scholarly journals Early Postoperative Serum Carcinoembryonic Antigen Is a Stronger Independent Prognostic Factor for Stage II Colorectal Cancer Patients Than T4 Stage and Preoperative CEA

2022 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Du Fenqi ◽  
Liu Yupeng ◽  
Zhang Qiuju ◽  
Yuan Chao ◽  
Song Wenjie ◽  
...  

BackgroundSerum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is an important biomarker for diagnosis, prognosis, recurrence, metastasis monitoring, and the evaluation of the effect of chemotherapy in colorectal cancer (CRC). However, few studies have focused on the role of early postoperative CEA in the prognosis of stage II CRC.MethodsPatients with stage II CRC diagnosed between January 2007 and December 2015 were included. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to obtain the cutoff value of early postoperative CEA, CEA ratio and CEA absolute value. The areas under curves (AUCs) were used to estimate the predictive abilities of the CEA and T stage. The stepwise regression method was used to screen the factors included in the Cox regression analysis. Before and after propensity score (PS) - adjusted Cox regression and sensitivity analysis were used to identify the relationship between early postoperative CEA and prognosis. Meta-analysis was performed to verify the results. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to estimate the effects of CEA on prognosis.ResultsWe included 1081 eligible patients. ROC curves suggested that the cutoff value of early postoperative CEA was 3.66 ng/ml (P <0.001) and the AUC showed early postoperative CEA was the most significant prognostic marker in stage II CRC (P = 0.0189). The Cox regression and sensitivity analysis before and after adjusting for PS both revealed elevated early postoperative CEA was the strongest independent prognostic factor of OS, DFS, and CSS (P < 0.001). Survival analysis revealed that patients with elevated early postoperative CEA had lower OS (53.62% VS 84.16%), DFS (50.03% VS 86.75%), and CSS (61.77% VS 90.30%) than patients with normal early postoperative CEA (P < 0.001). When the postoperative CEA was positive, the preoperative CEA level showed no significant effect on the patient’s prognosis (all P-values were > 0.05). Patients with a CEA ratio ≤0.55 or CEA absolute value ≤-0.98 had a worse prognosis (all P-values were < 0.001). Survival analysis suggested that adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II CRC patients with elevated early postoperative CEA may improve the CSS (P = 0.040).ConclusionsEarly postoperative CEA was a better biomarker for prognosis of stage II CRC patients than T stage and preoperative CEA, and has the potential to become a high-risk factor to guide the prognosis and treatment of stage II CRC patients.

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhenhui Li ◽  
Dafu Zhang ◽  
Xiaolin Pang ◽  
Shan Yan ◽  
Ming Lei ◽  
...  

BackgroundWhether elevated postoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels are prognostic in patients with stage II colorectal cancer (CRC) remains controversial.Patients and MethodsPrimary and sensitivity analysis populations were obtained from a retrospective, multicenter longitudinal cohort including consecutive patients without neoadjuvant treatment undergoing curative resection for stage I–III CRC. Serum CEA levels before (CEApre-m1) and within 1 (CEApost-m1), 2–3 (CEApost-m2–3), and 4–6 months (CEApost-m4–6) after surgery were obtained, and their associations with recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed using Cox regression. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses were performed.ResultsPrimary and sensitivity analysis populations included 710 [415 men; age, 54.8 (11.6) years] and 1556 patients [941 men; age, 56.2 (11.8) years], respectively. Recurrence hazard ratios (HRs) in the elevated CEApre-m1, CEApost-m1, CEApost-m2–3, and CEApost-m4–6 groups were 1.30 (95% CI: 0.91–1.85), 1.53 (95% CI: 0.89–2.62), 1.88 (95% CI: 1.08–3.28), and 1.15 (95% CI: 0.91–1.85), respectively. The HRs of the elevated CEApre-m1, CEApost-m1, CEApost-m2–3, and CEApost-m4–6 groups for OS were 1.09 (95% CI: 0.60–1.97), 2.78 (95% CI: 1.34–5.79), 2.81 (95% CI: 1.25–6.30), and 3.30 (95% CI: 1.67–.536), respectively. Adjusted multivariate analyses showed that both in the primary and sensitivity analysis populations, elevated CEApost-m2–3, rather than CEApre-m1, CEApost-m1, and CEApost-m4–6, was an independent risk factor for recurrence, but not for OS. The RFS in the elevated and normal CEApost-m2–3 groups differed significantly among patients with stage II disease [n = 266; HR, 2.89; 95% CI, 1.02–8.24 (primary analysis); n = 612; HR, 2.69; 95% CI, 1.34–5.38 (sensitivity analysis)].ConclusionsElevated postoperative CEA levels are prognostic in patients with stage II CRC, with 2–3 months after surgery being the optimal timing for CEA measurement.


2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 1127-1137
Author(s):  
Tong-Tong Zhang ◽  
Yi-Qing Zhu ◽  
Hong-Qing Cai ◽  
Jun-Wen Zheng ◽  
Jia-Jie Hao ◽  
...  

Aim: This study aimed to develop an effective risk predictor for patients with stage II and III colorectal cancer (CRC). Materials & methods: The prognostic value of p-mTOR (Ser2448) levels was analyzed using Kaplan–Meier survival analysis and Cox regression analysis. Results: The levels of p-mTOR were increased in CRC specimens and significantly correlated with poor prognosis in patients with stage II and III CRC. Notably, the p-mTOR level was an independent poor prognostic factor for disease-free survival and overall survival in stage II CRC. Conclusion: Aberrant mTOR activation was significantly associated with the risk of recurrence or death in patients with stage II and III CRC, thus this activated proteins that may serve as a potential biomarker for high-risk CRC.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-43
Author(s):  
Beilei Wu ◽  
Lijun Tao ◽  
Daqing Yang ◽  
Wei Li ◽  
Hongbo Xu ◽  
...  

Objective. Stromal cells and immune cells have important clinical significance in the microenvironment of colorectal cancer (CRC). This study is aimed at developing a CRC gene signature on the basis of stromal and immune scores. Methods. A cohort of CRC patients (n=433) were adopted from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Stromal/immune scores were calculated by the ESTIMATE algorithm. Correlation between prognosis/clinical characteristics and stromal/immune scores was assessed. Differentially expressed stromal and immune genes were identified. Their potential functions were annotated by functional enrichment analysis. Cox regression analysis was used to develop an eight-gene risk score model. Its predictive efficacies for 3 years, 5 years, overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival interval (PFI) were evaluated using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The correlation between the risk score and the infiltering levels of six immune cells was analyzed using TIMER. The risk score was validated using an independent dataset. Results. Immune score was in a significant association with prognosis and clinical characteristics of CRC. 736 upregulated and two downregulated stromal and immune genes were identified, which were mainly enriched into immune-related biological processes and pathways. An-eight gene prognostic risk score model was conducted, consisting of CCL22, CD36, CPA3, CPT1C, KCNE4, NFATC1, RASGRP2, and SLC2A3. High risk score indicated a poor prognosis of patients. The area under the ROC curves (AUC) s of the model for 3 years, 5 years, OS, and PFI were 0.71, 0.70, 0.73, and 0.66, respectively. Thus, the model possessed well performance for prediction of patients’ prognosis, which was confirmed by an external dataset. Moreover, the risk score was significantly correlated with immune cell infiltration. Conclusion. Our study conducted an immune-related prognostic risk score model, which could provide novel targets for immunotherapy of CRC.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 597-597
Author(s):  
Kohei Murata ◽  
Hirofumi Yamamoto ◽  
Mutsumi Fukunaga ◽  
Tadashi Ohnishi ◽  
Shingo Noura ◽  
...  

597 Background: We reported in a retrospective study that the presence of micrometastasis in lymph nodes (LNs), when assessed by CEA-specific RT-PCR, is a significant prognostic factor in stage II colorectal cancer (CRC). The aim of this study was to clarify the clinical value of micrometastasis in a prospective multicenter trial. Methods: From November 2001 to December 2005, a total of 419 CRC cases were preoperatively registered at a central data center. Of them, 315 node-negative stage II CRC were enrolled. After RNA quality check, 304 CRC cases were analyzed for CEA mRNA in LNs by both conventional RT-PCR (a band method) and quantitative RT-PCR. Long-term prognosis of the patients was determined by each method. Results: A positive band for CEA mRNA was detected in 73 (24.0%) of 304 patients. Post-operative adjuvant chemotherapy was applied in 31 CEA band-positive cases with an oral 5-FU derivative HCFU (1-hexylcarbamoyl-5-fluorouracil) for one year, while chemotherapy was not administered to CEA band-negative group. Multivariate Cox regression analyses revealed that a high micrometastasis volume (High-MMV, n = 95) was an independent poor prognostic factor for 5-year DFS ( P= 0.001) and 5-year OS ( P= 0.016). Conclusions: This prospective clinical trial demonstrates that micrometastasis volume is a useful marker in identifying patients who are at high or low risk for recurrence of stage II CRC.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yichao Bao ◽  
Yaqi Li ◽  
Yan Gong ◽  
Qianxia Huang ◽  
Sanjun Cai ◽  
...  

Vitamin D status has been shown to be positively correlated with the morbidity and prognosis of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. However, the prognostic effect of vitamin D status on patients with stage II and III CRC, especially Asian patients, remains unclear. A total of 728 patients (523 in the primary cohort and 205 in the validation cohort) who were diagnosed with stage II-III CRC between January 2011 and December 2015 were enrolled. Their serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 [25(OH)D] levels were tested. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression analyses were carried out. Subgroup analyses were conducted according to tumor location. In the primary cohort, the serum 25(OH)D level was positively correlated with the overall survival (OS) of all CRC patients (p= 0.016) and stage III patients (p= 0.009), while no correlation was found between 25(OH)D level and the prognosis of patients with stage II CRC. Moreover, 25(OH)D level was an independent prognostic factor for the OS of all patients with CRC [HR 0.541, 95% CI 0.334–0.875, p=0.012] and those with stage III CRC (HR 0.563, 95% CI 0.319–0.993, p=0.047). Subgroup analysis indicated that only in the left-sided subgroup, stage III CRC patients with high 25(OH)D levels had better OS than those with low 25(OH)D levels (HR 0.474, 95% CI 0.230–0.978, p=0.043). In the validation cohort, serum 25(OH)D levels were verified to have prognostic value for patients with stage III CRC (HR 0.220, 95% CI 0.080–0.602, p=0.003), and low 25(OH)D levels indicated worse OS for left-sided stage III CRC patients (HR 0.233, 95% CI 0.075–0.727, p=.012). In conclusion, vitamin D status is positively correlated with the survival of CRC patients, especially those with left-sided stage III CRC.


Author(s):  
Rebecca A Snyder ◽  
Chung-Yuan Hu ◽  
Syed Nabeel Zafar ◽  
Amanda Francescatti ◽  
George J Chang

Abstract Background The purpose of this study was to determine the association between race and long-term cancer outcomes (recurrence and overall survival) within a population of US patients with locoregional colorectal cancer (CRC). Methods A cohort study of primary patient data merged with the National Cancer Database as part of a Commission on Cancer Special Study was performed. The study population was a random sample of patients undergoing surgery for stage I to III CRC between years 2006 and 2007 with 5 years of follow-up. Propensity-weighted multivariable Cox regression was performed with pooled results to yield statistical inferences. Prespecified sensitivity analysis was performed only for patients who received guideline concordant care (GCC) of primary CRC. All statistical tests were 2-sided. Results The study population included 8176 patients, 9.9% (n = 811) Black and 90.1% (n = 7365) White. Black patients were more likely to be uninsured or underinsured, have lower household income, and lower educational status (all P < .001). Rates of GCC were higher among Black vs White patients with colon cancer (76.9% vs 72.6%, P = .02), and Black and White patients with rectal cancer were treated with radiation at similar rates (69.1% vs 66.6%, P = .64). Black race was independently associated with increased risk of recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.48, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.26 to 1.73) and mortality (HR = 1.37, 95% CI = 1.18 to 1.59). In sensitivity analysis of only patients who received GCC, observed effects for recurrence (HR = 1.51, 95% CI = 1.27 to 1.79) and overall survival (HR = 1.40, 95% CI = 1.18 to 1.66) persisted. Conclusions Despite higher rates of GCC for CRC, Black patients experience a higher risk of recurrence and mortality compared with White patients.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 499-499
Author(s):  
Junjie Peng ◽  
Yaqi Li ◽  
Yang Feng

499 Background: The type, abundance, and location of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) have been associated with prognosis in colorectal cancer. The objective of this study was to assess the prognostic role of TILs and develop a nomogram for accurate prognostication of stage II colorectal cancer. Methods: Immunohistochemistry was conducted to assess the densities of intraepithelial and stromal CD3+, CD8+, CD45RO+ and FOXP3+ TILs, and to estimate PD-L1 expression in tumor cells for 168 patients with stage II colorectal cancer. The prognostic roles of these features were evaluated using COX regression model, and nomograms were established to stratify patients into low and high-risk groups and compare the benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. Results: In univariate analysis, patients with high intraepithelial or stromal CD3+, CD8+, CD45RO+ and FOXP3+ TILs were associated significantly with better relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS), except for stromal CD45RO+ TILs, whereas PD-L1 expression wasn't associated with RFS or OS. In multivariate analysis, patients with high intraepithelial CD3+ and stromal FOXP3+ TILs were associated with better RFS (p < 0.001 and p = 0.032, respectively), while only stromal FOXP3+ TILs was an independent prognostic factor for OS (p = 0.031). The nomograms were well calibrated and showed a c-index of 0.751 and 0.757 for RFS and OS, respectively. After stratifying into low and high-risk groups, the high-risk group exhibited a better OS from adjuvant chemotherapy (3-year OS of 81.9% v 34.3%, p = 0.006). Conclusions: These results may help improve the prognostication of stage II colorectal cancer and identify a high-risk subset of patients who appeared to benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 247-247
Author(s):  
Laurent Dercle ◽  
Lin Lu ◽  
Lawrence Howard Schwartz ◽  
Min Qian ◽  
Sabine Tejpar ◽  
...  

247 Background: This analysis was undertaken to forecast survival and enhance treatment decisions for patients (pts) with colorectal cancer (CRC) with liver metastases sensitive to folinic acid, fluorouracil and irinotecan (FOLFIRI) alone [F] or in combination with cetuximab [FC] using simple quantitative radiomic changes between CT scans at baseline and 8 weeks. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 667 pts with KRAS-unselected metastatic CRC in NCT00154102 treated with F and FC. CT quality was classified as high (HQ) or standard (SQ), and four data sets were created and named by treatment quality. Pts were randomly assigned 1:2 to training or validation sets: FCHQ, 38/78 pts; FCSQ, 62/124 pts; FHQ, 51/78 pts; FSQ, 78/158 pts. A machine-learning signature was trained using data set FCHQ to classify pts as treatment-sensitive or treatment-insensitive using just 4 of 3,499 potential radiomic imaging features. Performance was calibrated/validated using ROC curves. Hazard ratios (HRs) and Cox regression models were used to evaluate association with overall survival (OS). Results: The signature used decrease in tumor heterogeneity plus boundary infiltration to successfully predict sensitivity to FC (FCHQ: AUC, 0.80; FCSQ: AUC, 0.72) but failed with non-cetuximab regimens (FHQ: AUC, 0.59; FSQ: AUC, 0.55). The radiomic signature outperformed existing biomarkers ( KRAS mutational status and tumor shrinkage by RECIST 1.1) for sensitivity to cetuximab-based therapy and was strongly associated with OS in the cetuximab-containing sets FCHQ (HR, 44.3; p = 0.0001) and FCSQ (HR, 6.5; p = 0.005). Conclusions: This signature, derived from simple radiomic analysis of tumor imaging phenotype using only standard-of-care CT scans, appeared to be treatment-specific and was superior to all tested prognostic biomarkers. The signature provided early prediction of sensitivity and survival and could be used to guide treatment continuation decisions.


2020 ◽  
pp. 1286-1297
Author(s):  
Samvel Bardakhchyan ◽  
Sergo Mkhitaryan ◽  
Davit Zohrabyan ◽  
Liana Safaryan ◽  
Armen Avagyan ◽  
...  

PURPOSE In Armenia, colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most frequently diagnosed cancers. It is in the third place by incidence. The aim of this study was to evaluate treatment and outcomes of CRC in Armenia during the last 9 years. MATERIALS AND METHODS For this retrospective hospital-based study, we have collected data from two main oncology centers in Armenia: National Oncology Center and “Muratsan” Hospital of Yerevan State Medical University. The information about patients with CRC who were treated at these two centers between January 1, 2010 and July 1, 2018 was collected from the medical records. Log-rank test and Kaplan-Meier curves were used for survival analysis. Prognostic factors were identified by Cox regression. RESULTS A total of 602 patients with CRC were involved in the final analysis. Median follow-up time was 37 months (range, 3-207 months). A total of 8.6% of patients had stage I, 32.9% stage II, 38.0% stage III, and 17.6% stage IV cancer; for 2.7% patients, the stage was unknown. The main independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) were tumor stage, grade, and histology. Adjuvant chemotherapy has been shown to improve survival in stage II colon cancer and stage III rectal but not in stage II rectal cancer. Radiotherapy did not yield survival improvement in stage II or III rectal cancer. Three- and 5-year OS rates were 62.9% and 51.8% for all stages combined and 79.7% and 68.5% for stages I-II, 62.5% and 48.4% for stage III, and 24.4% and 17% for stage IV respectively. CONCLUSION As seen from our results, our survival rates are lower than those of the developed world. Additional research is needed to identify the underlying reasons and to improve patients’ treatment and outcomes in Armenia.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Feng Chen ◽  
Lijuan Pei ◽  
Siyao Liu ◽  
Yan Lin ◽  
Xinyin Han ◽  
...  

With the increasing incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) and continued difficulty in treating it using immunotherapy, there is an urgent need to identify an effective immune-related biomarker associated with the survival and prognosis of patients with this disease. DNA methylation plays an essential role in maintaining cellular function, and changes in methylation patterns may contribute to the development of autoimmunity, aging, and cancer. In this study, we aimed to identify a novel immune-related methylated signature to aid in predicting the prognosis of patients with CRC. We investigated DNA methylation patterns in patients with stage II/III CRC using datasets from The cancer genome atlas (TCGA). Overall, 182 patients were randomly divided into training (n = 127) and test groups (n = 55). In the training group, five immune-related methylated CG sites (cg11621464, cg13565656, cg18976437, cg20505223, and cg20528583) were identified, and CG site-based risk scores were calculated using univariate Cox proportional hazards regression in patients with stage II/III CRC. Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that methylated signature was independent of other clinical parameters. The Kaplan–Meier analysis results showed that CG site-based risk scores could significantly help distinguish between high- and low-risk patients in both the training (P = 0.000296) and test groups (P = 0.022). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in the training and test groups were estimated to be 0.771 and 0.724, respectively, for prognosis prediction. Finally, stratified analysis results suggested the remarkable prognostic value of CG site-based risk scores in CRC subtypes. We identified five methylated CG sites that could be used as an efficient overall survival (OS)-related biomarker for stage II/III CRC patients.


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