scholarly journals Bulgarian Geomagnetic Reference Field (BulGRF) for 2015.0 and secular variation prediction model up to 2020

2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (5) ◽  
pp. 1085-1092
Author(s):  
Metodi Metodiev ◽  
Petya Trifonova

Abstract. The Bulgarian Geomagnetic Reference Field (BulGRF) for 2015.0 epoch and its secular variation model prediction up to 2020.0 is produced and presented in this paper. The main field model is based on the well-known polynomial approximation in latitude and longitude of the geomagnetic field elements. The challenge in our modelling strategy was to update the absolute field geomagnetic data from 1980.0 up to 2015.0 using secular measurements unevenly distributed in time and space. As a result, our model gives a set of six coefficients for the horizontal H, vertical Z, total field F, and declination D elements of the geomagnetic field. The extrapolation of BulGRF to 2020 is based on an autoregressive forecasting of the Panagyurishte observatory annual means. Comparison of the field values predicted by the model with Panagyurishte (PAG) observatory annual mean data and two vector field measurements performed in 2015 shows a close match with IGRF-12 values and some difference with the real (measured) values, which is probably due to the influence of crustal sources. BulGRF proves to be a reliable alternative to the global geomagnetic field models which together with its simplicity makes it a useful tool for reducing magnetic surveys to a common epoch carried out over the Bulgarian territory up to 2020.

Geophysics ◽  
1975 ◽  
Vol 40 (4) ◽  
pp. 621-629 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert D. Regan ◽  
Joseph C. Cain

Global geomagnetic field models, usually computed from spherical harmonic series, are becoming more important in the reduction of magnetic surveys. When used correctly, a numerical model of sufficient complexity, including adequate secular variation correction, provides a suitable representation of the regional field. The best known and most widely used of the available field models is the International Geomagnetic Reference Field (IGRF). However, the IGRF may not be suitable for the reduction of all magnetic survey data because of its imperfect fit to the main field, particularly since 1968.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ingo Wardinski ◽  
Diana Saturnino ◽  
Hagay Amit ◽  
Aude Chambodut ◽  
Benoit Langlais ◽  
...  

Abstract Observations of the geomagnetic field taken at Earth's surface and at satellite altitude were combined to construct continuous models of the geomagnetic field and its secular variation from 1957 to 2020. From these parent models, we derive candidate main field models for the epochs 2015 and 2020 to the 13th generation of the International Geomagnetic Reference Field (IGRF). The secular variation candidate model for the period 2020 - 2025 is derived from a forecast of the secular variation in 2022.5, which results from a multi-variate singular spectrum analysis of the secular variation from 1957 to 2020.


Geophysics ◽  
1982 ◽  
Vol 47 (5) ◽  
pp. 841-842 ◽  
Author(s):  
Norman W. Peddie

IGRF 1965, the first international geomagnetic reference field, was adopted by the International Association of Geomagnetism and Aeronomy (IAGA) in 1968 (IAGA Commission 2, Working Group 4, 1969). It consists of a model of the main field at 1965.0, along with a model of secular variation for use in extending the main field model in time, both backward (not earlier than 1955.0) and forward (not later than 1975.0). IGRF 1975, adopted later, consists of IGRF 1965 extended to 1975.0, along with a revised model of secular variation for use in extending the main field model up to 1980.0 (IAGA Division I Study Group, 1976).


2020 ◽  
Vol 72 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Wardinski ◽  
D. Saturnino ◽  
H. Amit ◽  
A. Chambodut ◽  
B. Langlais ◽  
...  

Abstract Observations of the geomagnetic field taken at Earth’s surface and at satellite altitude are combined to construct continuous models of the geomagnetic field and its secular variation from 1957 to 2020. From these parent models, we derive candidate main field models for the epochs 2015 and 2020 to the 13th generation of the International Geomagnetic Reference Field (IGRF). The secular variation candidate model for the period 2020–2025 is derived from a forecast of the secular variation in 2022.5, which results from a multi-variate singular spectrum analysis of the secular variation from 1957 to 2020.


Geophysics ◽  
1975 ◽  
Vol 40 (5) ◽  
pp. 907-908
Author(s):  
Robert D. Regan ◽  
Joseph C. Cain

On March 24 and 25, 1975, the Zmuda Memorial Field Model Conference cosponsored by the Society of Exploration Geophysicists (SEG) was held at the Broadmoor Hotel, in Colorado Springs, Colorado. This meeting was designed to provide an opportunity for dialogue between those who derive geomagnetic field models and the various users and to serve as an opportunity to discuss the plans for the proposed revision of the International Geomagnetic Reference Field Model (IGRF). The conference included an objective appraisal of the use of field models in magnetic surveys and documented the need for a more accurate reference field. This report summarizes the conference results as they pertain to the members of SEG. A complete summary, including abstracts, is published in the July (1975) issue of EOS, Transactions of the American Geophysical Union.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ingo Wardinski ◽  
Diana Saturnino ◽  
Hagay Amit ◽  
Aude Chambodut ◽  
Benoit Langlais ◽  
...  

Abstract Observations of the geomagnetic field taken at Earth's surface and at satellite altitude are combined to construct continuous models of the geomagnetic field and its secular variation from 1957 to 2020. From these parent models, we derive candidate main field models for the epochs 2015 and 2020 to the 13th generation of the International Geomagnetic Reference Field (IGRF). The secular variation candidate model for the period 2020 - 2025 is derived from a forecast of the secular variation in 2022.5, which results from a multi-variate singular spectrum analysis of the secular variation from 1957 to 2020.


2021 ◽  
Vol 73 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanyan Yang ◽  
Gauthier Hulot ◽  
Pierre Vigneron ◽  
Xuhui Shen ◽  
Zeren Zhima ◽  
...  

AbstractUsing magnetic field data from the China Seismo-Electromagnetic Satellite (CSES) mission, we derive a global geomagnetic field model, which we call the CSES Global Geomagnetic Field Model (CGGM). This model describes the Earth’s magnetic main field and its linear temporal evolution over the time period between March 2018 and September 2019. As the CSES mission was not originally designed for main field modelling, we carefully assess the ability of the CSES orbits and data to provide relevant data for such a purpose. A number of issues are identified, and an appropriate modelling approach is found to mitigate these. The resulting CGGM model appears to be of high enough quality, and it is next used as a parent model to produce a main field model extrapolated to epoch 2020.0, which was eventually submitted on October 1, 2019 as one of the IGRF-13 2020 candidate models. This CGGM candidate model, the first ever produced by a Chinese-led team, is also the only one relying on a data set completely independent from that used by all other candidate models. A successful validation of this candidate model is performed by comparison with the final (now published) IGRF-13 2020 model and all other candidate models. Comparisons of the secular variation predicted by the CGGM parent model with the final IGRF-13 2020–2025 predictive secular variation also reveal a remarkable agreement. This shows that, despite their current limitations, CSES magnetic data can already be used to produce useful IGRF 2020 and 2020–2025 secular variation candidate models to contribute to the official IGRF-13 2020 and predictive secular variation models for the coming 2020–2025 time period. These very encouraging results show that additional efforts to improve the CSES magnetic data quality could make these data very useful for long-term monitoring of the main field and possibly other magnetic field sources, in complement to the data provided by missions such as the ESA Swarm mission.


2020 ◽  
Vol 72 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sabrina Sanchez ◽  
Johannes Wicht ◽  
Julien Bärenzung

Abstract The IGRF offers an important incentive for testing algorithms predicting the Earth’s magnetic field changes, known as secular variation (SV), in a 5-year range. Here, we present a SV candidate model for the 13th IGRF that stems from a sequential ensemble data assimilation approach (EnKF). The ensemble consists of a number of parallel-running 3D-dynamo simulations. The assimilated data are geomagnetic field snapshots covering the years 1840 to 2000 from the COV-OBS.x1 model and for 2001 to 2020 from the Kalmag model. A spectral covariance localization method, considering the couplings between spherical harmonics of the same equatorial symmetry and same azimuthal wave number, allows decreasing the ensemble size to about a 100 while maintaining the stability of the assimilation. The quality of 5-year predictions is tested for the past two decades. These tests show that the assimilation scheme is able to reconstruct the overall SV evolution. They also suggest that a better 5-year forecast is obtained keeping the SV constant compared to the dynamically evolving SV. However, the quality of the dynamical forecast steadily improves over the full assimilation window (180 years). We therefore propose the instantaneous SV estimate for 2020 from our assimilation as a candidate model for the IGRF-13. The ensemble approach provides uncertainty estimates, which closely match the residual differences with respect to the IGRF-13. Longer term predictions for the evolution of the main magnetic field features over a 50-year range are also presented. We observe the further decrease of the axial dipole at a mean rate of 8 nT/year as well as a deepening and broadening of the South Atlantic Anomaly. The magnetic dip poles are seen to approach an eccentric dipole configuration.


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