Clinical Predictors of Early Trial Discontinuation for Patients Participating in Phase I Clinical Trials in Oncology

Despite stringent eligibility criteria for trial participation, early discontinuation often occurs in phase I trials. To better identify patients unlikely to benefit from phase I trials, we investigated predictors for early trial discontinuation. Data from 415 patients with solid tumors who participated in 66 trials were pooled for the current analysis. Early trial discontinuation was defined as (i) trial discontinuation within 28 days after start of treatment or (ii) discontinuation before administration of the first dosage in eligible patients. Multilevel logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify predictors for early trial discontinuation. Eighty-two participants (20%) demonstrated early trial discontinuation. Baseline sodium level below the lower limit of normal (OR = 2.95, 95%CI = 1.27–6.84), elevated alkaline phosphatase level >2.5 times the upper limit of normal (OR = 2.72, 95%CI = 1.49–4.99), performance score ≥ 1 (OR = 2.07, 95%CI = 1.03–4.19) and opioid use (OR = 1.82, 95%CI = 1.07–3.08) were independent predictors for early trial discontinuation. Almost 50% of the patients with hyponatremia and all four patients in whom all four predictors were present together discontinued the trial early. Hyponatremia, elevated alkaline phosphatase level, performance score ≥1 and opioid use were identified as significant predictors for early trial discontinuation. Hyponatremia was the strongest predictor and deserves consideration for inclusion in eligibility criteria for future trials.

Smartphone measurements of physical activity and fitness are associated with early trial discontinuation of patients in (hemato)oncology phase I/II clinical trials

Background Patients, who discontinue early, do not benefit from phase I/II clinical trials (early-phase clinical trials (EPCT)). In this study, associations between objective smartphone measurements of physical activity and fitness and early trial discontinuation in patients with cancer participating in EPCT were investigated. Methods Before start of treatment, physical activity (steps/day) and physical fitness (meters walked in 6 min) were measured with a smartphone, and patient-reported physical function (PRO-PF) was assessed (EORTC QLQ-C30-PF). Early trial discontinuation was defined as discontinuation ≤ 28 days. Univariable logistic regression analyses were performed to study associations of physical activity, fitness, and function with early trial discontinuation. Optimal cutoff values of physical activity and fitness were assessed with ROCs, based on positive predictive values (PPV). Results Median (interquartile range (IQR)) step count was 4263 (2548–6897) steps/day, mean ± standard deviation 6-min walking distance was 477 ± 120 m and median (IQR) PRO-PF score was 83 (67–95) points. Fourteen patients (12%) discontinued the trial early. Smartphone measurements of physical activity in units of 100 steps per day (odds ratio (OR) = 0.96, 95% CI = 0.94–0.99, p = 0.01), physical fitness (OR = 0.99, 95% CI = 0.98–0.99, p < 0.01), and PRO-PF (OR = 0.97, 95% CI = 0.94–1.00, p = 0.03) were associated with early trial discontinuation. Optimal cutoff values were < 900 steps for physical activity and < 285 m for physical fitness. PPV for early trial discontinuation was 100% in patients who walked both < 1500 steps per day and < 300 m in 6 min. Conclusions Objective smartphone measurements of physical activity and fitness are associated with early trial discontinuation. However, cutoff values should be externally validated in a larger cohort before implementation in clinical practice.

Trial Preparation after the Preliminary Inquiry

The legal team continues to prepare its defense. American attorney Carroll Brewster, hired by the Kinseys, consults with medical experts in America, including a prominent neurological surgeon at the Yale Medical School, who advises on the impact of the drugs Peppy was taking. The medical evidence becomes the primary focus, while psychiatric issues and insurance on Peppy’s life—with Bill as beneficiary—also are examined. Peace Corps officials in Washington become very concerned about press coverage of the case. Bill’s Tanzanian attorney presses the court for an early trial date, with little success. Bill remains in jail, and his parents wonder if they should travel to Tanzania to support him. Efforts are made to bring Peppy’s mother to Mwanza to appear as a defense witness.