Application of Logistic Models to Predict Human-Caused Forest Fires in Siberia

Author(s):  
Georg Buchholz ◽  
Johann G. Goldammer ◽  
David L. Martell
Keyword(s):  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Saray Martín-García ◽  
Ivan Balenović ◽  
Luka Jurjević ◽  
Iñigo Lizarralde ◽  
Krunoslav Indir ◽  
...  

The height to crown base (hcb) is a critical measure used in many investigations as an input variable to investigate the vigour of the stands, the social position of the trees, and to evaluate the behaviour of forest fires, among other uses. Though measuring height-related variables in the field is always time-consuming, the foremost benefits offered by modelling hcb are that it permits to generalize and average a very uneven attribute and, furthermore, provides insights about which tree and stand variables have a significant impact on hcb. However, there are many species in which models of the crown base height have not been developed in Croatia. The objective of this research was to develop a height to base crown model for each of the main species present in the two-layered mixed stands of this study. According to previous investigations, logistic models provide the highest precision and require the lowest inventory cost owing to less frequent measurements. Tree- and plot-level variables with distance-independent competition indexes were studied in the fitting model. In this research, we obtained models for the main stand species: Acer campestre (root mean squared error (RMSE) = 2.28 m, R2 = 82.80%); Alnus glutinosa (RMSE = 1.78 m, R2 = 85.36%); Carpinus betulus (RMSE = 2.47 m, R2 = 67.55%); Fraxinus angustifolia (RMSE = 2.46 m, R2 = 82.45%); Quercus robur (RMSE = 2.60 m, R2 = 80.57%); Tilia sp. (RMSE = 2.01 m, R 2 = 89.07%); and Ulmus laevis (RMSE = 1.71 m, R2 = 92.42%). The combination of the total height, tree, and plot-level variables with distance-independent competition indexes contributed to the prediction accuracy of proposed model significantly.


Nature ◽  
1999 ◽  
Author(s):  
Henry Gee
Keyword(s):  

Author(s):  
Tue Nguyen Dang

This research examines the factors affecting the financial literacy of Vietnamese adults. Using a sample of 266 observations of adults in 2 big cities in Vietnam (Hanoi and Vinh in Nghe An Province), the author evaluates the literacy level of adults in these urban areas. The financial literacy of the interviewed people is low. The multiple regression results show that lower financial literacy levels associate with higher age and married status and higher financial literacy levels associate with higher education, more family members, the person making financial decisions and the person attending a useful financial course. This research also explores the association between financial literacy and financial behaviors of individuals employing logistic models. It is found that higher financial literacy associates with less probability of overspending and higher probability of saving money and careful spending. Higher financial literacy is also found to associate with higher probability of opening a savings account and making various investments. 


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document