scholarly journals Identification of Seasonal Sub-Regions of the Drought in the North China Plain

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 3447
Author(s):  
Yanqiang Cui ◽  
Bo Zhang ◽  
Hao Huang ◽  
Xiaodan Wang ◽  
Jianjun Zeng ◽  
...  

Regional climate variability assessment is of great significance in decision-making such as agriculture and water resources system management. The identification of sub-regions with similar drought variability can provide a basis for agricultural disaster reduction planning and water resource distribution. In this research, a modified daily Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) was used to monitor the spatial and temporal variation characteristics of agricultural drought in the North China Plain from 1960 to 2017, which was studied by using the rotated empirical orthogonal functions (REOF). Through the seasonal REOF process, 7–9 seasonal drought sub-regions are confirmed by applying time series and the correlation relationship of SPEI original data. The strong correlation of these sub-regions indicates that the climate and weather conditions causing the drought are consistent and the drought conditions are independent for the regions that show no correlation. In general, the results of the seasonal trend analysis show that there has been no significant trend value in most areas since 1960. However, it is worth noting that some regions have the positive and negative temporal trends in different seasons. These results illustrate the importance of seasonal analysis, particularly for agro-ecosystems that depend on timely rainfall during different growing seasons. If this trend continues, seasonal drought will become more complex, then a more elaborate water management strategy will be needed to reduce its impact.

Atmosphere ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 847-869 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenbin Mu ◽  
Fuliang Yu ◽  
Yuebo Xie ◽  
Jia Liu ◽  
Chuanzhe Li ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Min Xue ◽  
Jianzhong Ma ◽  
Guiqian Tang ◽  
Shengrui Tong ◽  
Bo Hu ◽  
...  

Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 46
Author(s):  
Gangqiang Zhang ◽  
Wei Zheng ◽  
Wenjie Yin ◽  
Weiwei Lei

The launch of GRACE satellites has provided a new avenue for studying the terrestrial water storage anomalies (TWSA) with unprecedented accuracy. However, the coarse spatial resolution greatly limits its application in hydrology researches on local scales. To overcome this limitation, this study develops a machine learning-based fusion model to obtain high-resolution (0.25°) groundwater level anomalies (GWLA) by integrating GRACE observations in the North China Plain. Specifically, the fusion model consists of three modules, namely the downscaling module, the data fusion module, and the prediction module, respectively. In terms of the downscaling module, the GRACE-Noah model outperforms traditional data-driven models (multiple linear regression and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT)) with the correlation coefficient (CC) values from 0.24 to 0.78. With respect to the data fusion module, the groundwater level from 12 monitoring wells is incorporated with climate variables (precipitation, runoff, and evapotranspiration) using the GBDT algorithm, achieving satisfactory performance (mean values: CC: 0.97, RMSE: 1.10 m, and MAE: 0.87 m). By merging the downscaled TWSA and fused groundwater level based on the GBDT algorithm, the prediction module can predict the water level in specified pixels. The predicted groundwater level is validated against 6 in-situ groundwater level data sets in the study area. Compare to the downscaling module, there is a significant improvement in terms of CC metrics, on average, from 0.43 to 0.71. This study provides a feasible and accurate fusion model for downscaling GRACE observations and predicting groundwater level with improved accuracy.


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