scholarly journals Investigating the causal relationship between financial development and carbon emission in the emerging country

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 55-62
Author(s):  
Hafnida Hasan ◽  
Mohammad Salem Oudat ◽  
Ayman Abdalmajeed Alsmadi ◽  
Meutia Nurfahasdi ◽  
Basel J. A. Ali
Keyword(s):  
Financial Development ◽  
Co2 Emission ◽  
Carbon Emission ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Kuznets Curve ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Adf Test

The current study investigates the causality relationship between financial development and carbon dioxide (CO2) emission in Bahrain by adopting time series data from 1980–2018. The vector error correction model (VECM) is employed as an appropriate model in order to analyse the data. While the augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test was used in order to detect the stationary variables. However, the domestic per capita has been used as a proxy of economic growth, while financial development is measured by domestic credit provided by the financial sector. The results indicate that there is a long-term association amongst all intended variables at a 5% significant level. Meanwhile, only financial development has an impact on carbon emission in the short term. For the Granger causality test, only financial development and population led positive impact on CO2, while carbon emission does not Granger-cause financial development and population. However, the study findings did not support the hypothesis of the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC), and these findings are in line with other previous empirical findings (Saidi & Mbarek, 2017). These findings are essential and contribute to policymakers controlling credit policies that confirm that the loans availed by the financial sector to the domestic firms are used as friendly machinery tools for the environment that can decrease CO2 emission.

scholarly journals Globalization Nexus Terrorism: Evidence from Pakistan

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 177-184
Author(s):  
Sabeeha Naseer ◽  
Muhammad Kamran Khan ◽  
Sami Ullah
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Var Model ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Controlling Variables ◽  
Adf Test ◽  
Auto Regression

The current study investigates nexuses between globalization and terrorism in context of Pakistan. Time series data utilized for time period 1981 to 2017. The data has been taken from the World Governance Indicator (WGI) and Swiss global index (KOF). Augmented Dicky fuller (ADF) test was applied to check out stationary of all variables such as terrorism, globalization, remittances, foreign direct investment and trade. The results of ADF test indicated that all variables were stationary at first difference. For empirical analysis Johnson co-integration and VAR model under causality were applied. The co-integration result shows all variables terrorism, globalization, FDI, remittances and trade are not co-integrated. Vector Auto Regression (VAR) Model under causality test shows that Globalization is causing factor of terrorism. While, other controlling variables such as remittances cause globalization, foreign direct investment and trade.

scholarly journals Impact of Macro-Economic Variable on Pakistan Stock Exchange KSE-100 Index

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 17-23
Author(s):  
Muhammad Faisal Hassan ◽  
Hashim Bin Jusoh ◽  
Sajjad Khan ◽  
Fahad Ali Khan ◽  
Muhammad Naseem ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Adf Test

The researcher investigates the Impact of inflation, exchange rate and interest rate on Pakistan stock Exchange performance KSE-100 index by using monthly time series data which covers the period of 2013 to 2020. The econometrics techniques which are employed includes ADF test, Ordinary Least squares regression Model, testing for Multi-collinearity, Residual analysis serial correlation, testing for co-integration, Error correction model (ECM), variance decomposition (VAR) and Pair wise granger causality test. The results indicate that there is positive impact of exchange rate on PSX 100 index and the impact of inflation and interest rate is fond negative but inflation have insignificant relationship with PSX 100 index and the other two relationships are found significant. From the ECM result it is found that in short run 20% of the variation in dependent variable is due to inflation, exchange rate and interest rate and 80% variation is unexplained in short run. Form the results of VAR test it is concluded that exchange rate 1.67, inflation 14.25%, and interest rate 3.90% variation cause in PSX 100 index performance due to these three independent variables.

scholarly journals The Impact of Globalization on Human Development Index: A Case of Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Adiqa Kiani ◽  
Noor Mohammad ◽  
Raheem Bux Soomro
Keyword(s):  
Human Development ◽  
Human Development Index ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Development Index ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Political Dimensions ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Adf Test

The main objective of the study is to explore the short and long run relationship of globalization and human development index for 34 years during 1980 to 2014. In order to analyze economic, social and political dimensions of globalization separately for Pakistan economy. The time series data compiled from various sources including UNDP annual Human Development Reports, SPDC Social Development report, Pakistan Review 2005-06, World Bank and KOF. A semi-log model was used to explain the relationship, whereas some other models were also used to test the mobility of the variables. The test applied is ADF test and on the basis of ADF test results, the ARDL method of co integration was used to test long run impact of all independent variables on human development index. From the findings, we may conclude that globalization overall and social, political and economic globalization have positive impact on human development index for Pakistan, whereas some control variables like population density effects positively, and greenhouse gas emissions significantly and negatively affect the globalization. It is suggested that in order to improve the globalization, it is mandatory to focus on indirect effects of globalization and make necessary plans to reduce such emissions.

scholarly journals Emisi Karbon dan Produk Domestik Bruto: Investigasi Hipotesis Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) pada Negara Berpendapatan Menengah di Kawasan ASEAN

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 230-246
Author(s):  
Muhamad Ameer Noor ◽  
Putu Mahardika Adi Saputra
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Kuznets Curve ◽  
Carbon Emission ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Kuznets Curve ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Trade Offs ◽  
Per Capita

Policymakers in the world are concerned with carbon emission due to the risk of global warming. Many studies on Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) consider carbon emission as a proxy of environmental degradation. This study aimed to investigate the existence of EKC and identify variations of relationships between carbon emissions and GDP per capita in ASEAN middle-income countries. The study was conducted on Indonesia, Thailand, Philippines, and Malaysia based on 1971-2014 time series data using a simultaneous model (2SLS) for each country. The main variables studied were GDP per capita, square of GDP per capita, and carbon emission supported by other variables as the controlling variables. Validation on EKC existence was determined by GDP and GDP squared influence on carbon emission, while variations of relationship between GDP and carbon emission were based on the result of simultaneous regressions. The results showed that the existence of the EKC could not be validated in all countries because energy and transportation policies in each country failed to reduce the emission. On the other hand, carbon emission had a positive unidirectional influence on GDP in all countries. The effect of carbon emission coefficient to GDP showed that Thailand ranked the highest in CO2 efficiency, followed by Indonesia, Philippines, and Malaysia. This study recommended that carbon emission reduction policies in the four countries should focus more to easier access to environmentally friendly technology from developed countries for ensuring trade-offs between the economy and environment.

scholarly journals FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT, WORKERS’ REMITTANCES AND PRIVATE SAVING IN PAKISTAN: AN ARDL BOUND TESTING APPROACH

2015 ◽  
Vol 16 (6) ◽  
pp. 1216-1234 ◽  
Author(s):  
Syed Ali Raza
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Unique Contribution ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Private Savings ◽  
The Impact

The objective of this study is to investigate the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) and workers’ remittances on private savings of Pakistan. This study employs ARDL bound testing co-integration approach, rolling window analysis, Granger causality test, Toda and Yamamoto Modified Wald causality test and variance decomposition test. Results indicate the significant positive impact of FDI and workers’ remittances on private savings in the long and short run. Causality analyses confirm the bidirectional causal relationship of FDI and workers’ remittances with private savings. It is recommended that policy makers should form friendly policies to attract more FDI and workers’ remittances in the country which leads to increase private savings in Pakistan. This leads to increase more fund for financial intermediaries to increase domestic investment opportunities in the country. This paper makes a unique contribution to the literature with reference to Pakistan, being a pioneering attempt to investigate the impact of FDI and workers’ remittances on private savings of Pakistan by using the long annual time series data and applying more rigorous econometric techniques.

scholarly journals The Empirical Research on Causal Relationship Between Export and Foreign Investments in the Economy of Uzbekistan Based on Granger Test

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 4631-4635
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Sufficient Evidence ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Foreign Investments ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Export Volume ◽  
Relevant Topic ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Relationship

The relationship between export and foreign investments is becoming more and more relevant topic in the economies of many countries in the world. This relationship, its direction and mechanism are, particularly crucial for emerging markets. This paper investigates the direction of the relationship between the export and foreign investments of Uzbekistan based on the data on previous years. Since the government have been reforming the macroeconomic policy of Uzbekistan gradually towards openness in recent years, it is very important to find the direction of the association before forming national strategy to encourage the export of the country and to attract foreign investments to the country. In this study Granger causality test is used to determine the direction of the relationship using time series data from 2005 to 2017. With respect to the findings of the study, it can be seen that the volume of export has positive impact on the foreign investments. However, there is no sufficient evidence to support the idea that foreign investment has significant impact on the volume of export. The results conclude that in Uzbekistan, export volume is one of the key factors that have been contributing to the attractiveness of investment climate in recent years

scholarly journals NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH DAN NET EKSPOR INDONESIA 2000 – 2017 (GRANGER CAUSALITY TEST)

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 9-24
Author(s):  
Try Beta Anggraini ◽  
Yefriza Yefriza
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
Net Export ◽  
Adf Test

The aims of this research is to find out the relationship of rupiah exchange rate and net export Indonesia. This research covers the periode for 2000.Q1-2017.Q4, used secondary data which were analyzed using Granger Causality Test and Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) and existing data processed by using computer program of Eviews 9.0. The stationary properties of the time series data are examined by using Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test. Granger Causality test is applied to find out long-run relationship along with causality among the variables. The result of the data analysis show that there is no causality between rupiah exchange rate and net xport. Granger Causality test showed that there is unidirectional causality between net export to rupiah exchange rate. It is mean that net export  effect rupiah exchange rate, but rupiah exchange rate does not effect net export. Keywords: Causality, Net Export, Exchange Rate

scholarly journals Finance and economic growth nexus: evidence from Gansu province in China

2021 ◽  
Vol 275 ◽  
pp. 01007
Author(s):  
Changchuan Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
Gansu Province ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Financial Efficiency ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Integration Test

This study investigates the association between financial development and economic growth in the long run using the time series data from 1985 to 2018 in financially undeveloped Gansu province in China. Regarding methodology, this paper employs ADF unit root test, Johansen co-integration test, VECM and Granger causality test to analyze the long-term relationship. The outcomes signal that the variables of financial depth, financial efficiency and economic growth are co-integrated, and the level of total financial development is negatively correlated with economic growth while financial efficiency is positively associated with output growth. In addition, there is a two-way causation between each pair of variables.

scholarly journals External Debt and Economic Growth of Nigeria: An Empirical Investigation

2018 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Sajuyigbe, Ademola ◽  
A. Odetayo, Tajudeen ◽  
Z. Adeyemi, Adewumi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Secondary Sources ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Adf Test

The study investigates the impact of external debt on economic growth in Nigeria for the period 1999-2015. The data for this study was obtained mainly from secondary sources mainly from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletins and Debt Management Office. Time series data on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as a proxy for Economic Growth, External Debt Stock (EXDS), External Debt Service Payment (EDSP), and Exchange Rate (EXGR) were used for the analysis. The techniques of Estimation employed in the study include Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) test, Johansen Co-integration, Vector Error Correction Mechanism and Granger Causality Test. Results show that external debt has an inverse effect on economic growth in Nigeria. Subsequently, the study recommends that government should empower Debt Management Office to set the mechanism in place, ensure that loans are utilised for purposes they are meant for and prosecute corrupt public officers who siphoned the money.

scholarly journals International Remittances and Economic Growth in Ghana: Does the Measure Of Financial Development Matter?

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 46-59 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samuel Antwi ◽  
Eugene Oware Koranteng ◽  
Eugene Oware Koranteng
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Aggregate Output ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
International Remittances ◽  
The Impact

Empirical results of the effect of international remittances on economic growth of individual countries and groups of countries have yielded mixed results. This study is intended to add to the debate on the impact of international remittances on the aggregate output of individual countries, Ghana in this case. An earlier panel data study found a negative impact of remittance on real GDP and prompted further research on the topic for individual countries and groups of countries. The papers which followed and were able to correct for endogeneity in the models, found a mild positive impact of private unrequited remittances on economic growth. The impact of remittances on economic growth of a particular country depends on the proportion of remittances invested and consumed, the level of financial development and the quality of institutions in the country. This study used time series data from 1990 to 2014 on Ghana and found a positive impact of remittances on the growth rate of real GDP. Engel and Granger Cointegration test and Error Correction Models were used. Remittances were found to be pro-cyclical. Granger causality tests which corrects for the errors of cointegrated variables found causality running from financial development to remittances and from remittances to real GDP. Remittances have been found in other studies to benefit the Ghanaian economy by reducing poverty and sustaining the current account. This study shows a positive impact of remittances on aggregate output. Thus requiring policies to increase the flows and encourage their investment. Keywords: International Remittances, Economic Growth, Ghana, Financial Development.

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