optimal cutoff point
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2022 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Szu-Yu Lin ◽  
Wen-Cheng Li ◽  
Ting-An Yang ◽  
Yi-Chuan Chen ◽  
Wei Yu ◽  
...  

BackgroundMetabolic syndrome (MetS) is regarded as a major risk factor for diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular disease (CVD). The optimal threshold of the homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) has been established for predicting MetS in diverse populations and for different ages. This study assessed the serum HOMA-IR level in a healthy Chinese population aged ≤45 years to determine its relationship with metabolic abnormalities.MethodsCross-sectional study data were collected from health checkup records of Chinese adults aged ≥18 years between 2013 and 2016 at Xiamen Chang Gung Hospital. Participants completed a standardized questionnaire, which was followed by a health examination and blood sample collection. Exclusion criteria were as follows: history of known CVDs; liver, kidney, or endocrine diseases or recent acute illness; hypertension; hyperlipidemia; and pregnancy or lactation.ResultsThe clinical and laboratory characteristics of 5954 men and 4185 women were analyzed. Significant differences were observed in all assessed variables (all P < 0.05). The optimal cutoff point of HOMA-IR for predicting MetS was 1.7 in men and 1.78 in women.ConclusionsWe aimed to determine the optimal cutoff point of HOMA-IR for predicting MetS in a healthy Chinese population aged ≤45 years. The findings of this study would provide an evidence-based threshold for evaluating metabolic syndromes and further implementing primary prevention programs, such as lifestyle changes in the target population.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Naguib ◽  
H. Kassab

Abstract Background Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is proved to be related to insulin resistance and type 2 diabetes, and it is also not rare in individuals without diabetes. The present study attempts to identify the metabolic risk factors of NAFLD among those individuals. Results ALT and HbA1c levels were independently associated with NAFLD development in individuals without diabetes. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis identified the optimal cutoff point of ALT (> 19 IU/ml) with AUC = 0.731, 95% CI 0.653–0.809. On the other hand, the optimal cutoff point of HbA1c was identified to be > 5.1% with AUC = 0.665, 95% CI 0.581–0.750. Conclusions Early identification of NAFLD among subjects without diabetes is crucial. In this study, ALT and HbA1c cutoff values had been identified, so we suggest that inclusion of both HbA1c and ALT levels may have significant implications for prediction of NAFLD among individuals without diabetes.


Author(s):  
Jian Zhang ◽  
Xiaoli Li ◽  
Jun Lin ◽  
Zhijia Liu ◽  
Ye Tian ◽  
...  

The optimal cutoff point for evaluating the prognosis of localized renal cell carcinoma (LRCC) remains unclear. This study aimed to verify the efficacy of tumor diameter in the 2010 American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM staging system and contribute to the modification of TNM staging on the prognosis of this disease. A total of 3748 patients with LRCC were enrolled and grouped according to the 2010 AJCC TNM staging system. COX analysis was used to stratify the prognosis. The optimal cutoff point of the tumor diameter in the T1 and T2 prognosis was explored. There were 3330 (88.9%) patients in stage T1 and 418 (11.1%) in stage T2. The cancer-specific mortality rate was 2.7% (100/3748). The mean follow-up was 49.8 months. A tumor diameter of 7 cm can determine the prognosis of patients at stages T1 and T2; however, 4.5 cm and 11 cm as the cutoff points for T1 and T2 sub-classification of patients with LRCC might show better recognition ability than 4 cm and 10 cm, respectively. The 2010 AJCC TNM stage can predict the prognosis of LRCC in stages T1 and T2. In addition, a tumor diameter of 4.5 cm and 11 cm might be the optimal cutoff points for the sub-classification of stages T1 and T2.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (14) ◽  
pp. e498101422377
Author(s):  
Natália Linhares Ponte Aragão ◽  
Arnaldo Aires Peixoto Júnior ◽  
Carlos Augusto Ramos Feijó ◽  
Marina Parente Albuquerque ◽  
Francisco Albano de Meneses

Objective: To identify the association between cumulative fluid balance in the first 72 hours of ICU stay and outcomes. Methodology: retrospective observational cohort with data analysis of adult patients hospitalized in an ICU of a tertiary teaching hospital. Results: a total of 86 patients who remained in the ICU for more than 72 hours were evaluated. The fluid balance in the first 72 hours was higher in the subgroup of patients who died in the ICU (5210.3 ± 2787.7 vs. 3017.4 ± 2847.2 mL, p = 0.004). The fluid balance in the first 72 hours was an independent factor directly associated with death in the ICU (OR: 1,000; p = 0.009). The area under the ROC curve was 0.7119 (95% CI: 0.58-0.84, p = 0.005). The optimal cutoff point for the fluid balance in the first 72 hours as a predictor of death in the ICU was + 3.900mL and the relative risk of death among those who presented a fluid balance higher than this value was 1.702 (95% CI: 1, 15-2.53, p = 0.009). Conclusion: an association was identified between the cumulative value in the fluid balance in the first 72 hours of ICU stay and the highest risk of death, which is an independent factor of the patient's severity at admission. 


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Najla A Al-Lawati ◽  
Helman Alfonso ◽  
Jawad Al-Lawati

Objective: To develop and validate a diabetic risk score model, as a non-invasive and selfadministered screening tool, to be used in the general Omani population. Methods: The World Health Survey (WHS) 2008 data from Oman (n=2,720) was used to develop the risk score model. Multivariable logistic regression with backward stepwise method was implemented to obtain risk factors regression coefficients for gender, age, educational attainment, marital status, place of residence, hypertension, body mass index, waist circumference, tobacco use, daily fruits and vegetables intake and weekly physical activity. The model coefficients were multiplied by a factor of five to allocate each variable category a risk score. The total score was calculated as the sum of these individual scores. The score was validated using another Omani cohort (Sur Survey 2006 dataset, n=1,355) Page 2 of 24 by calculating the area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and optimal score sensitivity and specificity were determined. Results: A robust diabetes risk score model was produced, which composed of eight variables (age, gender, education level, marital status, place of residence, hypertension, smoking status and body mass index) with an optimal cutoff point of ≥15 to classify persons with possible prevalent T2DM. At this cutoff point, the model had a sensitivity of 71.1%, specificity of 74.4% and AUC of 0.80 (95% CI) 0.7–0.82, when internally validated (in the WHS 2008 cohort). When the model was externally validated (using the Sur 2006 cohort), the optimal cutoff point for the score was ≥13, with a lower sensitivity (54%), higher specificity (79%) and an AUC of 0.74 (95% CI 0.70–0.78). In contrast, test of the old Omani, Kuwaiti, Saudi and Finnish diabetes risk scores, in both of our study populations, showed poor performance of these models among Omanis with poor sensitivity (29% to 63.5%) and reasonable specificity (70% to 80%). Conclusion: The developed diabetes risk score for screening prevalent T2DM, provides an easy-to-use self-administered tool to identify most individuals at risk of this condition in Oman. The score incorporates eight diabetes-associated risk factors that can also act as a tool to increase people’s awareness about the importance of diabetes-related risk factors and provide information for policy makers to establish a diabetes prevention programs.


CNS Oncology ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. CNS74
Author(s):  
Ngan Nguyen ◽  
Jordan Redfield ◽  
Matthew Ballo ◽  
Madison Michael ◽  
Jeffrey Sorenson ◽  
...  

Aim: To define the optimal cutoff point for determining methylation status of O6-methylguanine-DNA methyltransferase (MGMT) by pyrosequencing in glioblastoma. Patients & methods: A retrospective study of 109 glioblastoma patients was performed to determine the optimal cutoff point for MGMT methylation status. Results: Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis revealed 21% as the optimal cutoff (sensitivity: 68%; specificity: 59%) for MGMT methylation corresponding with the highest likelihood ratio of 1.66 and accuracy of 0.65. Methylation status (hazard ratio: 0.453; 95% CI: 0.279–0.735; p = 0.001) was associated with better overall survival. The crude model indicated linearity between methylation percent and survival rate; an increase of 10% of methylation resulted in a reduction of risk of death by 20% (p = 0.004). Conclusion: ROC analysis determined 21% as the optimal cutoff point for MGMT methylation status by pyrosequencing.


Author(s):  
Manchumad Manjavong ◽  
Panita Limpawattana ◽  
Kittisak Sawanyawisuth

<b><i>Introduction:</i></b> Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is defined as the symptomatic pre-dementia phase on the continuum of cognitive decline. Early recognition and application of potential interventions could prevent or delay the progression to dementia. The Rowland Universal Dementia Assessment Scale (RUDAS) shows good performance in the screening of dementia but has limited data regarding its diagnostic properties in the screening of MCI. The objectives of this study were to assess the psychometric properties of the Thai version of the RUDAS (RUDAS-Thai) in the screening of MCI, identify associated factors for the RUDAS performance, and determine the optimal cutoff point in detecting MCI. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> This was a cross-sectional study conducted from January 2020 to March 2021. Older patients at the outpatient clinic of an internal medicine department at a tertiary care hospital in Thailand were examined. Baseline data were collected, and the RUDAS-Thai was administered to each patient. Afterward, a geriatrician assessed each patient for MCI. <b><i>Results:</i></b> A total of 150 patients were included, of whom 42 cases (28%) had MCI. The overall performance of the test using an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.82 (95% confidence interval 0.75–0.89). At the optimal cutoff point of 25/30, the AUC was 0.76 with sensitivity and specificity of 76.2 and 75%, respectively. The educational level affected the test performance according to regression analysis. For patients with years of education ≤6 and &#x3e;6, the optimal cutoff points were 25/30 and 26/30, respectively. <b><i>Conclusion:</i></b> The RUDAS-Thai performed well in differentiating patients with MCI from normal cognition; however, it was affected by educational level. A score of 25/30 or lower for persons with ≤6 years of education or 26/30 or lower for persons with higher than 6 years of education is the optimal cutoff point for indication of developing MCI.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huolun Feng ◽  
Zejian Lyu ◽  
Weijun Liang ◽  
Guanfu Cai ◽  
Zhenru Deng ◽  
...  

Background: We aimed to investigate the association between optimal examined lymph node (ELNs) and overall survival to determine the optimal cutoff point. Methods: Cox models and locally weighted scatterplot smoothing were used to fit hazard ratios and explore an optimal cutoff point based on the Chow test. Results: Overall survival increased significantly with the corresponding increase in the number of ELNs after adjusting for covariates. In Chow's test, the optimal cutoff point for node-negative colon cancer was 15, which was validated in both cohorts after controlling for confounders (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database: hazard ratio: 0.701, p < 0.001; single-center: HR: 0.563, p = 0.031). Conclusions: We conservatively suggest that the optimal number of ELNs for prognostic stratification is 15 in node-negative colon cancer.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Seppo Juvela

OBJECTIVE Treatment indications in unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) are challenging because of the lack of prospective natural history studies without treatment selection and the decreasing incidence of aneurysm rupture. The purpose of this study was to test whether the population, hypertension, age, size of aneurysm, earlier aneurysm rupture, site of aneurysm (PHASES) score obtained from an individual-based meta-analysis could predict the long-term rupture risk of UIAs. METHODS The series included 142 patients of working age with UIAs diagnosed before 1979, when these were not treated but were followed up until the first rupture, death, or the last contact. PHASES scores were recorded for all patients by using the baseline variables and compared with the new treatment score obtained from a recent cohort, consisting of age, smoking status, and aneurysm size and location. RESULTS Of the 142 patients, 34 had an aneurysm rupture during a total follow-up of 3064 person-years. The median time between diagnosis and an aneurysm rupture was 10.6 years. The PHASES score at baseline was higher in those with an aneurysm rupture than in the others (5.3 ± 2.3 vs 4.2 ± 2.2, p = 0.012), and the difference relative to the new treatment score was 5.3 ± 2.4 versus 3.0 ± 2.2 (p < 0.001). The receiver operating characteristic curve of the PHASES score for predicting rupture showed a fair area under the curve (0.674, 95% CI 0.558–0.790) where the optimal cutoff point was obtained at ≥ 6 versus < 6 points for sensitivity (0.500) and specificity (0.811). The area under the curve of the new score was 0.755 (95% CI 0.657–0.853), with the optimal cutoff point at ≥ 5 versus < 5 points for sensitivity (0.607) and specificity (0.789). CONCLUSIONS The PHASES and the new scores predicted the long-term aneurysm rupture risk moderately well, with the latter, which also included smoking, being slightly better and easier in clinical practice. The findings suggest that treatment decisions about UIAs in patients of working age can be done with an improved cost-effectiveness.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhenyi Ge ◽  
Wenzhi Pan ◽  
Wei Li ◽  
Lai Wei ◽  
Dehong Kong ◽  
...  

Background: Grade 2+ residual mitral regurgitation (MR 2+) is associated with the recurrence of MR and a lower survival rate in interventional mitral valve (MV) edge-to-edge (EE) repair. We sought to determine the MV anatomic factors affecting residual MR 2+ during interventional EE repair with the ValveClamp system in patients with degenerative MR (DMR).Methods: In this multicenter study, 62 patients with significant (grade 3+ to 4+) DMR underwent ValveClamp implantation across eight centers from July 2018 to December 2019. Patient clinical, anatomical, and procedural characteristics were prospectively collected and retrospectively analyzed.Results: A single clamp was implanted in 59 patients, and two clamps were implanted in three patients. Residual MR 2+ was found in 14 patients (22.6%) immediately after the ValveClamp procedure. Patients with residual MR 2+ showed significantly larger preoperative tenting sizes and annular dimensions than the residual MR ≤1+ group. Multivariate analysis identified tenting volume as the major determinant of residual MR 2+ after ValveClamp procedures (odds ratio, 1.410 per 0.1-mL/m2 increase; 95% confidence interval, 1.167–1.705; P &lt; 0.001). Receiver operating characteristic curves identified a tenting volume index ≥0.82 mL/m2 as the optimal cutoff point to predict residual MR 2+ (area under curve, 0.84). Patients with a tenting volume index ≥0.82 mL/m2 were more likely to develop recurrent 3+ MR or undergo MV surgery during short-term follow-up (P &lt; 0.001).Conclusions: Preoperative assessment of the tenting volume index will help to predict intraoperative residual MR 2+ in patients with DMR receiving EE-based interventional repair. Improvements in the interventional strategy are warranted for sustained MR reduction in patients with DMR with unfavorable anatomy.


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