Comparative Effectiveness and Safety of Extended Anticoagulant Therapy Among Medicare Beneficiaries with Venous Thromboembolism

Introduction: Approximately 30% of patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE) experience a recurrence within 10 years of the initial event with their recurrence risk peaking during the first 6-12 months. Two large randomized clinical trials AMPLIFY-EXT and PADIS-PE reported that extended treatment with apixaban and warfarin beyond 6 months of initial treatment reduced recurrent VTE without increasing the rate of major bleeding compared to placebo, respectively. Little is known about real-world effectiveness and safety of extended oral anticoagulation beyond 6 months of initial treatment for Medicare beneficiaries with VTE, despite the fact that VTE disproportionately affects the elderly. We assessed the effectiveness and safety of extended use of apixaban and warfarin beyond 6 months of initial treatment for prevention of recurrent VTE and adverse major bleeding events among Medicare beneficiaries with newly diagnosed VTE. Methods: A retrospective cohort study using 2014-2018 Medicare data (5% samples in 2014-2016 and 15% samples of Medicare beneficiaries in 2017-2018) was conducted for patients aged ≥18 years with a diagnosis of deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism ascertained from inpatient claims. Patients were included if they initiated anticoagulants within 30 days of their first VTE diagnosis, completed 6 months of therapy defined as ≥83% proportion days covered with oral anticoagulants during the initial 6-month period, and received extended treatment with either apixaban or warfarin or no extended therapy. We compared the risks of recurrent VTE and major bleeding between apixaban, warfarin, and no treatment groups. To adjust for differences in baseline characteristics and clinical factors (e.g., HAS-BLED score, active cancer, and provoked VTE) between groups, we used the stabilized inverse probability treatment weighting (IPTW) method. Follow-up continued until the occurrence of the first event, switch to the comparator, disenrollment, death, or end of the study period. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards modeling with IPTW was used to obtain adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI). Results: The study cohort (mean age=74 ±12 years, 40% male, 76% White) consisted of 2,315 users of extended apixaban treatment (83% with 5 mg twice a day and 17% with 2.5 mg twice a day; mean duration=6.2 months), 2,757 users of extended warfarin treatment (mean duration=8.2 months), and 2,328 patients with no extended treatment following completion of an initial 6 months of anticoagulant treatment. The incidence rates of recurrent VTE were 0.42, 1.73, and 1.72 per 100 person-years, and those of major bleeding were 2.28, 3.62, and 1.43 per 100 person-years in the apixaban, warfarin, and no treatment groups, respectively (Table 1). Compared to no extended treatment, the use of apixaban was associated with an 80% decreased risk of recurrent VTE (aHR=0.19, 95%CI=0.06-0.55) without increasing the risk of major bleeding (aHR=1.19, 95%CI=0.65-2.19); the use of warfarin did not lower the risk of recurrent VTE (aHR=0.75, 95%CI=0.42-1.37) but increased the risk of major bleeding (aHR=1.92, 95%CI=1.13-3.25). Compared to the use of warfarin, the use of apixaban was associated with a decreased risk of recurrent VTE (aHR=0.26, 95% CI=0.09-0.76) and no difference in major bleeding risk (aHR=0.61, 95%CI=0.36-1.06). These findings remained consistent in subgroup (e.g., patients with provoked vs. unprovoked VTE, patients with active cancer vs. those without, and patients with chronic kidney diseases vs. those without) and sensitivity analyses (e.g., ≥92% proportion days covered with oral anticoagulants during the initial 6-month period). Conclusions: Compared to no extended therapy, extended anticoagulation with apixaban was associated with a reduced risk of recurrent VTE without increasing the risk of major bleeding, whereas warfarin did not lower risk of recurrent VTE but increased the risk of major bleeding among Medicare beneficiaries with VTE. In the head-to-head comparison, the use of apixaban was more effective than warfarin in preventing recurrent VTE, without increasing the risk of major bleeding events. Our findings suggest that apixaban is an effective and safer option for extended treatment of VTE when compared to warfarin or no treatment among Medicare beneficiaries with VTE. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures Park: BMS/Pfizer Alliance American Thrombosis Investigator Initiated Research Program: Research Funding. Kang: BMS/Pfizer Alliance American Thrombosis InvestigatorInitiated Research Program: Research Funding. Huang: BMS/Pfizer Alliance American Thrombosis Investigator Initiated Research Program: Research Funding. Lo-Ciganic: MERCK: Research Funding; BMS/Pfizer Alliance American Thrombosis Investigator Initiated Research Program: Research Funding. Dietrich: BMS/Pfizer Alliance American Thrombosis Investigator Initiated Research Program: Research Funding. Murphy: North American Thrombosis Foundation: Honoraria. DeRemer: BMS/Pfizer Alliance American Thrombosis Investigator Initiated Research Program: Research Funding; Portola Pharmaceuticals: Current equity holder in publicly-traded company; BMS advisory board attendee: Honoraria.

Adherence Trajectories of Extended Direct-Acting Oral Anticoagulants and Risk of Recurrent Venous Thromboembolism and Major Bleeding: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Introduction: The optimal duration of extended oral anticoagulant treatment for patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE) beyond the initial 3 to 6 months of the treatment remains undetermined. Group-based trajectory modeling (GBTM) is a data-driven method that can categorize patients with similar longitudinal adherence patterns over time into distinct subgroups. This study identified distinct patient subgroups with similar adherence trajectories of extended treatment of direct-acting oral anticoagulants (DOACs), and then examined the association between adherence trajectories and the risk of recurrent VTE and major bleeding among patients with VTE. Methods: We identified patients ≥18 years with a diagnosis of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) or pulmonary embolism (PE) from inpatient claims using 2013-2019 Truven Commercial and Medicare Supplemental database. Patients were included if they initiated anticoagulants within 30 days of their first VTE diagnosis, completed 6 months of therapy-defined as ≥83% proportion days covered (PDC) with oral anticoagulants during the initial 6-month treatment period, and had extended treatment with any DOACs or no extended therapy. Based on the monthly PDC as the DOAC adherence measure, we used GBTM to identify DOAC adherence trajectories during 6 months of the extended treatment. The final trajectory model was chosen by assessing the Bayesian information criteria, Nagin's criteria, and having at least 10% of patients in each trajectory group for improving clinical utility. We compared recurrent VTE and major bleeding among adherence trajectory subgroups. Patients were followed up from the initiation of the extended treatment until the occurrence of the study outcomes, discontinuation of DOACs, switching to warfarin, end of study period, or end of enrollment, whichever occurred first. Cox proportional hazard modeling with inverse probability treatment weighting (IPTW) was used to obtain hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). Results: The study cohort (mean age=58.7 years and 51.1% males) consisted of 10,960 patients with extended treatment of DOACs (4,294 apixaban, 6,409 rivaroxaban, 238 dabigatran, and 19 edoxaban users) with a mean treatment duration of 7.7 months and 5,133 patients with no extended treatment following completion of an initial 6 months of anticoagulant treatment. The final GBTM models identified four distinct adherence trajectories for extended therapy including (1) patients with consistent adherence (group 1, 40.7%), (2) patients with gradually declining adherence (group 2, 14.3%), (3) patients with rapidly declining adherence (group 3, 13.1%), and (4) patients with no extended treatment (reference group, 31.9%) (Figure 1). The incidence rates of recurrent VTE were 18.6, 46.9, 84.1, and 160.7 per 10,000 person-years, and those of major bleeding were 61.0, 125.1, 168.3, and 48.7 per 10,000 person-years in group 1, group 2, group 3, and the reference group, respectively. After IPTW, demographics and clinical characteristics (e.g., HAS-BLED bleeding risk score, provoked VTE) were comparable across the four trajectory groups with <0.1 of the standardized mean difference for each pairwise comparison. Compared to the reference group, group 1 (HR=0.09, 95% CI=0.05-0.17) and group 2 (HR=0.16, 95% CI=0.04-0.58) had decreased risk of recurrent VTE without increasing risk of major bleeding (HR=1.26, 95% CI=0.76-2.10 in group 1, HR=2.28, 95% CI=0.96-5.36 in group 2). There was no difference in the risk of recurrent VTE (HR=0.32, 95% CI=0.09-1.16) in group 3 but they had an increased risk of major bleeding (HR=2.69, 95% CI=1.00-7.23). The findings were consistent across different types of DOACs, suggesting a class effect of DOACs as extended therapy. Conclusions: We identified 4 distinct trajectories of DOAC adherence during the 6 months of extended therapy among patients who completed 6 months of initial treatment. Compared to no extended treatment, persistent use of DOACs during extended treatment was associated with a lower risk of recurrent VTE without increasing major bleeding risk, whereas a rapid decline in adherence was associated with an increased risk of major bleeding with no difference in the risk of recurrence. Our findings provide evidence on the benefits of continuing and being adherent to extended anticoagulant treatment in patients with VTE without increasing the risk of major bleeding. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures Kang: BMS/Pfizer Alliance American Thrombosis Investigator Initiated Research Program: Research Funding. Jones: BMS/Pfizer Alliance American Thrombosis Investigator Initiated Research Program: Research Funding. Lo-Ciganic: BMS/Pfizer Alliance American Thrombosis Investigator Initiated Research Program: Research Funding; MERCK: Research Funding. DeRemer: BMS advisory board attendee: Honoraria; Portola Pharmaceuticals: Current equity holder in publicly-traded company; BMS/Pfizer Alliance American Thrombosis Investigator Initiated Research Program: Research Funding. Dietrich: BMS/Pfizer Alliance American Thrombosis Investigator Initiated Research Program: Research Funding. Huang: BMS/Pfizer Alliance American Thrombosis Investigator Initiated Research Program: Research Funding. Murphy: North American Thrombosis Foundation: Honoraria. Park: BMS/Pfizer Alliance American Thrombosis Investigator Initiated Research Program: Research Funding.

Perancangan Animasi tentang Sosialisasi Kembali Bersekolah bagi Anak di Pasca Pandemi menggunakan Teknik Motion Graphic

AbstrakDampak yang dirasakan akibat pandemi Covid-19 berpengaruh tidak hanya pada kondisi ekonomi namun juga psikologis khususnya pada anak-anak. Hal tersebut terlihat pada perkembangan proses belajar anak pada saat kegiatan belajar mengajar melalui media daring, seperti kesulitan berkonsentrasi, gelisah, dan rasa khawatir yang berlebihan. Kebutuhan untuk memotivasi anak-anak dalam menyerap pelajaran kembali menjadi sebuah hal yang mendesak ketika mereka akan kembali bersekolah secara tatap muka pasca pandemi nanti. Namun, sebelum menempatkan anak-anak ke dalam kondisi tersebut, perlu adanya sebuah program yang membekali anak-anak sebelum kegiatan berbasis kurikulum dilaksanakan. Penelitian ini menggunakan pengumpulan data dari penelitian program intervensi kembali bersekolah oleh Jhoni Warmansyah dan menggunakan metode perancangan dengan model SMCR (Source, Message, Channel, Receiver) yang kemudian menghasilkan media video infografis berbentuk motion graphic berupa sosialisasi dengan konten pesan membekali anak dalam mematuhi protokol kesehatan ketika kembali bersekolah. Animasi ini memberikan edukasi terkait pengenalan emosi anak pada masa pandemi dan juga memberikan pembekalan berupa demonstrasi tentang pematuhan protokol kesehatan pada anak-anak di saat mereka kembali bersekolah nanti. Kata Kunci: anak, animasi, motion graphic, pandemi, sosialisasi AbstractThe impact perceived due to the Covid-19 pandemic affects economic conditions and also psychologically, especially on children. This indication can be seen in the development of children's learning processes during teaching and learning activities through online media. Children sometimes feel difficulty concentrating, anxiety, and excessive worry. The need to motivate children to absorb lessons again becomes an urgent matter when they return to school face to face after the pandemic. However, before placing children into this condition, it is necessary to have a program that equips children before implementing the activities. This study uses data collected from the back-to-school intervention program research by Jhoni Warmansyah along with the SMCR model that later can produce infographic video media in the form of motion graphics. This animation provides education regarding the introduction of children's emotions during the pandemic and further provides instruction in the form of demonstrations on compliance with health protocols for children when they return to school later. Keywords: child, animation, campaign, motion graphic, pandemic

Foreword

This special issue of the Bollettino della Società Geografica Italiana completes a research work funded in 2017 for a period of three years by the Ministry of Education, University and Research as part of the 2015 PRIN Program (Research projects of relevant national interest) entitled: Retail, Consumption and Cities: Practices, Planning and Governance for Urban Inclusion, Resilience and Sustainability.