An Improved Assessment Method and Its Application to the Latest IMERG Rainfall Product in Mainland China

Quantification of uncertainties associated with satellite precipitation products is a prior requirement for their better applications in earth science studies. An improved scheme is developed in this study to decompose mean bias error (MBE) and mean square error (MSE) into three components, i.e., MBE and MSE associated hits, missed precipitation, and false alarms, respectively, which are weighted by their relative frequencies of occurrence (RFO). The trend of total MBE or MSE is then naturally decomposed into six components according to the chain rule for derivatives. Quantitative estimation of individual contributions to total MBE and MSE is finally derived. The method is applied to validation of Integrated MultisatellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) in Mainland China. MBE associated with false alarms is an important driver for total MBE, while MSE associated with hits accounts for more than 85% of MSE, except in inland semi-arid area. The RFO of false alarms increases, whereas the RFO of missed precipitation decreases. Both factors lead in part to a growing trend for total MBE. Detection of precipitation should be improved in the IMERG algorithm. More specifically, the priority should be to reduce false alarms.

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Inter-comparison of three AATSR Level 2 (L2) AOD products over China

10.5194/acp-2016-195 ◽

2016 ◽

Author(s):

Y. Che ◽

Y. Xue ◽

L. Mei ◽

J. Guang ◽

H. Xu ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Mainland China ◽

Western China ◽

Mean Bias Error ◽

Retrieval Algorithm ◽

Bias Error ◽

Aerosol Retrieval ◽

Retrieval Algorithms ◽

Level 3 ◽

The Stability ◽

Level 2

Abstract. The Advanced Along-Track Scanning Radiometer (AATSR) aboard on ENVISAT is used to observe the Earth by dual-view. The AATSR data can be used to retrieve aerosol optical depth (AOD) over both land and ocean, which is an important merit in the characterization of aerosol properties. In recent years, aerosol retrieval algorithms both over land and ocean have been developed, taking advantages of the feature of dual-view which can help eliminate contribution of Earth's surface to top of atmosphere (TOA) reflectance. Aerosol_cci project as a part of Climate Change Initiative (CCI) provides users three AOD retrieval algorithms for AATSR data, including the Swansea algorithm (SU), the ATSR-2ATSR dual view aerosol retrieval algorithm (ADV) and the Oxford-RAL Retrieval of Aerosol and Cloud algorithm (ORAC). The Validation team of Aerosol-CCI project has validated AOD (both Level 2 and Level 3 products) and AE (Level 2 product only) against the AERONET data in a round robin evaluation using validation tool of AeroCOM (Aerosol Comparison between Observations and Models) project. For the purpose of evaluating different performances of these three algorithms on calculating AODs over mainland China, we introduce ground-based data from the CARSNET (the China Aerosol Remote Sensing Network) which is designed for aerosol observation in China. Because China is vast in territory and of great differences in surface, the combination of the AEROENT and the CATRNET data can validate L2 AOD products more comprehensively. The validation results show different performances of these products in 2007, 2008 and 2010. The SU algorithm has very good performance over sites with different surface conditions in mainland China from March to October, but it underestimates AOD slightly with varying mean bias error (MBE) from 0.05 to 0.10 over surface of barren or sparsely vegetation in western China. The ADV product has same precision with high correlation coefficient (CC) larger than 0.90 over most of sites and same error distribution as the SU product. The main limits of ADV algorithm are underestimation and applicability, especially it occurs obvious underestimation over sites of Datong, Lanzhou and Urmuchi where the dominated land cover is grassland with MBE larger than 0.2 and the main source of aerosol is coal combustion and dust. The ORAC algorithm has the ability of retrieving AOD at different ranges including high AOD (larger than 1.0), however, the stability will decease significantly as AOD grows, especially when AOD > 1.0. In addition, ORAC product get matches successfully collocated with CARSNET in winter (December, January and February), whereas other validation results lack matches during winter.

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Technical note: Intercomparison of three AATSR Level 2 (L2) AOD products over China

Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics ◽

10.5194/acp-16-9655-2016 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 16 (15) ◽

pp. 9655-9674 ◽

Cited By ~ 13

Author(s):

Yahui Che ◽

Yong Xue ◽

Linlu Mei ◽

Jie Guang ◽

Lu She ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Mainland China ◽

Technical Note ◽

Western China ◽

Mean Bias Error ◽

Retrieval Algorithm ◽

Bias Error ◽

Aerosol Retrieval ◽

Retrieval Algorithms ◽

Land Surfaces ◽

Level 2

Abstract. One of four main focus areas of the PEEX initiative is to establish and sustain long-term, continuous, and comprehensive ground-based, airborne, and seaborne observation infrastructure together with satellite data. The Advanced Along-Track Scanning Radiometer (AATSR) aboard ENVISAT is used to observe the Earth in dual view. The AATSR data can be used to retrieve aerosol optical depth (AOD) over both land and ocean, which is an important parameter in the characterization of aerosol properties. In recent years, aerosol retrieval algorithms have been developed both over land and ocean, taking advantage of the features of dual view, which can help eliminate the contribution of Earth's surface to top-of-atmosphere (TOA) reflectance. The Aerosol_cci project, as a part of the Climate Change Initiative (CCI), provides users with three AOD retrieval algorithms for AATSR data, including the Swansea algorithm (SU), the ATSR-2ATSR dual-view aerosol retrieval algorithm (ADV), and the Oxford-RAL Retrieval of Aerosol and Cloud algorithm (ORAC). The validation team of the Aerosol-CCI project has validated AOD (both Level 2 and Level 3 products) and AE (Ångström Exponent) (Level 2 product only) against the AERONET data in a round-robin evaluation using the validation tool of the AeroCOM (Aerosol Comparison between Observations and Models) project. For the purpose of evaluating different performances of these three algorithms in calculating AODs over mainland China, we introduce ground-based data from CARSNET (China Aerosol Remote Sensing Network), which was designed for aerosol observations in China. Because China is vast in territory and has great differences in terms of land surfaces, the combination of the AERONET and CARSNET data can validate the L2 AOD products more comprehensively. The validation results show different performances of these products in 2007, 2008, and 2010. The SU algorithm performs very well over sites with different surface conditions in mainland China from March to October, but it slightly underestimates AOD over barren or sparsely vegetated surfaces in western China, with mean bias error (MBE) ranging from 0.05 to 0.10. The ADV product has the same precision with a low root mean square error (RMSE) smaller than 0.2 over most sites and the same error distribution as the SU product. The main limits of the ADV algorithm are underestimation and applicability; underestimation is particularly obvious over the sites of Datong, Lanzhou, and Urumchi, where the dominant land cover is grassland, with an MBE larger than 0.2, and the main aerosol sources are coal combustion and dust. The ORAC algorithm has the ability to retrieve AOD at different ranges, including high AOD (larger than 1.0); however, the stability deceases significantly with increasing AOD, especially when AOD > 1.0. In addition, the ORAC product is consistent with the CARSNET product in winter (December, January, and February), whereas other validation results lack matches during winter.

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Correction of Eddy Covariance Based Crop ET Considering the Heat Flux Source Area

Atmosphere ◽

10.3390/atmos12020281 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 12 (2) ◽

pp. 281

Author(s):

Stuart L. Joy ◽

José L. Chávez

Keyword(s):

Heat Flux ◽

Eddy Covariance ◽

Agricultural Land ◽

Flux Measurement ◽

Source Area ◽

Mean Bias Error ◽

Bias Error ◽

Crop Water ◽

The Past ◽

Measurement Results

Eddy covariance (EC) systems are being used to measure sensible heat (H) and latent heat (LE) fluxes in order to determine crop water use or evapotranspiration (ET). The reliability of EC measurements depends on meeting certain meteorological assumptions; the most important of such are horizontal homogeneity, stationarity, and non-advective conditions. Over heterogeneous surfaces, the spatial context of the measurement must be known in order to properly interpret the magnitude of the heat flux measurement results. Over the past decades, there has been a proliferation of ‘heat flux source area’ (i.e., footprint) modeling studies, but only a few have explored the accuracy of the models over heterogeneous agricultural land. A composite ET estimate was created by using the estimated footprint weights for an EC system in the upwind corner of four fields and separate ET estimates from each of these fields. Three analytical footprint models were evaluated by comparing the composite ET to the measured ET. All three models performed consistently well, with an average mean bias error (MBE) of about −0.03 mm h−1 (−4.4%) and root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.09 mm h−1 (10.9%). The same three footprint models were then used to adjust the EC-measured ET to account for the fraction of the footprint that extended beyond the field of interest. The effectiveness of the footprint adjustment was determined by comparing the adjusted ET estimates with the lysimetric ET measurements from within the same field. This correction decreased the absolute hourly ET MBE by 8%, and the RMSE by 1%.

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CO2 Flux over the Contiguous United States in 2016 Inverted by WRF-Chem/DART from OCO-2 XCO2 Retrievals

Remote Sensing ◽

10.3390/rs13152996 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 13 (15) ◽

pp. 2996

Author(s):

Qinwei Zhang ◽

Mingqi Li ◽

Maohua Wang ◽

Arthur Paul Mizzi ◽

Yongjian Huang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

United States ◽

Spatial Resolution ◽

High Spatial Resolution ◽

Co2 Flux ◽

Total Carbon ◽

Mean Bias Error ◽

Bias Error ◽

Parallel Experiment ◽

Concentration Measurements ◽

Global Stocktake

High spatial resolution carbon dioxide (CO2) flux inversion systems are needed to support the global stocktake required by the Paris Agreement and to complement the bottom-up emission inventories. Based on the work of Zhang, a regional CO2 flux inversion system capable of assimilating the column-averaged dry air mole fractions of CO2 (XCO2) retrieved from Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) observations had been developed. To evaluate the system, under the constraints of the initial state and boundary conditions extracted from the CarbonTracker 2017 product (CT2017), the annual CO2 flux over the contiguous United States in 2016 was inverted (1.08 Pg C yr−1) and compared with the corresponding posterior CO2 fluxes extracted from OCO-2 model intercomparison project (OCO-2 MIP) (mean: 0.76 Pg C yr−1, standard deviation: 0.29 Pg C yr−1, 9 models in total) and CT2017 (1.19 Pg C yr−1). The uncertainty of the inverted CO2 flux was reduced by 14.71% compared to the prior flux. The annual mean XCO2 estimated by the inversion system was 403.67 ppm, which was 0.11 ppm smaller than the result (403.78 ppm) simulated by a parallel experiment without assimilating the OCO-2 retrievals and closer to the result of CT2017 (403.29 ppm). Independent CO2 flux and concentration measurements from towers, aircraft, and Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) were used to evaluate the results. Mean bias error (MBE) between the inverted CO2 flux and flux measurements was 0.73 g C m−2 d−1, was reduced by 22.34% and 28.43% compared to those of the prior flux and CT2017, respectively. MBEs between the CO2 concentrations estimated by the inversion system and concentration measurements from TCCON, towers, and aircraft were reduced by 52.78%, 96.45%, and 75%, respectively, compared to those of the parallel experiment. The experiment proved that CO2 emission hotspots indicated by the inverted annual CO2 flux with a relatively high spatial resolution of 50 km consisted well with the locations of most major metropolitan/urban areas in the contiguous United States, which demonstrated the potential of combing satellite observations with high spatial resolution CO2 flux inversion system in supporting the global stocktake.

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Mapping the spatial distribution of global 137Cs fallout in soils of South America as a baseline for Earth Science studies

Earth-Science Reviews ◽

10.1016/j.earscirev.2021.103542 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 214 ◽

pp. 103542

Author(s):

Pierre-Alexis Chaboche ◽

Nicolas P.A. Saby ◽

J. Patrick Laceby ◽

Jean P.G. Minella ◽

Tales Tiecher ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Spatial Distribution ◽

South America ◽

Science Studies ◽

Earth Science ◽

137Cs Fallout

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Hourly Ground-Level PM2.5 Estimation Using Geostationary Satellite and Reanalysis Data via Deep Learning

Remote Sensing ◽

10.3390/rs13112121 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 13 (11) ◽

pp. 2121

Author(s):

Changsuk Lee ◽

Kyunghwa Lee ◽

Sangmin Kim ◽

Jinhyeok Yu ◽

Seungtaek Jeong ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cross Validation ◽

Ground Level ◽

Reanalysis Data ◽

Training Dataset ◽

Coefficient Of Determination ◽

Mean Bias Error ◽

Bias Error ◽

Air Quality Model ◽

Quality Model ◽

Near Surface

This study proposes an improved approach for monitoring the spatial concentrations of hourly particulate matter less than 2.5 μm in diameter (PM2.5) via a deep neural network (DNN) using geostationary ocean color imager (GOCI) images and unified model (UM) reanalysis data over the Korean Peninsula. The DNN performance was optimized to determine the appropriate training model structures, incorporating hyperparameter tuning, regularization, early stopping, and input and output variable normalization to prevent training dataset overfitting. Near-surface atmospheric information from the UM was also used as an input variable to spatially generalize the DNN model. The retrieved PM2.5 from the DNN was compared with estimates from random forest, multiple linear regression, and the Community Multiscale Air Quality model. The DNN demonstrated the highest accuracy compared to that of the conventional methods for the hold-out validation (root mean square error (RMSE) = 7.042 μg/m3, mean bias error (MBE) = −0.340 μg/m3, and coefficient of determination (R2) = 0.698) and the cross-validation (RMSE = 9.166 μg/m3, MBE = 0.293 μg/m3, and R2 = 0.49). Although the R2 was low due to underestimated high PM2.5 concentration patterns, the RMSE and MBE demonstrated reliable accuracy values (<10 μg/m3 and 1 μg/m3, respectively) for the hold-out validation and cross-validation.

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Evaluation of NASA POWER Reanalysis Products to Estimate Daily Weather Variables in a Hot Summer Mediterranean Climate

Agronomy ◽

10.3390/agronomy11061207 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (6) ◽

pp. 1207

Author(s):

Gonçalo C. Rodrigues ◽

Ricardo P. Braga

Keyword(s):

Wind Speed ◽

Bias Correction ◽

Goodness Of Fit ◽

Mediterranean Climate ◽

Weather Data ◽

Coefficient Of Determination ◽

Mean Bias Error ◽

Bias Error ◽

Weather Variables ◽

Weather Stations

This study aims to evaluate NASA POWER reanalysis products for daily surface maximum (Tmax) and minimum (Tmin) temperatures, solar radiation (Rs), relative humidity (RH) and wind speed (Ws) when compared with observed data from 14 distributed weather stations across Alentejo Region, Southern Portugal, with a hot summer Mediterranean climate. Results showed that there is good agreement between NASA POWER reanalysis and observed data for all parameters, except for wind speed, with coefficient of determination (R2) higher than 0.82, with normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) varying, from 8 to 20%, and a normalized mean bias error (NMBE) ranging from –9 to 26%, for those variables. Based on these results, and in order to improve the accuracy of the NASA POWER dataset, two bias corrections were performed to all weather variables: one for the Alentejo Region as a whole; another, for each location individually. Results improved significantly, especially when a local bias correction is performed, with Tmax and Tmin presenting an improvement of the mean NRMSE of 6.6 °C (from 8.0 °C) and 16.1 °C (from 20.5 °C), respectively, while a mean NMBE decreased from 10.65 to 0.2%. Rs results also show a very high goodness of fit with a mean NRMSE of 11.2% and mean NMBE equal to 0.1%. Additionally, bias corrected RH data performed acceptably with an NRMSE lower than 12.1% and an NMBE below 2.1%. However, even when a bias correction is performed, Ws lacks the performance showed by the remaining weather variables, with an NRMSE never lower than 19.6%. Results show that NASA POWER can be useful for the generation of weather data sets where ground weather stations data is of missing or unavailable.

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Energy models for cost-optimal analysis: Development and calibration of residential reference building models for Northern Cyprus

Indoor and Built Environment ◽

10.1177/1420326x211013076 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 1420326X2110130

Author(s):

Manta Marcelinus Dakyen ◽

Mustafa Dagbasi ◽

Murat Özdenefe

Keyword(s):

Energy Efficiency ◽

Energy Consumption ◽

Mean Squared Error ◽

Residential Buildings ◽

Mean Bias Error ◽

Bias Error ◽

Sampled Data ◽

Low Carbon ◽

Building Stock ◽

Northern Cyprus

Ambitious energy efficiency goals constitute an important roadmap towards attaining a low-carbon society. Thus, various building-related stakeholders have introduced regulations targeting the energy efficiency of buildings. However, some countries still lack such policies. This paper is an effort to help bridge this gap for Northern Cyprus, a country devoid of building energy regulations that still experiences electrical energy production and distribution challenges, principally by establishing reference residential buildings which can be the cornerstone for prospective building regulations. Statistical analysis of available building stock data was performed to determine existing residential reference buildings. Five residential reference buildings with distinct configurations that constituted over 75% floor area share of the sampled data emerged, with floor areas varying from 191 to 1006 m2. EnergyPlus models were developed and calibrated for five residential reference buildings against yearly measured electricity consumption. Values of Mean Bias Error (MBE) and Cumulative Variation of Root Mean Squared Error CV(RMSE) between the models’ energy consumption and real energy consumption on monthly based analysis varied within the following ranges: (MBE)monthly from –0.12% to 2.01% and CV(RMSE)monthly from 1.35% to 2.96%. Thermal energy required to maintain the models' setpoint temperatures for cooling and heating varied from 6,134 to 11,451 kWh/year.

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Space-Time Sea Surface pCO2 Estimation in the North Atlantic Based on CatBoost

Remote Sensing ◽

10.3390/rs13142805 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 13 (14) ◽

pp. 2805

Author(s):

Hongwei Sun ◽

Junyu He ◽

Yihui Chen ◽

Boyu Zhao

Keyword(s):

North Atlantic ◽

Function Analysis ◽

Biological Activities ◽

Mixed Layer Depth ◽

Sea Surface ◽

Coefficient Of Determination ◽

Mean Bias Error ◽

Bias Error ◽

The North ◽

The North Atlantic

Sea surface partial pressure of CO2 (pCO2) is a critical parameter in the quantification of air–sea CO2 flux, which plays an important role in calculating the global carbon budget and ocean acidification. In this study, we used chlorophyll-a concentration (Chla), sea surface temperature (SST), dissolved and particulate detrital matter absorption coefficient (Adg), the diffuse attenuation coefficient of downwelling irradiance at 490 nm (Kd) and mixed layer depth (MLD) as input data for retrieving the sea surface pCO2 in the North Atlantic based on a remote sensing empirical approach with the Categorical Boosting (CatBoost) algorithm. The results showed that the root mean square error (RMSE) is 8.25 μatm, the mean bias error (MAE) is 4.92 μatm and the coefficient of determination (R2) can reach 0.946 in the validation set. Subsequently, the proposed algorithm was applied to the sea surface pCO2 in the North Atlantic Ocean during 2003–2020. It can be found that the North Atlantic sea surface pCO2 has a clear trend with latitude variations and have strong seasonal changes. Furthermore, through variance analysis and EOF (empirical orthogonal function) analysis, the sea surface pCO2 in this area is mainly affected by sea temperature and salinity, while it can also be influenced by biological activities in some sub-regions.

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Effect of discharge and upstream jam angle on the flow distribution beneath a simulated ice jam

Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering ◽

10.1139/cjce-2018-0184 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 46 (5) ◽

pp. 413-423 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Baafour Nyantekyi-Kwakye ◽

Tanzim Ahmed ◽

Shawn P. Clark ◽

Mark F. Tachie ◽

Karen Dow

Keyword(s):

Pressure Gradient ◽

Power Law ◽

Reynolds Shear Stress ◽

Measurement Techniques ◽

Adverse Pressure Gradient ◽

Mean Bias Error ◽

Bias Error ◽

Particle Image Velocimetry System ◽

Ice Jam ◽

Two Parameter

The velocity field beneath simulated rough ice jams under various upstream jam angles and discharge were investigated using a particle image velocimetry system. Three discharges were examined at 2.3 L/s, 3.4 L/s, and 4.0 L/s and two upstream ice jam angles were tested at 4° and 6°. Increasing the discharge resulted in high turbulence production beneath the jam. The adverse pressure gradient exerted on the flow increased the levels of the Reynolds shear stress. The measured velocities beneath the jam were used to assess the performances of three traditional field measurement techniques as well as the validity of the two-parameter power law. The two-point measurement technique performed remarkably well with the least mean bias error of 2.0%. The error associated with the different techniques showed their inability to accurately predict the average velocity under high discharge. The two-parameter power law accurately predicted velocity profiles within the equilibrium section of the jam, but failed within the boundary layers when the flow was subjected to a pressure gradient.

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