cox proportional hazard models
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2022 ◽  
pp. oemed-2021-107970
Author(s):  
Elena Zaballa ◽  
Georgia Ntani ◽  
E Clare Harris ◽  
Anne Lübbeke ◽  
Nigel K Arden ◽  
...  

ObjectivesTo investigate the rates of return to work and workability among working-age people following total hip arthroplasty (THA).MethodsParticipants from the Geneva Arthroplasty Registry and the Clinical Outcomes for Arthroplasty Study aged 18–64 years when they had primary THA and with at least 5 years’ follow-up were mailed a questionnaire 2017–2019. Information was collected about preoperative and post-THA employment along with exposure to physically demanding activities at work or in leisure. Patterns of change of job were explored. Survival analyses using Cox proportional hazard models were created to explore risk factors for having to stop work because of difficulties with the replaced hip.ResultsIn total, 825 returned a questionnaire (response 58%), 392 (48%) men, mean age 58 years, median follow-up 7.5 years post-THA. The majority (93%) of those who worked preoperatively returned to work, mostly in the same sector but higher rates of non-return (36%–41%) were seen among process, plant and machine operatives and workers in elementary occupations. 7% reported subsequently leaving work because of their replaced hip and the risk of this was strongly associated with: standing >4 hours/day (HR 3.81, 95% CI 1.62 to 8.96); kneeling/squatting (HR 3.32, 95% CI 1.46 to 7.55) and/or carrying/lifting ≥10 kg (HR 5.43, 95% CI 2.29 to 12.88).ConclusionsIt may be more difficult to return to some (particularly physically demanding) jobs post-THA than others. Rehabilitation may need to be targeted to these types of workers or it may be that redeployment or job change counselling are required.


Author(s):  
Sharmila Rana ◽  
Gabriel N. Valbuena ◽  
Ed Curry ◽  
Charlotte L. Bevan ◽  
Hector C. Keun

Abstract Background Reliable prognostic biomarkers to distinguish indolent from aggressive prostate cancer (PCa) are lacking. Many studies investigated microRNAs (miRs) as PCa prognostic biomarkers, often reporting inconsistent findings. We present a systematic review of these; also systematic reanalysis of public miR-profile datasets to identify tissue-derived miRs prognostic of biochemical recurrence (BCR) in patients undergoing radical prostatectomy. Methods Independent PubMed searches were performed for relevant articles from January 2007 to December 2019. For the review, 128 studies were included. Pooled-hazard-ratios (HRs) for miRs in multiple studies were calculated using a random-effects model (REM). For the reanalysis, five studies were included and Cox proportional-hazard models, testing miR association with BCR, performed for miRs profiled in all. Results Systematic review identified 120 miRs as prognostic. Five (let-7b-5p, miR-145-5p, miR152-3p, miR-195-5p, miR-224-5p) were consistently associated with progression in multiple cohorts/studies. In the reanalysis, ten (let-7a-5p, miR-148a-3p, miR-203a-3p, miR-26b-5p, miR30a-3p, miR-30c-5p, miR-30e-3p, miR-374a-5p, miR-425-3p, miR-582-5p) were significantly prognostic of BCR. Of these, miR-148a-3p (HR = 0.80/95% CI = 0.68-0.94) and miR-582-5p (HR = 0.73/95% CI = 0.61-0.87) were also reported in prior publication(s) in the review. Conclusions Fifteen miRs were consistently associated with disease progression in multiple publications or datasets. Further research into their biological roles is warranted to support investigations into their performance as prognostic PCa biomarkers.


2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui Tang ◽  
Yingyi Wang ◽  
Chunmei Bai

Abstract Background: Lepidic adenocarcinoma (LPA) is an infrequent subtype of invasive pulmonary adenocarcinoma (ADC). However, the clinicopathological features and prognostic factors of LPA have not been elucidated.Methods: Data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database of 4087 LPA patients were retrospectively analyzed and compared with non-LPA pulmonary ADC to explore the clinicopathological and prognosis features of LPA. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were performed to identify independent survival predictors for further nomogram development. The nomograms were validated by using the concordance index, receiver operating characteristic curves, and calibration plots, as well as decision curve analysis, in both the training and validation cohorts.Results: Compared with non-LPA pulmonary ADC patients, those with LPA exhibited unique clinicopathological features, including more elderly and female patients, smaller tumor size, less pleural invasion, and lower histological grade and stage. Multivariate analyses showed that age, sex, marital status, primary tumor size, pleural invasion, histological grade, stage, primary tumor surgery, and chemotherapy were independently associated with overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with LPA, while race was the only independent prognostic factor for OS, not for CSS. The nomograms showed good accuracy compared with the actual observed results and demonstrated improved prognostic capacity compared with TNM stage.Conclusions: Patients with LPA are more likely to be older and female. Smaller tumor size, lower histological grade and stage are the clinicopathological features of LPA, which may indicate a good prognosis. The constructed nomograms accurately predict the long-term survival of LPA patients.


2022 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jingya Jia ◽  
Qiuying Zhu ◽  
Luojia Deng ◽  
Guanghua Lan ◽  
Andrew Johnson ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Antiretroviral therapy (ART) has reduced mortality among people living with HIV (PLWH) in China, but co-infections of hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) may individually or jointly reduce the effect of ART. This study aimed to evaluate the impacts of HBV/HCV coinfections on treatment drop-out and mortality among PLWH on ART. Methods A retrospective cohort study analysis of 58 239 people living with HIV (PLWH) who initiated antiretroviral therapy (ART) during 2010–2018 was conducted in Guangxi Province, China. Data were from the observational database of the National Free Antiretroviral Treatment Program. Cox proportional hazard models were fitted to evaluate the effects of baseline infection of HBV or HCV or both on death and treatment attrition among PLWH. Results Our study showed high prevalence of HBV (11.5%), HCV (6.6%) and HBV-HCV (1.5%) co-infections. The overall mortality rate and treatment attrition rate was 2.95 [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.88–3.02] and 5.92 (95% CI 5.82–6.01) per 100 person-years, respectively. Compared with HIV-only patients, HBV-co-infected patients had 42% higher mortality [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 1.42; 95% CI 1.32–1.54], HCV-co-infected patients had 65% higher mortality (aHR = 1.65; 95% CI 1.47–1.86), and patients with both HCV and HBV co-infections had 123% higher mortality (aHR = 2.23; 95% CI 1.87–2.66). Conclusions HBV and HCV coinfection may have an additive effect on increasing the risk of all-cause death among PLWH who are on ART. It is suggested that there is need for primary prevention and access to effective hepatitis treatment for PLWH. Graphical Abstract


2022 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jasmin Divers ◽  
Sumit Mohan ◽  
W. Mark Brown ◽  
Stephen O. Pastan ◽  
Ajay K. Israni ◽  
...  

Abstract Background African American (AA) recipients of deceased-donor (DD) kidney transplants (KT) have shorter allograft survival than recipients of other ethnic groups. Reasons for this disparity encompass complex interactions between donors and recipients characteristics. Methods Outcomes from 3872 AA and 19,719 European American (EA) DDs who had one kidney transplanted in an AA recipient and one in an EA recipient were analyzed. Four donor/recipient pair groups (DRP) were studied, AA/AA, AA/EA, EA/AA, and EA/EA. Survival random forests and Cox proportional hazard models were fitted to rank and evaluate modifying effects of DRP on variables associated with allograft survival. These analyses sought to identify factors contributing to the observed disparities in transplant outcomes among AA and EA DDKT recipients. Results Transplant era, discharge serum creatinine, delayed graft function, and DRP were among the top predictors of allograft survival and mortality among DDKT recipients. Interaction effects between DRP with the kidney donor risk index and transplant era showed significant improvement in allograft survival over time in EA recipients. However, AA recipients appeared to have similar or poorer outcomes for DDKT performed after 2010 versus before 2001; allograft survival hazard ratios (95% CI) were 1.15 (0.74, 1.76) and 1.07 (0.8, 1.45) for AA/AA and EA/AA, compared to 0.62 (0.54, 0.71) and 0.5 (0.41, 0.62) for EA/EA and AA/EA DRP, respectively. Recipient mortality improved over time among all DRP, except unemployed AA/AAs. Relative to DDKT performed pre-2001, employed AA/AAs had HR = 0.37 (0.2, 0.69) versus 0.59 (0.31, 1.11) for unemployed AA/AA after 2010. Conclusion Relative to DDKT performed before 2001, similar or worse overall DCAS was observed among AA/AAs, while EA/EAs experienced considerable improvement regardless of employment status, KDRI, and EPTS. AA recipients of an AA DDKT, especially if unemployed, had worse allograft survival and mortality and did not appear to benefit from advances in care over the past 20 years.


2022 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Fu-Shun Yen ◽  
James Cheng-Chung Wei ◽  
Lu-Ting Chiu ◽  
Chih-Cheng Hsu ◽  
Chii-Min Hwu

Abstract Background We aimed to compare cardiovascular risks among participants with T2DM with and without subsequent HTN and participants with HTN with and without subsequent T2DM. Methods From January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2018, we identified 16,236 matched pairs of T2DM participants with and without HTN (T2DM cohorts), 53,509 pairs of HTN participants with and without T2DM (HTN cohorts), and 21,158 pairs of comorbid HTN and T2DM participants with T2DM history or HTN history (comorbid cohorts) from Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database. Cox proportional-hazard models were used to calculate the risk of cardiovascular disease. Results The mean follow-up time of this study was 6.75 years. Mean incident rates of coronary artery disease for T2DM cohorts, HTN cohorts, and comorbid cohorts were 16.80, 23.18, and 31.53 per 1000 person-years, respectively. The adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence intervals [95% CIs]) for incident coronary artery disease, stroke, and heart failure in T2DM participants with versus without HTN were 2.22 (2.07–2.37), 1.19 (1.16–1.23), and 0.92 (0.82–1.02), respectively; the adjusted HRs for HTN participants with versus without T2DM were 1.69 (1.55–1.84), 1.25 (1.21–1.30), and 0.98 (0.93–1.05), respectively; the adjusted HRs for comorbid T2DM and HTN participants with previous T2DM versus previous HTN were 2.78 (2.37–3.27), 1.20 (1.13–1.28), and 0.95 (0.88–1.03), respectively. Conclusions This nationwide cohort study demonstrated that both T2DM with subsequent HTN and HTN with subsequent diabetes were associated with higher cardiovascular disease risks.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui Tang ◽  
Yingyi Wang ◽  
Chunmei Bai

Abstract Background: Lepidic adenocarcinoma (LPA) is an infrequent subtype of invasive pulmonary adenocarcinoma (ADC). However, the clinicopathological features and prognostic factors of LPA have not been elucidated.Methods: Data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database of 4087 LPA patients were retrospectively analyzed and compared with non-LPA pulmonary ADC to explore the clinicopathological and prognosis features of LPA. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were performed to identify independent survival predictors for further nomogram development. The nomograms were validated by using the concordance index, receiver operating characteristic curves, and calibration plots, as well as decision curve analysis, in both the training and validation cohorts.Results: Compared with non-LPA pulmonary ADC patients, those with LPA exhibited unique clinicopathological features, including more elderly and female patients, smaller tumor size, less pleural invasion, and lower histological grade and stage. Multivariate analyses showed that age, sex, marital status, primary tumor size, pleural invasion, histological grade, stage, primary tumor surgery, and chemotherapy were independently associated with overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with LPA, while race was the only independent prognostic factor for OS, not for CSS. The nomograms showed good accuracy compared with the actual observed results and demonstrated improved prognostic capacity compared with TNM stage.Conclusions: Patients with LPA are more likely to be older and female. Smaller tumor size, lower histological grade and stage are the clinicopathological features of LPA, which may indicate a good prognosis. The constructed nomograms accurately predict the long-term survival of LPA patients.


2021 ◽  
pp. oemed-2021-107818
Author(s):  
Vahe Nafilyan ◽  
Piotr Pawelek ◽  
Daniel Ayoubkhani ◽  
Sarah Rhodes ◽  
Lucy Pembrey ◽  
...  

ObjectivesTo estimate occupational differences in COVID-19 mortality and test whether these are confounded by factors such as regional differences, ethnicity and education or due to non-workplace factors, such as deprivation or prepandemic health.MethodsUsing a cohort study of over 14 million people aged 40–64 years living in England, we analysed occupational differences in death involving COVID-19, assessed between 24 January 2020 and 28 December 2020.We estimated age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs) per 100 000 person-years at risk stratified by sex and occupation. We estimated the effect of occupation on COVID-19 mortality using Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for confounding factors. We further adjusted for non-workplace factors and interpreted the residual effects of occupation as being due to workplace exposures to SARS-CoV-2.ResultsIn men, the ASMRs were highest among those working as taxi and cab drivers or chauffeurs at 119.7 deaths per 100 000 (95% CI 98.0 to 141.4), followed by other elementary occupations at 106.5 (84.5 to 132.4) and care workers and home carers at 99.2 (74.5 to 129.4). Adjusting for confounding factors strongly attenuated the HRs for many occupations, but many remained at elevated risk. Adjusting for living conditions reduced further the HRs, and many occupations were no longer at excess risk. For most occupations, confounding factors and mediators other than workplace exposure to SARS-CoV-2 explained 70%–80% of the excess age-adjusted occupational differences.ConclusionsWorking conditions play a role in COVID-19 mortality, particularly in occupations involving contact with patients or the public. However, there is also a substantial contribution from non-workplace factors.


Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 57
Author(s):  
Thomas M. Pausch ◽  
Xinchun Liu ◽  
Jiaqu Cui ◽  
Jishu Wei ◽  
Yi Miao ◽  
...  

Guidelines do not recommend resection surgery for oligometastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). However, reports in small samples of selected patients suggest that surgery extends survival. Thus, this study aims to gather evidence for the benefits of cancer-directed surgery (CDS) by analyzing a national cohort and identifying prognostic factors that aid the selection of candidates for CDS or recruitment into experimental trials. Data for patients with PDAC and hepatic metastasis were extracted from the population-based Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (SEER). The bias between CDS and non-CDS groups was minimized with Propensity Score Matching (PSM), and the prognostic role of CDS was investigated by comparing Kaplan-Meier estimators and Cox proportional hazard models. A total of 12,018 patients were extracted from the database, including 259 patients who underwent CDS that were 1:1 propensity score-matched with patients who did not receive CDS. CDS appeared to significantly prolong median overall survival from 5 to 10 months. Multivariate analysis revealed chemotherapy as a protective prognostic, whilst survival was impaired by old age and tumors that were poorly differentiated (Grades III–IV). These factors can be used to select patients likely to benefit from CDS treatment, which may facilitate recruitment into randomized controlled trials.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Lotte Gerritsen ◽  
Emma L. Twait ◽  
Palmi V. Jonsson ◽  
Vilmundur Gudnason ◽  
Lenore J. Launer ◽  
...  

Background: Late-life depression (LLD) is related to an increased risk of developing dementia; however, the biological mechanisms explaining this relationship remain unclear. Objective: To determine whether the relationship between LLD and dementia can be best explained by the glucocorticoid cascade or vascular hypothesis. Methods: Data are from 4,354 persons (mean age 76±5 years) without dementia at baseline from the AGES-Reykjavik Study. LLD was assessed with the MINI diagnostic interview (current and remitted major depressive disorder [MDD]) and the Geriatric Depression Scale-15. Morning and evening salivary cortisol were collected (glucocorticoid cascade hypothesis). White matter hyperintensities (WMH; vascular hypothesis) volume was assessed using 1.5T brain MRI. Using Cox proportional hazard models, we estimated the associations of LLD, cortisol levels, and WMH volume with incident all-cause dementia, AD, and non-AD dementia. Results: During 8.8±3.2 years of follow-up, 843 persons developed dementia, including 397 with AD. Current MDD was associated with an increased risk of developing all-cause dementia (HR = 2.17; 95% CI 1.66–2.67), with risks similar for AD and non-AD, while remitted MDD was not (HR = 1.02; 95% CI 0.55–1.49). Depressive symptoms were also associated with increased risk of dementia, in particular non-AD dementias. Higher levels of evening cortisol increased risk of dementia, but this was independent of MDD. WMH partially explained the relation between current MDD and dementia risk but remained increased (HR = 1.71; 95% CI 1.34–2.08). Conclusion: The current study highlights the importance of LLD in developing dementia. However, neither the glucocorticoid cascade nor the vascular hypotheses fully explained the relation between depression and dementia.


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