Predicting CO2 Trapping Efficiency In Saline Aquifers By Machine Learning System: Implication To Carbon Sequestration

Data Points ◽

Saline Formation

Abstract Carbon dioxide (CO2) storage in saline formations has been identified as a practical approach to reducing CO2 levels in the atmosphere. The residual and solubility of CO2 in deep saline aquifers are essential mechanisms to enhance security in storing CO2. In this research, CO2 residual and solubility in saline formations have been predicted by adapting three Machine Learning models called Random Forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGboost), and Support Vector Regression (SVR). Consequently, a diversity of the field-scale simulation database including 1509 data samples retrieved from reliable studies, was considered to train and test the proposed models to achieve this task. Graphical and statistical indicators were evaluated and compared the predictive ML model performance. The predicted results denoted that the proposed ML models are ranked from high to low as follows: XGboost>RF>SVR. Additionally, the performance analyses revealed that the XGboost model demonstrates higher accuracy in predicting CO2 trapping efficiency in saline formation than previous ML models. The XGboost model yields very low root mean square error (RMSE) and R2 for both residual and solubility trapping efficiency. At last, the applicable domain of XGboost model was validated, and only 24 suspected data points were recognized from the entire databank.

Machine-Learning-Based Prediction of Corrosion Behavior in Additively Manufactured Inconel 718

Data ◽

10.3390/data6080080 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 6 (8) ◽

pp. 80

Author(s):

O. V. Mythreyi ◽

M. Rohith Srinivaas ◽

Tigga Amit Kumar ◽

R. Jayaganthan

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Corrosion Behavior ◽

Inconel 718 ◽

Polynomial Regression ◽

Research Work ◽

Model Performance ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Support Vector ◽

This research work focuses on machine-learning-assisted prediction of the corrosion behavior of laser-powder-bed-fused (LPBF) and postprocessed Inconel 718. Corrosion testing data of these specimens were collected and fit into the following machine learning algorithms: polynomial regression, support vector regression, decision tree, and extreme gradient boosting. The model performance, after hyperparameter optimization, was evaluated using a set of established metrics: R2, mean absolute error, and root mean square error. Among the algorithms, the extreme gradient boosting algorithm performed best in predicting the corrosion behavior, closely followed by other algorithms. Feature importance analysis was executed in order to determine the postprocessing parameters that influenced the most the corrosion behavior in Inconel 718 manufactured by LPBF.

An Interpretable Aid Decision-Making Model for Flag State Control Ship Detention Based on SMOTE and XGBoost

Journal of Marine Science and Engineering ◽

10.3390/jmse9020156 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 9 (2) ◽

pp. 156

Author(s):

Jian He ◽

Yong Hao ◽

Xiaoqiong Wang

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Decision Making ◽

Model Performance ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Support Vector ◽

State Control ◽

Decision Making Model ◽

Flag State

The reasonable decision of ship detention plays a vital role in flag state control (FSC). Machine learning algorithms can be applied as aid tools for identifying ship detention. In this study, we propose a novel interpretable ship detention decision-making model based on machine learning, termed SMOTE-XGBoost-Ship detention model (SMO-XGB-SD), using the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm and the synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) algorithm to identify whether a ship should be detained. Our verification results show that the SMO-XGB-SD algorithm outperforms random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and logistic regression (LR) algorithm. In addition, the new algorithm also provides a reasonable interpretation of model performance and highlights the most important features for identifying ship detention using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) algorithm. The SMO-XGB-SD model provides an effective basis for aiding decisions on ship detention by inland flag state control officers (FSCOs) and the ship safety management of ship operating companies, as well as training services for new FSCOs in maritime organizations.

Machine learning models to identify low adherence to influenza vaccination among Korean adults with cardiovascular disease

BMC Cardiovascular Disorders ◽

10.1186/s12872-021-01925-7 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 21 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Moojung Kim ◽

Young Jae Kim ◽

Sung Jin Park ◽

Kwang Gi Kim ◽

Pyung Chun Oh ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Cardiovascular Disease ◽

Influenza Vaccination ◽

Machine Learning Techniques ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Support Vector ◽

Age Group ◽

Learning Models ◽

Machine Learning Models

Abstract Background Annual influenza vaccination is an important public health measure to prevent influenza infections and is strongly recommended for cardiovascular disease (CVD) patients, especially in the current coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. The aim of this study is to develop a machine learning model to identify Korean adult CVD patients with low adherence to influenza vaccination Methods Adults with CVD (n = 815) from a nationally representative dataset of the Fifth Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES V) were analyzed. Among these adults, 500 (61.4%) had answered "yes" to whether they had received seasonal influenza vaccinations in the past 12 months. The classification process was performed using the logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and extreme gradient boosting (XGB) machine learning techniques. Because the Ministry of Health and Welfare in Korea offers free influenza immunization for the elderly, separate models were developed for the < 65 and ≥ 65 age groups. Results The accuracy of machine learning models using 16 variables as predictors of low influenza vaccination adherence was compared; for the ≥ 65 age group, XGB (84.7%) and RF (84.7%) have the best accuracies, followed by LR (82.7%) and SVM (77.6%). For the < 65 age group, SVM has the best accuracy (68.4%), followed by RF (64.9%), LR (63.2%), and XGB (61.4%). Conclusions The machine leaning models show comparable performance in classifying adult CVD patients with low adherence to influenza vaccination.

Explainable machine learning can outperform Cox regression predictions and provide insights in breast cancer survival

Scientific Reports ◽

10.1038/s41598-021-86327-7 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Arturo Moncada-Torres ◽

Marissa C. van Maaren ◽

Mathijs P. Hendriks ◽

Sabine Siesling ◽

Gijs Geleijnse

Keyword(s):

Breast Cancer ◽

Machine Learning ◽

Explicit Knowledge ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Metastatic Breast ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Support Vector ◽

Netherlands Cancer Registry ◽

The Impact

AbstractCox Proportional Hazards (CPH) analysis is the standard for survival analysis in oncology. Recently, several machine learning (ML) techniques have been adapted for this task. Although they have shown to yield results at least as good as classical methods, they are often disregarded because of their lack of transparency and little to no explainability, which are key for their adoption in clinical settings. In this paper, we used data from the Netherlands Cancer Registry of 36,658 non-metastatic breast cancer patients to compare the performance of CPH with ML techniques (Random Survival Forests, Survival Support Vector Machines, and Extreme Gradient Boosting [XGB]) in predicting survival using the $$c$$ c -index. We demonstrated that in our dataset, ML-based models can perform at least as good as the classical CPH regression ($$c$$ c -index $$\sim \,0.63$$ ∼ 0.63 ), and in the case of XGB even better ($$c$$ c -index $$\sim 0.73$$ ∼ 0.73 ). Furthermore, we used Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) values to explain the models’ predictions. We concluded that the difference in performance can be attributed to XGB’s ability to model nonlinearities and complex interactions. We also investigated the impact of specific features on the models’ predictions as well as their corresponding insights. Lastly, we showed that explainable ML can generate explicit knowledge of how models make their predictions, which is crucial in increasing the trust and adoption of innovative ML techniques in oncology and healthcare overall.

Exploring the Mechanism of Crashes with Autonomous Vehicles Using Machine Learning

Mathematical Problems in Engineering ◽

10.1155/2021/5524356 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 2021 ◽

pp. 1-10

Author(s):

Hengrui Chen ◽

Hong Chen ◽

Ruiyu Zhou ◽

Zhizhen Liu ◽

Xiaoke Sun

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Autonomous Vehicles ◽

Classification And Regression Tree ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Support Vector ◽

Crash Severity ◽

Apriori Algorithm ◽

Driving Mode ◽

The Impact

The safety issue has become a critical obstacle that cannot be ignored in the marketization of autonomous vehicles (AVs). The objective of this study is to explore the mechanism of AV-involved crashes and analyze the impact of each feature on crash severity. We use the Apriori algorithm to explore the causal relationship between multiple factors to explore the mechanism of crashes. We use various machine learning models, including support vector machine (SVM), classification and regression tree (CART), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), to analyze the crash severity. Besides, we apply the Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) to interpret the importance of each factor. The results indicate that XGBoost obtains the best result (recall = 75%; G-mean = 67.82%). Both XGBoost and Apriori algorithm effectively provided meaningful insights about AV-involved crash characteristics and their relationship. Among all these features, vehicle damage, weather conditions, accident location, and driving mode are the most critical features. We found that most rear-end crashes are conventional vehicles bumping into the rear of AVs. Drivers should be extremely cautious when driving in fog, snow, and insufficient light. Besides, drivers should be careful when driving near intersections, especially in the autonomous driving mode.

Machine learning as a successful approach for predicting complex spatio–temporal patterns in animal species abundance

Animal Biodiversity and Conservation ◽

10.32800/abc.2021.44.0289 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 289-301

Author(s):

B. Martín ◽

J. González–Arias ◽

J. A. Vicente–Vírseda

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Animal Species ◽

Temporal Patterns ◽

Additive Models ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Support Vector ◽

Stochastic Gradient Boosting ◽

Spatio Temporal

Our aim was to identify an optimal analytical approach for accurately predicting complex spatio–temporal patterns in animal species distribution. We compared the performance of eight modelling techniques (generalized additive models, regression trees, bagged CART, k–nearest neighbors, stochastic gradient boosting, support vector machines, neural network, and random forest –enhanced form of bootstrap. We also performed extreme gradient boosting –an enhanced form of radiant boosting– to predict spatial patterns in abundance of migrating Balearic shearwaters based on data gathered within eBird. Derived from open–source datasets, proxies of frontal systems and ocean productivity domains that have been previously used to characterize the oceanographic habitats of seabirds were quantified, and then used as predictors in the models. The random forest model showed the best performance according to the parameters assessed (RMSE value and R2). The correlation between observed and predicted abundance with this model was also considerably high. This study shows that the combination of machine learning techniques and massive data provided by open data sources is a useful approach for identifying the long–term spatial–temporal distribution of species at regional spatial scales.

Interpretable Machine Learning for Early Neurological Deterioration Prediction in Atrial Fibrillation-Related Stroke

10.21203/rs.3.rs-446890/v1 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Seong Hwan Kim ◽

Eun-Tae Jeon ◽

Sungwook Yu ◽

Kyungmi O ◽

Chi Kyung Kim ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Atrial Fibrillation ◽

Neurological Deterioration ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Support Vector ◽

Light Gradient ◽

Interpretable Machine Learning ◽

Early Neurological Deterioration ◽

Feature Importance

Abstract We aimed to develop a novel prediction model for early neurological deterioration (END) based on an interpretable machine learning (ML) algorithm for atrial fibrillation (AF)-related stroke and to evaluate the prediction accuracy and feature importance of ML models. Data from multi-center prospective stroke registries in South Korea were collected. After stepwise data preprocessing, we utilized logistic regression, support vector machine, extreme gradient boosting, light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM), and multilayer perceptron models. We used the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) method to evaluate feature importance. Of the 3,623 stroke patients, the 2,363 who had arrived at the hospital within 24 hours of symptom onset and had available information regarding END were included. Of these, 318 (13.5%) had END. The LightGBM model showed the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.778, 95% CI, 0.726 - 0.830). The feature importance analysis revealed that fasting glucose level and the National Institute of Health Stroke Scale score were the most influential factors. Among ML algorithms, the LightGBM model was particularly useful for predicting END, as it revealed new and diverse predictors. Additionally, the SHAP method can be adjusted to individualize the features’ effects on the predictive power of the model.

Techniques for Detecting Malware Traffic: A Comprehensive Approach to Feature Selection and Classification

International Journal for Research in Applied Science and Engineering Technology ◽

10.22214/ijraset.2021.39088 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 9 (12) ◽

pp. 1-10

Author(s):

Harsha A K

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Feature Selection ◽

Random Forest ◽

Learning Algorithms ◽

Malware Detection ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Support Vector ◽

Steady Increase ◽

Abstract: Since the advent of encryption, there has been a steady increase in malware being transmitted over encrypted networks. Traditional approaches to detect malware like packet content analysis are inefficient in dealing with encrypted data. In the absence of actual packet contents, we can make use of other features like packet size, arrival time, source and destination addresses and other such metadata to detect malware. Such information can be used to train machine learning classifiers in order to classify malicious and benign packets. In this paper, we offer an efficient malware detection approach using classification algorithms in machine learning such as support vector machine, random forest and extreme gradient boosting. We employ an extensive feature selection process to reduce the dimensionality of the chosen dataset. The dataset is then split into training and testing sets. Machine learning algorithms are trained using the training set. These models are then evaluated against the testing set in order to assess their respective performances. We further attempt to tune the hyper parameters of the algorithms, in order to achieve better results. Random forest and extreme gradient boosting algorithms performed exceptionally well in our experiments, resulting in area under the curve values of 0.9928 and 0.9998 respectively. Our work demonstrates that malware traffic can be effectively classified using conventional machine learning algorithms and also shows the importance of dimensionality reduction in such classification problems. Keywords: Malware Detection, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, Feature Selection.

Evaluating Variable Selection and Machine Learning Algorithms for Estimating Forest Heights by Combining Lidar and Hyperspectral Data

ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information ◽

10.3390/ijgi9090507 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 9 (9) ◽

pp. 507

Author(s):

Sanjiwana Arjasakusuma ◽

Sandiaga Swahyu Kusuma ◽

Stuart Phinn

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Feature Selection ◽

Learning Algorithms ◽

Principal Component ◽

Hyperspectral Data ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Support Vector ◽

Forest Height ◽

Machine learning has been employed for various mapping and modeling tasks using input variables from different sources of remote sensing data. For feature selection involving high- spatial and spectral dimensionality data, various methods have been developed and incorporated into the machine learning framework to ensure an efficient and optimal computational process. This research aims to assess the accuracy of various feature selection and machine learning methods for estimating forest height using AISA (airborne imaging spectrometer for applications) hyperspectral bands (479 bands) and airborne light detection and ranging (lidar) height metrics (36 metrics), alone and combined. Feature selection and dimensionality reduction using Boruta (BO), principal component analysis (PCA), simulated annealing (SA), and genetic algorithm (GA) in combination with machine learning algorithms such as multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS), extra trees (ET), support vector regression (SVR) with radial basis function, and extreme gradient boosting (XGB) with trees (XGbtree and XGBdart) and linear (XGBlin) classifiers were evaluated. The results demonstrated that the combinations of BO-XGBdart and BO-SVR delivered the best model performance for estimating tropical forest height by combining lidar and hyperspectral data, with R2 = 0.53 and RMSE = 1.7 m (18.4% of nRMSE and 0.046 m of bias) for BO-XGBdart and R2 = 0.51 and RMSE = 1.8 m (15.8% of nRMSE and −0.244 m of bias) for BO-SVR. Our study also demonstrated the effectiveness of BO for variables selection; it could reduce 95% of the data to select the 29 most important variables from the initial 516 variables from lidar metrics and hyperspectral data.

Predicting the Tool Wear of a Drilling Process Using Novel Machine Learning XGBoost-SDA

Materials ◽

10.3390/ma13214952 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 13 (21) ◽

pp. 4952

Author(s):

Mahdi S. Alajmi ◽

Abdullah M. Almeshal

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Cast Iron ◽

Tool Wear ◽

Flank Wear ◽

Accurate Prediction ◽

Superior Performance ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Support Vector ◽

Drilling Process ◽

Tool wear negatively impacts the quality of workpieces produced by the drilling process. Accurate prediction of tool wear enables the operator to maintain the machine at the required level of performance. This research presents a novel hybrid machine learning approach for predicting the tool wear in a drilling process. The proposed approach is based on optimizing the extreme gradient boosting algorithm’s hyperparameters by a spiral dynamic optimization algorithm (XGBoost-SDA). Simulations were carried out on copper and cast-iron datasets with a high degree of accuracy. Further comparative analyses were performed with support vector machines (SVM) and multilayer perceptron artificial neural networks (MLP-ANN), where XGBoost-SDA showed superior performance with regard to the method. Simulations revealed that XGBoost-SDA results in the accurate prediction of flank wear in the drilling process with mean absolute error (MAE) = 4.67%, MAE = 5.32%, and coefficient of determination R2 = 0.9973 for the copper workpiece. Similarly, for the cast iron workpiece, XGBoost-SDA resulted in surface roughness predictions with MAE = 5.25%, root mean square error (RMSE) = 6.49%, and R2 = 0.975, which closely agree with the measured values. Performance comparisons between SVM, MLP-ANN, and XGBoost-SDA show that XGBoost-SDA is an effective method that can ensure high predictive accuracy about flank wear values in a drilling process.