Conversational conventions, order of information acquisition, and the effect of base rates and individuating information on social judgments.

1990 ◽  
Vol 59 (6) ◽  
pp. 1140-1152 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jon A. Krosnick ◽  
Fan Li ◽  
Darrin R. Lehman
1996 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-34 ◽  
Author(s):  
Clark McCauley

AbstractThe fallacy beneath the base rate fallacy is that we know what a base rate is. We talk as if base rates and individuating information were two different kinds of information. From a Bayesian perspective, however, the only difference between base rate and individuating information is – which comes first.


1996 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 36-37
Author(s):  
Nancy Paule Melone ◽  
Timothy W. McGuire

AbstractConsistent with Koehler's position, we propose a generalization of the base rate fallacy and earlier conservatism literatures. In studies using both traditional tasks and new tasks based on ecologically valid base rates, our subjects typically underweight individuating information at least as much as they underweight base rates. The implications of cue consistency for averaging heuristics are discussed.


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