scholarly journals Nomogram Models to Predict Postoperative Hyperlactatemia in Patients Undergoing Elective Cardiac Surgery

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dashuai Wang ◽  
Su Wang ◽  
Jia Wu ◽  
Sheng Le ◽  
Fei Xie ◽  
...  

Objectives: Postoperative hyperlactatemia (POHL) is common in patients undergoing cardiac surgery and is associated with poor outcomes. The purpose of this study was to develop and validate two predictive models for POHL in patients undergoing elective cardiac surgery (ECS).Methods: We conducted a multicenter retrospective study enrolling 13,454 adult patients who underwent ECS. All patients involved in the analysis were randomly assigned to a training set and a validation set. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify risk factors for POHL in the training cohort. Based on these independent predictors, the nomograms were constructed to predict the probability of POHL and were validated in the validation cohort.Results: A total of 1,430 patients (10.6%) developed POHL after ECS. Age, preoperative left ventricular ejection fraction, renal insufficiency, cardiac surgery history, intraoperative red blood cell transfusion, and cardiopulmonary bypass time were independent predictors and were used to construct a full nomogram. The second nomogram was constructed comprising only the preoperative factors. Both models showed good predictive ability, calibration, and clinical utility. According to the predicted probabilities, four risk groups were defined as very low risk (<0.05), low risk (0.05–0.1), medium risk (0.1–0.3), and high risk groups (>0.3), corresponding to scores of ≤ 180 points, 181–202 points, 203–239 points, and >239 points on the full nomogram, respectively.Conclusions: We developed and validated two nomogram models to predict POHL in patients undergoing ECS. The nomograms may have clinical utility in risk estimation, risk stratification, and targeted interventions.

2015 ◽  
Vol 42 (4) ◽  
pp. 341-347 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claudia Loardi ◽  
Francesco Alamanni ◽  
Fabrizio Veglia ◽  
Claudia Galli ◽  
Alessandro Parolari ◽  
...  

The radiofrequency maze procedure achieves sinus rhythm in 45%–95% of patients treated for atrial fibrillation. This retrospective study evaluates mid-term results of the radiofrequency maze—performed concomitant to elective cardiac surgery—to determine sinus-rhythm predictive factors, and describes the evolution of patients' echocardiographic variables. From 2003 through 2011, 247 patients (mean age, 64 ± 9.5 yr) with structural heart disease (79.3% mitral disease) and atrial fibrillation underwent a concomitant radiofrequency modified maze procedure. Patients were monitored by 24-hour Holter at 3, 6, 12, and 24 months, then annually. Eighty-four mitral-valve patients underwent regular echocardiographic follow-up. Univariate and multivariate analysis for risk factors of maze failure were identified. The in-hospital mortality rate was 1.2%. During a median follow-up of 39.4 months, the late mortality rate was 3.6%, and pacemaker insertion was necessary in 26 patients (9.4%). Sinus rhythm was present in 63% of patients at the latest follow-up. Predictive factors for atrial fibrillation recurrence were arrhythmia duration (hazard ratio [HR]=1.296, P=0.045) and atrial fibrillation at hospital discharge (HR=2.03, P=0.019). The monopolar device favored maze success (HR=0.191, P <0.0001). Left atrial area and indexed left ventricular end-diastolic volume showed significant decrease both in sinus rhythm and atrial fibrillation patients. Early sinus rhythm conversion was associated with improved left ventricular ejection fraction. Concomitant radiofrequency maze procedure provided remarkable outcomes. Shorter preoperative atrial fibrillation duration, monopolar device use, and prompt treatment of arrhythmia recurrences increase the midterm success rate. Early sinus rhythm restoration seems to result in better left ventricular ejection fraction recovery.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jifu Jin ◽  
Jiarui Xu ◽  
Sujuan Xu ◽  
Jiachang Hu ◽  
Wuhua Jiang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Fluid overload is related to the development and prognosis of cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury (CSA-AKI). The study is to investigate the influence of serum creatinine (SCr) corrected by fluid balance on the prognosis of patients with cardiac surgery.Methods: A retrospective study was conducted in 1334 patients who underwent elective cardiac surgery from January 1 to December 31, 2015. Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria for AKI were applied to identify CSA-AKI. SCr was measured every 24 hours during ICU period and was accordingly adjusted for cumulative fluid balance. Changes in SCr, defined as ∆Crea, were determined by difference between before and after adjustment for cumulative fluid balance. All patients were then divided into three groups: underestimation group (∆Crea ≥ P75), normal group (P25 < ∆Crea < P75) and overestimation group (∆Crea ≤ P25).Results: The incidence of AKI increased from 29.5% to 31.8% after adjustment for fluid balance. Patients in underestimation group showed prolonged length of ICU stay compared with normal group and overestimation group (3.2[1.0-4.0] vs 2.1[1.0-3.0] d, P < 0.001; 3.2[1.0-4.0] vs 2.3[1.0-3.0] d, P < 0.001). Length of hospital stay and mechanical ventilation dependent days in underestimation group were significantly longer than normal group (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed age, baseline SCr and left ventricular ejection fraction were independently associated with underestimation of creatinine.Conclusions: Cumulative fluid balance after cardiac surgery disturbs accurate measurement of serum creatinine. Patients with underestimation of SCr were associated with poor prognosis.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jifu Jin ◽  
Jiarui Xu ◽  
Sujuan Xu ◽  
Jiachang Hu ◽  
Wuhua Jiang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Fluid overload is related to the development and prognosis of cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury (CSA-AKI). The study is to investigate the influence of serum creatinine (SCr) corrected by fluid balance on the prognosis of patients with cardiac surgery.Methods: A retrospective study was conducted in 1334 patients who underwent elective cardiac surgery from January 1 to December 31, 2015. Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria for AKI were applied to identify CSA-AKI. SCr was measured every 24 hours during ICU period and was accordingly adjusted for cumulative fluid balance. Changes in SCr, defined as ∆Crea, were determined by difference between before and after adjustment for cumulative fluid balance. All patients were then divided into three groups: underestimation group (∆Crea ≥ P75), normal group (P25 < ∆Crea < P75) and overestimation group (∆Crea ≤ P25).Results: The incidence of AKI increased from 29.5% to 31.8% after adjustment for fluid balance. Patients in underestimation group showed prolonged length of ICU stay compared with normal group and overestimation group (3.2[1.0-3.0] vs 2.1[1.0-3.0] d, P < 0.001; 3.2[1.0-3.0] vs 2.3[1.0-3.0] d, P < 0.001). Length of hospital stay and mechanical ventilation dependent days in underestimation group were significantly longer than normal group (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed age, baseline SCr and left ventricular ejection fraction were independently associated with underestimation of creatinine.Conclusions: Cumulative fluid balance after cardiac surgery disturbs accurate measurement of serum creatinine. Patients with underestimation of SCr were associated with poor prognosis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jifu Jin ◽  
Jiarui Xu ◽  
Sujuan Xu ◽  
Jiachang Hu ◽  
Wuhua Jiang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Fluid overload is related to the development and prognosis of cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury (CSA-AKI). The study is to investigate the influence of serum creatinine (SCr) corrected by fluid balance on the prognosis of patients with cardiac surgery. Methods A retrospective study was conducted in 1334 patients who underwent elective cardiac surgery from January 1 to December 31, 2015. Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria for AKI were applied to identify CSA-AKI. SCr was measured every 24 h during ICU period and was accordingly adjusted for cumulative fluid balance. Changes in SCr, defined as ∆Crea, were determined by difference between before and after adjustment for cumulative fluid balance. All patients were then divided into three groups: underestimation group (∆Crea ≥ P75), normal group (P25 < ∆Crea < P75) and overestimation group (∆Crea ≤ P25). Results The incidence of AKI increased from 29.5% to 31.8% after adjustment for fluid balance. Patients in underestimation group showed prolonged length of ICU stay compared with normal group and overestimation group (3.2 [1.0–4.0] vs 2.1 [1.0–3.0] d, P < 0.001; 3.2  [1.0–4.0] vs 2.3 [1.0–3.0] d, P < 0.001). Length of hospital stay and mechanical ventilation dependent days in underestimation group were significantly longer than normal group (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed age, baseline SCr and left ventricular ejection fraction were independently associated with underestimation of creatinine. Conclusions Cumulative fluid balance after cardiac surgery disturbs accurate measurement of serum creatinine. Patients with underestimation of SCr were associated with poor prognosis.


Author(s):  
Yan Fan ◽  
Hong Shen ◽  
Brandon Stacey ◽  
David Zhao ◽  
Robert J. Applegate ◽  
...  

AbstractThe purpose of this study was to explore the utility of echocardiography and the EuroSCORE II in stratifying patients with low-gradient severe aortic stenosis (LG SAS) and preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF ≥ 50%) with or without aortic valve intervention (AVI). The study included 323 patients with LG SAS (aortic valve area ≤ 1.0 cm2 and mean pressure gradient < 40 mmHg). Patients were divided into two groups: a high-risk group (EuroSCORE II ≥ 4%, n = 115) and a low-risk group (EuroSCORE II < 4%, n = 208). Echocardiographic and clinical characteristics were analyzed. All-cause mortality was used as a clinical outcome during mean follow-up of 2 ± 1.3 years. Two-year cumulative survival was significantly lower in the high-risk group than the low-risk patients (62.3% vs. 81.7%, p = 0.001). AVI tended to reduce mortality in the high-risk patients (70% vs. 59%; p = 0.065). It did not significantly reduce mortality in the low-risk patients (82.8% with AVI vs. 81.2%, p = 0.68). Multivariable analysis identified heart failure, renal dysfunction and stroke volume index (SVi) as independent predictors for mortality. The study suggested that individualization of AVI based on risk stratification could be considered in a patient with LG SAS and preserved LVEF.


ESC CardioMed ◽  
2018 ◽  
pp. 2666-2667
Author(s):  
Bernard Iung ◽  
Luc A. Pierard

The evaluation of the risk of non-cardiac surgery in patients with valvular disease should take into account the type, severity, and tolerance of valvular disease, and the risk inherent to non-cardiac surgery. Aortic stenosis carries the highest risk of perioperative complications. Except for emergency non-cardiac surgery, an intervention on the aortic valve is indicated firstly in case of severe symptomatic aortic stenosis. In asymptomatic patients, low- and intermediate-risk non-cardiac surgery can be performed, while the strategy should be individualized for high-risk non-cardiac surgery. Balloon aortic valvuloplasty may be used as a bridge if non-cardiac surgery is urgent. Percutaneous mitral commissurotomy should be considered in symptomatic patients with severe mitral stenosis. In patients with severe aortic or mitral regurgitation, the risk of non-cardiac surgery is low if they are asymptomatic with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction. In patients with a mechanical prosthesis, perioperative anticoagulant therapy should be adapted to the haemorrhagic risk of intervention and to the patient- and prosthesis-related thromboembolic risk.


Blood ◽  
2006 ◽  
Vol 108 (11) ◽  
pp. 1764-1764
Author(s):  
Maria Eliana Lai ◽  
Stefania Vacquer ◽  
Alessia Pepe ◽  
Aurelio Maggio ◽  
Maria P. Carta ◽  
...  

Abstract We conducted a 4-yr prospective trial to evaluate the long-term effects of combined deferiprone (DFP)/deferoxamine (DFO) on reversal of cardiac complications in thalassemia major compared to those of DFO alone. Twenty-eight patients (pts) with cardiac disease requiring medication were stratified according to their risk for cardiac death. Fourteen pts were high risk, serum ferritin (SF) > 2500 ug/L on two-thirds of occasions since the onset of cardiac disease. Of those with a SF < 2500 ug/L (low risk), six had progressive decrements of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Nine high-risk pts and six low-risk pts were placed on DFP/DFO (DFP, 75 mg/kg/d divided t.i.d.; DFO, 40 – 50 mg/kg over 8 – 12 h at night 5 – 7 d/wk. The others infused DFO alone. If SF fell below 500 ug/L, DFO infusions were reduced to 2 d/wk. Cardiac follow-up (including blood work and ECG) was done at 4-m intervals. M-mode and two-dimensional echocardiograms were done at 4- to 6-m intervals. Cardiac T2* was not available at the beginning of the study. All but eight patients (3 death, 1 refusal, 2 claustrophobic, 2 pacemaker) subsequently had at least one T2* assessment. Routine lab tests were done at 1- to 6-m intervals. Blood counts were done at 7- to 10-d intervals for those taking DFP. Mean follow-up was approximately 40 m. Compliance with DFO was significantly better among low-risk pts in both treatment groups (DFP/DFO, 82% vs 61%; DFO alone, 83% vs 52%) as was that with DFP (94% vs 76%). At baseline, no statistically significant differences were observed between the SF levels, LVEFs or left ventricular shortening fractions (LVSFs) of pts on DFP/DFO or DFO alone in either risk group except for the LVEFs of the low-risk group (DFP/DFO, 56.5% +/− 5.5%; DFO alone, 65.4% +/− 5.0%; p = 0.032). In the high-risk group, four cardiac events (3 deaths, 1 worsening of CHF) occurred in the group getting DFO alone vs none in the DFP/DFO-treated group. The latter pts showed a decrease in SF and an increase in both LVEF and LVSF at the end of study (EOS). The three pts who died (at 17 to 35 m) had increased SFs. These pts were not rescued by IV DFO (98 +/− 12 mg/kg/d). The two DFO-treated pts who survived had marginally improved T2*s (1.5 to 3.0 ms and 7.6 to 8.8 ms) over the year prior to EOS. Only one of the seven evaluable pts on DFP/DFO had a T2* < 10 ms, the others averaging 19.4 +/− 6.7 ms. Among the low-risk pts, those on DFP/DFO showed a reduction in SF and an improvement in both LVEF and LVSF. Those on DFO alone had increased SF but essentially no change in LVEFs or LVSFs. Five pts on DFP/DFO had T2* evaluations. In two pts, T2* rose from 9.0 to 37 ms (38 m) and from 9.3 to 11.8 ms (17 m). The remaining three had T2* values > 20 ms at EOS. Similar results were seen in low-risk pts on DFO alone. These finding clearly support the notion that DFP/DFO has a beneficial effect upon the heart, even in well established disease. Moreover, our finding of low T2* values associated with low SF levels indicates the importance of tailoring treatment to each individual.


2019 ◽  
Vol 42 (11) ◽  
pp. 665-667 ◽  
Author(s):  
Camilla L’Acqua ◽  
Erminio Sisillo ◽  
Luca Salvi ◽  
Giovanni Introcaso ◽  
Maria Luisa Biondi

Acute kidney injury is a well-recognized complication after cardiac surgery and significantly affects morbidity and mortality. Although the mechanisms of acute kidney injury are not fully understood, Nephrocheck (Astute Medical, San Diego, CA, USA) is a meter for early detection of acute kidney injury based on bedside urinalysis of two cell-cycle arrest biomarkers. However, considerable overlap in the AKIRiskTM score of different RIFLE groups makes interpretation of the score uncertain. A possible reason for the overlap in the AKIRisk score between different RIFLE groups could be that the score is not corrected for dilution. We performed a pilot study to explore the applicability of the test in our daily practice. A total of 68 patients electively scheduled for cardiac surgery with at least two of the following inclusion criteria: age > 70 years, glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min, left ventricular ejection fraction <41%, redo procedure and combined procedures have been enrolled in the study, and 25 of them developed acute kidney injury. We described the correlation between urine creatinine and Nephrocheck, all the samples with low Nephrocheck (<0.2) also have low urine creatinine, less than 50 mg/dL, detecting a potential diluted sample. In conclusion, in our daily practice AKIRisk score, together with an assessment of whether urine is diluted or concentrated can better discriminate between various degrees of acute kidney injury.


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