How well can we predict earthquake site response so far? Site-specific approaches

Earthquake site responses or site effects are the modifications of surface geology to seismic waves. How well can we predict the site effects (average over many earthquakes) at individual sites so far? To address this question, we tested and compared the effectiveness of different estimation techniques in predicting the outcrop Fourier site responses separated using the general inversion technique (GIT) from recordings. Techniques being evaluated are (a) the empirical correction to the horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio of earthquakes (c-HVSR), (b) one-dimensional ground response analysis (GRA), and (c) the square-root-impedance (SRI) method (also called the quarter-wavelength approach). Our results show that c-HVSR can capture significantly more site-specific features in site responses than both GRA and SRI in the aggregate, especially at relatively high frequencies. c-HVSR achieves a “good match” in spectral shape at ∼80%–90% of 145 testing sites, whereas GRA and SRI fail at most sites. GRA and SRI results have a high level of parametric and/or modeling errors which can be constrained, to some extent, by collecting on-site recordings.

NIOM Analysis of Earthquake Observation Records in a Rockfill Dam

ABSTRACT We applied the normalized input–output minimization method (a method developed for the analysis of propagation times in vertical array records) to long-term earthquake observation records from Aratozawa Dam (in Kurihara, Miyagi prefecture, Japan), spanning the period from July 1992 to December 2019 to determine the propagation velocity of seismic waves in the embankment, and investigated changes in soil properties. As a result, we showed that (1) the velocities of S and P waves in the upper section were 449 and 993 m/s, respectively, prior to the strong earthquake motions derived from earthquake records from January 1997 through October 2001, whereas 608 and 1538, respectively, in the lower section, (2) in the Iwate–Miyagi Nairiku earthquake, the S-wave velocity in the upper section decreased to 158 m/s in the principal shock, and (3) in subsequent minor earthquakes the propagation velocity increased more or less in proportion with the logarithm of the number of elapsed days, requiring three years or longer to return to the initial value, (4) although similar changes were observed in the Great East Japan earthquake of 2011, the reduction in propagation velocity that remained after the principal shock was smaller than in the case of the Iwate–Miyagi Nairiku earthquake, and it was judged that there were no large effects on the dam body such as those that occurred in the Iwate–Miyagi Nairiku earthquake, and furthermore (5) in the principal shock of the Iwate–Miyagi Nairiku earthquake, the shear modulus in the upper part of the dam body decreased from 400 to 50 MPa (with a maximum shear strain of 10−3), resulting in more pronounced changes than in the lower section, whereas the damping ratio increased by at least 10% in the lower section during the principal shock of the Iwate–Miyagi Nairiku earthquake, resulting in much greater changes than in the upper section.

Seismic Advances in Process Geomorphology

One of the pillars of geomorphology is the study of geomorphic processes and their drivers, dynamics, and impacts. Like all activity that transfers energy to Earth's surface, a wide range of geomorphic process types create seismic waves that can be measured with standard seismic instruments. Seismic signals provide continuous high-resolution coverage with a spatial footprint that can vary from local to global, and in recent years, efforts to exploit these signals for information about surface processes have increased dramatically, coalescing into the emerging field of environmental seismology. The application of seismic methods has the potential to drive advances in our understanding of the occurrence, timing, and triggering of geomorphic events, the dynamics of geomorphic processes, fluvial bedload transport, and integrative geomorphic system monitoring. As new seismic applications move from development to proof of concept to routine application, integration between geomorphologists and seismologists is key for continued progress. ▪ Geomorphic activity on Earth's surface produces seismic signals that can be measured with standard seismic instruments. ▪ Seismic methods are driving advances in our understanding of the occurrence, triggering, and internal dynamics of a range of geomorphic processes. ▪ Dedicated seismic-based observatories offer the potential to comprehensively characterize geomorphic activity and its impacts across a landscape. ▪ Collaboration between seismologists and geomorphologists is fostering the development of new applications, models, and analysis techniques for geomorphic seismology. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Volume 50 is May 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.

Monte-Carlo simulation for moderate seismic zones using artificial accelerograms

The present technical note deals with a new method to generate seismic accelerograms based on statistical characteristics and the classification of seismic waves. A short heterogeneous sitebased analyse of these accelerograms is given with a seismic wave propagation code in 1D. After, a numerical simulation is done in order to obtain PGA using Newmark’s explicit scheme, and finally, Monte-Carlo simulation is used to determinate failure’s probability of structures localised in moderate seismic zones in hexagonal France.

Dependence of cardiovascular diseases mortality on helioseismic indicators in the Sheki region of the Azerbaijan Republic

Aim. To study the dependence of cardiovascular diseases mortality on geophysical and seismic indicators in the Sheki region of the Azerbaijan Republic.Material and methods. In 2013, seismological information was obtained from 35 telemetry stations, which included a review of the seismic setting of the republic, the distribution of seismic waves, the dynamics of seismic processes, the intensity of earthquakes, magnitude, etc. Based on the spatial distribution of the focal zones identifi ed by weak seismicity and the magnitudes of the maximum possible earthquakes in them, a map of the seismic hazard of the territory of Azerbaijan was compiled. To analyze the connection with diseases in the Sheki region, 742 case histories of patients (48.8% — 362 men and 51.2% — 380 women) who died in 2013 from various diseases, were analyzed.Results and discussion. Statistically signifi cant (p < 0.001), more deaths among men were from acute coronary syndrome (63.3%), from acute heart failure (46.0%) and from hypertensive crisis (HС) (45.3%). 59.3% died from acute cerebrovascular accident, 54.7% died from a hypertensive crisis and 54,0% from acute heart failure among women. Statistically signifi cant number of deaths was in the age range of 70–79 years old and 80–89 years old.The largest number of deaths was at a depth of 11–20 km — 20.6%, 21–30 km — 16.7%, less than 10 km — 10.5%. When the depth of the process was less than 10 km, the largest percentage of mortality was from acute coronary syndrome — 24.4%, with the depth of 11–20 km — from hypertensive process (40.5%); 24.2% died from heart failure.Conclusion. Thus, there is a close correlation between geomagnetic changes and CVD mortality in Sheki region of Azerbaijan. It is realized in the form of an increase in the frequency of cases and deaths, and the number of these cases is highly dependent on patients’ age.

Experimental study and numerical simulation of inerter-based systems

Based on a single degree of freedom system, the inerter principles of an inertial mass damper and clutch inerter damper are introduced. The motion equations of the systems are derived, and the rotational speed and damping are considered. In addition, a reducer is innovatively combined with clutch inerter damper to significantly improve the inertance. Accordingly, an innovative reducer clutch inerter damper is proposed. Shaking table experiments are carried out on the uncontrolled inertial mass damper, clutch inerter damper, and reducer clutch inerter damper structures under the inputs of harmonic and seismic waves. Simulation models of the four types of structures are developed, and the validity of the theoretical models is verified by a comparison between the simulation and experiment. Moreover, the nonlinear models of clutch inerter damper and reducer clutch inerter damper are discussed. Finally, according to the test results, the vibration reduction effects of the three inerters are analyzed, and the reasons why they are different from the ideal clutch inerter damper are also explained. The results show that clutch inerter damper, especially reducer clutch inerter damper, has a good vibration damping performance.

Crustal structure of central Myanmar (Burma) By surface wave dispersion

Digital records of seismic waves observed at Seismic Research Observatory, Cheng Mai. Thailand have been analysed for two earthquakes in western Nepal. Digital data are processed by the floating filter and phase equalization methods to obtain surface waves free from noise. Group velocities of Love and Rayleigh waves are obtained by frequency time analysis of these noise free surface waves. The period of group velocities ranges from 17 to 62 sec for fundamental mode Rayleigh waves and from 17 to 66 sec for fundamental mode Love waves. The wave paths cross both central Myanmar (Burma) and the Indo-Gangetic plain. The group velocity data of surface waves across central Myanmar (Burma) have been obtained after correction of the data for the path across the Indo-Gangetic plain. Inversion of data gives the average crustal and subcrustal structure of central Myanmar (Burma). The modelled structure shows two separate sedimentary layers each of 8 km thick, The lower sedimentary layer forms the low velocity zone of the crust. The total thickness of central Myanmar (Burma) crust is found to be 55 km