scholarly journals DPYD polymorphisms c.496A>G, c.2194G>A and c.85T>C and risk of severe adverse drug reactions in patients treated with fluoropyrimidine-based protocols

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nada Bozina ◽  
Ivan Bilić ◽  
Lana Ganoci ◽  
Livija Šimičević ◽  
Stjepko Pleština ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Biological Therapy ◽  
Dihydropyrimidine Dehydrogenase ◽  
Cancer Type ◽  
Drug Reactions ◽  
Wild Type ◽  
Exact Matching ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Sex Type ◽  
Grade 3 ◽  
Genotyping Panel

Aim. Cancer patients with reduced dihydropyrimidine dehydrogenase (DPD) activity are at increased risk of severe fluoropyrimidine (FP)-related adverse events (AE). Guidelines recommend FP dosing adjusted to genotype-predicted DPD activity based on four DPYD variants (rs3918290, rs55886062, rs67376798, rs56038477). We evaluated relationship between three further DPYD polymorphisms [c.496A>G (rs2297595), *6 c.2194G>A (rs1801160) and *9A c.85T>C (rs1801265)] and the risk of severe AEs. Methods. Consecutive FP-treated adult patients were genotyped for “standard” and tested DPYD variants, and for UGT1A1*28 if irinotecan was included, and were monitored for the occurrence of grade ≥3 (National Cancer Institute Common Terminology Criteria) vs. grade 0-2 AEs. For each of the tested polymorphisms, variant allele carriers were matched to respective wild type controls (optimal full matching combined with exact matching, in respect to: age, sex, type of cancer, type of FP, DPYD activity score, use of irinotecan/UGT1A1, adjuvant therapy, radiotherapy, biological therapy and genotype on the remaining three tested polymorphisms). Results. Of the 503 included patients (82.3% colorectal cancer), 283 (56.3%) developed grade ≥3 AEs, mostly diarrhea and neutropenia. Odds of grade ≥3 AEs were higher in c.496A>G variant carriers (n=127) than in controls (n=376) [OR=5.20 (95%CI 1.88-14.3), Bayesian OR=5.24 (95% CrI 3.06-9.12)]. Odds tended to be higher in *6 c.2194G>A variant carries (n=58) than in controls (n=432) [OR=1.88 (0.95-3.73), Bayesian OR=1.90 (1.03-3.56)]. *9A c.85T>G did not appear associated with grade ≥3 AEs (206 variant carriers vs. 284 controls). Conclusion. DPYD c.496A>G variant might need to be considered for inclusion in the DPYD genotyping panel.

Evaluation of the role of UGT1A1 genotype testing in colorectal cancer patients administered irinotecan and the occurence of grade 3 and 4 neutropenia.

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 412-412 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sushma M. Patel ◽  
Jim Chan ◽  
Rita L. Hui ◽  
Michele M. Spence
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Cohort Analysis ◽  
Median Number ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
P Value ◽  
Wild Type ◽  
Kaiser Permanente ◽  
Adjusted Risk ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Grade 3

412 Background: Irinotecan is metabolized primarily in the liver by the carboxylesterase enzyme to the SN-38 active metabolite and is then inactivated through conjugation by the UGT1A1 enzyme, a polymorphic enzyme. Individuals genotyped with the homozygous allele have an increased risk for grade 3 and 4 neutropenia. Methods: A retrospective cohort analysis was conducted in the Kaiser Permanente California regions. The study period was November 1, 2005 to July 1, 2010 and included patients that were 18 years of age or older, newly initiated on irinotecan for colorectal cancer and had no previous irinotecan therapy within six months of the initiation dose. Patients were excluded if they were enrolled in clinical trials, on granulocyte-colony stimulating factor prophylaxis, and genotype tested for UGT1A1 and subsequently not treated with irinotecan. Patients tested with the UGT1A1 assay were grouped according to their genotype results: wild-type, heterozygous, or homozygous*28. The incidence of grade 3 and 4 neutropenia were compared among patients tested for UGT1A1 variant alleles by their genotype results. Results: A total of 305 (28%) patients were tested with the UGT1A1 assay with a mean age of 62 (+/- 12) years, and 52% of the population female. There were 161 (53%) wild-type, 123 (40%) heterozygous, and 21 (7%) homozygous patients. The median irinotecan dose was 150 mg/m2 (124-180 mg/m2) and median number of irinotecan cycles were 6 (3-12). The wild-type, heterozygous, homozygous*28 population had a 21% (33/161), 24% (29/123), and 48% (10/21) rate of grade 3 and 4 neutropenia. When the homozygous*28 group was compared to the heterozygous and wild-type genotype the adjusted Cox Proportional Hazard was 3.05 (95% CI, 1.55-5.99), p = 0.001. The Kaplan-Meier Log Rank Test yielded a p-value of 0.002. Conclusions: The adjusted risk for homozygous genotyped patients was three times higher compared to the wild-type and heterozygous group for grade 3 and 4 neutropenia. Additional investigational studies examining the benefits of UGT1A1 genotyping as a prognostic test and further effect of dosage adjustments in UGT1A1*28 homozygous initiated on irinotecan therapy are needed.

Pharmacogenetics as predictor of sunitinib and mTOR inhibitors toxicity in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC).

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4570-4570
Author(s):  
Yuksel Urun ◽  
Kathryn P. Gray ◽  
Sabina Signoretti ◽  
David F. McDermott ◽  
Michael B. Atkins ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Targeted Therapy ◽  
Treatment Duration ◽  
Mtor Inhibitor ◽  
Mtor Inhibitors ◽  
European Ancestry ◽  
Wild Type ◽  
Median Treatment ◽  
Median Treatment Duration ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Grade 3

4570 Background: Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in major pharmacokinetics (PK) and pharmacodynamics (PD) pathways of targeted agents may affect the incidence of drug toxicities. Methods: Germline DNA was extracted fromwhole blood or normal kidney parenchyma frommRCC pts of European ancestry in two cohorts: those treated with VEGF-targeted therapy (sunitinib) (n=159) or with an mTOR inhibitor (everolimus or temsirolimus) (n=62). Ten SNPs in 6 candidate genes: CYP3A4 (rs2242480, rs4646437, rs2246709), CYP3A5 (rs15524), ABCB1 (rs2032582, rs1045642), VEGFR2 (rs2305948), NR1I3 (rs2307424, rs2307418), FLT3 (rs1933437) were genotyped using Sequenom iPlex Gold platform. Logistic regression model tested the association of genotype variants with adverse events of 1) grade 3/4 (G3/4) toxicity and G3/4 hypertension (for sunitinib cohort) and 2) grade 3/4 toxicity and all grade pneumonitis (for mTOR inhibitors cohort), adjusted for clinical factors associated with toxicity outcomes. Results: In the sunitinib cohort, median treatment duration was 7.7 months (IQR=3-15.5), 83 (52%) pts had grade 3/4 toxicities and 22 (14%) had grade 3/4 hypertension. Rare variant (AG) of CYP3A4 rs464637 was associated with the reduced risk of grade 3/4 toxicities (4 events/17 cases) vs. wild-type (GG, 73 events/134 cases), (Odds Ratio (OR) = 0.27, 95%CI: 0.08-0.88, p=0.03). No association between SNPs and hypertension was observed. In the mTOR inhibitor cohort, median treatment duration was 3.4 months (IQR=1.4-6), 21(34%) pts had G3/4 toxicities and 27 (43%) had all grade pneumonitis. No association between SNPs and G3/4 toxicities was observed. Rare homozygote (GG) of FLT3 SNP rs1933437 was associated with increased risk of all grade pneumonitis (7 events/ 9 cases) vs. wild-type (AA, 4 events/12 cases), however, given the very small variant group size, further investigation is required to verify the association. Conclusions: The minor allele of SNP rs464637 in the gene CYP3A4 may influence sunitinib toxicity. Further validation is needed to determine if the marker could be used for in targeted therapy dosing strategies and direct patient care. (IQR=Interquartile Range).

External validation of two predictive scores of chemotherapy toxicities among older patients with solid cancer, from ELCAPA prospective cohort.

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 12050-12050
Author(s):  
Maxime Frelaut ◽  
Philippe Caillet ◽  
Stephane Culine ◽  
Elena Paillaud ◽  
Christophe Tournigand ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Prospective Cohort ◽  
Older Patients ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Solid Cancer ◽  
Cancer Type ◽  
Severe Toxicity ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Grade 3

12050 Background: Severe chemotherapy toxicities are frequent among older patients, and may have a major impact on mortality, comorbidities, and quality of life. Two scores were developed to predict severe toxicities: Chemotherapy Risk Assessment Scale for High-age patients (CRASH) score, and Cancer and Aging Research Group Study (CARG) score. The main objective of the present study was to evaluate the predictive value of both scores on an external cohort. Secondary objective was to identify individual predictive factors of severe chemotherapy toxicities. Methods: The Elderly Cancer Patients (ELCAPA) survey consists in a prospective cohort including patients aged 70 years or older referred for a geriatric assessment (GA) before anticancer treatment, such as chemotherapy for solid cancer. CARG and CRASH score were retrospectively collected. Main endpoint was grade 3/4/5 toxicities for CARG-score, hematologic grade 4/5 and non-hematologic grade 3/4/5 toxicities for CRASH-score. Calibration and discrimination (Area Under ROC Curve, AUC) were evaluated. Results: From July 2010 to March 2017, 248 patients were included. Among them, 150 (61%) experienced severe toxicity as defined in CARG study, and 126 (51%) as defined in CRASH study. There was no increased risk of toxicity in intermediate and high risk groups of CARG-score compared to low risk group (OR = 0.3, IC95% [0.1 – 1.4], p= 0.1; and OR = 0.4, IC95%[0.1 – 1.7], p= 0.2 respectively, AUC-ROC = 0.55). Similarly, there was no more risk of severe toxicities in intermediate low, intermediate high, and high risk groups compared to low risk groups of CRASH combined score (respectively OR = 1, IC95% [0.3 – 3.6], p= 0.99; OR = 1, IC95% [0.3 – 3.4], p= 0.9; OR = 1.5, IC95% [0.3 – 8.1], p= 0.67; AUC-ROC = 0.52). A multivariate predictive model including cancer type, performance status (PS 0 vs. PS 1-2), number of severe comorbidities (Cumulative Illness Rating Scale for Geriatrics, CIRS-G, ≥1 grade 3 or 4 comorbidity), body mass index (BMI > 25 kg/m² protective vs. normal BMI), and Chemotox score (1 vs. 0) had an AUC of 0.78. Conclusions: Neither CARG nor CRASH score was predictive of severe chemotherapy toxicities in the ELCAPA cohort. There is a need to identify new predictors of chemotherapy toxicity in older patients with solid cancers.

Do irinotecan (IRI) dose reductions driven by UGT1A1*28 genotyping prevent IRI-related severe neutropenia? A real-world study.

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e16116-e16116
Author(s):  
Nicola Personeni ◽  
Rossana Mineri ◽  
Angelica Michelini ◽  
Silvia Bozzarelli ◽  
Tiziana Pressiani ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Performance Status ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Severe Neutropenia ◽  
Cancer Type ◽  
Full Dose ◽  
Academic Center ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Third Line ◽  
Grade 3 ◽  
Dose Reductions

e16116 Background: IRI is widely used in the treatment of gastrointestinal cancers. Consistent with current guidelines, UGT1A1 genotyping may drive IRI dose reductions, but the usefulness of this approach is still unclear. We assessed potential clinical variables that may predict grade ≥3 neutropenia and more specifically the upfront genotyping of UGT1A1 polymorphisms associated with IRI toxicity, according to predefined IRI dose reductions. Methods: We genotyped UGT1A1*28 polymorphisms in 247 patients with metastic colorectal, gastric and pancreatic cancers who received second or third-line IRI-based chemotherapy in clinical practice at a single academic center. Concomitant DPYD sequencing was undertaken in 179 patients receiving also fluoropyrimidines. We compared the incidence of severe neutropenia with full-dose IRI in UGT1A1 6/6 and 6/7 carriers, and in UGT1A1 7/7 carriers who underwent initial IRI dose reductions by at least 30%. Results: The incidence of UGT1A1 7/7, 6/7, 6/6 genotypes was 11.3%, 51.4%, and 37.2%, respectively. IRI dose reductions were significantly more frequent with UGT1A 7/7 and 6/7 genotypes (odds ratio [OR] = 9.5; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.3-21.7), and combination chemotherapy (OR = 3.8; 95%CI: 1.3 – 11.1). Other clinical parameters, including sex, cancer type, baseline neutrophils levels, performance status were not significantly associated with IRI dose reductions. Despite initial IRI reductions driven by the UGT1A1 panel, patients with UGT1A1 7/7 genotype had an increased, albeit non-significant, risk of grade ≥3 neutropenia, compared to patients with UGT1A1 6/6 and 6/7 genotypes who received full dose IRI (incidence: 39% versus 21%; OR = 2.4; 95%CI: 0.85 – 7.03). Conclusions: UGT1A1 testing is a determinant of IRI dose reductions, however this strategy does not reduce the burden of grade ≥3 neutropenia in UGT1A1 7/7 carriers. Further studies beyond the UGT1A1*28 genotype are needed to fully understand the increased risk of neutropenia in patients candidate to IRI-based chemotherapy.

Prospective cohort study of the impact of hospital-wide dihydropyrimidine dehydrogenase (DPYD) genotype testing for fluoropyrimidine-based chemotherapy on adverse events and hospital costs.

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 3028-3028
Author(s):  
Theodore John Wigle ◽  
Brandi Povitz ◽  
Wendy Teft ◽  
Robin Legan ◽  
John Gordon Lenehan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Adverse Events ◽  
Health Care Providers ◽  
Prospective Cohort ◽  
Primary Outcome ◽  
Dihydropyrimidine Dehydrogenase ◽  
Care Providers ◽  
Wild Type ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Grade 3 ◽  
The Impact

3028 Background: Fluoropyrimidines remain integral components of modern chemotherapy for solid tumors, and their toxicities can be reduced by pretreatment DPYD genotyping. Our main objective was to demonstrate the feasibility of implementing a hospital-wide pretreatment DPYD testing service based on the CPIC 2013 guideline on fluoropyrimidines and DPYD. Methods: We enrolled participants prior to planned fluoropyrimidine treatment as well as those who had experienced adverse events (AEs) after initiation of therapy, from December 1, 2013 to November 30, 2018. The patients tested pretreatment were analyzed as a prospective cohort to assess AEs within 90 days of fluoropyrimidine initiation and associated hospital cost. The primary outcome was the rate of severe global fluoropyrimidine-related toxicity in the pretreatment cohort (grade≥3, CTCAE v.4.0.3). Results: Of 1362 patients genotyped for DPYD within the study period 1041 were enrolled pretreatment and included in the primary analysis. The median age was 65 years (19-90), 57% male, 51% 5-FU, and 49% capecitabine. Dose reductions were recommended for 21 DPYD variant carriers who were detected pretreatment. There was no significant difference in the primary outcome between DPYD variant (29%) and wild type (18%) patients (Fisher’s exact test p = 0.25). Costs associated with ER visits and hospitalizations at our tertiary care centre were $1,268 (89-8,562) (Median (IQR)) and $2,961 (341-13,567) for DPYD variant (n = 4) and wild-type (n = 99) patients respectively. Post-AE genotyping (n = 70) found five DPYD variant patients; all experienced grade≥3 toxicity, costs were $15,825 (10,962-25,310), and one poor metabolizer died due to complications. Targeted next generation exome sequencing of DPYD wild-type patients who experienced severe AEs identified five potentially deleterious genetic variants in ABC efflux transporters. Conclusions: Pretreatment DPYD genotype guided dosing of fluorouracil and capecitabine is feasible and benefits patients, health care providers, and hospitals. Our data supports adoption of pretreatment DPYD genotyping as a standard of care.

The Effect of Mianserin on Lifespan of Caenorhabditis elegans is Abolished by Glucose

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdullah Almotayri ◽  
Jency Thomas ◽  
Mihiri Munasinghe ◽  
Markandeya Jois
Keyword(s):  
Caenorhabditis Elegans ◽  
Scaffolding Protein ◽  
Lifespan Extension ◽  
Wild Type ◽  
E Coli ◽  
C Elegans ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Antidepressant Use ◽  
Extension Effect

Background: The antidepressant mianserin has been shown to extend the lifespan of Caenorhabditis elegans (C. elegans), a well-established model organism used in aging research. The extension of lifespan in C. elegans was shown to be dependent on increased expression of the scaffolding protein (ANK3/unc-44). In contrast, antidepressant use in humans is associated with an increased risk of death. The C. elegans in the laboratory are fed Escherichia coli (E. coli), a diet high in protein and low in carbohydrate, whereas a typical human diet is high in carbohydrates. We hypothesized that dietary carbohydrates might mitigate the lifespan-extension effect of mianserin. Objective: To investigate the effect of glucose added to the diet of C. elegans on the lifespan-extension effect of mianserin. Methods: Wild-type Bristol N2 and ANK3/unc-44 inactivating mutants were cultured on agar plates containing nematode growth medium and fed E. coli. Treatment groups included (C) control, (M50) 50 μM mianserin, (G) 73 mM glucose, and (M50G) 50 μM mianserin and 73 mM glucose. Lifespan was determined by monitoring the worms until they died. Statistical analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier version of the log-rank test. Results: Mianserin treatment resulted in a 12% increase in lifespan (P<0.05) of wild-type Bristol N2 worms but reduced lifespan by 6% in ANK3/unc-44 mutants, consistent with previous research. The addition of glucose to the diet reduced the lifespan of both strains of worms and abolished the lifespan-extension by mianserin. Conclusion: The addition of glucose to the diet of C. elegans abolishes the lifespan-extension effects of mianserin.

scholarly journals The effect of adjuvant radiotherapy on overall survival in adults with intracranial ependymoma

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 391-399
Author(s):  
Roshan S Prabhu ◽  
Christopher D Corso ◽  
Matthew C Ward ◽  
John H Heinzerling ◽  
Reshika Dhakal ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
Propensity Score ◽  
Adjuvant Radiotherapy ◽  
Subtotal Resection ◽  
National Cancer Database ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Intracranial Ependymoma ◽  
Male Sex ◽  
Grade 3

Abstract Background Adult intracranial ependymoma is rare, and the role for adjuvant radiotherapy (RT) is not well defined. Methods We used the National Cancer Database (NCDB) to select adults (age ≥ 22 years) with grade 2 to 3 intracranial ependymoma status postresection between 2004 and 2015 and treated with adjuvant RT vs observation. Four cohorts were generated: (1) all patients, (2) grade 2 only, (3) grade 2 status post–subtotal resection only, (4) and grade 3 only. The association between adjuvant RT use and overall survival (OS) was assessed using multivariate Cox and propensity score matched analyses. Results A total of 1787 patients were included in cohort 1, of which 856 patients (48%) received adjuvant RT and 931 (52%) were observed. Approximately two-thirds of tumors were supratentorial and 80% were grade 2. Cohorts 2, 3, and 4 included 1471, 345, and 316 patients, respectively. There was no significant association between adjuvant RT use and OS in multivariate or propensity score matched analysis in any of the cohorts. Older age, male sex, urban location, higher comorbidity score, earlier year of diagnosis, and grade 3 were associated with increased risk of death. Conclusions This large NCDB study did not demonstrate a significant association between adjuvant RT use and OS for adults with intracranial ependymoma, including for patients with grade 2 ependymoma status post–subtotal resection. The conflicting results regarding the efficacy of adjuvant RT in this patient population highlight the need for high-quality studies to guide therapy recommendations in adult ependymoma.

scholarly journals PATH-19. MOLECULAR, HISTOLOGIC AND CLINICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF OLIGODENDROGLIOMAS: A MULTI-INSTITUTIONAL RETROSPECTIVE STUDY

2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (Supplement_2) ◽  
pp. ii168-ii168
Author(s):  
Antonio Dono ◽  
Kristin Alfaro-Munoz ◽  
Yuanqing Yan ◽  
Carlos Lopez-Garcia ◽  
Zaid Soomro ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Health Science ◽  
Cancer Center ◽  
Subtotal Resection ◽  
Adjuvant Radiation ◽  
Science Center ◽  
Who Grade ◽  
Pik3ca Mutations ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Grade 3

Abstract In the 2016 WHO classification of CNS tumors, oligodendrogliomas are molecularly defined by IDH1 or IDH2 mutations and 1p/19q co-deletion. Some reports suggest that PI3K pathway alterations may confer increased risk of progression and poor prognosis in oligodendroglioma. However, factors that influence prognosis in molecularly defined oligodendroglioma (mOGD) have not been thoroughly studied. Also, the benefits of adjuvant radiation and temozolomide in mOGDs remain to be determined. 107 mOGDs diagnosed between 2008-2018 at the University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston (n= 39) and MD Anderson Cancer Center (n= 68) were included. A retrospective review of the demographic, clinical, histologic, molecular, and outcomes were performed. Median age at diagnosis was 37 years and 61 (57%) patients were male. There were 64 (60%) WHO Grade 2 and 43 (40%) WHO Grade 3 tumors. Ninety-five (88.8%) tumors were IDH1-mutant and 12 (11.2%) were IDH2-mutant. Eighty-two (77%) patients were stratified as high-risk: older than 40-years and/or subtotal resection (RTOG 9802). Gross-total resection was achieved in 47 (45%) patients. Treatment strategies included observation (n= 15), temozolomide (n= 11), radiation (n= 13), radiation with temozolomide (n= 62) and other (n= 6). Our results show a benefit of temozolomide vs. observation in progression-free survival (PFS). However, no benefit in PFS or overall survival (OS) was observed when comparing radiation vs. radiation with temozolomide. PIK3CA mutations were detected in 15 (14%) cases, and patients with PIK3CA-mutant mOGDs showed worse OS (10.7-years vs 15.1-years, p= 0.009). Patients with WHO Grade 3 tumors had shorter PFS but no significant difference in OS was observed compared to grade 2. Our findings suggest that mOGDs harboring PIK3CA mutations have worse OS. Except for an advantage in PFS in temozolomide treated patients, adjuvant treatment with radiation or the combination of both, showed no significant advantage in terms of OS.

scholarly journals Effects of B.1.1.7 and B.1.351 on COVID-19 Dynamics: A Campus Reopening Study

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin Linka ◽  
Mathias Peirlinck ◽  
Amelie Schäfer ◽  
Oguz Ziya Tikenogullari ◽  
Alain Goriely ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Online Education ◽  
The United States ◽  
Wild Type ◽  
Seir Model ◽  
Population Mixing ◽  
Santa Clara County ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Controversial Topic ◽  
Almost All ◽  
Local Reproduction

AbstractThe timing and sequence of safe campus reopening has remained the most controversial topic in higher education since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. By the end of March 2020, almost all colleges and universities in the United States had transitioned to an all online education and many institutions have not yet fully reopened to date. For a residential campus like Stanford University, the major challenge of reopening is to estimate the number of incoming infectious students at the first day of class. Here we learn the number of incoming infectious students using Bayesian inference and perform a series of retrospective and projective simulations to quantify the risk of campus reopening. We create a physics-based probabilistic model to infer the local reproduction dynamics for each state and adopt a network SEIR model to simulate the return of all undergraduates, broken down by their year of enrollment and state of origin. From these returning student populations, we predict the outbreak dynamics throughout the spring, summer, fall, and winter quarters using the inferred reproduction dynamics of Santa Clara County. We compare three different scenarios: the true outbreak dynamics under the wild-type SARS-CoV-2, and the hypothetical outbreak dynamics under the new COVID-19 variants B.1.1.7 and B.1.351 with 56% and 50% increased transmissibility. Our study reveals that even small changes in transmissibility can have an enormous impact on the overall case numbers. With no additional countermeasures, during the most affected quarter, the fall of 2020, there would have been 203 cases under baseline reproduction, compared to 4727 and 4256 cases for the B.1.1.7 and B.1.351 variants. Our results suggest that population mixing presents an increased risk for local outbreaks, especially with new and more infectious variants emerging across the globe. Tight outbreak control through mandatory quarantine and test-trace-isolate strategies will be critical in successfully managing these local outbreak dynamics.

scholarly journals PARP1 rs1136410 Val762Ala contributes to an increased risk of overall cancer in the East Asian population: a meta-analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 49 (3) ◽  
pp. 030006052199295
Author(s):  
Yijuan Xin ◽  
Liu Yang ◽  
Mingquan Su ◽  
Xiaoli Cheng ◽  
Lin Zhu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cancer Risk ◽  
Odds Ratio ◽  
Chinese Population ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Asian Population ◽  
Cancer Type ◽  
East Asians ◽  
Asian Populations ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Meta Analyses

Objectives To investigate the association between poly(ADP-ribose) polymerase 1 ( PARP1) rs1136410 Val762Ala and cancer risk in Asian populations, as published findings remain controversial. Methods The PubMed and EMBASE databases were searched, and references of identified studies and reviews were screened, to find relevant studies. Meta-analyses were performed to evaluate the association between PARP1 rs1136410 Val762Ala and cancer risk, reported as odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Results A total of 24 studies with 8 926 cases and 15 295 controls were included. Overall, a significant association was found between PARP1 rs1136410 Val762Ala and cancer risk in East Asians (homozygous: OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.06, 1.35; heterozygous: OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.04, 1.17; recessive: OR 1.13, 95% CI 1.02, 1.25; dominant: OR 1.13, 95% CI 1.06, 1.19; and allele comparison: OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.03, 1.15). Stratification analyses by race and cancer type revealed similar results for gastric cancer among the Chinese population. Conclusion The findings suggest that PARP1 rs1136410 Val762Ala may be significantly associated with an increased cancer risk in Asians, particularly the Chinese population.

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