scholarly journals Financial Distress Analysis Using Altman Z-Score Model In Sharia Banking In Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Firman Setiawan

This study is conducted to explain the risk of financial failure that may occur in Sharia banking which is known asfinancial distress. Quantitative data in the formof financial ratios fromseveral Islamic banks which are the object of the study were analyzed using Altman Z- score model. After analyzing it, it is known that at Bank BRI Syariah Inc, the company experienced financial distress in 2015, in the following year the company experienced improvementthus in 2016-2019, the company was in good health. Bank BTPN Syariah Inc in 2015-2019 was in a good condition, which means that there was no financial distress or was in a gray area position. Bank Syariah Mandiri Inc experienced financial distress in 2015-2019, which means that during that time the company was in a gray area position

2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-51 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qunfeng Liao ◽  
Seyed Mehdian

AbstractIn this paper, we follow Anderson et al. (2009) and suggest a simple approach to employ a set of financial ratios as inputs to estimate an aggregate bankruptcy index (ABI). This index is a within sample measure, ranges between 0 and 1, and ranks the firms on the basis of their relative financial distress. ABI can be used to predict the propensity of financial failure and corporate bankruptcy. For the purpose of comparison and assessment of the robustness of this index, we estimate Z-score by multivariate discriminant analysis, using the same set of financial ratios to compare the predictive accuracy of two approaches.We find that, to some extent, ABI can predict the bankruptcy of the firms more accurately than Z-score. The empirical results of the paper suggest that ABI has relatively robust predictive power and, therefore, can be applied together with other, based on parametric and non-parametric models to predict corporate bankruptcy.


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 633-639
Author(s):  
Lam Weng Hoe ◽  
Yeoh Hong Beng ◽  
Lam Weng Siew ◽  
Chen Jia Wai

Local technology sector plays a significant role in information and communication technology (ICT) based innovations and applications which enhance organizational performance as well as national economic growth and labor productivity. In this paper, financial performance of the listed Malaysia companies in technology sector is analyzed and evaluated. Altman’s Z-score model is proposed due to its robustness in determining companies’ financial distress level using five financial ratios as variables. The computed Z-score values classify the financial status of the companies into distress, grey and safe zones. This study investigates the financial data of 23 listed technology-based companies in the Main Market of Bursa Malaysia over the period of 2013 to 2017. The findings reveal that the percentage of safe zone companies increase throughout the five years whereas distress zone companies decline. It is concluded that financial ratio for market value of equity to total liabilities is the dominant factor that directly influences the level of financial distress among these technology-based companies in Malaysia. These research outcomes provide an insight to investors or policy makers to develop future planning in order to avoid financial failure in local technology sector.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 24-33
Author(s):  
Dewi Oktary

Increasingly intense competition in the cosmetics industry in Indonesia, one of which is the number of artists opening a cosmetics business and besides the entry of many cosmetics brands from abroad which makes existing cosmetic companies must be careful in running their business. This study aims to predict the bankruptcy of cosmetics companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange with the Altman Z-Score model and the Zmijewski model. The sample in this study was cosmetic companies listed on the Main Board of the Indonesia Stock Exchange as many as 4 companies. The data source used is secondary data taking data from the IDX, the type of data used is quantitative data. The result of this research is bankruptcy prediction using the Altman-Z Score method showing that PT. Martino Berto, Tbk for 2016 is included in the Gray Area category while in 2017-2018 it is predicted to go bankrupt while for PT. Mustika Ratu, in 2016 - 2018 entered the Gray Area category while the other two companies namely PT. Mandom Indonesia, Tbk and PT. Unilever, Tbk from 2016 to 2018 is predicted not to go bankrupt. Meanwhile, using the Zmijewski method in cosmetics companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in the period 2016-2018 is predicted not to go bankrupt. From the comparison between the Altman Z-Score model and the Zmijewski model, the Zmijewski model has an effectiveness of 100% compared to the Altman Z-Score model which has an effectiveness level of 50%.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 3-15
Author(s):  
Afiruddin Tapa ◽  
Nurfarah Lyana Ahmad Razif

The purpose of this study is to compare three financial failure models: the Altman Z-Score Model, the Springate Model, and the Zmijewski Model, in terms of predicting financial difficulty among airlines in Asia and the Middle East. Based on the results of this study, it is proven by the result of the analysis done for Airlines in Asia and the Middle East that all the three models have predicted that these companies are in financial distress. But, the Altman Z-Score model is the most significant model to forecast financial distress. Although the models employ different ratios in their analyses, this study demonstrates that there is a substantial difference in the analysis of these three models. Another independent T-test demonstrates that the Altman Z-Score Model and the Zmijewski Model, as well as the Springate Model and the Zmijewski Model, have substantial differences. The study employed a descriptive and comparative analysis method, and this model was created to compare the independent variables. The Altman Z-Score model is the most significant model for predicting the financial failure of enterprises, according to the descriptive analysis in this study. While the comparison findings show a large difference between the Altman Z-Score Model and the Zmijewski Model, there is also a significant difference between the Springate Model and the Zmijewski Model. The Altman Z-Score Model and the Springate Model, on the other hand, imply that there is no significant model.


Author(s):  
Priyanka ◽  
Karamvir Sheokand

Financial distress is a situation in which a firm or company is not in position to pay its monetary obligation and debts and financial crisis start in the unit. It depicts the short term solvency of the banks. Profitability is the ability of business to earn profit. Profitability is the indication of good health of any business and it increase the value of a business. The main aims of this research paper are to investigate the level of financial distress in the SBI and ICICI bank and difference in the profitability of both banks ranging from 2013 to 2017. For measurement of the level of financial distress and profitability Altman Z-Score model and Independent t-test are used respectively. Result revealed that profitability of both banks was identical. Further study also revealed that both these banks were financially distressed.


NIAGAWAN ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 130
Author(s):  
Muhammad Salman ◽  
Catur Wulandari

The research was conducted with the aim of knowing the prediction of the potential for bankruptcy of the four State-Owned Enterprises (BRI, BNI, Bank Mandiri and BTN) using the Altman Z-Score, Springate and Grover G-Score models. The data analysis method used a prediction model for the occurrence of bankruptcy consisting of the Altman Z-Score, Springate and Grover G-Score. The results showed that the prediction of bankruptcy (financial distress) using the Altman Z Score model was obtained from 2015-2019 for the four State-Owned Enterprise Banks (BRI, BNI, Bank Mandiri and BTN) as a whole obtained Z Score between 1.42-1 88 or at the criteria (cut off) Z <181 has the potential to go bankrupt and 1.81 <Z <2.99 gray area. Meanwhile, based on the Springate model from 2015-2019, the four State-Owned Enterprises (BRI, BNI, Bank Mandiri and BTN) overall obtained a Springate of 1.95 - 44.08 and were in the criteria (cut off) S> 0.862 and can be declared as not potentially bankrupt (healthy). Then based on Grover, it was obtained from 2015-2019 in the four State-Owned Enterprise Banks (BRI, BNI, Bank Mandiri and BTN) as a whole obtained a G Score of 1.71 - 2.15 and were in the criteria of G ≥ 0.01 or no potential bankrupt (healthy). The results showed that the Altman Z Score model has a better value than Springate and Grover because the number of ratios is more so that it can predict bankruptcy better 


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 148-158
Author(s):  
Rofinus Leki Rofinus Leki

Abstract: This   research   is   a   sustainability   research,   which   uses   the   same   non- manufacturing Altman Z-Score model, with the aim of re-examining the financial health sustainability of the four BUMN banks that the author has studied in 2017 and in 2019. The four BUMN banks are Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT, Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. PT, Bank Tabungan Negara (Persero) Tbk PT,  Bank  Mandiri  (Persero)  Tbk  PT.  The  results  showed  that  PT.  Bank  BTN (Persero) Tbk has a Z-score that has improved in 2018 and 2019, compared to previous years, namely in 2014, 2015, 2016, and 2017. Currently PT. Bank BTN (Persero) Tbk., has moved from the potential financial distress into a "gray area" (improving). Meanwhile, the other three BUMN banks are consistently in the gray area category with a Z-score above 1.2 but below a Z-score of 2.9. The results of this study also show that there is a significant financial performance improvement in every BUMN banking company, but has decreased somewhat in 2019  at Bank BNI (Persero), Tbk. PT and Bank BRI (Persero) Tbk.PT. Be expected is   that   with   the   continuous   and   consistent   improvement   in   financial performance, the financial health position of BUMN Banking (Persero) Tbk can immediately move to the "safe zone".   Keywords: Financial Health of BUMN Banks, Altman Z-Score Model


IKONOMIKA ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 231-248
Author(s):  
Shafitra - Nata (STIE Al-Madani Bandar Lampung, Indonesia) ◽  
Rizka Chairunnisa (STIE Al-Madani Bandar Lampung, Indonesia) ◽  
Noman Arshed (University of Management and Technology, Pakistan)

Aim of this research is to calculate, measure, analyze, and evaluate predictions of potential bankruptcy of Islamic banking using the modified Altman Z-Score and Springate models and identify differences in the predicted results.  This research uses descriptive quantitative analysis.  Model analysis used is the Modified Altman Z-Score and Springate models.  The research object used is 12 Islamic banks in Indonesia 2013-2019 and data collection includes literature study and observation.Modified Altman Z-Score model predicts that 1.19% of Islamic banking is in gray area and 98.81% is in a non-bankrupt position.  Meanwhile, the Springate model predicts 38.10% of Islamic banking is in a bankrupt position and 61.90% is in a non-bankrupt position.  This research only analyzes and compares the prediction results of the potential bankruptcy of Islamic banking with the modified Altman Z-Score and Springate models.This research can be used as an evaluation material for Islamic Banking in Indonesia in the face of potential bankruptcy so that companies can immediately improve their management and company performance.


2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 287-324
Author(s):  
Dewi Laela Hilyatin

Abstract Bankruptcy is a very essential issue that every company should be aware of. Bankruptcy of a company can be minimized by advanced prediction; such as analyzing the financial statements. This study discusses the financial performance of PT Bank Muamalat Indonesia Tbk, which indicates that there is a degression in some number of financial ratios, the closing of offices and firing of employees in 2012-2016, causing he fact that BMI must pay attention and improve its financial performance and anticipate the existence of a bankruptcy in the company. Based on Altman analysis modification for financial performance of PT Bank Muamalat Indonesia Tbk in 2012-2016, it found Z-Score value of 0,825, 0,659, 1,243, 0,982 and 0,892. Based on Z-Score criteria, PT Bank Muamalat Indonesia Tbk is predicted to experience problems in management and financial structure and also in potentially bankruptcy due to Z-Score value <1,1 while the highest Z-Score value is in 2014, which shows the value of Z-Score>1,1 and <2,6, which means the company is in the gray area, meaning the company’s category is not said to be bankrupt and also not healthy. Keywords: Bankruptcy, Altman Modification Method


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 122
Author(s):  
Andi Silvan

AbstractThis study takes the topic of predicting corporate bankruptcies. This research dqlam use traditional methods Altman Z-Score and Zmijewski. The purpose of this study was to obtain in-depth information about predicting bankruptcy of companies that are not necessarily directly to bankruptcy, but there is financial distress.Based on the results of research conducted on the four (4) non industrial manufacturing company listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI). Obtaining the value z-score represents the average company are in good condition, which means no financial distress. Acquisition value of x-score has a value of less than 0 (zero) which means that the company is in good condition and is predicted not experiencing financial difficulties. This study led to the conclusion that the Altman Z-Score and Zmijewski method can be used to predict corporate bankruptcy. Keywords: Financial Ratios, Bankruptcy, Company.


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