Incorporating historical information to improve extreme sea level estimates

Extreme value analysis seeks to assign probabilities to events which deviate significantly from the mean and is thus widely employed in disciplines dealing with natural hazards. In terms of extreme sea levels (ESLs), these probabilities help to define coastal flood risk which guides the design of coastal protection measures. While tide gauge and other systematic records are typically used to estimate ESLs, combining systematic data with historical information has been shown to reduce uncertainties and better represent statistical outliers. This paper introduces a new method for the incorporation of historical information in extreme value analysis which outperforms other commonly used approaches. Monte-Carlo Simulations are used to evaluate a posterior distribution of historical and systematic ESLs based on the prior distribution of systematic data. This approach is applied at the German town of Travemünde, providing larger ESL estimates compared to those determined using systematic data only. We highlight a potential to underestimate ESLs at Travemünde when historical information is disregarded, due to a period of relatively low ESL activity for the duration of the systematic record.

“It's the work climate that keeps me here”: the interplay between the HRM process and emergent factors in the construction of employee experiences

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to explore the interplay between human resource management (HRM) and emergent factors in constructing a strong HRM climate. Specifically, the paper aims to shed light on how employee perceptions of the HRM process and emergent factors together construct a strong HRM climate, i.e. employees' shared perceptions of HRM.Design/methodology/approachThe paper uses qualitative interview data (managers and employees) from two organisations operating in Finland. The data are analysed based on a systematic data analysis and gives an illustration of the interplay between high-performance work system and the emergent factors.FindingsThe findings illustrate the three types of interplay between HPWS and emergent factors – supplementation, substitution and suffocation – that construct employee experience.Originality/valueThe paper extends earlier discussions on the relationship between HRM and employee experience by empirically examining how the HRM process – together with emergent factors – constructs a strong HRM climate. The present study contributes to further theorising and increasing our understanding of the creation of employee experience.

Security And Safety Evaluation of Motorcycle Parking Mall Podomoro City

So many cases of crime have occurred in the parking area. Because this causes many losses, ways are needed to avoid it happening again. One of the efforts that can be done in preventing the occurrence of crime in the parking area is by applying security aspects with the concept of Crime Prevention Through Environmental Design (CPTED) and applying safety aspects that examine security aspects in preventing crime in the environment of human activities in a design approach. Environmental and safety aspects. In this study, the method used is descriptive qualitative to obtain factual and systematic data. The data is processed using the AHP (Analytical Hierarchy Process) method with the help of software, namely Super Decision, to get the value of each CPTED component for motorcycle parking facilities. The value of the study of applying the CPTED concept theory for security and safety aspects in the Podomoro Mall motorcycle parking area shows that the elements of the CPTED concept and safety aspects in the motorcycle parking area have not been fully implemented. However, overall security and safety in this parking area are guaranteed because almost all the variables available at this location already meet existing standards. The riders feel safe and secure when they are in this parking area even though some aspects are not met. It could be improved would be much better. The results of this study are expected to be helpful in the field of architecture, especially in crime.

O20 ASSESSING THE VALIDITY AND COVER RATE OF NATIONAL HERNIA REGISTERS

Aim To assess the validity and cover rate of the Swedish hernia register. Material and Methods Annual validation of the Swedish Hernia Register has been carried out since the start in 1992 and since 2013 in a more standardized way to allow a systematic data collection and evaluation. 10% of all participating units are randomly selected each year in a specific region of Sweden, ensuring a systematic validation of all regions from North to South. Data from 2013 to 2018 was analyzed regarding data quality and from 2014 to 2018 regarding cover rate. All operations registered at the validated clinics was checked against the Swedish Hernia Register to assess cover rate. 50 operations were randomly selected at each clinic and data in the Swedish Hernia register was compared to the medical records to evaluate data quality. Results In total 55 participating units were evaluated and 73764 variables compared to medical records. Cover rate between 2014 to 2018 was 97% and proportion of correct variables was 98%. Most frequent errors where ASA-grade, date at which the patient was put on the waiting list and postoperative complications. Conclusions This unique validation of a national hernia register show a high cover rate and good quality of data. Efforts to maintain and improve national registers are of great importance. Research with data from the Swedish hernia register should be evaluated on the basis of the results presented in this study.

Social Networking Trend in Improving Educational Leadership Competency in Higher Learning: Systematic Data Analysis

This study examined social network trends in improving educational leadership quality and higher learning outcomes through systematic data analysis. Forward or backwards, the quality of human resources and scholarly output in the academic environment is closely related to social networking, which is increasingly becoming a phenomenon today. The researcher has carried out a series of data collection through electronic searches in several international publications in various scientific communication contexts to understand this. Furthermore, the analysis process includes understanding the study questions, coding, analysis, and in-depth interpretation to obtain valid and reliable study findings that answer this study's questions. Our e-search, especially on the Google Scholar data source, ERIC publications, and other online data sources from the 2010 to 2021 publications, was prioritized. Based on the discussion of results and observations of current social networking trends, it can be concluded that social networking brings benefits such as building social relationships, communication, keeping up with renewal, more personal relationships, more genuine connections, advertising, and other networking among educational leaders worldwide.

CNS Involvement in AML at Diagnosis is Rare and does not Affect Response or Survival: Data from 11 ECOG-ACRIN Trials

Central nervous system (CNS) involvement in newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients is rare and systematic data regarding outcome are scarce. This retrospective study summarized data from 11 consecutive ECOG-ACRIN clinical trials for newly diagnosed AML patients. 3240 patients with AML were analyzed and 36 (1.11%) were found to have CNS involvement at diagnosis. The incidence of CNS disease among the 5 studies with per protocol mandatory lumbar puncture (LP) was similar to the incidence among studies where LP was done at the discretion of the investigator (0.86% vs. 1.41%, p=0.18). There was no significant difference in the complete remission (CR) rate between patients with CNS involvement and those with other extramedullary disease (EMD) sites or those with no EMD (52.8% vs. 59.3-60%). The median overall survival (OS) of CNS-positive patients, other EMD or no EMD was 11.4, 11.3 and 12.7 months, respectively. There was no difference in OS between patients with CNS involvement and those with other EMD (HR 0.96, adjusted p=0.84) or no EMD (HR 1.19, adjusted p=0.44). In conclusion, the reported incidence of CNS involvement of newly diagnosed AML is low (1.1%), irrespective of whether an LP is mandatory or not. The presence of CNS disease at diagnosis does not appear, in and of itself, to portend for a poor prognosis for either achieving an initial CR or OS.