scholarly journals Prevalence And Risk Factors of Electrocardiogram Abnormalities In Patients With Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Machine Learning Study With Follow-Up Data

Author(s):  
Zuoyu Hu ◽  
Zhuoran Hu ◽  
Xinghua Guo ◽  
Weizhen Weng ◽  
Ye Chen ◽  
...  

Abstract OBJECTIVES: Electrocardiogram (ECG) abnormalities could predict some subsequent cardiovascular events. Cardiac involvement is a major extra-articular manifestation in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). We aimed to determine the prevalence of three major ECG abnormalities in RA patients, discover the associated ECG abnormalities associated with machine learning (ML) approaches, and then examine these preselected factors in the follow-up patients with traditional Cox regression. METHODS: Consecutive RA patients’ records were retrieved from the hospital database; about one-third of patients had follow-up data. Abnormal ECGs with clinical significance were grouped into non-specific ST-segment/T-wave changes, QT interval prolongation, and QRS-T angle increase. Machine learning approaches assessed the associated factors of these abnormalities. The top-important factors selected by the most optimal ML would be used to construct Cox regression models. RESULTS: Two hundred twenty-six patients were enrolled for the first step cross-sectional study. Non-specific ST-T changes (27%) were the most prevalent abnormalities among patients with abnormal ECGs. Random forest models had the best performance in the discovery of associated factors for three outcomes. Cox regression validated that rheumatoid factor and low-density lipoprotein were common risk factors within those three abnormalities. Hypertension, ESR, and serum immunoglobulin G were influential factors for non-specific ST-T changes, prolonged QT interval, and increased QRS-T angle specifically. CONCLUSION: Non-specific ST-T changes were the most common abnormalities seen in ECGs of RA patients. Our finding suggests that rheumatoid factor, LDL, hypertension, and inflammatory indicators are important risk factors for these ECG abnormalities.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zuoyu Hu ◽  
Zhuoran Hu ◽  
Xinghua Guo ◽  
Weizhen Weng ◽  
Ye Chen ◽  
...  

Abstract BACKGROUNDElectrocardiogram (ECG) abnormalities could predict some subsequent cardiovascular events. Cardiac involvement is a major extra-articular manifestation in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). We aimed to determine the prevalence of three major ECG abnormalities in RA patients, discover the associated ECG abnormalities associated with machine learning (ML) approaches, and then examine these preselected factors in the follow-up patients with traditional Cox regression.METHODSConsecutive RA patients' records were retrieved from the hospital database; about one-third of patients had follow-up data. Abnormal ECGs with clinical significance were grouped into non-specific ST-segment/T-wave changes, QT interval prolongation, and QRS-T angle increase. Machine learning approaches assessed the associated factors of these abnormalities. The top-important factors selected by the most optimal ML would be used to construct Cox regression models.RESULTSTwo hundred twenty-six patients were enrolled for the first step cross-sectional study. Non-specific ST-T changes (27%) were the most prevalent abnormalities among patients with abnormal ECGs. Random forest models had the best performance in the discovery of associated factors for three outcomes. Cox regression validated that rheumatoid factor and low-density lipoprotein were common risk factors within those three abnormalities. Hypertension, ESR, and serum immunoglobulin G were influential factors for non-specific ST-T changes, prolonged QT interval, and increased QRS-T angle specifically.CONCLUSIONSNon-specific ST-T changes were the most common abnormalities seen in ECGs of RA patients. Our finding suggests that rheumatoid factor, LDL, hypertension, and inflammatory indicators are important risk factors for these ECG abnormalities.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alessandro Giollo ◽  
Giovanni Cioffi ◽  
Federica Ognibeni ◽  
Riccardo Bixio ◽  
Angelo Fassio ◽  
...  

Objectives: Clinical expression of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) varies by gender, but whether cardiovascular disease (CVD) is gender related in RA is unknown. Left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy (LVH) is a hallmark of CVD in RA patients. We investigated whether the association of LVH with RA is gender driven.Methods: Consecutive outpatients with established RA underwent echocardiography with measurement of LVH at baseline and one follow-up. All participants had no prior history of CVD or diabetes mellitus. We assessed CVD risk factors associated with LVH at follow-up, including sex, age, arterial blood pressure, and body mass index (BMI). We also evaluated inflammatory markers, autoimmunity, disease activity, and the use of RA medications as predictors of LVH.Results: We recruited 145 RA patients (121 females, 83%) and reassessed them after a median (interquartile range) of 36 months (24–50). At baseline, women were more dyslipidemic but otherwise had fewer CVD risk factors than men, including less prevalent smoking habit and hypertension, and smaller waist circumference. At follow-up, we detected LVH in 42/145 (44%) RA patients. LV mass significantly increased only in women. In multiple Cox regression analysis, women with RA had the strongest association with LVH, independently from the presence of CVD risk factors (OR, 6.56; 95% CI, 1.34–30.96) or RA-specific characteristics (OR, 5.14; 95% CI, 1.24–21.34). BMI was also significantly and independently associated with LVH.Conclusion: Among established RA patients, women carry the highest predisposition for LVH.


2021 ◽  
Vol 80 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 449.1-449
Author(s):  
S. Mizuki ◽  
K. Horie ◽  
K. Imabayashi ◽  
K. Mishima ◽  
K. Oryoji

Background:In the idividuals with genetic and enviromental risk factors, immune events at mucosal surfaces occur and may precede systemic autoimmunity. Anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA) are present in the serum for an average of 3-5 years prior to the onset of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) during an asymptomatic period. In ACPA-positivite individuals, the additional presence of RA-related risk factors appears to add significant power for the development of RA. To date, there have been few reports in which clinical courses of ACPA-positive asymptomatic individuals were investigated prospectively.Objectives:To observe the clinical time course of ACPA-positive healthy population for the development of RA.Methods:Healthy volunteers without joint pain or stiffness, who attended the comprehensive health screening of our hospital, were enrolled in this prospective observational study. The serum ACPA levels were quantified by Ig-G anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay with levels > 4.4 U/mL considered positive. ACPA-positive subjects were followed by rheumatologists of our department clinically or a questionnaire sent by mail for screening to detect arthritis.Results:5,971 healthy individuals without joint symptons were included. Ninty-two (1.5%) were positive for ACPA. Of these, 19 (20.7%) developed RA and two were suspected as RA by mail questionnaire. Their average age were 58-years, and women were 68%. The average duration between the date of serum sampling and diagnosis was 10.7 months. ACPA-positive individuals who developed to RA had higher serum ACPA and Ig-M rheumatoid factor levels than ACPA-positive individuals who did not (P value by Mann-Whitney U test: 0.002, 0.005, respectively).Conclusion:Among ACPA-positive asymptomatic individuals, 20% developed RA. The higher titer of ACPA and Ig-M rheumatoid factor levels are risk factors for devoloping RA.Disclosure of Interests:None declared


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 117954412110287
Author(s):  
Mir Sohail Fazeli ◽  
Vadim Khaychuk ◽  
Keith Wittstock ◽  
Boris Breznen ◽  
Grace Crocket ◽  
...  

Objective: To scope the current published evidence on cardiovascular risk factors in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) focusing on the role of autoantibodies and the effect of antirheumatic agents. Methods: Two reviews were conducted in parallel: A targeted literature review (TLR) describing the risk factors associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) in RA patients; and a systematic literature review (SLR) identifying and characterizing the association between autoantibody status and CVD risk in RA. A narrative synthesis of the evidence was carried out. Results: A total of 69 publications (49 in the TLR and 20 in the SLR) were included in the qualitative evidence synthesis. The most prevalent topic related to CVD risks in RA was inflammation as a shared mechanism behind both RA morbidity and atherosclerotic processes. Published evidence indicated that most of RA patients already had significant CV pathologies at the time of diagnosis, suggesting subclinical CVD may be developing before patients become symptomatic. Four types of autoantibodies (rheumatoid factor, anti-citrullinated peptide antibodies, anti-phospholipid autoantibodies, anti-lipoprotein autoantibodies) showed increased risk of specific cardiovascular events, such as higher risk of cardiovascular death in rheumatoid factor positive patients and higher risk of thrombosis in anti-phospholipid autoantibody positive patients. Conclusion: Autoantibodies appear to increase CVD risk; however, the magnitude of the increase and the types of CVD outcomes affected are still unclear. Prospective studies with larger populations are required to further understand and quantify the association, including the causal pathway, between specific risk factors and CVD outcomes in RA patients.


2020 ◽  
Vol 79 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 1115.2-1115
Author(s):  
T. Porel ◽  
S. DE Almeida Chaves ◽  
D. Adoue ◽  
L. Astudillo ◽  
D. Ribes ◽  
...  

Background:Nervous system involvement is considered to be rare in systemic sclerosis (SSc). Its prevalence is highly variable in SSc cohort studies and its prognosis is not well established.Objectives:To determine the frequency, clinical characteristics, associations, and outcomes of different types of peripheral nervous system (PNS) and central nervous system (CNS) disease in a cohort of systemic sclerosis patients.Methods:We have carried out a retrospective observational study by systematically analyzing the medical records of patients diagnosed with SSc in Toulouse University Hospital and Ducuing Hospital, south west France. We included patients who met the following inclusion criteria: being over 18 years of age on diagnosis, meeting the ACR /EULAR 2013 classification criteria, being diagnosed after 01/01/1966 and before 31/12/2018, at least 12 months of follow-up. Patients were followed until 31/12/2019. Nervous system involvement associated with SSc was included when there was involvement on or after diagnosis and after exclusion of all other causes. Only symptomatic clinical involvement was included. Ischemic or hemorrhagic strokes were excluded. We calculated the incidence of CNS and/or PNS disease during the follow-up period per 1,000 person-years. Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted to determine the cumulative incidence of nervous system disease. We evaluated associated factors of CNS and/or PNS disease using multivariable Cox regression.Results:Of 447 SSc patients, 79.8% were female, 68 (15%) were diffuse cutaneous SSc, 342 (77%) were limited cutaneous SSc and 37 (8%) were sine scleroderma SSc. The mean ± SD age at diagnosis was 52.9 ± 14.3 years.During the study period, 82 (18%) patients experienced a PNS disease, 29 (6%) a CNS disease. The incidence was 28 per 1,000 patient-years of any nervous system disease, with 22 per 1,000 patient-years and 6 per 1,000 patient-years of PNS disease and CNS disease, respectively. The most frequent were carpal tunnel syndrome (63%) and polyneuropathies (12%) for PNS disease, and headache (45%) and seizures (10%) for CNS disease.Three significant independent associated factors with PNS disease occurrence were identified using multivariable Cox regression: BMI>23.1kg/m2(HR = 1.06 [1.01-1.12]), joint involvement (HR = 2.7 [1.3-5.5]), and an alteration in the left ventricular ejection fraction (HR = 3.8 [1.4-10.3]).Four significant independent associated factors with CNS disease occurrence were identified: age > 54 years (HR = 2.5 [1.1-6.0]), positive anti-PmScl testing (HR = 6.4 [1.5-28.2]), Caucasian origin (HR = 0.2 [0.1-0.5]) and hemoglobin < 12g/dl (HR = 0.2 [0.04-0.8]).Nervous system disease occurrence did not appear to have a negative impact on the survival of SSc patients (log-rank p=0.56).Conclusion:This study shows that specific nervous system disease in SSc is not uncommon and does not appear to increase mortality, but it could have an impact on functional prognosis and needs to be monitored.Disclosure of Interest:None declared


2020 ◽  
Vol 79 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 1463.2-1464
Author(s):  
S. Bayat ◽  
K. Tascilar ◽  
V. Kaufmann ◽  
A. Kleyer ◽  
D. Simon ◽  
...  

Background:Recent developments of targeted treatments such as targeted synthetic DMARDs (tsDMARDs) increase the chances of a sustained low disease activity (LDA) or remission state for patients suffering rheumatoid arthritis (RA). tsDMARDs such as baricitinib, an oral inhibitor of the Janus Kinases (JAK1/JAK2) was recently approved for the treatment of RA with an inadequate response to conventional (cDMARD) and biological (bDMARD) therapy. (1, 2).Objectives:Aim of this study is to analyze the effect of baricitinb on disease activity (DAS28, LDA) in patients with RA in real life, to analyze drug persistance and associate these effects with various baseline characteristics.Methods:All RA patients were seen in our outpatient clinic. If a patient was switched to a baricitinib due to medical reasons, these patients were included in our prospective, observational study which started in April 2017. Clinical scores (SJC/TJC 76/78), composite scores (DAS28), PROs (HAQ-DI; RAID; FACIT), safety parameters (not reported in this abstract) as well as laboratory biomarkers were collected at each visit every three months. Linear mixed effects models for repeated measurements were used to analyze the time course of disease activity, patient reported outcomes and laboratory results. We estimated the probabilities of continued baricitinib treatment and the probabilities of LDA and remission by DAS-28 as well as Boolean remission up to one year using survival analysis and explored their association with disease characteristics using multivariable Cox regression. All patients gave informed consent. The study is approved by the local ethics.Results:95 patients were included and 85 analyzed with available follow-up data until November 2019. Demographics are shown in table 1. Mean follow-up duration after starting baricitinib was 49.3 (28.9) weeks. 51 patients (60%) were on monotherapy. Baricitinib survival (95%CI) was 82% (73% to 91%) at one year. Cumulative number (%probability, 95%CI) of patients that attained DAS-28 LDA at least once up to one year was 67 (92%, 80% to 97%) and the number of patients attaining DAS-28 and Boolean remission were 31 (50%, 34% to 61%) and 12(20%, 9% to 30%) respectively. Median time to DAS-28 LDA was 16 weeks (Figure 1). Cox regression analyses did not show any sufficiently precise association of remission or LDA with age, gender, seropositivity, disease duration, concomitant DMARD use and number of previous bDMARDs. Increasing number of previous bDMARDs was associated with poor baricitinib survival (HR=1.5, 95%CI 1.1 to 2.2) while this association was not robust to adjustment for baseline disease activity. Favorable changes were observed in tender and swollen joint counts, pain-VAS, patient and physician disease assessment scores, RAID, FACIT and the acute phase response.Conclusion:In this prospective observational study, we observed high rates of LDA and DAS-28 remission and significant improvements in disease activity and patient reported outcome measurements over time.References:[1]Keystone EC, Taylor PC, Drescher E, Schlichting DE, Beattie SD, Berclaz PY, et al. Safety and efficacy of baricitinib at 24 weeks in patients with rheumatoid arthritis who have had an inadequate response to methotrexate. Annals of the rheumatic diseases. 2015 Feb;74(2):333-40.[2]Genovese MC, Kremer J, Zamani O, Ludivico C, Krogulec M, Xie L, et al. Baricitinib in Patients with Refractory Rheumatoid Arthritis. The New England journal of medicine. 2016 Mar 31;374(13):1243-52.Figure 1.Cumulative probability of low disease activity or remission under treatment with baricitinib.Disclosure of Interests:Sara Bayat Speakers bureau: Novartis, Koray Tascilar: None declared, Veronica Kaufmann: None declared, Arnd Kleyer Consultant of: Lilly, Gilead, Novartis,Abbvie, Speakers bureau: Novartis, Lilly, David Simon Grant/research support from: Else Kröner-Memorial Scholarship, Novartis, Consultant of: Novartis, Lilly, Johannes Knitza Grant/research support from: Research Grant: Novartis, Fabian Hartmann: None declared, Susanne Adam: None declared, Axel Hueber Grant/research support from: Novartis, Lilly, Pfizer, EIT Health, EU-IMI, DFG, Universität Erlangen (EFI), Consultant of: Abbvie, BMS, Celgene, Gilead, GSK, Lilly, Novartis, Speakers bureau: GSK, Lilly, Novartis, Georg Schett Speakers bureau: AbbVie, BMS, Celgene, Janssen, Eli Lilly, Novartis, Roche and UCB


2020 ◽  
Vol 79 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 598.2-598
Author(s):  
E. Myasoedova ◽  
A. Athreya ◽  
C. S. Crowson ◽  
R. Weinshilboum ◽  
L. Wang ◽  
...  

Background:Methotrexate (MTX) is the most common anchor drug for rheumatoid arthritis (RA), but the risk of missing the opportunity for early effective treatment with alternative medications is substantial given the delayed onset of MTX action and 30-40% inadequate response rate. There is a compelling need to accurately predicting MTX response prior to treatment initiation, which allows for effectively identifying patients at RA onset who are likely to respond to MTX.Objectives:To test the ability of machine learning approaches with clinical and genomic biomarkers to predict MTX response with replications in independent samples.Methods:Age, sex, clinical, serological and genome-wide association study (GWAS) data on patients with early RA of European ancestry from 647 patients (336 recruited in United Kingdom [UK]; 307 recruited across Europe; 70% female; 72% rheumatoid factor [RF] positive; mean age 54 years; mean baseline Disease Activity Score with 28-joint count [DAS28] 5.65) of the PhArmacogenetics of Methotrexate in RA (PAMERA) consortium was used in this study. The genomics data comprised 160 genome-wide significant single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with p<1×10-5 associated with risk of RA and MTX metabolism. DAS28 score was available at baseline and 3-month follow-up visit. Response to MTX monotherapy at the dose of ≥15 mg/week was defined as good or moderate by the EULAR response criteria at 3 months’ follow up visit. Supervised machine-learning methods were trained with 5-repeats and 10-fold cross-validation using data from PAMERA’s 336 UK patients. Class imbalance (higher % of MTX responders) in training was accounted by using simulated minority oversampling technique. Prediction performance was validated in PAMERA’s 307 European patients (not used in training).Results:Age, sex, RF positivity and baseline DAS28 data predicted MTX response with 58% accuracy of UK and European patients (p = 0.7). However, supervised machine-learning methods that combined demographics, RF positivity, baseline DAS28 and genomic SNPs predicted EULAR response at 3 months with area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of 0.83 (p = 0.051) in UK patients, and achieved prediction accuracies (fraction of correctly predicted outcomes) of 76.2% (p = 0.054) in the European patients, with sensitivity of 72% and specificity of 77%. The addition of genomic data improved the predictive accuracies of MTX response by 19% and achieved cross-site replication. Baseline DAS28 scores and following SNPs rs12446816, rs13385025, rs113798271, and rs2372536 were among the top predictors of MTX response.Conclusion:Pharmacogenomic biomarkers combined with DAS28 scores predicted MTX response in patients with early RA more reliably than using demographics and DAS28 scores alone. Using pharmacogenomics biomarkers for identification of MTX responders at early stages of RA may help to guide effective RA treatment choices, including timely escalation of RA therapies. Further studies on personalized prediction of response to MTX and other anti-rheumatic treatments are warranted to optimize control of RA disease and improve outcomes in patients with RA.Disclosure of Interests:Elena Myasoedova: None declared, Arjun Athreya: None declared, Cynthia S. Crowson Grant/research support from: Pfizer research grant, Richard Weinshilboum Shareholder of: co-founder and stockholder in OneOme, Liewei Wang: None declared, Eric Matteson Grant/research support from: Pfizer, Consultant of: Boehringer Ingelheim, Gilead, TympoBio, Arena Pharmaceuticals, Speakers bureau: Simply Speaking


Author(s):  
Simo S. A. Miettinen ◽  
Hannu J. A. Miettinen ◽  
Jussi Jalkanen ◽  
Antti Joukainen ◽  
Heikki Kröger

Abstract Introduction This retrospective study investigated the long-term follow-up results of medial opening wedge high tibial osteotomy (MOWHTO) with a pre-countered non-locking steel plate implant (Puddu plate = PP) used for medial knee osteoarthrosis (OA) treatment. Materials and methods Consecutive 70 MOWHTOs (66 patients) were performed between 01.01.2004 and 31.12.2008 with the mean follow-up time of 11.4 (SD 4.5; range 1.2–16.1) years. The Kaplan–Meier survival analysis was used to evaluate the cumulative survival of the implant in terms of age (< 50 years old and ≥ 50 years old) and gender. Adverse events were studied and Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate risk factors [age, gender, body mass index (BMI), preoperative mechanical axis, severity of OA, use of bone grafting or substitution and undercorrection of mechanical axis from varus to valgus] for revisions. Results The estimates for the cumulative survival with no need for TKA after MOWHTO were 86% at 5 years, 67% at 10 years and 58% at 16.1 years (SE 0.6, CI 95% 11.1–13.5). A total of 33/70 (47%) adverse events occurred and 38/70 (54%) knees required some revision surgery during the follow-up. Cox regression did not show any statistically significant risk factors for revision. Conclusions The PP has feasible MOWHTO results with a cumulative survival of 67% at 10 years with no need for conversion to TKA. Many adverse events occurred and revision rate due to any reason was high. Age or gender did not have statistically significant differences in terms of survival.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document