scholarly journals Estimation of Parameters of PTRC SRGM using Non-informative Priors

Author(s):  
Rajesh Singh ◽  
Pritee Singh ◽  
Kailash Kale

Reliability is an essentially important characteristic of software. The reliability of software has been assessed by considering Poisson Type occurrence of software failures and the failure intensity of one parameter say (η_1 ) Rayleigh class. Here, it is assumed that the software contains fixed number of inherent faults say (η_0 ). The scale parameter of Rayleigh density (η_1 ) and fixed number of inherent faults contained in software are the parameters of interest. The failure intensity and mean failure function of this Poisson Type Rayleigh Class (PTRC) Software Reliability Growth Model (SRGM) have been studied. The estimates of above parameters can be obtained by using maximum likelihood method. Bayesian technique has been used to about estimates of η_0 and η_1 if prior knowledge about these parameters is available. The prior knowledge about these parameters is considered in the form of non- informative priors for both the parameters. The proposed Bayes estimators are compared with their corresponding maximum likelihood estimators on the basis of risk efficiencies under squared error loss. The Monte Carlo simulation technique is used for calculating risk efficiencies. It is seen that both the proposed Bayes estimators can be preferred over corresponding MLEs for the proper choice of the values of execution time.

2018 ◽  
Vol 20 ◽  
pp. 03001 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tien Thanh Thach ◽  
Radim Briš

In this article, a new generalization of linear failure rate called nonlinear failure rate is developed, analyzed, and applied to a real dataset. A comparison of Bayesian and frequentist approaches to the estimation of parameters and reliability characteristics of non-linear failure rate is investigated. The maximum likelihood estimators are obtained using the cross-entropy method to optimize the log-likelihood function. The Bayes estimators of parameters and reliability characteristics are obtained via Markov chain Monte Carlo method. A simulation study is performed in order to compare the proposed Bayes estimators with maximum likelihood estimators on the basis of their biases and mean squared errors. We demonstrate that the proposed model fits a well-known dataset better than other mixture models.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Najma Salahuddin ◽  
Alamgir Khalil ◽  
Wali Khan Mashwani ◽  
Habib Shah ◽  
Pijitra Jomsri ◽  
...  

In this paper, a new method is proposed to expand the family of lifetime distributions. The suggested method is named as Khalil new generalized family (KNGF) of distributions. A special submodel, termed as Khalil new generalized Pareto (KNGP) distribution, is investigated from the family with one shape and two scale parameters. A number of mathematical properties of the submodel have been derived including moments, moment-generating function, quantile function, entropy measures, order statistics, mean residual life function, and maximum likelihood method for the estimation of parameters. The proposed distribution is very flexible in its nature covering several hazard rate shapes (symmetric and asymmetric). To examine the performance of the maximum likelihood estimates in terms of their bias and mean squared error using simulated samples, a simulation study is carried out. Furthermore, parametric estimation of the model is conferred using the method of maximum likelihood, and the practicality of the proposed family is illustrated with the help of real datasets. Finally, we hope that the new suggested flexible KNGF may produce useful models for fitting monotonic and nonmonotonic data related to survival analysis and reliability analysis.


Author(s):  
O. A. Bello ◽  
P. O. Awodutire ◽  
I. Sule ◽  
H. O. Lawal

This paper is a further study of the five parameter type I generalized half logistic distribution. We derived some properties of the distribution. Estimation of the parameters of the distribution under complete observation was studied using the maximum likelihood method. To assess the flexibility of the distribution, it was applied to a real lifetime data and the results when compared to the sub-models showed that the five parameter type I generalized half logistic distribution performed best.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sanjay Kumar Singh ◽  
Umesh Singh ◽  
Manoj Kumar

We obtained the maximum likelihood and Bayes estimators of the parameters of the generalized inverted exponential distribution in case of the progressive type-II censoring scheme with binomial removals. Bayesian estimation procedure has been discussed under the consideration of the square error and general entropy loss functions while the model parameters follow the gamma prior distributions. The performances of the maximum likelihood and Bayes estimators are compared in terms of their risks through the simulation study. Further, we have also derived the expression of the expected experiment time to get a progressively censored sample with binomial removals, consisting of specified number of observations from generalized inverted exponential distribution. An illustrative example based on a real data set has also been given.


2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 177-198
Author(s):  
Marija Minic

The ranked set sampling (RSS) is a cost-effective method of sampling that can be used in a wide range of statistical problems. In this paper, the shape and the scale parameters of Nadarajah-Haghighi extension of the exponential distribution are estimated based on a simple random sample (SRS) and RSS. Three cases are considered: 1) the scale parameter is known; 2) the shape parameter is known; 3) both shape and scale parameters are unknown. Observations are done when the ranking mechanism in the ranked set sample is perfect and when it is not. Method of moments, the maximum likelihood method, and a modification of the maximum likelihood method are used. The obtained estimators are compared in terms of their biases and mean square errors (MSE). The results revealed that estimators based on RSS tend to show better properties (smaller bias and MSE) relative to their SRS counterparts, regardless of the quality of the ranking.


Author(s):  
Anggis Sagitarisman ◽  
Aceng Komarudin Mutaqin

AbstractCar manufacturers in Indonesia need to determine reasonable warranty costs that do not burden companies or consumers. Several statistical approaches have been developed to analyze warranty costs. One of them is the Gertsbakh-Kordonsky method which reduces the two-dimensional warranty problem to one dimensional. In this research, we apply the Gertsbakh-Kordonsky method to estimate the warranty cost for car type A in XYZ company. The one-dimensional data will be tested using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov to determine its distribution and the parameter of distribution will be estimated using the maximum likelihood method. There are three approaches to estimate the parameter of the distribution. The difference between these three approaches is in the calculation of mileage for units that do not claim within the warranty period. In the application, we use claim data for the car type A. The data exploration indicates the failure of car type A is mostly due to the age of the vehicle. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov shows that the most appropriate distribution for the claim data is the three-parameter Weibull. Meanwhile, the estimated using the Gertsbakh-Kordonsky method shows that the warranty costs for car type A are around 3.54% from the selling price of this car unit without warranty i.e. around Rp. 4,248,000 per unit.Keywords: warranty costs; the Gertsbakh-Kordonsky method; maximum likelihood estimation; Kolmogorov-Smirnov test.                                   AbstrakPerusahaan produsen mobil di Indonesia perlu menentukan biaya garansi yang bersifat wajar tidak memberatkan perusahaan maupun konsumen. Beberapa pendekatan statistik telah dikembangkan untuk menganalisis biaya garansi. Salah satunya adalah metode Gertsbakh-Kordonsky yang mereduksi masalah garansi dua dimensi menjadi satu dimensi. Pada penelitian ini, metode Gertsbakh-Kordonsky akan digunakan untuk mengestimasi biaya garansi untuk mobil tipe A pada perusahaan XYZ. Data satu dimensi hasil reduksi diuji kecocokan distribusinya menggunakan uji kecocokan Kolmogorov-Smirnov dan taksiran parameter distribusinya menggunakan metode penaksir kemungkinan maksimum. Ada tiga pendekatan yang digunakan untuk menaksir parameter distribusi. Perbedaan dari ketiga pendekatan tersebut terletak pada perhitungan jarak tempuh untuk unit yang tidak melakukan klaim dalam periode garansi. Sebagai bahan aplikasi, kami menggunakan data klaim unit mobil tipe A. Hasil eksplorasi data menunjukkan bahwa kegagalan mobil tipe A lebih banyak disebabkan karena faktor usia kendaraan. Hasil uji kecocokan distribusi untuk data hasil reduksi menunjukkan bahwa distribusi yang cocok adalah distribusi Weibull 3-parameter. Sementara itu, hasil perhitungan taksiran biaya garansi menunjukan bahwa taksiran biaya garansi untuk unit mobil tipe A sekitar 3,54% dari harga jual unit mobil tipe A tanpa garansi, atau sekitar Rp. 4.248.000,- per unit.Kata Kunci: biaya garansi; metode Gertsbakh-Kordonsky; penaksiran kemungkinan maksimum; uji Kolmogorov-Smirnov.


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