
Author(s):  
Yun Ye ◽  
Micah W. Beachy ◽  
Jiangtao Luo ◽  
Tammy Winterboer ◽  
Brandon S. Fleharty ◽  
...  

Unnecessary hospital readmissions increase patient burden, decrease health care quality and efficiency, and raise overall costs. This retrospective cohort study sought to identify high-risk patients who may serve as targets for interventions aiming at reducing hospital readmissions. The authors compared geospatial, social demographic, and clinical characteristics of patients with or without a 90-day readmission. Electronic health records of 42 330 adult patients admitted to 2 Midwestern hospitals during 2013 to 2016 were used, and logistic regression was performed to determine risk factors for readmission. The 90-day readmission percentage was 14.9%. Two main groups of patients with significantly higher odds of a 90-day readmission included those with severe conditions, particularly those with a short length of stay at incident admission, and patients with Medicare but younger than age 65. These findings expand knowledge of potential risk factors related to readmissions. Future interventions to reduce hospital readmissions may focus on the aforementioned high-risk patient groups.


2006 ◽  
Vol 24 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 5530-5530 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Y. Seiwert ◽  
D. J. Haraf ◽  
E. E. Cohen ◽  
K. Stenson ◽  
A. M. Mauer ◽  
...  

5530 Background: Increased VEGF levels are found in HNC. Preclinical data suggest synergistic antitumor activity of B with radiation and chemotherapy. We conducted a Phase I dose escalation study to determine the maximum tolerated dose and dose limiting toxicity (DLT) of B, when added to infusional 5-FU, Hydroxyurea (HU), and daily radiotherapy administered every other week in patients (pts) with poor prognosis HNC. Methods: Eligible pts had recurrent, or newly diagnosed HNC with high risk of recurrence, ± metastatic disease requiring local control, ECOG PS ≤2, and life expectancy >12 weeks. Two week cycles were repeated 6–7 times (see table ). Results: 43 pts were treated (34 completed). DLT was reached at level 3 with 2 pts having gr 3 transaminase elevations and one pt gr 4 neutropenia. Treatment of 7 (6 evaluable) pts on level 4 resulted in one DLT (SMV thrombosis) and this dose level was chosen for expanded evaluation. In all level 4 pts (N = 27) gr 3 mucositis occured in 73.1% and gr 3 hand-foot syndrome in 15.4%. Additional gr 3 or worse toxicities in the expanded level 4 included: esophageal bleed (tumor bed, grade 5), stroke (grade 4), carotid rupture (3 wks post RT, grade 5), and neck ulceration with need for carotid stent (3 months post RT, grade 4). One sudden death of unclear etiology occurred. Median overall survival is 389 days. One/two year survival is 52.1/26%. Median survival for patients treated with re-irradiation for recurrent, non-metastatic HNC is 314 days; one/two year survival is 45.9/17.2%. With a median follow-up of 317 days 13 patients are still alive (12 are cancer free). Conclusions: B can be integrated with FHX chemoradiotherapy at a dose of 10 mg/m2 every 2 weeks. While B related toxicities are seen, there appears to be no major synergistic toxicity. Long term activity is observed in this very high risk patient population. A randomized phase II trial of FHX with or without B in a lower risk population is ongoing. [Table: see text] No significant financial relationships to disclose.


Blood ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 110 (11) ◽  
pp. 1425-1425 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Schrappe ◽  
Carmelo Rizzari ◽  
Georg Mann ◽  
Anja Möricke ◽  
Maria Grazia Valsecchi ◽  
...  

Abstract Slow early response indicates poor prognosis in childhood ALL. We aimed to evaluate if post-induction MRD levels had different prognostic impact in precursor B-cell (pB) or T-cell ALL. From 07/2000 to 06/2006, 4730 pts with ALL were enrolled in trial AIEOP-BFM ALL 2000. MRD levels were centrally measured by real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction using the identification of clone-specific T-cell receptor and immunoglobulin gene rearrangements. MRD study time-points (TP) were treatment day 33 (TP1, end of induction) and day 78 (TP2, after consolidation). To define MRD negativity, two markers with a sensitivity of at least 10−4 were required. Patients were treated with BFM induction (protocol I-A), consolidation (I-B), extra-compartment/intensified consolidation (HD-MTX in non-high-risk patients, pulses in high-risk patients), reinduction, and maintenance. MRD analysis at one or two time points suceeded in 3707 pts; the immunophenotype was available from 3636 pts. MRD levels and corresponding estimated 5-year event-free survival (5y-pEFS) comparing pB- and T-ALL are shown in Table 1 (3yrs median follow-up). MRD response in T-ALL was slower than in pB-ALL resulting in a higher percentage of pts with high MRD load in T-ALL. In pB-ALL as well as T-ALL, high MRD levels at TP2 were well predictive to identify pts with poor prognosis. For prediction of good prognostic subgroups, TP1 was more appropriate identifying a subgroup with excellent 5y-pEFS of &gt;90% in case of MRD negativity. Specificity of TP1 was poor in T-ALL if the pB-ALL criteria of MRD negativity were applied. If MRD low positive and MRD negative T-ALL pts were combined, the discrimination was as good as in pB-ALL. The optimal choice of MRD evaluation time points depends on biological factors and treatment, and is most relevant for MRD-based risk stratification. Table 1 pB-ALL T-ALL n % 5y-pEFS % (SE) n % 5y-pEFS % (SE) all 3177 100% 82.3 (1.0) 459 100% 77.2 (2.2) MRD TP1     neg 1399 44.1 92.5 (1.0) 75 16.4 94.3 (2.8)     10E-4/−5 1122 35.4 81.9 (1.7) 116 25.4 91.2 (2.8)     10E-3 393 12.4 66.4 (3.5) 110 24.1 75.3 (4.6)     ≥10E-2 256 8.1 53.2 (4.3) 156 34.1 59.8 (4.5) MRD TP2     neg 2464 77.6 87.7 (1.0) 220 47.9 91.9 (2.0)     10E-4/−5 523 16.5 68.9 (2.9) 143 31.2 76.6 (3.9)     10E-3 107 3.4 56.3 (6.5) 58 12.6 50.2 (8.1)     ≥10E-2 82 2.6 38.0 (7.3) 38 8.3 33.2 (8.3)


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