Assessment of the Impact of Climate Extremes on the Groundwater of Eastern Croatia

This paper analyzes the groundwater in the deep Quaternary aquifer of Eastern Croatia. These waters are collected at the Vinogradi Pumping Station (Osijek, Croatia) for the needs of public water supply. This research aimed to assess the impact of climate extremes, namely, high air temperatures and low rainfall, on the quantity and quality of groundwater. On the basis of data from the Vinogradi Pumping Station in the period 1987–2015, three extremely warm and low-water years were singled out. For these three years, the following were analyzed: climate diagrams, groundwater levels (in the piezometers closest to and farthest from the pumping station), and the quality of the affected groundwater. The results of this research indicate that the reaction of aquifers to the analyzed extreme climatic conditions for the observed period was manifested in the variation of the amplitude of groundwater levels by a maximum of 4–5 m. Considering the total thickness of the affected layers (60–80 m), this variation is not a concern from the point of view of water supply. As for the quality of groundwater, it was found to be of constant quality in its composition and was not affected by climatic extremes.

Impact of Extreme Climate on Orage Farming Surjan System in Botola

The determining factor for the success of agricultural cultivation in tidal swampland is water availability, which fluctuates throughout the plant's growth. The availability of water for oranges has a significant role in the final production of the product. In Indonesia, there are three types of rain patterns with variations in the growing season related to water availability: the rainy season between October and March and the dry season between April and September. Climate extremes such as drought (El-Niño) and wetness (La-Niña) fluctuate dynamically, impact shifts at the beginning and end of the growing season, and hurt citrus crop productivity. Therefore, an analysis of rice planting time in tidal swampland in Barito Kuala under extreme climatic events was carried out. The research was conducted in September – December 2020 with the survey method. The data was dug in-depth on the research respondents: citrus farmers, fruit traders, and related agencies. The number of samples was 90 people (45 male farmers and 45 female farmers). Two different villages were surveyed in each sub-district according to the type of tidal land, namely Marabahan sub-district (SP1 village and SP2 village), type A, Mandastana (Karang Indah village and Karang Bunga village) type B, and Cerbon sub-district. (Village of Simpang Nungki and Sungai Kambat) Type C. Planting time in tidal land begins after the amount of rainwater is sufficient to dissolve the iron content in the water. The probability of an El-Niño occurrence with an intensity of 1, 2, 3, and 4 years has the highest frequency of occurrence—respectively 3, 3, 5, and 3 times with probability around 16.7% to 27.8%. Meanwhile, La-Nia with an intensity of once a year with the highest frequency eight times with a 40.0% chance. La-Nia events coexist with El-Nio 15 times, and generally, El-Nio precedes La-Nia by about 44%. The cropping pattern in tidal swampland shows high resistance to climate change. Namely, the planting time has not changed much for decades under different climatic conditions.

The 2018 European heatwave led to stem dehydration but not to consistent growth reductions in forests

Heatwaves exert disproportionately strong and sometimes irreversible impacts on forest ecosystems. These impacts remain poorly understood at the tree and species level and across large spatial scales. Here, we investigate the effects of the record-breaking 2018 European heatwave on tree growth and tree water status using a collection of high-temporal resolution dendrometer data from 21 species across 53 sites. Relative to the two preceding years, annual stem growth was not consistently reduced by the 2018 heatwave but stems experienced twice the temporary shrinkage due to depletion of water reserves. Conifer species were less capable of rehydrating overnight than broadleaves across gradients of soil and atmospheric drought, suggesting less resilience toward transient stress. In particular, Norway spruce and Scots pine experienced extensive stem dehydration. Our high-resolution dendrometer network was suitable to disentangle the effects of a severe heatwave on tree growth and desiccation at large-spatial scales in situ, and provided insights on which species may be more vulnerable to climate extremes.

Evaluation of CMIP6 Climate Models for Climate Change Impact Assessments in Upper Awash Basin, Ethiopia

Identifying GCMs that represent the climate of a specific area is crucial for climate change studies. However, the uncertainties in GCMs caused by computational constraints, such as coarser resolution, physical parameterizations, initializations, and model structures, make it imperative to identify a representative individual or group of GCM for a climate impact study. An advanced envelope-based multi-criteria selection approach was used to identify a subset of the most appropriate future GCMs in the Upper Awash Basin. The skill accounting is based on (1) the range of projected mean changes of climate variables, (2) range of variability in climate extremes and, (3) model run performance to represent historical climate data. Statistical downscaling and bias correction were made for the selected model runs. The downscaled and bias-corrected monthly values for precipitation are expected to increase from 0.42% to 2.82% in mid-century and 0.15% to 3.79% by the end century considering the SSP4.5 scenario. For SSP8.5, it increases from 1.45% to 5.51% and 2.57% to 9.78% in the respective periods. Likewise, under the SSP4.5 forcing scenario, the monthly average air temperature projected to be warmer, which increased from 0.68°C to 1.55°C during mid-century and 0.09°C to 1.92°C end-of-century. Meanwhile, for SSP8.5, the projection indicates an increment of 0.19°C to 1.98°C under mid-century and 2.37°C to 7.00°C end-century. The projected change of future precipitation and temperature in the study basin increases the precipitation intensities, wet days and dry spells due to high-temperature increment.

Policy Framework for Myanmar Rice Production and In-Depth Study on Greenhouse Gas Emissions

This study assesses the interactive nature of rice and climate change in the context of Myanmar, one of the largest rice-producing countries. In the first section, special emphasis is given to the current situation of Myanmar’s rice production as affected by climate change alongside with possible adaptation strategies. Since only a small share (23.6 %) of the rice area is irrigated, low precipitation climate extremes directly translate into either drought problems due to limited access of water in case of drought or flood problems due to limited drainage. Moreover, more than half of the national rice production derives from the Ayaryewady delta, so that Myanmar’s food security is very susceptible to impacts triggered tropical cyclones such as “Nargis” in 2008. The scope of adaptation to climate change is elaborated at different levels ranging technical options for increasing resilience of the rice crop to policies that alleviate risks for farmers.

The Temporal Dynamics of Three Bacterial Endosymbionts, Wolbachia, Arsenophonus, And Rhizobiales, of the Invasive Yellow Crazy Ant (Anoplolepisgracilipes) in Taiwan are associated with Climate Extremes

The full text of this preprint has been withdrawn by the authors due to author disagreement with the posting of the preprint. Therefore, the authors do not wish this work to be cited as a reference. Questions should be directed to the corresponding author.

Variability and trends of climate extremes indices from the observed and downscaled GCMs data over 1950–2020 period in Chattogram City, Bangladesh

This study was intended to evaluate the variability and trends of climate extremes by incorporating daily data from Chattogram station and from the high-resolution Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) for two different time series. Here, we also focused on evaluating the performance of the selected RCMs (CanESM2, CSIRO, and GFDL from CORDEX) using Taylor diagrams and heat map analysis. Twenty-two extreme climate indices from ETCCDI were computed for 1950–1989 and 1990–2020 periods. Mann–Kendall and Sen's slope test were performed to estimate the trends from the indices from both station and RCMs data. Highly significant increasing trend for the warm days and warm nights’ frequencies were found, whereas, the frequency of cold days and cold nights indicated significantly decreasing trend. On the other hand, mild increasing trend in 1-day and 5-day maximum rainfall was detected. Also, the average annual precipitation has increased by 6% from the 1950–1989 to 1990–2020 period. During the last three decades, the region has experienced more heavier rainfall in the monsoon but increased water stress in the dry season. The two-fold effects of climate change on the local hydrology revealed by this study need to be addressed properly for the sustainable development of this region.