scholarly journals Climate Normalized Spatial Patterns of Evapotranspiration Enhance the Calibration of a Hydrological Model

2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 315
Author(s):  
Julian Koch ◽  
Mehmet Cüneyd Demirel ◽  
Simon Stisen

Spatial pattern-oriented evaluations of distributed hydrological models have contributed towards an improved realism of hydrological simulations. This advancement has been supported by the broad range of readily available satellite-based datasets of key hydrological variables, such as evapotranspiration (ET). At larger scale, spatial patterns of ET are often driven by underlying climate gradients, and with this study, we argue that gradient dominated patterns may hamper the potential of spatial pattern-oriented evaluation frameworks. We hypothesize that the climate control of spatial patterns of ET overshadows the effect model parameters have on the simulated patterns. To address this, we propose a climate normalization strategy. This is demonstrated for the Senegal River basin as a modeling case study, where the dominant north-south precipitation gradient is the main driver of the observed hydrological variability. We apply the mesoscale Hydrological Model (mHM) to model the hydrological cycle of the Senegal River basin. Two multi-objective calibration experiments investigate the effect of climate normalization. Both calibrations utilize observed discharge (Q) in combination with remote sensing ET data, where one is based on the original ET pattern and the other utilizes the normalized ET pattern. As objective functions we applied the Kling-Gupta-Efficiency (KGE) for Q and the Spatial Efficiency (SPAEF) for ET. We identify parameter sets that balance the tradeoffs between the two independent observations and find that the calibration using the normalized ET pattern does not compromise the spatial pattern performance of the original pattern. However, vice versa, this is not necessarily the case, since the calibration using the original ET pattern showed a poorer performance for the normalized pattern, i.e., a 30% decrease in SPAEF. Both calibrations reached comparable performance of Q, i.e., KGE around 0.7. With this study, we identified a general shortcoming of spatial pattern-oriented model evaluations using ET in basins dominated by a climate gradient, but we argue that this also applies to other variables such as, soil moisture or land surface temperature.

Author(s):  
Julian Koch ◽  
Mehmet Cüneyd Demirel ◽  
Simon Stisen

Spatial pattern-oriented evaluations of distributed hydrological models have contributed towards an improved realism of hydrological simulations. This advancement was supported by the broad range of readily available satellite-based datasets of key hydrological variables, such as evapotranspiration (ET). At larger scale, spatial patterns of ET are often characterized by an underlying climate gradient, and with this study, we argue that gradient dominated patterns may hamper the potential of spatial pattern-oriented evaluation frameworks. We hypothesize that the climate control of spatial patterns of ET overshadows the effect model parameters have on the simulated variability. To solve this limitation, we propose a climate normalization strategy. This is demonstrated for the Senegal River basin as modeling case study, where the dominant north-south precipitation gradient is the main driver of the observed hydrological variability. Two multi-objective calibration experiments investigate the effect of climate normalization. Both calibrations utilize observed discharge (Q) in combination with remote sensing ET data, where one is based on the original ET pattern and the other utilizes the normalized ET pattern. We identify parameter sets that balance the tradeoffs between the two independent observations and find that the calibration using the normalized ET pattern does not compromise the spatial patern performance of the original pattern. However, vice versa, this is not necessarily the case, since the calibration using the original ET pattern showed a poorer performance for the normalized pattern. Both calibrations reached comparable performance of Q. With this study, we identified a general shortcoming of spatial pattern-oriented model evaluations using ET in basins dominated by a climate gradient, but we argue that this also applies to other variables such as, soil moisture or land surface temperature.


2008 ◽  
Vol 354 (1-4) ◽  
pp. 131-148 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simon Stisen ◽  
Karsten H. Jensen ◽  
Inge Sandholt ◽  
David I.F. Grimes

Complexity ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Qi Liu ◽  
Xiaolong Zhao ◽  
Hongyan Wang ◽  
Yongfeng Sun

The Biliu River originates from the southern foot of Qinling Mountain in Gaizhou city, with an elevation of 1047 m, and is the largest river in Dalian. The hydrological elements mainly include rainfall, runoff, temperature, evaporation, and other time series associated with the hydrological cycle. Among them, runoff is the most visible output performance, and the direct source of runoff is during rainfall. This paper establishes a reservoir scheduling model that considers the influence of multiple uncertainty factors and analyzes the influence of mixed uncertainty on reservoir scheduling and Xingli’s objectives based on probability box theory. In terms of uncertainties, the uncertainty of hydrological model parameters and the randomness of precipitation processes are mainly considered, with the former having an impact on river runoff simulation and the latter having an impact on both river runoff simulation and crop irrigation water demand. In the case of the Jing River basin, for example, the results show that, compared to the stochasticity of the precipitation process, the variation in precipitation has a significant effect on irrigation water demand in maize, followed by the frequency of precipitation, and the interaction between the two is not significant.


2012 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mamadou O Ndiath ◽  
Jean-Biram Sarr ◽  
Lobna Gaayeb ◽  
Catherine Mazenot ◽  
Seynabou Sougoufara ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Mehmet Cüneyd Demirel ◽  
Julian Koch ◽  
Gorka Mendiguren ◽  
Simon Stisen

Hydrologic models are conventionally constrained and evaluated using point measurements of streamflow, which represents an aggregated catchment measure. As a consequence of this single objective focus, model parametrization and model parameter sensitivity are typically not reflecting other aspects of catchment behavior. Specifically for distributed models, the spatial pattern aspect is often overlooked. Our paper examines the utility of multiple performance measures in a spatial sensitivity analysis framework to determine the key parameters governing the spatial variability of predicted actual evapotranspiration (AET). Latin hypercube one-at-a-time (LHS-OAT) sampling strategy with multiple initial parameter sets was applied using the mesoscale hydrologic model (mHM) and a total of 17 model parameters were identified as sensitive. The results indicate different parameter sensitivities for different performance measures focusing on temporal hydrograph dynamics and spatial variability of actual evapotranspiration. While spatial patterns were found to be sensitive to vegetation parameters, streamflow dynamics were sensitive to pedo-transfer function (PTF) parameters. Above all, our results show that behavioral model definition based only on streamflow metrics in the generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) type methods require reformulation by incorporating spatial patterns into the definition of threshold values to reveal robust hydrologic behavior in the analysis.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gorka Mendiguren ◽  
Julian Koch ◽  
Simon Stisen

Abstract. Distributed hydrological models are traditionally evaluated against discharge stations, emphasizing the temporal and neglecting the spatial component of a model. The present study widens the traditional paradigm by highlighting spatial patterns of evapotranspiration (ET), a key variable at the land-atmosphere interface, obtained from two different approaches at the national scale of Denmark. The first approach is based on a national water resources model (DK-model), using the MIKE-SHE model code, and the second approach utilizes a two source energy balance model (TSEB) driven mainly by satellite remote sensing data. The main hypothesis of the study is that while both approaches are essentially estimates, the spatial patterns of the remote sensing based approach are explicitly driven by observed land surface temperature and therefore represent the most direct spatial pattern information of ET; enabling its use for distributed hydrological model evaluation. Ideally the hydrological model simulation and remote sensing based approach should present similar spatial patterns and driving mechanism of ET. However, the spatial comparison showed that the differences are significant and indicating insufficient spatial pattern performance of the hydrological model. The differences in spatial patterns can partly be explained by the fact that the hydrological model is configured to run in 6 domains that are calibrated independently from each other, as it is often the case for large scale multi-basin calibrations. Furthermore, the model incorporates predefined temporal dynamics of Leaf Area Index (LAI), root depth (RD) and Crop coefficient (Kc) for each land cover type. This zonal approach of model parametrization ignores the spatio-temporal complexity of the natural system. To overcome this limitation, the study features a modified version of the DK-Model in which LAI, RD, and KC are empirically derived using remote sensing data and detailed soil property maps in order to generate a higher degree of spatio-temporal variability and spatial consistency between the 6 domains. The effects of these changes are analyzed by using the empirical orthogonal functions (EOF) analysis to evaluate spatial patterns. The EOF-analysis shows that including remote sensing derived LAI, RD and KC in the distributed hydrological model adds spatial features found in the spatial pattern of remote sensing based ET.


1997 ◽  
Vol 91 (4) ◽  
pp. 371-378 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Rollinson ◽  
D. De Clercq ◽  
M. Sacko ◽  
M. Traoré ◽  
M. Sene ◽  
...  

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