Gene Polymorphisms Among Plasmodium vivax Geographical Isolates and the Potential as New Biomarkers for Gametocyte Detection

The unique biological features of Plasmodium vivax not only make it difficult to control but also to eliminate. For the transmission of the malaria parasite from infected human to the vector, gametocytes play a major role. The transmission potential of a malarial infection is inferred based on microscopic detection of gametocytes and molecular screening of genes in the female gametocytes. Microscopy-based detection methods could grossly underestimate the reservoirs of infection as gametocytes may occur as submicroscopic or as micro- or macro-gametocytes. The identification of genes that are highly expressed and polymorphic in male and female gametocytes is critical for monitoring changes not only in their relative proportions but also the composition of gametocyte clones contributing to transmission over time. Recent transcriptomic study revealed two distinct clusters of highly correlated genes expressed in the P. vivax gametocytes, indicating that the male and female terminal gametocytogeneses are independently regulated. However, the detective power of these genes is unclear. In this study, we compared genetic variations of 15 and 11 genes expressed, respectively, in the female and male gametocytes among P. vivax isolates from Southeast Asia, Africa, and South America. Further, we constructed phylogenetic trees to determine the resolution power and clustering patterns of gametocyte clones. As expected, Pvs25 (PVP01_0616100) and Pvs16 (PVP01_0305600) expressed in the female gametocytes were highly conserved in all geographical isolates. In contrast, genes including 6-cysteine protein Pvs230 (PVP01_0415800) and upregulated in late gametocytes ULG8 (PVP01_1452800) expressed in the female gametocytes, as well as two CPW-WPC family proteins (PVP01_1215900 and PVP01_1320100) expressed in the male gametocytes indicated considerably high nucleotide and haplotype diversity among isolates. Parasite samples expressed in male and female gametocyte genes were observed in separate phylogenetic clusters and likely represented distinct gametocyte clones. Compared to Pvs25, Pvs230 (PVP01_0415800) and a CPW-WPC family protein (PVP01_0904300) showed higher expression in a subset of Ethiopian P. vivax samples. Thus, Pvs230, ULG8, and CPW-WPC family proteins including PVP01_0904300, PVP01_1215900, and PVP01_1320100 could potentially be used as novel biomarkers for detecting both sexes of P. vivax gametocytes in low-density infections and estimating transmission reservoirs.

West Nile virus transmission potential in Portugal

It is unclear whether West Nile virus (WNV) circulates endemically in Portugal. Despite the country’s adequate climate for transmission, Portugal has only reported four human WNV infections so far. We performed a review of WNV-related data (1966–2020), explored mosquito (2016–2019) and land type distributions (1992–2019), and used climate data (1981–2019) to estimate WNV transmission suitability in Portugal. Serological and molecular evidence of WNV circulation from animals and vectors was largely restricted to the south. Land type and climate-driven transmission suitability distributions, but not the distribution of WNV-capable vectors, were compatible with the North-South divide present in serological and molecular evidence of WNV circulation. Our study offers a comprehensive, data-informed perspective and review on the past epidemiology, surveillance and climate-driven transmission suitability of WNV in Portugal, highlighting the south as a subregion of importance. Given the recent WNV outbreaks across Europe, our results support a timely change towards local, active surveillance.

Comparing transmission potential networks based on social network surveys, close contacts and environmental overlap in rural Madagascar

Social and spatial network analysis is an important approach for investigating infectious disease transmission, especially for pathogens transmitted directly between individuals or via environmental reservoirs. Given the diversity of ways to construct networks, however, it remains unclear how well networks constructed from different data types effectively capture transmission potential. We used empirical networks from a population in rural Madagascar to compare social network survey and spatial data-based networks of the same individuals. Close contact and environmental pathogen transmission pathways were modelled with the spatial data. We found that naming social partners during the surveys predicted higher close-contact rates and the proportion of environmental overlap on the spatial data-based networks. The spatial networks captured many strong and weak connections that were missed using social network surveys alone. Across networks, we found weak correlations among centrality measures (a proxy for superspreading potential). We conclude that social network surveys provide important scaffolding for understanding disease transmission pathways but miss contact-specific heterogeneities revealed by spatial data. Our analyses also highlight that the superspreading potential of individuals may vary across transmission modes. We provide detailed methods to construct networks for close-contact transmission pathogens when not all individuals simultaneously wear GPS trackers.

SARS-CoV-2 transmission potential and rural-urban disease burden disparities across Alabama, Louisiana, and Mississippi, March 2020 — May 2021

Purpose: To quantify and compare SARS-CoV-2 transmission potential across Alabama, Louisiana, and Mississippi and selected counties with populations in the 50th, 75th, and 100th percentile. Methods: To determine the time-varying reproduction number Rt of SARS-CoV-2, we applied the R package EpiEstim to the time series of daily incidence of confirmed cases. Median Rt percentage change when policies changed was determined. Linear regression was performed between log10-transformed cumulative incidence and log10-transformed population size at four time points. Results: Stay-at-home orders, face mask mandates, and vaccinations were associated with the most significant reductions in SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the three southern states. Rt across the three states decreased significantly by 20% following stay-at-home orders. We observed varying degrees of reductions in Rt across states following other policies. Rural Alabama counties experienced higher per capita cumulative cases relative to urban ones as of June 17 and October 17, 2020. Meanwhile, Louisiana and Mississippi saw the disproportionate impact of SARS-CoV-2 in rural counties compared to urban ones throughout the study period. Conclusion: State and county policies had an impact on local pandemic trajectories. The rural-urban disparities in case burden call for evidence-based approaches in tailoring health promotion interventions and vaccination campaigns to rural residents.

Detection and Genetic Characterization of Seoul Virus in Liver Tissue Samples From Rattus norvegicus and Rattus tanezumi in Urban Areas of Southern China

Rodents are important hosts of hantaviruses, and lungs and kidneys are known to be the preferred organs of these viruses. Recently, hantaviruses were detected in liver samples from wild rodents in Hungary and the United States, and feeder rats in the Netherlands. However, few studies have detected hantaviruses in the liver of rats from China. In this study, hantaviruses were investigated in liver samples from R. norvegicus and R. tanezumi trapped in urban areas of southern China. A total of 461 R. norvegicus and 64 R. tanezumi were trapped. Using a pan-hantavirus PCR method, hantaviruses were detected in liver, lung, and serum samples from these animals. About 7.43% of liver samples were positive for Seoul virus (SEOV). The detection rate of SEOV in liver samples from R. norvegicus (8.24%) was higher than that from R. tanezumi (1.56%), suggesting the predominant role of R. norvegicus in the transmission of SEOV in urban areas of China. Three R. norvegicus had SEOV RNA in their liver samples but not in their lung samples, suggesting that the liver might be one of the targeted organs of SEOV. The first full SEOV protein-coding sequences (CDS) of the S and M segments, and partial CDS of the L segment from R. tanezumi were amplified. Several full and partial CDS of the S, M, and L segments from R. norvegicus were also obtained. The SEOV sequences obtained from different animals were highly similar, suggesting the cross-species transmission potential of SEOV between R. norvegicus and R. tanezumi.

Standardization of SYBR Green-Based Real-Time PCR Through the Evaluation of Different Thresholds for Different Skin Layers: An Accuracy Study and Track of the Transmission Potential of Multibacillary and Paucibacillary Leprosy Patients

The development of new molecular techniques is essential for the early diagnosis of leprosy. Studies in the field have failed to elucidate the performance of these tests in clinical practice. We aimed to design a new primer pair for the repetitive element (RLEP) target of Mycobacterium leprae and to test the accuracy of SYBR green-based real-time PCR through the evaluation of different thresholds for different skin layers. We also aimed to track the transmission potential of multibacillary and paucibacillary leprosy patients. The in vitro validation of our reaction resulted in a quantification limit of 0.03 bacilli. We then conducted a cross-sectional/cohort-based study of diagnostic accuracy. Patients were included, and skin samples were divided into four layers: epidermis, superior dermis, inferior dermis, and hypodermis. We also quantified M. leprae in nasal swabs of the included patients and compared the results to the number of household contacts also diagnosed with leprosy. One hundred patients with a clinical presentation compatible with leprosy were allocated to the leprosy or control group. Although the parasite load was greater in the superior and inferior dermis, M. leprae DNA was found in all skin layers. The best sensitivity was observed for the superior dermis using the presence of any quantifiable bacillus DNA as the threshold [sensitivity=59.26% (95% CI=45.97–71.32)]. In the epidermis, setting 1 quantifiable bacillus as the threshold resulted in 100% specificity (95% CI=92.29–100). The number of bacilli found in nasal swabs was not significantly related to the number of household contacts also diagnosed with leprosy. Paucibacillary patients tested positive only for bacillus fragments in nasal swabs but not for the entire bacilli. We can conclude that superficial biopsies might result in sensitivity loss, although different skin sample types will have little influence on the final accuracy. In contrast, threshold changes greatly influence these properties. Paucibacillary patients may not be a relevant source of disease transmission.

Genomic epidemiology and longitudinal sampling of ward wastewater environments and patients reveals complexity of the transmission dynamics of blaKPC-carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales in a hospital setting

Background Healthcare-associated wastewater reservoirs and asymptomatic gastrointestinal patient colonisation by carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales (CPE) can be important in nosocomial CPE dissemination and infection. We characterised these niches and within-niche diversity in a blaKPC-associated CPE (KPC-E) endemic healthcare setting, to better understand transmission potential. Methods We systematically sampled wastewater sites and patients across three units (six wards) over 6-12 months in 2016 in a KPC-E endemic hospital. We used Illumina sequencing to characterise up to five isolates per sample. Recombination-adjusted phylogenies were used to define genetically related strains; assembly and mapping-based typing approaches were used to characterise antimicrobial resistance gene and insertion sequence profiles, and Tn4401 types/target site sequences. The wider accessory genome was evaluated in a subset of the largest clusters, and those crossing niches. Findings Wastewater site KPC-E-positivity was substantial (101/349 sites [28.9%] positive, 319/4,488 [7.1%] sampling events positive); 183/4,425 (4.1%) of patients were CPE culture-positive over the same timeframe. 13 species and 109 KPC-E strains were observed across niches, and 24% of wastewater and 26% of patient KPC-E-positive samples harboured ≥1 strain. Most diversity was explained by the individual niche, suggesting highly localised factors are important in selection and spread. Tn4401+target site sequence (TSS) diversity was greater in wastewater sites (p<0.001), suggesting these might favour Tn4401-associated transposition/evolution and dissemination. Shower/bath and sluice/mop-associated sites were more likely to be KPC-E-positive (Adjusted Odds Ratio [95% CI]: 2.69 [1.44-5.01], p=0.0019 and 2.60 [1.04-6.52], p=0.0410, respectively). Different strains had different transmission and blaKPC dissemination dynamics. Interpretation There may be substantial KPC-E colonisation of wastewater sites and patients in KPC-E-endemic healthcare settings. Niche-specific factors, and different strains with different transmission dynamics influence carbapenemase gene dissemination. New transmission models incorporating complex, multi-level dynamics are needed to better quantify CPE dissemination to inform interventions and reduce transmission. Funding This study was supported by the National Institute for Health Research, UK.

Deciphering early-warning signals of SARS-CoV-2 elimination and resurgence from limited data at multiple scales

Inferring the transmission potential of an infectious disease during low-incidence periods following epidemic waves is crucial for preparedness. In such periods, scarce data may hinder existing inference methods, blurring early-warning signals essential for discriminating between the likelihoods of resurgence versus elimination. Advanced insight into whether elevating caseloads (requiring swift community-wide interventions) or local elimination (allowing controls to be relaxed or refocussed on case-importation) might occur can separate decisive from ineffective policy. By generalizing and fusing recent approaches, we propose a novel early-warning framework that maximizes the information extracted from low-incidence data to robustly infer the chances of sustained local transmission or elimination in real time, at any scale of investigation (assuming sufficiently good surveillance). Applying this framework, we decipher hidden disease-transmission signals in prolonged low-incidence COVID-19 data from New Zealand, Hong Kong and Victoria, Australia. We uncover how timely interventions associate with averting resurgent waves, support official elimination declarations and evidence the effectiveness of the rapid, adaptive COVID-19 responses employed in these regions.

Transmission potential of vaccinated and unvaccinated persons infected with the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in a federal prison, July-August 2021

Background The extent to which vaccinated persons who become infected with SARS-CoV-2 contribute to transmission is unclear. During a SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant outbreak among incarcerated persons with high vaccination rates in a federal prison, we assessed markers of viral shedding in vaccinated and unvaccinated persons. Methods Consenting incarcerated persons with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection provided mid-turbinate nasal specimens daily for 10 consecutive days and reported symptom data via questionnaire. Real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR), viral whole genome sequencing, and viral culture was performed on these nasal specimens. Duration of RT-PCR positivity and viral culture positivity was assessed using survival analysis. Results A total of 978 specimens were provided by 95 participants, of whom 78 (82%) were fully vaccinated and 17 (18%) were not fully vaccinated. No significant differences were detected in duration of RT-PCR positivity among fully vaccinated participants (median: 13 days) versus those not fully vaccinated (median: 13 days; p=0.50), or in duration of culture positivity (medians: 5 days and 5 days; p=0.29). Among fully vaccinated participants, overall duration of culture positivity was shorter among Moderna vaccine recipients versus Pfizer (p=0.048) or Janssen (p=0.003) vaccine recipients. Conclusions As this field continues to develop, clinicians and public health practitioners should consider vaccinated persons who become infected with SARS-CoV-2 to be no less infectious than unvaccinated persons. These findings are critically important, especially in congregate settings where viral transmission can lead to large outbreaks.

Postvaccination SARS-COV-2 among Health Care Workers in New Jersey: A Genomic Epidemiological Study

A number of highly effective vaccines have been developed and deployed to combat the COVID-19 pandemic. The emergence and epidemiological dominance of SARS-CoV-2 mutants with high transmission potential and immune evasion properties, the so-called variants of concern (VOC), continue to be a major concern.