effect of monetary policy
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2021 ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
Tzu-Yi Yang ◽  
Phan Van Hung ◽  
Chia-Jui Chang ◽  
Nguyen Phuc Nguyen

This paper estimates the smooth transition autoregressive model with exogenous variables to evaluate the effects of stock market returns on the exchange-traded funds’ (ETFs) returns in China with reserve requirement ratio (RRR) from monetary policy as a transition variable. The sample used in this study lasts from March 4, 2005 to June 30, 2017. The empirical result points out that there is the effect of RRR value on the relationship between stock market returns and ETF return. Moreover, these effects are variable depending on the conversion and its changes over time in different variations of threshold intervals. Lastly, the larger the change of China’s stock market variables’ lag period, the smaller the impacts on Chinese ETF return.


2021 ◽  
Vol 80 (4) ◽  
pp. 31-49
Author(s):  
Andrei Shevelev ◽  
◽  
Maria Kvaktun ◽  
Kristina Virovets ◽  
◽  
...  

This paper assesses the effect of monetary policy on investment in Russian regions. In the first stage of the research, we estimate the responses of regional investment to interbank market rate shocks using structural vector autoregressions. In the second stage, we estimate regression models using impulse responses as dependent variables and explanatory factors as independent variables. The regression calculations are performed using the Elastic Net regularisation technique. We find that regions with higher shares of manufacturing, agriculture and construction are more responsive to monetary policy shocks. In addition, we identified the high importance of these sectors in explaining the different effects of monetary policy on investment. The results also show that the larger is the share of the mining and quarrying sector in the gross regional product (GRP) and the greater the imports to GRP ratio, the smaller is the absolute change in investment from a monetary policy shock.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 2364-2379
Author(s):  
Kelechi Johnmary Ani ◽  
Chigozie Onu

The study investigated the effect of monetary policy on economic growth during post structural adjustment programmer in Nigeria. It used the expo-facto design. Secondary data for the period of 1985-2015 were utilized. The data were extracted from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletin and the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). The linear regression with the application of Ordinary least Squares (OLS) technique was employed to estimate the parameters of the model numerically. Finding revealed that broad money supply had a positive and significant effect on economic growth in Nigeria during post structural adjustment programmer from 1986-2015. Interest rate had a negative and significant effect on economic growth in Nigeria during the same period and inflation rate had a positive and insignificant effect on economic growth in Nigeria at the same time. The study recommended that Central Bank of Nigeria should facilitate the emergence of market based interest rate that would attract both domestic and foreign investments, as well as create jobs, and promote non-oil export, while reviving industries that are currently operational, far below installed capacity. In order to strengthen the financial sector, the Central Bank has to encourage the introduction of more financial instruments that are flexible enough to meet the risk preferences and sophistication of operators in the financial sector.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (No. 1) ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
Jamilu S. Babangida ◽  
Asad-Ul I. Khan

This paper examines the nonlinear effect of monetary policy decisions on the performance of the Nigerian Stock Exchange market, by employing the Smooth Transition Autoregressive (STAR) model on monthly data from 2013 M4 to 2019 M12 for All Share Index and monetary policy instrument. This study considers the two regimes characterizing the stock market, which are the lower regime (the bear market) and the upper regime (the bull market). The results show evidence of nonlinear effect of monetary policy on the stock exchange market. Monetary policy rate, money supply, lagged monetary policy rate and lagged treasury bill rate are found to have significant positive effects on the stock exchange market in the lower regime while current treasury bill rate shows a negative effect. In the upper regime, money supply and lagged treasury bill rate have significant negative effect on the stock market. The current treasury bill rate is found to have a positive effect on the stock exchange market. It is recommended that the Central Bank of Nigeria should maintain a stable money supply growth that is consistent with increased activities in the Nigerian stock market.


2021 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 95-112
Author(s):  
Vivien Czeczeli

The issue of inequalities has become increasingly important in recent decades. Although distributional effects, such as  inequalities, are commonly associated with globalisation  and fiscal policy processes, many of the side effects of the  exceptionally loose monetary policy of the last decade also  affect the issue. After identifying the mechanisms and  channels linking the field of monetary policy and inequality,  the research focuses on empirical analyses. The  research is based on a panel ARDL test focusing on the 19  Euro area countries and Denmark, Sweden and Switzerland,  where negative nominal interest rates have  been applied. The research includes the period of 2008–2018. The aim of the paper is to assess how certain  monetary policy indicators affect inequality. The main  conclusion is consistent with the existing literature: the  effect of monetary policy to inequalities is modest, however  not negligible. The effect of inflation seems to be  weak; however, the rise in unemployment rate and long  term interest rates negatively affect inequalities. The  positive effects of the rising GDP per capita are also proven  by the analysis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 74-107
Author(s):  
Silvia Miranda-Agrippino ◽  
Giovanni Ricco

Commonly used instruments for the identification of monetary policy disturbances are likely to combine the true policy shock with information about the state of the economy due to the information disclosed through the policy action. We show that this signaling effect of monetary policy can give rise to the empirical puzzles reported in the literature, and propose a new high-frequency instrument for monetary policy shocks that accounts for informational rigidities. We find that a monetary tightening is unequivocally contractionary, with deterioration of domestic demand, labor and credit market conditions as well as of asset prices and agents’ expectations. (JEL D82, D84, E32, E43, E52, E58, G12)


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 25-27
Author(s):  
Feng Liang

After the 19th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, the introduction of the economic theory has promoted the integration of the global socialist market economy. Thereafter, this integration of the domestic and international market has been preliminarily completed, the role of the factor market in resource allocation has been improved, and a sturdy environment has been established for the development of Chinese enterprises. With the effective implementation of a series of policies after the financial system reform, the roles of the financial market in regulating macro-economy and revitalizing the market have become increasingly prominent. In regard to that, it has effectively promoted the financial market as a trade to “enrich people.” This paper analyzes the relationship between monetary policy and stock market liquidity in terms of the influence of the former on the latter and suggests strategies to enhance the liquidity effect of monetary policy.


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