scholarly journals Financial Time Series Prediction Based on XGBoost and Generative Adversarial Networks

2022 ◽  
Vol 16 ◽  
pp. 637-645
Author(s):  
Jialing Xu ◽  
Jingxing He ◽  
Jinqiang Gu ◽  
Huayang Wu ◽  
Lei Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Financial Time Series ◽  
Time Series Prediction ◽  
Generative Adversarial Networks ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Financial Time ◽  
Adversarial Networks ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Gp Model

Considering the problems of the model collapse and the low forecast precision in predicting the financial time series of the generative adversarial networks (GAN), we apply the WGAN-GP model to solve the gradient collapse. Extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) is used for feature extraction to improve prediction accuracy. Alibaba stock is taken as the research object, using XGBoost to optimize its characteristic factors, and training the optimized characteristic variables with WGAN-GP. We compare the prediction results of WGAN-GP model and classical time series prediction models, long short term memory (LSTM) and gate recurrent unit (GRU). In the experimental stage, root mean square error (RMSE) is chosen as the evaluation index. The results of different models show that the RMSE of WGAN-GP model is the smallest, which are 61.94% and 47.42%, lower than that of LSTM model and GRU model respectively. At the same time, the stock price data of Google and Amazon confirm the stability of WGAN-GP model. WGAN-GP model can obtain higher prediction accuracy than the classical time series prediction model.

scholarly journals Predicting Financial Prices of Stock Market using Recurrent Convolutional Neural Networks

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 21-32
Author(s):  
Muhammad Zulqarnain ◽  
◽  
Rozaida Ghazali ◽  
Muhammad Ghulam Ghouse ◽  
Yana Mazwin Mohmad Hassim ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Financial Time Series ◽  
Time Series Prediction ◽  
Financial Time ◽  
Data Mining Approach ◽  
Learning Tasks ◽  
Financial Prices ◽  
Stock Indexes

Financial time-series prediction has been long and the most challenging issues in financial market analysis. The deep neural networks is one of the excellent data mining approach has received great attention by researchers in several areas of time-series prediction since last 10 years. “Convolutional neural network (CNN) and recurrent neural network (RNN) models have become the mainstream methods for financial predictions. In this paper, we proposed to combine architectures, which exploit the advantages of CNN and RNN simultaneously, for the prediction of trading signals. Our model is essentially presented to financial time series predicting signals through a CNN layer, and directly fed into a gated recurrent unit (GRU) layer to capture long-term signals dependencies. GRU model perform better in sequential learning tasks and solve the vanishing gradients and exploding issue in standard RNNs. We evaluate our model on three datasets for stock indexes of the Hang Seng Indexes (HSI), the Deutscher Aktienindex (DAX) and the S&P 500 Index range 2008 to 2016, and associate the GRU-CNN based approaches with the existing deep learning models. Experimental results present that the proposed GRU-CNN model obtained the best prediction accuracy 56.2% on HIS dataset, 56.1% on DAX dataset and 56.3% on S&P500 dataset respectively.

scholarly journals Exploiting Visual Features in Financial Time Series Prediction

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 61-76
Author(s):  
Adil Gürsel Karaçor ◽  
Turan Erman Erkan
Keyword(s):  
Financial Time Series ◽  
Time Series Prediction ◽  
Visual Features ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Foreign Exchange Rates ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Vector Machines ◽  
Direction Of Movement ◽  
Visual Properties

The possibility to enhance prediction accuracy for foreign exchange rates was investigated in two ways: first applying an outside the box approach to modeling price graphs by exploiting their visual properties, and secondly employing the most efficient methods to detect patterns to classify the direction of movement. The approach that exploits the visual properties of price graphs which make use of density regions along with high and low values describing the shape; hence, the authors propose the name ‘Finance Vision.' The data used in the predictive model consists of 1-hour past price values of 4 different currency pairs, between 2003 and 2016. Prediction performances of state-of-the-art methods; Extreme Gradient Boosting, Artificial Neural Network and Support Vector Machines are compared over the same data with the same sets of features. Results show that density based visual features contribute considerably to prediction performance.

Evolutionary-morphological learning machines for high-frequency financial time series prediction

2018 ◽  
Vol 42 ◽  
pp. 1-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ricardo de A. Araújo ◽  
Nadia Nedjah ◽  
José M. de Seixas ◽  
Adriano L.I. Oliveira ◽  
Silvio R. de L. Meira
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
High Frequency ◽  
Financial Time Series ◽  
Time Series Prediction ◽  
Learning Machines ◽  
Financial Time
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