scholarly journals Modeling and Forecasting of Agricultural Commodity Production under Changing Climatic Condition: A Review

Author(s):  
Rahul Banerjee ◽  
Pankaj Das ◽  
Bharti . ◽  
Tauqueer Ahmad ◽  
Manish Kumar

India is a country with an agrarian economy in which majority of its population rely on agriculture directly as their source of livelihoof. Climate has a very significant role in agricultural production. It predominantly influences growth of the crop, development of the crop and eventually crop yield. Climate also significantly influences the outbreak of disease and pest; it affects the requirement of water by the crop. Possible changes in weather factors, like precipitation, temperature and CO2 concentration are expected to have a significant impact on crop growth. If farmers are able to predict the weather activities and are aware of the effect of these activities on crop production, then it will be beneficial to them as a feasible plan can be devised synchronizing the crop production activities as per changes in the climatic conditions. In view of tackling the aforementioned problem, this article describes various statistical techniques that can play a crucial role in forecasting production of agricultural commodities changing climatic conditions.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Binny Sharma ◽  
Asha Kumari

The increasing world population over few decades has led to increase in demand of food grains or agricultural commodities, thus possessing great impact on food security. Conventional farming approaches has been traditionally practiced but a lot of effort is required to make to enhance agricultural production. With changing climatic conditions plants are vulnerable to several stress factors. In order to combat such conditions, the agricultural systems are needed to be contemporary with advance and recent technologies. Crops after harvest are liable to a lot of changes which ultimately affect quality and quantity of produce, thus reducing economic value. Postharvest losses are decisive factors in reducing loss of produce and agricultural commodities. Thus in order to achieve maximum production, it is therefore essential to reduce postharvest losses and ensures proper management of postharvest products. Postharvest physiology is the science which deals with quantitative and qualitative study of physiology of agricultural products after harvesting. Biotechnological and transgenic approaches are the recent and emerging technologies that possess great impact on agricultural production. Transgenic technology like genome editing, CRISPR/Cas9, TILLING are successfully used in various species to enhance production, possess resistance to abiotic and biotic stresses, enhance shelf life and improve nutritional quality. Transgenic crops or Genetically modified crops (GMO) like tomato, brinjal, soybean, cassava etc are cultivated globally. These techniques therefore are promising means in establishing food security, increasing crop production, reducing postharvest losses, production of secondary metabolites, hormones and plantibodies.


1998 ◽  
Vol 30 (3) ◽  
pp. 401-413 ◽  
Author(s):  
R A Jussaume

Increasingly, globalization is being used to conceptualize ongoing transformations in agrofood production systems. One focus is to understand how globalization expresses itself at the local level. In this paper I contribute to the examination of this issue by analyzing how Japan's agrarian sector is being altered as a consequence of increased activity on the part of transnational corporations. By doing so, I address the question of whether Japan's national agricultural production system is being globalized, despite its comparatively unique agrarian history and Japan's role in the global agrofood trading system as a major food importing, rather than an exporting, nation. The evidence presented demonstrates that transnational firms are beginning to expand their presence in Japanese agricultural commodity production. As these are transnational firms, and as the result of this process is to force Japanese agriculture to compete against foreign agricultures for its ‘home’ market, it is argued that this process indicates that Japanese agriculture is being globalized, although in a manner that does reflect an adaptation to local conditions.


Author(s):  
E. A. Bazovkina

The agro-industrial complex of the Belgorod region is the basis for the development of the region. The location of crop production depends on soil and climatic conditions. The article assesses the location of crop production in the Belgorod region in three natural and climatic zones. Recommendations for prospective placement based on the analysis of production efficiency have been developed.


Author(s):  
Nadiia Pysarenko ◽  
Elena Ablova ◽  
Alexander Dudko ◽  
Victor Malyarevsky ◽  
Miroslav Kosyak

Agricultural production is an important and at the same time the most risky type of economic activity. Its reproductive process is associated with natural and climatic, biological and financial factors, the action of which in many cases is difficult to forgive and control. Crop production is particularly affected by cumulative natural risks. One of the ways to minimize agricultural risks is to use crop insurance as an important means of ensuring the riskiness of agricultural production from probable natural and weather factors. The pricing mechanism for crop insurance services is substantiated, based on the improvement of the insurer’s tariff policy when conducting crop insurance, which is implemented through a system of actuarial calculations and taking into account the peculiarities of insurance in the process of crop production. The possibility for insurance companies to carry out high-quality selection of agricultural risks, stimulating agricultural producers to insure, is analyzed. Actuarial balance has been studied as a necessary condition for improving the tariff policy of crop insurance, which should be based on such principles as: equivalence of insurance relations; admissibility; stability of insurance rates over a long period of time and expansion of insurance liability. The calculation of insurance rates has been improved by taking into account the availability of prices for insurance services, depending on the number of possible risks transferred to insurance and the amount of financial resources accumulated by the insurer, which should be sufficient to reimburse crops under crop insurance contracts. Actuarial balance is identified as a necessary condition for improving the tariff policy of crop insurance. The principles of insurance tariff policy to improve the calculation of insurance rates and the application of actuarial models in the field of crop insurance. Key words: tariff policy, insurance tariff, actuary, actuarial mathematics, actuarial model of agricultural insurance.


Author(s):  
Hanna Holovanova

Introduction. The importance of specialization research is due to its role in the economic growth of the country, as it contributes to the resources concentration on the production of competitive products, the provision of scientific and techno-logical development and increase the efficiency of agricultural enterprises. The purpose of the study is to develop mechanisms for managing commodity specialization of agricultural enter-prises. Results. The unique features of agriculture in the general structure of the national economy are identified. The deci-sive role of land resources has been determined. The influence levels on the management of commodity specialization of agri-cultural enterprises are broadened: nationwide, regional and local, for which the means of influence are allocated. The rea-sons for the imbalance in the structure of agricultural production are considered. The groups of factors that influence the resources reproduction as factors of agricultural production are distinguished: socio-political, socio-economic, priorities of state agrarian policy, using level of agricultural land and other resources, natural and climatic conditions, seasonality of production, energy and resource intensity, innovative technologies implementation. The structure of Ukrainian agriculture on 3 levels in terms of crop, livestock and hunting is offered. The necessity factors of systematic influence on commodity specialization management of agrarian enterprises are determined. The determinants of commodity specialization of agricul-tural enterprises are presented. Conclusions. The architecture of the organizational and economic mechanism for managing the commodity speciali-zation of agricultural enterprises is provided, which includes the internal environment of the enterprise, the direct mecha-nism, options for development, the conditions influence of the external environment functioning and the factors of influence on the specialization of the agricultural enterprise. The concept takes into account tendencies of economic potential for-mation, internal infrastructure of the enterprise, basic architectural decisions and standards, management model and re-quirements to management processes, and also defines principles of transition from the existing state of the enterprise to the target one. Keywords: commodity specialization, agricultural enterprises, structure of agriculture, determinants, organizational and economic mechanism, crop production, livestock.


This article presents the results of twelve-year trials of the Region and Ryabota simple hybrids and the three-line hybrid Kameniar breeding laboratory of IOC NAANU hybrid labs, and analyzes their adaptation to ongoing climate change. The purpose of our work was to determine the formation of major economic traits in sunflower hybrids, depending on the agro-climatic conditions of the year.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 4139
Author(s):  
Muriel Diaz ◽  
Mario Cools ◽  
Maureen Trebilcock ◽  
Beatriz Piderit-Moreno ◽  
Shady Attia

Between the ages of 6 and 18, children spend between 30 and 42 h a week at school, mostly indoors, where indoor environmental quality is usually deficient and does not favor learning. The difficulty of delivering indoor air quality (IAQ) in learning facilities is related to high occupancy rates and low interaction levels with windows. In non-industrialized countries, as in the cases presented, most classrooms have no mechanical ventilation, due to energy poverty and lack of normative requirements. This fact heavily impacts the indoor air quality and students’ learning outcomes. The aim of the paper is to identify the factors that determine acceptable CO2 concentrations. Therefore, it studies air quality in free-running and naturally ventilated primary schools in Chile, aiming to identify the impact of contextual, occupant, and building design factors, using CO2 concentration as a proxy for IAQ. The monitoring of CO2, temperature, and humidity revealed that indoor air CO2 concentration is above 1400 ppm most of the time, with peaks of 5000 ppm during the day, especially in winter. The statistical analysis indicates that CO2 is dependent on climate, seasonality, and indoor temperature, while it is independent of outside temperature in heated classrooms. The odds of having acceptable concentrations of CO2 are bigger when indoor temperatures are high, and there is a need to ventilate for cooling.


Agronomy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 733
Author(s):  
Axel Weselek ◽  
Andrea Bauerle ◽  
Sabine Zikeli ◽  
Iris Lewandowski ◽  
Petra Högy

Agrivoltaic (AV) systems increase land productivity through the combined production of renewable energy and food. Although several studies have addressed their impact on crop production, many aspects remain unexplored. The objective of this study was to determine the effects of AV on the cultivation of celeriac, a common root vegetable in Central Europe. Celeriac was cultivated in 2017 and 2018 as part of an organically managed on-farm experiment, both underneath an AV system and in full-sun conditions. Under AV, photosynthetic active radiation was reduced by about 30%. Monitoring of crop development showed that in both years, plant height increased significantly under AV. Fresh bulb yield decreased by about 19% in 2017 and increased by about 12% in 2018 in AV, but the changes were not significant. Aboveground biomass increased in both years under AV, but only increased significantly in 2018. As aboveground biomass is a determinant of root biomass at harvest in root vegetables, bulb yields may be further increased by a prolonged vegetation period under AV. Compound analysis of celeriac bulbs did not show any clear effects from treatment. As harvestable yields were not significantly reduced, we concluded that celeriac can be considered a suitable crop for cultivation under AV.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 144
Author(s):  
Dianxi Zhang ◽  
Muhammad Safdar Sial ◽  
Naveed Ahmad ◽  
António José Filipe ◽  
Phung Anh Thu ◽  
...  

Water scarcity is rising as a global issue, because the planet earth is facing a global water crisis, which is considered something that can destroy environmental sustainability of our planet. The fact is that humanity’s demand is depleting natural resources faster than nature can replenish itself; if human habits and unsustainable use of water resources do not change, water scarcity will inevitably intensify and become a major cause of conflict among different nations of the world. The water scarcity issue is a crucial issue but unfortunately it has not received due attention in past. Pakistan, which once was a water abundant country, now facing a situation of water scarcity. Pakistan has a poor irrigation system which results 60% loss of its water; Pakistan uses more water for crop production than other countries. Likewise, the country harvests water from rainfall, rivers, snow, and glaciers. The country is facing a serious water crisis that is caused by different factors, such as changing climatic conditions, rising population, poor irrigation system, poor political will, and rapid urbanization. The water crisis of Pakistan is expected to worsen in coming years. This is a drastic situation which calls for emergency measures. With this background, the present study provides a detailed view of the water situation in the country with challenges to water management. The study also suggests some recommendations for policymakers to improve the water crisis situation in the future.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lynette Morgan

Abstract Crop production in many regions has been reliant on irrigation for almost as long as man has been cultivating plant life. For 6000 years, irrigation has ranked among the most powerful tools of human advancement (Postel, 1999), and by the start of the 21st century no less than 75% of the world's fresh water was in use for agricultural production (Levy and Coleman, 2014). In 2012, twenty percent of total cultivated land was under irrigation, contributing forty percent of the total food production worldwide, this represented 275 million hectares under actual irrigation with a total of 324 million hectares equipped for irrigation (FAO, 2016). Irrigation, which can be defined as 'the artificial application of water to land, soil or other growing medium for the purposes of crop growth', has become a global issue in more recent times as the increasing demand for fresh water has seen problems develop with water scarcity, quality issues and conflict over usage.


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