scholarly journals The Effect of Economic Digitization on Financial Inclusion and International Trade in Southeast Asia

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 115-122
Author(s):  
Rini Dwi Astuti ◽  
Purwiyanta Purwiyanta
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Southeast Asia ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Financial Inclusion ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Vector Autoregression Model ◽  
The World ◽  
Autoregression Model ◽  
Causality Relationship

The rapid development of information technology has made economic digitization a necessity throughout the world, including Southeast Asia. This study aims to analyze the effect of economic digitization on financial inclusion and international trade using the Vector Autoregression Model analysis tool for ten countries in ASEAN for the 2017-2019 period. The results showed that international trade and financial inclusion variables could respond quickly to shocks in the variable of economic digitization. Economic growth can respond quickly to shocks in global trade variables and financial inclusion variables. There is no causal relationship between economic growth and international trade. However, there is a one-way causality relationship between economic growth and financial inclusion, where inclusion affects economic growth but not vice versa.

scholarly journals PENGARUH INFLASI, PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH DAN EKSPOR TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 37
Author(s):  
Yusra Mahzalena ◽  
Hijri Juliansyah
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Vector Autoregression Model ◽  
Var Analysis ◽  
Insignificant Effect ◽  
Autoregression Model

The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of inflation, Government spending, and exports on economic growth in Indonesia during 1990-2016. This study used time series data obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics. The number of samples in this study was 27 years as the object of this research. This study used a Vector Autoregression Model (VAR) analysis tool with the help of Eviews 9 software. The results of the VAR analysis model showed that economic growth was insignificantly and positively influenced by its movements, inflation had a positive and insignificant effect on economic growth, and Government spending had a positive and insignificant effect on economic growth, while exports had a negative and insignificant effect on economic growth.

scholarly journals The Rise of Container Tonnage and Port Developments in East Asia

2015 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 189 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mariner Wang
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
International Trade ◽  
East Asia ◽  
Container Terminals ◽  
The World ◽  
Substantial Investment ◽  
Huge Impact

1990’s saw the robust expansion of international trade in East Asia generating a remarkable record high and sustained economic growth unmatched by any other region in the world. In line with this, container tonnage in the region has been ever increased annually. In light of this, the governments in the main ports of the region have plunged substantial investment in expanding and developing new container terminals to cope with the ever increased cargoes out/to the region. Though Lehman Shock in 2008 has given a huge impact on the container volumes in Asia, ports in the East Asia are seen to continue to handle the lion’s share of global container business. In 2013, the container throughput of East Asia accounted for 51.2 per cent out of that of the world, becoming the world container center.

scholarly journals ANALISIS KAUSALITAS KEBIJAKAN FISKAL EKSPANSIF, KEBIJAKAN MONETER EKSPANSIF DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 55
Author(s):  
Fadhliah Yuniwinsah ◽  
Ali Anis
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Vector Autoregression ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Vector Autoregression Model ◽  
Autoregression Model

This study examined the causality between expansionary fiscal policy, expansionary monetary policy and economic growth in Indonesia’s using a time series data with vector autoregression model (VAR) in the period of 1969-2018. The results of this study showed that are there is no causality between expansionary fiscal policy and expansionary monetary policy but there one-way relationship between them, it is the expansionary monetary policy gives influence to expansionary fiscal policy. There is no causality between expansionary fiscal policy and economic growth but there one-way relationship between them, It is economic growth gives influence to expansionary fiscal policy. And there is no causality between expansionary monetary policy and economic growth but there one-way relationship between them, it is economic growth gives influence to expansionary monetary policy.

scholarly journals The Influence of Financial Inclusion and Macroeconomic on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Flows in The Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 71
Author(s):  
Farma Andiansyah
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Capital Flows ◽  
Foreign Capital ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Financial Inclusion ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Foreign Capital Flows

Foreign capital flows are important factors in the development of sustainable economies, especially in developing countries such as the OIC countries. Lately, the rapid development of the financial sector and macroeconomic stability became a serious concern by foreign investors, where financial inclusion and macroeconomics played an important role in attracting direct foreign capital flows (FDI). The study aims to investigate the role of financial inclusion and macroeconomic variables on the foreign direct flow of capital (FDI) by using data panels in 8 OKI member States during the 2012-2018 time span. The research uses the Fix Effect Model (FEM) Panel data Analysis tool, which is believed to be able to explain the correlation between independent variables and more accurate dependents. As for the results of the study showed that in partial only variable avaibility (the number of branches of the bank/100,000 adults) is a significant positive draws FDI in the OKI country. While on macroeconomic variables the exchange rates have significant negative effect on FDI, while interest rates and economic growth have significant positive relationships in attracting FDI.

scholarly journals On Nonlinear Relationship between Inflation and Economic Growth: A Study of ASEAN-5 Countries Period 2000–2016

2018 ◽  
Vol 63 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Ambar Galih ◽  
Sugiharso Safuan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Negative Correlation ◽  
Vector Autoregression ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Vital Role ◽  
Nonlinear Relationship ◽  
Vector Autoregression Model ◽  
Autoregression Model

Money (inflation) has played a vital role in economic growth. However, the nexus between them has always drawn mesmerizing debates. From the thoughts of Classical and Keynes which argued the existence of money neutrality, to the level of empirical studies which find either positive or negative correlation between inflation and economic growth. Recent studies concerning the debatable relationship have evolved it into a hypothesis whether the relation is nonlinear with a threshold or a point where the link switches. This study aims to re-examine the causality between inflation and economic growth in ASEAN-5 countries period 2000Q1–2016Q4. The results based on Threshold Vector Autoregression model indicate the presence of a nonlinear relationship between the two variables.

scholarly journals Foreign Direct Investment, Import And Export Trade And Economic Growth-Based On Vector Autoregression Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 07 (02) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lulu Xu ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Vector Autoregression ◽  
Export Trade ◽  
Promoting Effect ◽  
Vector Autoregression Model ◽  
Import And Export ◽  
Autoregression Model

Fostering the new development pattern will promote the level of China's opening-up. Which means that the scale of China's foreign trade, foreign capital use will continue to expand. By establishing a vector autoregression model, this paper conducts an empirical study on the relationship between foreign direct investment, import and export trade and economic growth in China from 1987 to 2018. The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship among foreign direct investment, import and export trade and economic growth in China. China's economic growth has a strong self-promoting effect. China's import and export trade are the Granger cause of economic growth, and in the long term, the contribution of export to the economy is obviously greater than that of import. China's import is a strong Granger reason for export. The contribution of foreign direct investment to import, export and economic growth is relatively low.

scholarly journals The Missing Economic Magic: The Failure of Trade Liberalization and Exchange Rate Devaluation in Pakistan, 1980–2012

2015 ◽  
Vol 20 (Sspecial Edition) ◽  
pp. 59-86 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew McCartney
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Trade Liberalization ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Positive Relationship ◽  
Economic Liberalization ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
The World

Pakistan and India were part of that wave of economic liberalization among developing countries from the late 1980s. This paper is about one aspect of that failure to ‘produce the economic magic’, in Pakistan. Pakistan substantially liberalized its international trade after the late 1980s, and contrary to some views managed its exchange rate in an exceptionally clear sighted and prudent manner. In response, Pakistan never experienced sustained and rapid export led-growth. In fact so disappointing was the performance of exports that Pakistan’s degree of integration with the world economy was little higher in 2015 than it had been in 1990. This paper first examines the exciting promise followed by the lackluster performance of trade liberalization. It establishes evidence that the exchange rate was managed in a way that should have helped a more liberalized trading regime contribute to economic growth. The paper explores wider evidence linking trade liberalization to economic growth and argues that the positive relationship is at best only a contingent one. Those contingent factors that have failed to support the positive link between trade liberalization and economic growth in Pakistan are investment, tax revenue, and upgrading/learning.

scholarly journals KAUSALITAS UTANG LUAR NEGERI, TABUNGAN DOMESTIK, DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Lumadya Adi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Asean Member ◽  
Foreign Borrowing ◽  
Domestic Savings ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
The Relationship

ABSTRACTThe purpose of this study was to examine the causality relationship between foreign borrowing with domestic savings; causality relationship between foreign borrowing and economic growth for the three ASEAN member countriesare Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand. The analysis tool is used Granger Causality. If there are two variables X and Y then the relationship could happen between them as follows: (1). X cause Y; (2). Y cause X; (3). Both directions Ycause X and X cause Y; and (4). There is no relationship between X and Y. The results of the study as follows: 1. There is no causality between foreign borrowing with domestic savings Indonesian state. 2. There is no causality between foreign borrowing with domestic savings of Malaysia. 3. There is causality in both directions between the foreign borrowingwith domestic savings of Thailand. 4. There is the direction of causality between foreign borrowing to economic growth in Indonesia. 5. There is no causality between foreign borrowing and economic growth of Malaysia. 6. There is no causality between foreign borrowing and economic growth of Thailand. ABSTRAKSIPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji hubungan kausalitas antara utang luar negeri dengan tabungan domestik; hubunganutang luar negeri dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi di tiga negara anggota ASEAN, yaitu Indonesia, Malaysia, dan Thailand.Analisa yang digunakan adalah Kausalitas Granger. Bila terdapat dua variabel X dan Y maka hubungan yang dapat terjadi di antara kedua variabel tersebut adalah sebagai berikut:(1) X berhubungan dengan Y; (2) Y berhubungan dengan X; (3) Keduanya saling berhubungan, yaitu X berhubungan dengan Y dan Y berhubungan dengan X; (4) Tidak ada hubungan di antara keduanya. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa: 1. Tidak ada hubungan antara utang luar negeri dengan tabungan domistik di Indonesia; 2. Tidak ada hubungan antara utang luar negeri dengan tabungan domistik di Malaysia; 3. Terdapat hubungan antara utang luar negeri dengan tabungan domistik  di Thailand; 4. Terdapat hubungan antara utang luar negeri dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia; 5. Tidak terdapat hubungan antara utang luar negeri dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi di Malaysia; 6. Tidak terdapat hubungan antara utang luar negeri dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi di Thailand.

The State of Finance in Fragile States

2021 ◽  
pp. 186-208
Author(s):  
Adolfo Barajas ◽  
Ralph Chami ◽  
Connel Fullenkamp
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
The State ◽  
Financial Inclusion ◽  
Significant Heterogeneity ◽  
Fragile States ◽  
The World Bank ◽  
Financial Depth ◽  
The World

This chapter describes the state of financial development in fragile states. Our analysis primarily relies on indicators from the World Bank Global Financial Development Database, which have been used extensively in the literature to capture the degree to which financial services and activities are present in an economy (depth) and the extent to which they are disseminated and made available to the population (inclusion). We find that financial depth in fragile states is underdeveloped and financial inclusion is low, but with significant heterogeneity among fragile states. We conduct empirical exercises which suggest that fragility is negatively related to financial development, both in terms of depth and especially in terms of inclusion, and exercises that also point to certain aspects of fragility most associated with financial underperformance. Finally, we use a benchmarking exercise to estimate how much financial underdevelopment in fragile states is costing them, in terms of economic growth.

Financial inclusion and economic growth linkage: some cross country evidence

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 369-385 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dinabandhu Sethi ◽  
Debashis Acharya
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Random Effect ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Fixed Effect ◽  
Financial Inclusion ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Panel Causality ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The World

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to assess the dynamic impact of financial inclusion on economic growth for a large number of developed and developing countries. Design/methodology/approach This study uses some panel data models such as country-fixed effect, random effect and time fixed effect regressions, panel cointegration, and panel causality tests to examine the linkage between financial inclusion and economic growth. Panel cointegration is being used to test the long run association between financial inclusion and economic growth, whereas panel causality test is used to find the direction of causality between financial inclusion and economic growth. The data on financial inclusion are taken from Sarma (2012) for the period 2004-2010. Findings The empirical findings reveal that there is a positive and long run relationship between financial inclusion and economic growth across 31 countries in the world. Further, panel causality test shows a bi-directional causality between financial inclusion and economic growth Thus, the study confirms that financial inclusion is one of the main drivers of economic growth. Research limitations/implications This study has two limitations. First, this study considers only banking institutions in the analysis. Second, the period tested for the long run relationship is not long enough. Practical implications This study empirically measures the quantitative impact of financial inclusion policies pursued across the world. The study also suggests that policies emphasizing financial sector reforms in general and promoting financial inclusion in particular shall result in higher economic growth in the long run. Originality/value This study attempts to assess the long run relationship between financial inclusion and economic growth with the help of a multidimensional index of financial inclusion. Therefore, this can be a valuable contribution to the banks and policymakers.

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