scholarly journals Machine Learning Approaches in Stock Price Prediction: A Systematic Review

2022 ◽  
Vol 2161 (1) ◽  
pp. 012065
Author(s):  
Payal Soni ◽  
Yogya Tewari ◽  
Deepa Krishnan

Abstract Prediction of stock prices is one of the most researched topics and gathers interest from academia and the industry alike. With the emergence of Artificial Intelligence, various algorithms have been employed in order to predict the equity market movement. The combined application of statistics and machine learning algorithms have been designed either for predicting the opening price of the stock the very next day or understanding the long term market in the future. This paper explores the different techniques that are used in the prediction of share prices from traditional machine learning and deep learning methods to neural networks and graph-based approaches. It draws a detailed analysis of the techniques employed in predicting the stock prices as well as explores the challenges entailed along with the future scope of work in the domain.

Stock trading is a very crucial activity in the world of Finance and is a supporting structure for many companies. Predicting the future value of a stock is the main goal of stock price prediction project. In this paper, we have used machine learning algorithms to predict future stock prices of a company. Stock prediction by the stock brokers is mainly done using the time series or the technical and fundamental analysis but as these techniques are very unreliable and limited, we propose making use of intelligent techniques such as machine learning. Python is a programming language which can be used to implement machine learning algorithms with its numerous inbuilt libraries. We propose an approach that uses machine learning algorithms and will be trained on the historical stock data that is available and gain intelligence, later it uses the knowledge acquired for predicting the stock prices accurately. Random Forest Regression is one of the machine learning technique that is used for stock price prediction for small and large capitalizations also in different markets employing both up-to-minute and daily frequencies.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sidra Mehtab ◽  
Jaydip Sen

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. On one hand, we have proponents of the Efficient Market Hypothesis who claim that stock prices cannot be predicted, on the other hand, there are propositions illustrating that, if appropriately modelled, stock prices can be predicted with a high level of accuracy. There is also a gamut of literature on technical analysis of stock prices where the objective is to identify patterns in stock price movements and profit from it. In this work, we propose a hybrid approach for stock price prediction using machine learning and deep learning-based methods. We select the NIFTY 50 index values of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India, over a period of four years: 2015 – 2018. Based on the NIFTY data during 2015 – 2018, we build various predictive models using machine learning approaches, and then use those models to predict the “Close” value of NIFTY 50 for the year 2019, with a forecast horizon of one week, i.e., five days. For predicting the NIFTY index movement patterns, we use a number of classification methods, while for forecasting the actual “Close” values of NIFTY index, various regression models are built. We, then, augment our predictive power of the models by building a deep learning-based regression model using Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) with a walk-forward validation. The CNN model is fine-tuned for its parameters so that the validation loss stabilizes with increasing number of iterations, and the training and validation accuracies converge. We exploit the power of CNN in forecasting the future NIFTY index values using three approaches which differ in number of variables used in forecasting, number of sub-models used in the overall models and, size of the input data for training the models. Extensive results are presented on various metrics for all classification and regression models. The results clearly indicate that CNN-based multivariate forecasting model is the most effective and accurate in predicting the movement of NIFTY index values with a weekly forecast horizon.


Author(s):  
Prof. Gowrishankar B S

Stock market is one of the most complicated and sophisticated ways to do business. Small ownerships, brokerage corporations, banking sectors, all depend on this very body to make revenue and divide risks; a very complicated model. However, this paper proposes to use machine learning algorithms to predict the future stock price for exchange by using pre-existing algorithms to help make this unpredictable format of business a little more predictable. The use of machine learning which makes predictions based on the values of current stock market indices by training on their previous values. Machine learning itself employs different models to make prediction easier and authentic. The data has to be cleansed before it can be used for predictions. This paper focuses on categorizing various methods used for predictive analytics in different domains to date, their shortcomings.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaydip Sen ◽  
Sidra Mehtab ◽  
Abhishek Dutta

Prediction of stock prices has been an important area of research for a long time. While supporters of the <i>efficient market hypothesis</i> believe that it is impossible to predict stock prices accurately, there are formal propositions demonstrating that accurate modeling and designing of appropriate variables may lead to models using which stock prices and stock price movement patterns can be very accurately predicted. Researchers have also worked on technical analysis of stocks with a goal of identifying patterns in the stock price movements using advanced data mining techniques. In this work, we propose an approach of hybrid modeling for stock price prediction building different machine learning and deep learning-based models. For the purpose of our study, we have used NIFTY 50 index values of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India, during the period December 29, 2014 till July 31, 2020. We have built eight regression models using the training data that consisted of NIFTY 50 index records from December 29, 2014 till December 28, 2018. Using these regression models, we predicted the <i>open</i> values of NIFTY 50 for the period December 31, 2018 till July 31, 2020. We, then, augment the predictive power of our forecasting framework by building four deep learning-based regression models using long-and short-term memory (LSTM) networks with a novel approach of walk-forward validation. Using the grid-searching technique, the hyperparameters of the LSTM models are optimized so that it is ensured that validation losses stabilize with the increasing number of epochs, and the convergence of the validation accuracy is achieved. We exploit the power of LSTM regression models in forecasting the future NIFTY 50 <i>open</i> values using four different models that differ in their architecture and in the structure of their input data. Extensive results are presented on various metrics for all the regression models. The results clearly indicate that the LSTM-based univariate model that uses one-week prior data as input for predicting the next week's <i>open</i> value of the NIFTY 50 time series is the most accurate model.


Author(s):  
Sumit Kumar ◽  
Sanlap Acharya

The prediction of stock prices has always been a very challenging problem for investors. Using machine learning techniques to predict stock prices is also one of the favourite topics for academics working in this domain. This chapter discusses five supervised learning techniques and two unsupervised learning techniques to solve the problem of stock price prediction and has compared the performances of all the algorithms. Among the supervised learning techniques, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm performed better than the others whereas, among the unsupervised learning techniques, Restricted Boltzmann Machine (RBM) performed better. RBM is found to be performing even better than LSTM.


Author(s):  
Warade Kalyani Gopal ◽  
Jawale Mamta Pandurang ◽  
Tayade Pratiksha Devaram ◽  
Dr. Dinesh D. Patil

In Stock Market Prediction, the aim is to predict for future value of the financial stocks of a company. The recent trend in stock market prediction technologies is the use of machine learning which makes predictions based on the values of current stock market by training on their previous values. Machine learning itself employs different models to make prediction easier. The paper focuses on Regression and LSTM based Machine learning to predict stock values. Factors considered are open, close, low, high and volume. In order to predict market movement, the stock prices and stock indicators in addition to the news related to these stocks. Most of the previous work in this industry focused on either classifying the released market news and demonstrating their effect on the stock price or focused on the historical price movement and predicted their future movement. In this work, we propose an automated trading system that integrates mathematical functions, machine learning, and other external factors such as news’ sentiments for the purpose of a better stock prediction accuracy and issuing profitable trades. The aim to determine the price of a certain stock for the coming end-of-day considering the first several trading hours of the day.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 2847-2850

Stock market analysis is a common economic activity that has been an attractive topic to research and used in different forms of day-to-day life in order to predict the stock prices. Techniques like major analysis, Statistical investigation, Time arrangement analysis and so on are reliably worthy forecast device. In this paper, Data mining, Machine learning (ML) and Sentiment analysis are techniques used for analyzing public emotions in order predict the future stock prices. The goal of a project is to review totally different techniques to predict stock worth movement victimization the sentiment analysis from social media, data processing. Sentiment classifiers are designed for social media text like product reviews, blog posts, and email corpus messages. In the company’s communication network, information mining calculation is utilized as to mine email correspondence records and verifiable stock costs. Implementing various Machine learning and Classification models such as Deep Neural network, Random forests, Support Vector Machine, the company can successfully implemented a company-specific model capable of predicting stock price movement with efficient accuracy


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 769-788
Author(s):  
Shan Zhong ◽  
David Hitchcock

We summarized both common and novel predictive models used for stock price prediction and combined them with technical indices, fundamental characteristics and text-based sentiment data to predict S&P stock prices. A 66.18% accuracy in S&P 500 index directional prediction and 62.09% accuracy in individual stock directional prediction was achieved by combining different machine learning models such as Random Forest and LSTM together into state-of-the-art ensemble models. The data we use contains weekly historical prices, finance reports, and text information from news items associated with 518 different common stocks issued by current and former S&P 500 large-cap companies, from January 1, 2000 to December 31, 2019. Our study's innovation includes utilizing deep language models to categorize and infer financial news item sentiment; fusing different models containing different combinations of variables and stocks to jointly make predictions; and overcoming the insufficient data problem for machine learning models in time series by using data across different stocks.


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