The Optimal Stopping Problem

1969 ◽  
pp. 87-145
Author(s):  
Evgenii B. Dynkin ◽  
Aleksandr A. Yushkevich
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Optimal Stopping Problem

scholarly journals On a simple optimal stopping problem

1973 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 297-312 ◽  
Author(s):  
William M. Boyce
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Optimal Stopping Problem

A Note on a Lower Bound for the Multiplicative Odds Theorem of Optimal Stopping

2014 ◽  
Vol 51 (03) ◽  
pp. 885-889 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomomi Matsui ◽  
Katsunori Ano
Keyword(s):  
Lower Bound ◽  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Secretary Problem ◽  
Bernoulli Trials ◽  
Optimal Stopping Problem ◽  
Maximum Probability ◽  
Optimal Stopping Rule ◽  
Optimal Probability ◽  
Optimal Stopping Theory ◽  
Special Case

In this note we present a bound of the optimal maximum probability for the multiplicative odds theorem of optimal stopping theory. We deal with an optimal stopping problem that maximizes the probability of stopping on any of the last m successes of a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials of length N, where m and N are predetermined integers satisfying 1 ≤ m < N. This problem is an extension of Bruss' (2000) odds problem. In a previous work, Tamaki (2010) derived an optimal stopping rule. We present a lower bound of the optimal probability. Interestingly, our lower bound is attained using a variation of the well-known secretary problem, which is a special case of the odds problem.

scholarly journals Optimal Surrender Policy of Guaranteed Minimum Maturity Benefits in Variable Annuities with Regime-Switching Volatility

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
Xiankang Luo ◽  
Jie Xing
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Probabilistic Methods ◽  
Optimal Stopping Problem ◽  
American Option Pricing ◽  
Volterra Type ◽  
Variable Annuities ◽  
Type Integral ◽  
Tree Method

This study investigates valuation of guaranteed minimum maturity benefits (GMMB) in variable annuity contract in the case where the guarantees can be surrendered at any time prior to the maturity. In the event of the option being exercised early, early surrender charges will be applied. We model the underlying mutual fund dynamics under regime-switching volatility. The valuation problem can be reduced to an American option pricing problem, which is essentially an optimal stopping problem. Then, we obtain the pricing partial differential equation by a standard Markovian argument. A detailed discussion shows that the solution of the problem involves an optimal surrender boundary. The properties of the optimal surrender boundary are given. The regime-switching Volterra-type integral equation of the optimal surrender boundary is derived by probabilistic methods. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis is performed for the optimal surrender decision. In the end, we adopt the trinomial tree method to determine the optimal strategy.

Countable-state average-cost regenerative stopping problems

1981 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 361-377 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bruce L. Miller
Keyword(s):  
Finite Number ◽  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Average Cost ◽  
Optimal Stopping Problem ◽  
Initial State ◽  
Countable State ◽  
State Average

Regenerative stopping problems are stopping problems which recommence from the initial state upon stopping. An algorithm is presented which solves semi-Markov regenerative stopping problem with a finite number of continue actions by solving a sequence of stopping problems. New results for the optimal stopping problem are obtained as well as for the regenerative stopping problem. A model in the literature is used as a detailed example of the algorithm.

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