Decision Trees with Soft Numbers

In this paper we develop the foundation of a new theory for decision trees based on new modeling of phenomena with soft numbers. Soft numbers represent the theory of soft logic that addresses the need to combine real processes and cognitive ones in the same framework. At the same time soft logic develops a new concept of modeling and dealing with uncertainty: the uncertainty of time and space. It is a language that can talk in two reference frames, and also suggest a way to combine them. In the classical probability, in continuous random variables there is no distinguishing between the probability involving strict inequality and non-strict inequality. Moreover, a probability involves equality collapse to zero, without distinguishing among the values that we would like that the random variable will have for comparison. This work presents Soft Probability, by incorporating of Soft Numbers into probability theory. Soft Numbers are set of new numbers that are linear combinations of multiples of ”ones” and multiples of ”zeros”. In this work, we develop a probability involving equality as a ”soft zero” multiple of a probability density function (PDF). We also extend this notion of soft probabilities to the classical definitions of Complements, Unions, Intersections and Conditional probabilities, and also to the expectation, variance and entropy of a continuous random variable, condition being in a union of disjoint intervals and a discrete set of numbers. This extension provides information regarding to a continuous random variable being within discrete set of numbers, such that its probability does not collapse completely to zero. When we developed the notion of soft entropy, we found potentially another soft axis, multiples of 0log(0), that motivates to explore the properties of those new numbers and applications. We extend the notion of soft entropy into the definition of Cross Entropy and Kullback–Leibler-Divergence (KLD), and we found that a soft KLD is a soft number, that does not have a multiple of 0log(0). Based on a soft KLD, we defined a soft mutual information, that can be used as a splitting criteria in decision trees with data set of continuous random variables, consist of single samples and intervals.

Distributional Replication

A function which transforms a continuous random variable such that it has a specified distribution is called a replicating function. We suppose that functions may be assigned a price, and study an optimization problem in which the cheapest approximation to a replicating function is sought. Under suitable regularity conditions, including a bound on the entropy of the set of candidate approximations, we show that the optimal approximation comes close to achieving distributional replication, and close to achieving the minimum cost among replicating functions. We discuss the relevance of our results to the financial literature on hedge fund replication; in this case, the optimal approximation corresponds to the cheapest portfolio of market index options which delivers the hedge fund return distribution.

On Cumulative Entropies in Terms of Moments of Order Statistics

In this paper, relations between some kinds of cumulative entropies and moments of order statistics are established. By using some characterizations and the symmetry of a non-negative and absolutely continuous random variable X, lower and upper bounds for entropies are obtained and illustrative examples are given. By the relations with the moments of order statistics, a method is shown to compute an estimate of cumulative entropies and an application to testing whether data are exponentially distributed is outlined.

SIFAT-SIFAT DAN KEJADIAN KHUSUS DISTRIBUSI GAMMA

The gamma distribution is one of special continuous random variable distribution with scale parameter and shape parameter where is positive real numbers. On some conditions the gamma distribution astablishes other continuous distributions which are then called special cases of the gamma distribution. Therefore, this study was conducted to determine the properties of gamma distribution and the characteristics of the special cases of gamma distribution by analyzed the theories from literatures. The properties of gamma distribution include expectation value, variance, moment generating function, characteristic function, and estimation of gamma distribution parameters with the moment method to earn the special cases of the gamma distribution are Erlang, exponential, chi-square, and beta distributions.

КОКУС ЧОҢДУКТАРДЫН ЫКТЫМАЛДУУЛУКТАРЫН БӨЛҮШТҮРҮҮ ФУНКЦИЯСЫН ОКУТУУНУН ЫКМАЛАРЫ

Аннотация: Бөлүштүрүү функциясын, үзгүлтүксүз кокус чоңдуктардын ыктымалдуулуктарын бѳлүштүрүүнүн жиктелиш функциясы (ыктымалдуулуктун тыгыздыгы), ыктымалдуулуктарды бир калыпта бѳлуштүрүү законун аныктоо. Бөлүштүрүү функциясынын касиеттерин окутуу, далилдөө. X кокус чоңдугунун кабыл алууга мүмкүн болгон маанилери (a,b) интервалында жаткандыгынын ыктымалдуулугу бөлүштүрүү функциясынын өсүндүсүнө барабар. Түйүндүү сѳздѳр: Бөлүштурүү функциясы, үзгүлтүксүз кокус чоңдуктардын ыктымалдуулуктары, дискреттик кокус чоңдук, бөлүштүрүүнүн интегралдык функциясы, баштапкы функция. Аннотация: Определять вид непрерывной случайной величины, находить вероятность попадания случайной величины в заданный интервал по заданной функции распределения, уметь находить плотность распределения и равномерное распределения. Еще одно отличие характеристики случайных величин непрерывного действия-включение функции классификации распределения вероятностей, обнаружение первого производного функции последовательности. Следовательно, характеристика распределения вероятностей дискретных случайных величин. Свойства функции распределения обучения и доказательства. Х может быть, чтобы принять параметры диапазона значений (а, б), что функция распределения вероятностей равна приращению. Ключевые слова: Функция распределения, вероятность непрерывной случайной величины, дискретная случайная величина, интегральная функция распределения, первообразная. Annotation: Determine the type of random variable, find the probability of a random variable falling into a given interval by a given distribution function, be able to find the distribution density and uniform distribution. Properties of learning distribution function and evidence. X maybe to take the parameters of the range of values (a, b), that the probability distribution function is equal to the increment. Another difference in the characterization of continuous random variables is the inclusion of the classification function of the probability distribution, the detection of the first derivative of the sequence function. Hence, the characteristic of the probability distribution of discrete random variables Non-decreasing functions, ∫ _ (- ∞) ^ ∞▒ 〖P (x) ax = 1〗. In the case of an individual, if the values of a random variable (a, b) are located within ∫_a ^ b▒ 〖P (x) ax = 1〗 Keywords: Distribution function, probability of continuous random variable, discrete random variable, integral distribution function, antiderivative. DOI: 10.35254/bhu.2019.50.1 ВЕСТНИК БИШКЕКСКОГО ГОСУДАРСТВЕННОГО УНИВЕРСИТЕТА. No4(50) 2019 169 Аннотация: Бөлүштүрүү функциясын, үзгүлтүксүз кокус чоңдуктардын ыктымалдуулуктарын бѳлүштүрүүнүн жиктелиш функциясы (ыктымалдуулуктун тыгыздыгы), ыктымалдуулуктарды бир калыпта бѳлуштүрүү законун аныктоо. Бөлүштүрүү функциясынын касиеттерин окутуу, далилдөө. X кокус чоңдугунун кабыл алууга мүмкүн болгон маанилери (a,b) интервалында жаткандыгынын ыктымалдуулугу бөлүштүрүү функциясынын өсүндүсүнө барабар. X кокус чондугу PP(xx < xx1) ыктымалдуулукта x ден кичине маанилерди кабыл алат; X кокус чондугу xx1 ≤ xx < xx2барабарсыздыктын ыктымалдуулугу PP(xx1 ≤ xx < xx2) түрүндө канааттандырат. Үзгүлтүксүз кокус чоңдуктарды мүнөздөөнүн дагы бир башкача жолу ыктымалдуулукту бөлүштүрүүнүн жиктелиш функциясын киргизүү, тутамдык функциясынын биринчи туундусун табуу. Демек,тутамдык функция жиктелиш функциясынын баштапкы функциясы болорун, дискреттик кокус чондуктардын ыктымалдуулуктарынын бөлүштүрүүсүн мунөздөө. Жиктелиш функциясы кемибөөчү функция, ∫ ff(xx)dddd = 1 ∞ −∞ . Жекече учурда, эгерде кокус чоңдуктардын мүмкүн болгон маанилери (a,b) аралыгында жайгашса, анда � ff(xx)dddd = 1 bb aa Түйүндүү сѳздѳр: Бөлүштурүү функциясы, үзгүлтүксүз кокус чоңдуктардын ыктымалдуулуктары, дискреттик кокус чоңдук, бөлүштүрүүнүн интегралдык функциясы, баштапкы функция. Аннотация: Определять вид непрерывной случайной величины, находить вероятность попадания случайной величины в заданный интервал по заданной функции распределения, уметь находить плотность распределения и равномерное распределения. Еще одно отличие характеристики случайных величин непрерывного действия-включение функции классификации распределения вероятностей, обнаружение первого производного функции последовательности. Следовательно, характеристика распределения вероятностей дискретных случайных величин. Ключевые слова: Функция распределения, вероятность непрерывной случайной величины, дискретная случайная величина, интегральная функция распределения, первообразная. Annotation: Determine the type of random variable, find the probability of a random variable falling into a given interval by a given distribution function, be able to find the distribution density and uniform distribution. Properties of learning distribution function and evidence. X maybe to take the parameters of the range of values (a, b), that the probability distribution function is equal to the increment. Another difference in the characterization of continuous random variables is the inclusion of the classification function of the probability distribution, the detection of the first derivative of the sequence function. Keywords: Distribution function, probability of continuous random variable, discrete random variable, integral distribution function, antiderivative.

Two-player zero-sum stochastic differential games with random horizon

We consider a two-player zero-sum stochastic differential game with a random planning horizon and diffusive state variable dynamics. The random planning horizon is a function of a non-negative continuous random variable, which is assumed to be independent of the Brownian motion driving the state variable dynamics. We study this game using a combination of dynamic programming and viscosity solution techniques. Under some mild assumptions, we prove that the value of the game exists and is the unique viscosity solution of a certain nonlinear partial differential equation of Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman–Isaacs type.

On Generalized Slash Distributions: Representation by Hypergeometric Functions

The popular concept of slash distribution is generalized by considering the quotient Z = X/Y of independent random variables X and Y, where X is any continuous random variable and Y has a general beta distribution. The density of Z can usually be expressed by means of generalized hypergeometric functions. We study the distribution of Z for various parent distributions of X and indicate a possible application in finance.