proportional hazard model
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Neurology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 98 (1 Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. S17.1-S17
Author(s):  
Katherine Smulligan ◽  
Mathew Wingerson ◽  
Corrine Seehusen ◽  
Julie Wilson ◽  
David R. Howell

ObjectiveTo examine the association between acute post-concussion dizziness, initial symptom severity, and postural stability with time to symptom resolution among adolescents.BackgroundIdentifying early post-concussion symptoms and functional deficits that predict symptom resolution can guide treatment strategies. Dizziness is among the most common concussion symptoms, and existing literature investigating the association between dizziness and recovery time is mixed.Design/MethodsParticipants underwent initial evaluation = 14 days post-concussion, and self-reported symptom severity using the Post-Concussion Symptom Inventory (PCSI). We used PSCI dizziness ratings to group participants: a difference between current and pre-injury dizziness ≥3 = dizzy; difference <3 = not dizzy. We evaluated postural stability using modified Balance Error Scoring System (mBESS) and tandem gait (TG). Patients were followed until symptom resolution, and our primary outcome of interest was time from concussion to symptom resolution. Using a univariable Cox proportional hazard model, we examined the association of dizziness and symptom resolution time. We then used a multivariable Cox proportional hazard model to adjust for variables that differed between groups.ResultsWe examined 89 participants, grouped as dizzy (n = 34; age = 14.7 ± 2.7 years; 7.1 ± 3.4 days post-injury; symptom resolution time = 40.8 ± 5.7 days) or not dizzy (n = 55; age = 14.4 ± 2.3 years; 7.2 ± 3.1 days post-injury; symptom resolution time = 23.3 ± 3.2 days). Upon univariable examination, dizziness was independently associated with symptom resolution time (HR = 0.49; 95% CI: 0.28, 0.83; p = 0.009). After adjusting for potential confounding variables (initial symptom severity, mBESS tandem stance errors, TG time, and loss of consciousness) multivariable model results indicated initial symptom severity was the only variable associated with symptom resolution time (HR = 0.98; 95% CI: 0.96, 0.997; p = 0.025).ConclusionsTotal symptom severity, but not dizziness or postural stability, was significantly associated with symptom resolution time among adolescents following concussion. Individuals with moderate to severe post-concussion dizziness had higher average symptom scores indicating self-reported dizziness should be interpreted in the context of total concussion symptom burden.


Author(s):  
Eva Strapáková ◽  
Peter Strapák ◽  
Juraj Candrák ◽  
Ivan Pavlík ◽  
Katarína Dočkalová

The goal of the work was to discover the influence of conformation traits evaluated by the Fleckscore system on the length of productive life of Slovak Simmental dairy cows. Evaluation of body conformation traits according to the Fleckscore system was performed on 3 452 cows. The relationship of individual traits to longevity was analysed using the Weibull proportional hazard model. The results confirmed that smaller and longer cows, which were well muscular and with a deeper body, had a lower risk of early culling than cows in the reference group. Hock angularity, pastern and hoof height scored with low or high marks were associated with an early culling of cows. In terms of the length of productive life, a slightly more elastic pattern is required. Cows with a deeper udder and a stronger and tighter fore udder attachment, which were also average in notching and height central ligament and centrally placed teats, reached a longer productive life.  


2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Luming Zhang ◽  
Fengshuo Xu ◽  
Didi Han ◽  
Tao Huang ◽  
Shaojin Li ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (S-AKI) is a common and life-threatening complication in hospitalized and critically ill patients. This condition is an independent cause of death. This study was performed to investigate the correlation between the trajectory of urine output within 24 h and S-AKI. Methods Patients with sepsis were studied retrospectively based on the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV. Latent growth mixture modeling was used to classify the trajectory of urine output changes within 24 h of sepsis diagnosis. The outcome of this study is AKI that occurs 24 h after sepsis. Cox proportional hazard model, Fine–Gray subdistribution proportional hazard model, and doubly robust estimation method were used to explore the risk of AKI in patients with different trajectory classes. Results A total of 9869 sepsis patients were included in this study, and their 24-h urine output trajectories were divided into five classes. The Cox proportional hazard model showed that compared with class 1, the HR (95% CI) values for classes 3, 4, and 5 were 1.460 (1.137–1.875), 1.532 (1.197–1.961), and 2.232 (1.795–2.774), respectively. Competing risk model and doubly robust estimation methods reached similar results. Conclusions The trajectory of urine output within 24 h of sepsis patients has a certain impact on the occurrence of AKI. Therefore, in the early treatment of sepsis, close attention should be paid to changes in the patient's urine output to prevent the occurrence of S-AKI.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Toshiki Ogiwara ◽  
Hitoshi Kawazoe ◽  
Saeka Egami ◽  
Hironobu Hashimoto ◽  
Yoshimasa Saito ◽  
...  

BackgroundNivolumab and pembrolizumab are the standard treatments for patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). While there are reports on several inflammatory indices and the prognosis of patients with cancer, no study has combined baseline medication with the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) to predict clinical outcomes. This study investigated the efficacy of baseline medications plus NLR to predict the effectiveness of nivolumab and pembrolizumab in a real-world clinical setting.MethodsWe conducted a single-center retrospective observational study of consecutive patients with advanced NSCLC who received nivolumab or pembrolizumab as first-line, second-line, or beyond treatment between December 2015 and November 2018 at the National Cancer Center Hospital in Japan. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method. The drug-based prognostic score for baseline medications plus NLR was weighed based on the regression β coefficients. The multivariable Cox proportional hazard model was used to assess the association between the prognostic score-stratified groups and survival outcomes.ResultsIn total, 259 patients were evaluated in this study. A prognostic score calculated from the baseline medications plus NLR was used to categorize the patients into good (score 0), intermediate (scores 1–2), and poor (scores 3–6) -prognosis groups. The multivariable Cox proportional hazard model revealed a significant association between the poor-prognosis group and reduced OS. The hazard ratio of OS was 1.75 (95% confidence interval: 1.07–2.99; P = 0.031). In contrast, no association between these prognosis groups and PFS was observed.ConclusionsThe findings suggest that the baseline medications with nivolumab or pembrolizumab plus NLR could lead to progressively shorter survival outcomes in patients with advanced NSCLC and could be used as a prognostic index for poor outcomes. However, to ascertain the clinical application of these findings, these concomitant medications need further validation in a large-scale multicenter study.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Zhiying Yin ◽  
Canjie Zheng ◽  
Quanjun Fang ◽  
Xiaoying Gong ◽  
Guoping Cao ◽  
...  

Mumps is a vaccine-preventable disease caused by the mumps virus, but the incidence of mumps has increased among the children who were vaccinated with one-dose measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) in recent years. In this study, we analyzed the influence of different doses of mumps-containing vaccine (MuCV) against mumps using Cox-proportional hazard model. We collected 909 mumps cases of children who were born from 2006 to 2010 and vaccinated with different doses of MuCV in Quzhou during 2006-2018, which were all clinically diagnosed. Kaplan-Meier survival methods and Cox-proportional hazard model were used to estimate the hazard probabilities. Kaplan–Meier curves showed that the cumulative hazard of male and female has no difference; lower hazards were detected among those who were vaccinated with two-dose MuCV, born in 2006, and infected after supplementary immunization activities (SIA). Cox-proportional hazard regression suggested that onset after SIA, born in 2006, and vaccinated with two-dose MuCV were protective factors against infection even after adjusting for potential confounding effects. Our study showed that it was necessary to revise the diagnostic criteria of mumps and identify RT-PCR as the standard for mumps diagnosis in China. We suggested that routine immunization schedule should introduce two doses of MMR and prevaccination screening should be performed before booster immunization in vaccinated populations.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1201 (1) ◽  
pp. 012088
Author(s):  
T Bankole-Oye ◽  
I El-Thalji ◽  
J Zec

Abstract Large companies are investing heavily in digitalization to be more competitive and economically viable. Hence, physical assets and maintenance operations have been digitally transformed to transmit a high volume of data, e.g., condition monitoring data. Such high-volume data can be useful to optimize maintenance operations and minimize maintenance and replacement costs. A tool to optimize maintenance using condition monitoring data is the Proportional hazard model (PHM). However, it is challenging to implement PHM for industrial complex systems that generate big data. Therefore, machine learning algorithms shall support PHM method to handle such a high volume of data. Thus, the purpose of this paper is to explore how to support PHM with Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to maintenance optimization of complex industrial systems. A case study of hydraulic power unit was purposefully selected to apply and validate the proposed analytical approach. The results show that PCA supported PHM optimizes and extends the preventive maintenance interval by 79.27% which might lead to maintenance cost reductions. This model enables PHM to handle complex systems where big data is collected.


Critical Care ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Florian Reizine ◽  
Agathe Delbove ◽  
Alexandre Dos Santos ◽  
Laetitia Bodenes ◽  
Pierre Bouju ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Drowning is a global threat and one of the leading causes of injury around the world. The impact of drowning conditions including water salinity on patients’ prognosis remains poorly explored in Intensive Care Units (ICUs) patients. Methods We conducted a retrospective multicenter study on patients admitted to 14 ICUs in the west of France from January 2013 to January 2020. We first compared demographic and clinical characteristics at admission as well as clinical courses of these patients according to the salinity of drowning water. Then, we aimed to identify variables associated with 28-day survival using a Cox proportional hazard model. Results Of the 270 consecutive included patients, drowning occurred in seawater in 199 patients (73.7%) and in freshwater in 71 patients (26.3%). Day-28 mortality was observed in 55 patients (20.4%). Freshwater was independently associated with 28-day mortality (Adjusted Hazard Ratio (aHR) 1.84 [95% Confidence Interval (CI) 1.03–3.29], p = 0.04). A higher proportion of freshwater patients presented psychiatric comorbidities (47.9 vs. 19.1%; p < 0.0001) and the etiology of drowning appeared more frequently to be a suicide attempt in this population (25.7 vs. 4.2%; p < 0.0001). The other factors independently associated with 28-day mortality were the occurrence of a drowning-related cardiac arrest (aHR 11.5 [95% CI 2.51–52.43], p = 0.0017), duration of cardiopulmonary resuscitation (aHR 1.05 [95% CI 1.03–1.07], p < 0.0001) and SOFA score at day 1 (aHR 1.2 [95% CI 1.11–1.3], p < 0.0001). Conclusions In this large multicenter cohort, freshwater drowning patients had a poorer prognosis than saltwater drowning patients. Reasons for such discrepancies include differences in underlying psychiatric comorbidity, drowning circumstances and severities. Patients with initial cardiac arrest secondary to drowning remain with a very poor prognosis.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sang Soo Lee ◽  
Jin-Kyu Cho ◽  
Hee Jin Kim ◽  
Ra Ri Cha ◽  
Jae Min Lee ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Although acute hepatitis E is not fatal in healthy individuals, it is unclear whether hepatitis E superinfection increases mortality in patients with pre-existing liver disease. Thus, we investigated the prognosis of patients with acute hepatitis E according to their cirrhosis diagnosis, and the prognosis according to the development of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) in patients with cirrhosis and chronic liver disease (CLD). Methods: This study included 74 consecutive patients who were diagnosed with acute viral hepatitis E between January 2007 and December 2019. Of them, 39 patients without CLD, 13 patients with non-cirrhotic CLD, and 22 patients with cirrhotic CLD were analyzed. Results: Among the 74 patients with HEV infection, 7 (9.5%) died within 180 days: 5 with underlying cirrhosis (71.4%) and 2 without cirrhosis (28.6%). The 180-day mortality was significant higher for patients with cirrhosis than for patients without cirrhosis (22.7% vs. 3.8%, P = 0.013). The age- and sex-adjusted proportional-hazard model revealed an approximately 8-fold increase in 180-day mortality risk in patients with cirrhosis compared to patients without cirrhosis. In addition, development of hepatitis E virus-related ACLF due to acute liver function deterioration in patients with pre-existing CLD or cirrhosis worsened the 180-day mortality rate. Conclusions: Our findings suggest that the acute hepatitis E mortality rate was low in heathy individuals but higher in patients with cirrhosis, and especially high in those with ACLF.


2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Y Nishimoto ◽  
Y Yamashita ◽  
T Morimoto ◽  
S Saga ◽  
Y Sato ◽  
...  

Abstract Background/Introduction Cancer is a strong risk factor for the development of venous thromboembolism (VTE) including pulmonary embolism (PE) and deep vein thrombosis (DVT). Patients with VTE have a long-term risk of recurrence, which can be prevented by anticoagulation therapy. Prolonged anticoagulation therapy is recommended for patients with cancer-associated VTE, although the risk of recurrence might depend on the individual patient. Purpose We aimed to identify the risk factors of recurrence in patients with cancer-associated VTE. Methods The COMMAND VTE Registry is a multicenter retrospective registry enrolling 3027 consecutive patients with acute symptomatic VTE among 29 Japanese centers between January 2010 and August 2014. The present study population consisted of 695 cancer-associated VTE patients. The primary outcome measure in the present study was recurrent VTE, which was defined as PE and/or DVT with symptoms accompanied by confirmation of a new thrombus or exacerbation of the thrombus by objective imaging examinations or autopsy. Discontinuation of anticoagulation was defined as a withdrawal of anticoagulation therapy lasting &gt;14 days for any reason. We selected clinically relevant variables and variables with P values &lt;0.1 in a univariate analysis as potential risk factors, and constructed a multivariable Cox proportional hazard model for recurrent VTE incorporating the anticoagulation therapy status as a time-updated covariate. Results Among the 695 study patients, recurrent VTE occurred in 78 patients, of whom 54 (69%) occurred within 6 months. The cumulative incidence of recurrent VTE was 7.7% at 3-months, 8.9% at 6-months, 11.8% at 1-year, and 17.7% at 5-years. The cumulative incidence of discontinuation of anticoagulation therapy was 18.0% at 3-months, 29.5% at 6-months, 43.4% at 1-year, and 66.5% at 5-years. The cumulative 5-year incidence of recurrent VTE was most frequent in patients with uterus/ovary cancer (26.0%), followed by those with lung cancer (24.7%). The multivariable Cox proportional hazard model revealed that chronic kidney disease (HR, 2.27; 95% CI, 1.36–3.77, P=0.002), a high D-dimer level at the time of VTE diagnosis (HR, 2.85; 95% CI, 1.71–4.74, P&lt;0.001), advanced cancer (HR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.05–2.72, P=0.03) and discontinuation of anticoagulation therapy (HR, 2.66; 95% CI, 1.53–4.63, P&lt;0.001) were independently associated with an increased risk of recurrent VTE. No cancer site was independently associated with an increased risk for recurrent VTE when adjusting for the above mentioned risk factors in the multivariable Cox proportional hazard model, although the risk of recurrent VTE numerically differed according to the cancer site. Conclusions Among patients with cancer-associated VTE, chronic kidney disease, a high D-dimer level at the time of VTE diagnosis, advanced cancer, and discontinuation of anticoagulation therapy were independent risk factors of recurrence. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Research Institute for Production Development, Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Corporation Figure 1 Figure 2


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