scholarly journals Analysis of Corona Virus spread uses the CRISP-DM as a Framework: Predictive Modelling

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. ,2987-2994
Author(s):  
Muhammad Akbar Rivai
Keyword(s):  
Predictive Modelling ◽  
Virus Spread ◽  
Corona Virus

scholarly journals Implementasi Interpolasi Newton Gregory pada Model Matematika Penyebaran Virus Corona di Indonesia

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 01-16
Author(s):  
Rahmawati Aulia ◽  
Ririn Atika Sazlin ◽  
Liana Ismayani ◽  
Maman Sukiman ◽  
Habib Ratu Perwira Negara ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Qualitative Method ◽  
Interpolation Method ◽  
Final Conclusion ◽  
Virus Spread ◽  
Corona Virus ◽  
June July

The purpose of this study is to analyze the development of pandemics in all regions of Indonesia. the method used is the Newthon Rapshon interpolation method, to determine the percentage of the development of the corona virus spread in Indonesia and the method using a qualitative method by analyzing and describing data that has been simulated. The results obtained are predictions of covid-19 cases that occur in May, June, July until August, ie in those months there will be an increase in all cases that occur about this pandemic namely positive patients, recovered and died will continue to increase with a positive final conclusion> cured = died and obtained pn (x) = 2 for patients cured, pn(x) = 0 for cured and dead patients, in this study found pn(x) = 0 because the vaccine for this pandemic has not been found so the possibility of recovery and death has not been obtained its MAPE value, but an increase in cases of recovery is predicted to continue to occur as well as cases of death.

scholarly journals An Empirical Inference of the Severity of Resurgence of COVID-19 in Europe

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hemanta K. Baruah
Keyword(s):  
Virus Spread ◽  
Corona Virus ◽  
Current Spread ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Second Wave

AbstractIn Europe the Corona Virus spread had started to retard months ago, but after some time it has started to accelerate again. In this article, we are going to analyze the current COVID-19 spread patterns in Italy, the UK, Germany, Russia, Spain and France. We have found that the current spread has perhaps been underestimated as just the second wave. As per our analysis, as on 7 October the resurgence is much more vigorous than the first wave of spread of the disease. It is going to be most serious in Russia, followed by Italy, Germany and the UK, while in Spain and France the patterns are yet to take inferable shapes.

scholarly journals A Market Scheduling for New Normal Logistics in the Wake of Corona Virus Diseases-19 in Bandung City

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 87-98
Author(s):  
Carles Sitompul ◽  
Paulina Kus Ariningsih ◽  
Fran Setiawan
Keyword(s):  
Analytical Model ◽  
Economic Factors ◽  
Human Beings ◽  
Virus Spread ◽  
Virus Diseases ◽  
New Normal ◽  
Scheduling Model ◽  
Corona Virus ◽  
Recent Developments ◽  
Future Potential

Recent developments on the worldwide spread of Corona Virus Diseases-19 (COVID-19) show the vulnerability of human beings to pandemic risks in terms of biological, social, and economic factors. While human lives are the most important factor, a proposed solution dealing with pandemics should be sustainable which also includes other factors. Quarantines and physical distancing have been seen as effective ways to slow down the spread of COVID-19.  We therefore propose a market scheduling model with multi-objectives to support physical distancing minimizing the number of people in a certain area in a given time (crowds) and minimizing the virus spread rates. An analytical model is proposed and solved for Bandung City. The results show some promising ideas on how to slow down the virus spread without compromising both health and economic objectives. The future potential research of the model is also presented.

scholarly journals Model Dinamis Analisis Keputusan Penanganan Penyebaran Covid-19 Menggunakan Causal Loop Diagram

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 106-110
Author(s):  
Muhammad Safii ◽  
Husain Husain ◽  
Mochamad Wahyudi ◽  
Muhammad Zarlis
Keyword(s):  
System Approach ◽  
Development Process ◽  
Causal Loop Diagram ◽  
Virus Spread ◽  
Loop Diagram ◽  
Causal Loop ◽  
Corona Virus ◽  
Complex Development ◽  
Circle Diagram ◽  
The Right

The spread of Corona Virus or Covid 19 is very fast and has become a pandemic for all countries in this world. In a very dynamic and complex development process consisting of many interrelated and diverse components, each of which has different goals. Regarding the dynamic and complex challenges in the field of developing corona virus spread, the ability to identify is needed to reduce the circulation of the virus. For this reason, it is necessary to look further into the factors that influence and inhibit the spread of the virus and what strategies are needed and analyze the dynamically dynamic causes of these factors using the method of approach that uses the Cause Circle Diagram (CLD) system. ). The purpose of this research is to get the right solution in making decisions to handle the spread of corona virus through a system approach with a Causal Loop Diagram (CLD) model.

scholarly journals Covid-19 Spread Analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (VI) ◽  
pp. 310-313
Author(s):  
Prashant Gawande
Keyword(s):  
Data Science ◽  
Virus Spread ◽  
Entire Data ◽  
Corona Virus ◽  
The World ◽  
The Right ◽  
Spread Analysis ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Death Cases

Covid-19 Spread Analysis is a stand-alone application developed in python which will help us to analyse the covid-19 cases all over the world. In this python project, we will implement a live dashboard for COVID 19 spread analysis. This dashboard will provide much insightful visualization for the study of corona virus spread. It will consist of a world map on which circles of the top 15 regions having the largest corona cases of will be displayed. There will be a table in the left panel showing the total active cases till date in the respective region. In the right panel, there will be a world map which will represent the impact of the virus using a red circle. More the number of cases in the region on the map, the bigger are the red circle in that region. Also, the user can see a detailed graph of state wise covid-19 cases of our country. This graph will show the active, confirmed, recovered and death cases. User can see all this information date wise as well as month wise. The graph will be updated every day so that user can clearly analyse the covid-19 spread. The project aims to understand various useful features of this tool and to present different concepts of data science applied within the application along with its importance in managing the ongoing pandemic. . It gives the readers an insight in to covid-19 spread is happening with the help of the entire data.

scholarly journals A stochastic approach to number of corona virus cases

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 67-83
Author(s):  
H. Ünözkan ◽  
M. Yilmaz ◽  
A.M. Dere
Keyword(s):  
Stochastic Process ◽  
Random Walk ◽  
Process Modeling ◽  
Stochastic Approach ◽  
Effective Vaccine ◽  
Virus Spread ◽  
Random Walk Process ◽  
Corona Virus ◽  
Chemical Usage ◽  
Spread Speed

AbstractThis paper introduces a stochastic approach to case numbers of a pandemic disease. By defining the stochastic process random walk process is used. Some stochastic aspects for this disease are argued before stochastic study is started. During random walk process modeling new patients, recovering patients and dead conclusions are modelled and probabilities changes in some stages. Let the structure of this study includes vanishing process as a walk step, some wave happenings like big differences about spread speed as a big step in treatment- an effective vaccine or an influential chemical usage- a second corona virus pumping with virus mutation, a second global happening which bumping virus spread are defined as stages. This study only simulates a stochastic process of corona virus effects.

scholarly journals mpact of Pandemic – COVID 19 in Agrarian Part of the Country – A Study across Villages Adopted by Mount Carmel College, Autonomous, Bangalore

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Govinda Gowda HG
Keyword(s):  
Initial Phase ◽  
Virus Spread ◽  
Corona Virus ◽  
Virus Attack

This paper is showing that COVID19 has affected all walks of life. Protecting lives of people suffering from the disease as well as frontline health responders have been the priority of nations. Governments have swung into actions since the Corona virus attack created an unprecedented situation. India declared a three-week nation-wide lockdown till mid-April in the initial phase, which was subsequently extended for achieving satisfactory containment of the virus spread.

scholarly journals Pendampingan Penerapan Protokol Kesehatan Di Masa Era New Normal Pada Kumpulan Pengajian Kelompok Wanita Tani Di Desa Saronggi

2021 ◽  
pp. 44-48
Author(s):  
Cory Nelia Damayanti ◽  
Dian Ika Puspitasari ◽  
Emdat Suprayitno
Keyword(s):  
Close Contact ◽  
Virus Spread ◽  
Women's Groups ◽  
Community Groups ◽  
New Normal ◽  
Corona Virus ◽  
Women’S Groups ◽  
Basic Purpose ◽  
The Village

Background: In 2020, Indonesia experienced a pandemic period, during which the corona virus spread. Close contact is a factor in the transmission of the covid 19 virus. Applying health protocols is considered important to reduce the incidence of the increase in the covid 19 virus. Methods: The basic purpose of this service is to provide training and assistance in implementing health protocols for community groups, especially the recitation group for farmer women's groups in the village of Saronggi. The main purpose of this service is to suppress the spread of the corona virus in the community. Results: The results showed that the counseling and mentoring process at the Women's Farmer's Association in Saronggi village went smoothly and as expected. This can be seen from the enthusiasm of all members when listening to counseling and changes in the behavior or habits of members in implementing health protocols when carrying out activities Conclusions Suggestions that we can hope for are to remain disciplined with health protocols so that they can really suppress the spread of the virus and break the chain of the Corona Virus.

scholarly journals BUSINESS SUSTAINABILITY: HOW TO ENGAGE CUSTOMERS DURING THE PANDEMIC

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 249-256
Author(s):  
Devi Rachmasari
Keyword(s):  
Qualitative Study ◽  
Digital Marketing ◽  
Virus Spread ◽  
Long Distance ◽  
Business Sustainability ◽  
The Public ◽  
Corona Virus ◽  
The World ◽  
Descriptive Qualitative

It is a worldwide condition that corona virus spread at the end of 2019. The lockdown policy applied in most countries in the world as an effort to break the chain of spread of the virus, unfortunately, has a big impact on economics activities. The business must think hard in order to be able to sustain. Thus the writer wants to analyze a case in a language course in Surabaya to be able to survive and engage customers during the pandemic by using descriptive qualitative study with a case study. The strategy of new mindset and digital marketing is proved to be effective in making the course sustains during the pandemic of covid 19. The long distance and lockdown condition is no longer a matter since through digital marketing, the course is able to reach the public to be customers.

scholarly journals KARANTINA WILAYAH BERDASARKAN UNDANG-UNDANG NO 6 TAHUN 2018 TENTANG KEKARANTINAAN KESEHATAN

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (01) ◽  
pp. 84-100
Author(s):  
DESI SOMMALIAGUSTINA
Keyword(s):  
Virus Spread ◽  
Substantial Impact ◽  
Health Concerns ◽  
Corona Virus ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

Abstrak Kemunculan pandemi virus corona di Wuhan, China, pada bulan Desember tahun lalu menjadi ancaman kematian global. Hal ini disebabkan kemampuan virus menyebar dengan cepat dan kemampuannya dalam menimbulkan dampak yang fatal bagi kesehatan. Kekhawatiran akibat dampak yang ditimbulkan virus corona, menyebabkan karantina kesehatan menjadi wacana yang harus segera dilakukan pemerintah Indonesia. Wacana ini berkembang karena termaktub dan tercantum jelas bahwa karantina kesehatan merupakan cara yang efektif memutus mata rantai penyebaran virus di saat terjadi kedaratan bencana seperti wabah virus corona hari ini yang dapat menimbulkan dampak dan kerugian besar bagi negara dan masyarakat Indonesia. Dalam Undang-Undang Nomor 6 Tahun 2018 Tentang Kekarantinaan Kesehatan dengan jelas menerangkan tentang adanya pembatasan mengenai masuk dan keluarnya individu ke suatu daerah yang telah dinyatakan sumber wabah, termasuk mengatur pula tentang adanya perintah untuk melakukan isolasi, karantina wilayah, vaksinasi dan lain sebagainya untuk menghentikan penyebaran wabah yang terjadi di Indonesia.   REGIONAL QUARANTINE BASED ON LAW No. 6 OF 2018 CONCERNING HEALTH QUARANTINE   Abstract The appearance of the Corona virus pandemic in Wuhan, China, in December last year became a threat of global death. This is due to the rapidly spreading virus ability and its ability to inflict a fatal impact on health. Concerns due to the impact caused by Corona virus, cause health quarantine to be a discourse that the government should immediately do. This discourse develops because it is enlisted and clearly stated that health quarantine is an effective way to break the chain of virus spread in the event of catastrophic emergency such as Corona virus outbreak today that can cause substantial impact and loss for the country and Society of Indonesia. In Law No. 6 of 2018 concerning health's infidelity clearly describes the limitations on entrance and discharge of individuals to an area that has been declared the source of the plague, including also regulating the presence of orders for isolation, territorial quarantine, vaccination, etc. to stop the spread of the outbreak in Indonesia.  

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